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Still searching for a topThe Bubble of Overvaluation: When Rich Daydreams Burst In the glittering world of tech, valuation often feels less like a science and more like an act of fantasy. Companies are valued not by their earnings or tangible impact, but by the whimsical projections of the ultra-rich who see tomorrow’s unicorns in today’s fledgling startups. This isn’t new. But the scale at which tech valuations have spiraled into the stratosphere is staggering—and unsustainable. Take a step back and ask: why is a social media company, with no profits and dwindling relevance, valued higher than the GDP of a small nation? The answer is simple—it's speculation. The wealthy elite, drunk on dreams of infinite growth, pour money into anything that promises to reshape the future. The result? Tech companies inflated to absurd proportions, their stock prices propped up by hype rather than substance. But daydreams don’t last forever. Reality has a way of intruding, and it’s coming with a vengeance. As economic inequality reaches breaking points, and as crises like hunger, housing, and climate change become impossible to ignore, the priorities of even the richest will have to shift. What happens then? Those dizzying valuations will come crashing down, because they were never built on anything solid to begin with. The irony is that the resources squandered on inflating tech bubbles could solve many of the world’s most pressing problems. Feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, funding education, and building sustainable infrastructure—these are investments with real, tangible returns. Instead, we’re caught in a cycle of hoarding and speculation, where the richest cling to dreams of domination instead of learning what it means to share. Eventually, they’ll wake up. And when they do, the crash will be spectacular. But maybe, just maybe, that reckoning will usher in a world where resources are allocated not to feed fantasies, but to feed people. Until then, the tech world remains an overvalued dreamscape, poised for a rude awakening.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Predicter-336
1
Russell 2000 - rolling over?US stock index futures began the week on the front foot this morning. All four majors were trading in positive territory, shrugging off a mixed close on Friday night, and a generally disappointing week. Only the tech-heavy NASDAQ registered a gain last week, and this was just a modest 0.3%. The S&P 500 lost 0.6%, while the Dow and Russell 2000 lost 1.8% and 2.7% respectively. In fact, a look across the daily charts suggests that, while the NASDAQ displays upside momentum as it continues to hit fresh record highs, the S&P is now consolidating, and the Dow and Russell 2000 maybe rolling over, following an exceptionally strong bullish run. In some ways it’s surprising that the domestically-focused, mid-cap Russell should be in decline, given that small business optimism has surged higher since Donald Trump’s decisive election victory in early November. The news saw the Russell finally post a new record high, three years after the last one, as investors priced in the prospect of deregulation and a favourable tax environment. Perhaps some profit-taking should be expected after the Russell’s outperformance in November. But if that’s all it is, then buyers should soon turn up to take advantage of cheaper prices. Following last week’s inflation data, the consensus expectation is that the Fed will announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut following the close of its two-day meeting on Wednesday. If so, that would mean the Fed has cut by 100 basis points this year, or more accurately, since September. This is short of 150 points priced in at the beginning of the year, yet it has still provided a strong tailwind for equities in 2024. As things stand, the Fed is forecast to cut by a further 50 basis points next year, although much depends on inflation resuming its previous downward trend. In other news, Palantir and MicroStrategy have jumped higher following their inclusion, along with Axon Enterprises, in the NASDAQ 100. Super Micro Computers, Illumina and Moderna are all out.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000
by TradeNation
A bullish outlook for S&P 500 trading next weekRecent Performance: The S&P 500 has shown a mixed performance recently, grappling with volatility yet managing to hold above significant support levels. After reaching highs earlier this month, the index has pulled back slightly, indicating some weakness in momentum. Despite this, seasonal trends towards year-end may provide a boost, although the declining market breadth suggests underlying challenges. - Key Insights: Investors should be cautious yet optimistic about the S&P 500 as we approach potential seasonal rallies. The mixed signals from market breadth and expert commentary on overvaluation underscore the importance of strategic trading. Focus on key support levels to confirm bullish trends and prepare to act if resistance levels are breached. - Expert Analysis: Market experts express a cautiously optimistic sentiment, with some anticipating a "Santa Rally" while others warn of the risks associated with overvaluation. The anticipation of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts adds to the bullish sentiment, though concerns over rising inflation and jobless claims need to be monitored closely. - Price Targets: Based on the current analysis, next week’s price targets and stop levels are set as follows: - Next week targets: T1 = 6,100, T2 = 6,200 - Stop levels: S1 = 6,040, S2 = 6,020 - News Impact: Key economic data releases, particularly the Federal Reserve meeting on December 18, are expected to play a significant role in market movements. Additionally, earnings reports from major corporations, along with the evolving geopolitical climate and challenges in China's economy, will further influence the sentiment surrounding the S&P 500, demanding vigilant attention from investors.
SP:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147. The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
SPX: in green to end a year?A week after the S&P 500 reached a new ATH, the market slowed down a bit during the previous week. The new ATH has been tested for a potential for further move toward the upside, however, there has not been enough market strength, so the index reverted just a bit to the downside. The lowest weekly level reached was 6.030 points. The market's beloved tech companies were traded with a modest negative sentiment, except TSLA. A brand new star of the week was company Broadcom, which surged 24% for the week, after the company published that its AI-generated revenue soared by an incredible 220%. Analysts are noting high probability that the equity market will continue to head toward the upside till the year end. Such sentiment will be supported by the expected Fed rate cut of 25 bps on December 18th. However, they are also noting that the switch from large caps toward the small cap companies has been occurring for some time now, and will continue in the future period, supported by the environment of decreased interest rates.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
NASDAQ rally still has lots of upside before is tops.Nasdaq (NDX) is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in. As you see, the previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg already had a strong pull-back early on (August 26 - September 02 1W candles), it may continue to rise up to its target without another correction, assuming the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) holds. If however it has another pull-back similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), then it should rise some more near the 0.236 Fibonacci level and then pull-back. In any event, the current level is technically a solid long-term buy entry and since both previous Bullish Legs have been around +48%, we expect to see 25300 before the current one tops. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
US500 Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for US500. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 6,060.5. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 6,114.4 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by SignalProvider
3
#DXY 1DAYDXY Daily Analysis The DXY (US Dollar Index) is trading near a trendline resistance on the daily chart. This resistance is a critical level where selling pressure may dominate. A breakdown below the nearby support line would confirm bearish momentum, offering a strong sell opportunity for further downside. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Trendline Resistance Forecast: SELL (Sell Opportunity upon Support Breakdown) Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position once the price breaks below the support line and confirms the breakdown with bearish price action, such as a strong close below the support or a retest of the broken level as resistance. Traders should watch indicators like RSI for overbought conditions or MACD for a bearish crossover. Use proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the trendline and setting profit targets at subsequent key support zones.
TVC:DXYShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
2
SPX500 H4 |Potential bullish bounceSPX500 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 6,033.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 5,950.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 6,121.24 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index. The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends. This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains. The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips. The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact. Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy. Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published. Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025. The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND