Nightly Predictions for 12.17.2024🔮 ⏰8:30am Core Retail Sales m/m Retail Sales m/m #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investingby PogChan0
Why on Earth anyone invests in the Australian Shares? (SPX)The last 16 years. The US S&P 500 index (in red) Vs the Australian All Ordinaries index. The US broad market index up by 607%, the Australian index up by 58%. The US S&P 500 index is a broad measure of the top 500 companies in the US, and the All Ordinaries likewise from the largest 500 companies listed in Australia. The US represents about 25% of Global GDP Vs Australia at 1.6%. The US S&P500 index companies also earn about 40% of their earnings from outside America (due to their Global reach). Their companies also lead in tech, banking, defense etc. Why does anyone invest solely in the Australian share markets? The Australian index is very narrowly weighted to the big 4 banks (mostly leveraged on Australian residential real estate), and the large miners (leveraged on the commodity cycle). Both very narrow, non-diversified risky strategies, and clearly over the long term a crap investment compared to the breath of risk and performance outcomes of the US multinational giants of expansion and leading edge innovation.Longby platinum_growth0
PUT/CALL NEW LOW NO ONE IS SHORT MAJOR TOP IN STOCK INDEXESThe chart posted has hit a new low on the 20 moving avg put/call .To top it off The one day closed at the low for the year at .58 More traders are betting on Santa then in the last 2 years !!! I have taken a 95 % long in the money puts .The first quarter of 2025 We could see something Very Big to the downside well over 600 to 1300 SP 500 points Cycles point to march 10th to the 20th for the first leg down . And looking at Europe markets as well and The top I called in the nifty 50 looks like it is also ready to roll over once again . .The gold ratio cycles aka the 6 spiral due on 11/29 to 12/5 came The DJI and DJT and XLU as well as the NYA all topped that window and has fallen everyday since . BEST of TRADES WAVETIMER by wavetimer2
S&P500: Channel Up ready to explode to 6,175S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.112, MACD = 49.220, ADX = 50.110) as it is extending August's Channel Up. The 4H RSI is forming an Arc pattern that is much like the below 4H MA50 consolidation of October 1st - 8th. After that was completed, the price rallied to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension to form a HH on the Channel Up. The 1.786 Fib was the target of the next bullish wave as well. Consequently, we are long on SPX, aiming again for that Fib (TP = 6,175). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Longby InvestingScope8
US30 in consolidation patter but will likely fall someUS30 is showing resilliance at support level 43700 with the entire day hovering on or around that support line. Price is currently within the trend line channel and and therefore would have to consolidate above that support area in order to maintain its levels. If price within the next 8 hours does not recover above the current support line it will likely fall some more. The next support level is at 43500. Look to short the US30 from a retest of the current support line to at least 43500. Make sure to set your TPs properly because it will be a fast fall to a rebound when it does. Follow me for more insights. Comment below for questions. Short08:56by leslyjeanbaptiste4
SPX500 forming a Double Top pattern, will it keep going up?Technical Analysis: ================ SPX500 has formed a noticeable double top technical pattern. If it respects the double top pattern the price should touch around 5700. But if it keeps climbing the 6000 may become another support level. Fundamental Analysis: =================== 1) Israel war seems to be calming, which should reduce the uncertainty and boost the stock market 2) Russia Ukraine war is intensifying as a result of latest attacks. This war has potential to undermine all other good news and could go with the double top (technical analysis) 3) Santa Claus Rally can boost the stock market in coming weeks followed by correction in Jan 2025 ===== Happy Thanks Giving to all the traders ==== by spranavUpdated 2
US30We can attempt to buy US30 from specified level as it make HL , also 0.618 FIB level intact indicate that it moves upward. SL , TP mention in chart.Longby SignalEdge1
US 30 Double bottomUS 30 has made a double bottom. A long position can be considered on the breakout. Longby dawoodabbas263
Nasdaq 100: Sustained Uptrend with Strong Momentum SignalsChart Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 has maintained a steady uptrend after rebounding from its August low, respecting a rising trendline (black) and staying above key moving averages. Here's a breakdown of the key observations: 1️⃣ Trendline Support: The price has respected the ascending black trendline, acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. This showcases strong bullish commitment. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Projection: The price is approaching the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (around 22,694), a potential area for traders to watch closely for reaction. Extensions like this often serve as resistance in trending markets. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA (blue) remains upward sloping, while the 200-day SMA (red) confirms a long-term bullish structure. Price action staying well above these averages signals continued strength. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Nearing 70, indicating strong momentum, though traders may watch for overbought signals. MACD: Bullish crossover continues, with rising histogram bars suggesting increasing buying pressure. What to Watch: Whether the price can sustain momentum towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level (~22,694). A healthy pullback towards the trendline or the 50-day SMA could offer clues for continuation patterns. Momentum indicators may warrant attention for short-term overbought conditions. The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly in an uptrend with bulls firmly in control. A break and hold above the Fibonacci extension would signal potential for further gains. Keep an eye on volume and momentum as price nears key levels. -MWby FOREXcom1
Toward $20576Here we can see the daily ichimoku levels in the 15-minute timeframe and I think that the price could go down to the daily kijun sen level.Shortby trader77974Updated 2
Toward $21828 ?Here is a chart with 2 orange Ichimoku forecast lines, one daily and one weekly. The price is actually above both of them. I drawed the fibonacci extensions and I think the price can go up to $21828 that is the 1.618 fibonacci extension. A first target might be at the 50% between the 1 and 1.618 (1.309 ?) fibonacci level at around $21547. Longby trader77974Updated 5
US500 longus500 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20Longby RODDYTRADINGUpdated 1
Us Nas 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas. With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis. And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.. Enjoy Trading... ;) by sepehrqanbari5
US30 Potential ShortKey Observations: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows a retracement of the prior downward move, and the price is currently reacting near the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 43,828.18. The retracement failed to break through the 50% level (44,062.83), indicating weak bullish momentum and reinforcing the overall bearish bias. Further rejection below the 0.382 level could signal continuation to the 0.236 level (43,533.57). Price Action & Support/Resistance: Price is consolidating just above 43,770 and appears to be testing the lower levels. A breakdown from this support could send price to test 43,537.19, which is aligned with previous structure and the 0.236 Fibonacci level. If price breaks 43,828 and finds support, a pushback toward 44,062 (50% retracement) could occur. Bollinger Bands: Price is currently trading near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting potential short-term oversold conditions. However, Bollinger Bands are widening, signaling increased volatility and a continuation of the current trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is hovering below 40, indicating bearish momentum but not yet oversold. Any further decline below 30 would suggest strong bearish continuation. A minor divergence may form if price creates lower lows but RSI fails to follow, which could hint at a reversal. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram remains below the zero line, confirming bearish momentum. The signal line is trending downward, but a smaller histogram bar suggests bearish momentum might be slowing. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 43,770 (Current support area). 43,533.57 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement, next major support). Resistance Levels: 43,828.18 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement, immediate resistance). 44,062.83 (50% Fibonacci retracement, critical short-term resistance). Potential Scenarios: Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias): If price breaks below 43,770 with strong momentum, the next target would be the 0.236 level at 43,533.57. Indicators like the MACD and RSI support bearish continuation unless a divergence forms. Relief Bounce (Secondary Scenario): A bounce from 43,770 or the 0.382 Fibonacci level could see price retracing back to 44,062.83. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation like RSI climbing above 40 and MACD showing convergence. Recommendation: Short Sellers: Monitor for a breakdown below 43,770 and target 43,533.57. Use stop-loss around 43,900 to limit risk. Long Traders: Wait for a bullish confirmation (RSI divergence, MACD crossover, or a strong bullish candle) near support levels. This setup favors a bearish continuation with the potential for short-term relief bounces. Managing risk and waiting for confirmation signals is key and do not risk more than 1% of your account! Shortby Nozuk2
Dollar Dominates: FED Rate Decision AheadThe US dollar is getting strong again, driven by a resilient US economy and expectations of a "hawkish cut" from the Federal Reserve. Despite talk of a rate cut, the US economy remains strong, with solid consumer spending and a tight labor market. This raises concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting the Fed may be cautious about further easing. Technically, the dollar index (DXY) is staging a convincing rebound, breaking above key resistance and eyeing new highs for 2024. This bullish momentum is likely to continue if the Fed delivers a "hawkish cut" – lowering rates while signaling a cautious stance on future easing. EUR: Grappling with Economic Headwinds The eurozone faces a challenging economic outlook. Slowing growth and persistent inflation create a stagflationary environment that weighs on the euro. The European Central Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, needing to support the economy while also taming inflation. The EUR/USD pair remains trapped within the 1.0460 – 1.0600 range. A decisive break below this zone, particularly with a close below 1.0400, could signal a significant shift in momentum and the continuation of a downtrend in the medium term. GBP: Battling Stagflation The pound is under pressure due to a confluence of factors. Recent data shows the UK economy contracting, raising fears of a recession. Inflation remains high, adding to the stagflationary pressures. The Bank of England faces a difficult balancing act, needing to support the economy while also keeping inflation in check. GBP/USD is looking vulnerable, with a break below key support at 1.2600 potentially opening the door for further declines. JPY: Waiting for Policy Clarity The Japanese yen remains volatile as markets try to anticipate the Bank of Japan's next move. Will they maintain their ultra-loose monetary policy or finally raise interest rates? The uncertainty is fueling volatility in JPY crosses. USD/JPY has been on a tear, breaking above key resistance levels. A "hawkish hold" from the BoJ, where rates are kept unchanged but the door is left open for future hikes, could fuel further yen weakness. CAD: Exposed After Rate Cut The Canadian dollar is vulnerable after the Bank of Canada's recent rate cut. The move surprised markets and raised concerns about the health of the Canadian economy. USD/CAD has been trending higher, fueled by the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Canada. A break above the 1.4350 resistance level could pave the way for further gains in USD/CAD. *This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Trade responsibly and do your own research.by E8Markets0
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024): In yesterday's trading plan, we identified the No Trade Zone / Liquidity Zone near 53,395-53,705, expecting consolidation in this range. We also highlighted the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 53,277-53,233 as a critical area to observe. As seen in today's chart, Bank Nifty respected the No Trade Zone before showing rejection at higher levels. The price tested the Opening Support Zone and bounced back but failed to sustain above key resistance. This reflects sideways movement (Yellow Trend) and minor bearish pressure in the later part of the session. Today's plan will analyze three key opening scenarios for 17-Dec-2024 and guide traders with actionable steps. We will also focus on risk management strategies for options traders. 🔹 Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points) If Bank Nifty opens above the No Trade Zone (53,705) and sustains, we could see bullish momentum. The next key resistance is the Profit Booking Zone at 54,233-54,472, which coincides with a potential new high. 🔹 Plan of Action: Observe price action for the first 15-30 minutes. If prices sustain above 53,705 on an hourly candle close , initiate long positions with a target of 54,233 and an extended target of 54,472. Place a stop loss below 53,705 to protect against reversal. 🔹 Bullish Confirmation: Sustaining above 53,705. Aggressive moves can be expected if volumes increase near this level. 🔹 Key Target Levels: First Target: 54,233. Extended Target: 54,472. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: Avoid chasing a gap-up rally; wait for a pullback near support zones before entering trades. Options traders can buy slightly ITM CE to mitigate time decay. Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 53,490) If Bank Nifty opens flat, focus on the No Trade Zone between 53,395-53,705. This zone is likely to show sideways movement (Yellow Trend) unless a breakout or breakdown occurs. 🔹 Plan of Action: Avoid initiating trades inside the No Trade Zone as price could face rejection. A breakout above 53,705 will trigger bullish momentum (Green Trend). A breakdown below 53,395 will open doors for bearish movement (Red Trend). 🔹 Trade Setups: Long Position: Above 53,705, targeting 54,233. Short Position: Below 53,395, targeting 53,277 and 53,002. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: Use tight stop losses near breakout/breakdown points. For options traders, wait for hourly candle confirmations to avoid false signals. Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points) If Bank Nifty opens below 53,277 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), bearish pressure may intensify. The Last Support for Intraday at 53,002 will be the crucial level to watch. If this support fails, expect a sharp fall toward 52,577. 🔹 Plan of Action: If prices open near 53,277, observe price behavior for the first 15-30 minutes. If the level fails to hold, initiate short positions with a target of 53,002 and an extended target of 52,577. If Bank Nifty shows a bounce from 53,277, look for reversal opportunities toward 53,490. 🔹 Bearish Confirmation: Sustaining below 53,277 with strong bearish candles. Volumes increasing near the support breakdown will signal further downside. 🔹 Key Target Levels: First Target: 53,002. Extended Target: 52,577. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: For options traders, buy slightly OTM PE with defined stop loss above resistance. Avoid holding short positions overnight in case of volatility. 🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: Avoid taking positions during the first 15 minutes to avoid false breakouts. Use slightly ITM options to reduce time decay impact. Focus on hourly candle closes for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns. Always have a stop loss in place to protect against sudden reversals. Trade with smaller position sizes when market volatility is high. 🔹 Summary & Conclusion: A Gap Up Opening above 53,705 can lead to bullish continuation toward 54,233-54,472. A Flat Opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution. Look for a breakout above 53,705 or breakdown below 53,395 for direction. A Gap Down Opening below 53,277 can trigger bearish moves toward 53,002 and 52,577. Yellow Trend represents sideways consolidation, Green Trend signals bullish moves, and Red Trend indicates bearish momentum. 🔹 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Longby LiveTradingBox5
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024): In yesterday's plan, we identified the No Trade Zone near 24,696-24,750 and the Opening Resistance at 24,830, expecting sideways movement if prices hovered in this range. As seen in the chart, the price respected the No Trade Zone, consolidating before a pullback. The Opening Intraday Support at 24,526 provided a critical holding point, and prices staged a rebound. Today's plan will analyze multiple opening scenarios, key levels, and likely trends, helping traders prepare for action. 🔹 Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens above 24,750 (No Trade Zone), the next critical resistance is at 24,830 (Opening Resistance). Sustaining above this level on an hourly candle close can trigger sharp short-covering, leading the index toward 25,041 (Profit Booking Resistance for 25,630). 🔹 Plan of Action: Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe if the gap up sustains. Enter long positions above 24,830 only if prices hold for an hourly close. Immediate stop loss can be placed just below 24,750 for risk control. 🔹 Bullish Continuation Target: Immediate Target: 25,041. 🔹 Risk Management: For options traders, consider ATM or slightly ITM CE options to manage premium decay. Avoid chasing the opening; let a pullback confirm strength. Scenario 2: Flat Opening (near 24,648-24,696) If Nifty opens flat, the No Trade Zone at 24,696-24,750 will play a critical role. This zone might act as a sideways region (Yellow Trend) if prices struggle to break out. 🔹 Plan of Action: Stay cautious inside the No Trade Zone as there may be choppy moves. A breakout above 24,750 or a breakdown below 24,526 will signal the direction. Go long above 24,750 with a stop loss below 24,696. Go short below 24,526, targeting 24,484 and lower levels. 🔹 Bullish or Bearish Confirmation: Bullish breakout: Above 24,750. Bearish breakdown: Below 24,526. 🔹 Risk Management: Use defined stop losses, and avoid overleveraging positions. For options, consider buying spreads to reduce premium risk. Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens near or below 24,526 (Opening Intraday Support), the 24,484 and 24,309 levels will act as crucial supports. 🔹 Plan of Action: Observe price action at 24,526. If support holds, expect a bounce back toward 24,696. If 24,526 breaks, initiate short positions targeting 24,484 and 24,309. If prices drop below 24,309 (Last Intraday Support), it could lead to a sharp decline (Red Trend). 🔹 Key Levels for Shorts: Immediate Targets: 24,484 → 24,309. 🔹 Risk Management: Manage trades with strict stop loss above 24,526 for shorts. For options traders, consider buying OTM PE options for risk-limited trades. 🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: Avoid holding positions overnight in volatile market conditions. Use defined stop losses and trail profits to protect gains. Prefer spreads (CE/PE spreads) instead of naked buying to manage risk and decay. Wait for hourly candle closes at critical levels for better confirmation. 🔹 Summary & Conclusion: Above 24,750, expect bullish continuation towards 25,041. Flat opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution; wait for breakout/breakdown. Below 24,526, bears can take control, with levels 24,484 and 24,309 acting as key supports. Watch price action near support/resistance and avoid random entries. 🔹 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.Longby LiveTradingBox7
NIFTY TIGHT RANGE CONSOLIDATION From the beginning of October until the third week of November, Nifty saw a significant fall due to multiple reasons, such as **FII selling, overvaluation, war tensions**, and the **US Presidential elections**, among others. However, since November 21st, the market found support and has shown a good recovery. Unfortunately, during this phase, **retailers had little to no opportunity to profit**. Currently, there seems to be **a good trading opportunity**. Based on technical analysis, since **December 5th**, the market has been trading within an **inside range**, with **resistance at 24,850** and **support at 24,300**. I see this as a **healthy consolidation phase**, and there is a possibility that Nifty could **break out of this zone on either side**. Once the breakout happens, a strong move could follow.Longby Kannansen1
Target creations performance of BANKNIFTY with other indices Remember, these insights are for educational purposes only. Moving Averages: The 200-day EMA is a crucial level to watch. Key support levels to watch are around 52,264.55 and 53,630.55. The immediate resistance level is around 53,654.00. 03:58by comprehensiveS686040
My expectations to Nasdaq!Hello guys, on the chart you will find my target and it could go higher to 22150 but i would say 20000 due that it broke the downtrend purple line My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.Longby moustafa_mareiUpdated 2212
Us30Trading off the golden zone of 50% fib level , targeting buy side liquidity as first target which is the last recent high . We will monitor and see how it goes Longby Ollyman1
Us30Trading off the golden zone of 50% fib level , targeting buy side liquidity as first target which is the last recent high . We will monitor and see how it goes Longby Ollyman1
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th DecToday, BankNifty closed with a minor gap-down and traded in a range from 53700 on upside to 53335 on downside. As per setup posted yesterday, sell trade triggered below 53480 but it missed our 1st target by 10 points. Overall it was a range bound day for BankNifty. Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53900 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53300 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53120 and below marked level on the chart. Expectations: Range-bound day. Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 53700 Sell Below - 53300 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India Team by InvestPro_India1112