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NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence: Key Observations: 1. Engineered Retail Resistance: Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it. These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops. 2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic: Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs. After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below. Trading Outlook: Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup. If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
US30 - Potential Short Key Observations: 1. Fibonacci Levels: - The chart displays a Fibonacci retracement with key levels: - 0.5 (44,065) and 0.382 (43,828) are critical short-term support levels. - The 0.618 level (44,302) appears to act as resistance. 2. Bollinger Bands: - The price is near the lower Bollinger Band, which often suggests oversold conditions. However, this doesn't confirm a reversal unless supported by other indicators. 3. RSI: -The RSI is approaching oversold levels (below 30), indicating potential buyer interest soon. However, the RSI has not yet diverged, suggesting momentum still favors the downside. 4. Trend: -The overall trend is bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. The recent retracement to 44,302** and rejection indicates the continuation of selling pressure. Recommendations: Short-Selling Scenario (Preferred): - Rationale: The trend remains bearish, and the rejection at 44,302 confirms resistance. - Entry: Wait for price action near the 44,065level. If it breaks downward and retests, consider selling. - Take Profit: Aim for the 0.382 level (43,828) or 0.236 level (43,534) as targets. - Stop Loss: Set a stop above 44,302 to protect against a trend reversal. Buying Scenario (Riskier): - Rationale: If the price respects 43,828 or 43,534 and forms bullish candlestick patterns, you could consider a short-term buy for a retracement. - Entry: Look for a reversal signal at these levels (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing candle). - Take Profit: Aim for a move toward 44,065 or 44,302. - Stop Loss: Set a tight stop just below 43,534 Conclusion: Currently, the trend is bearish, favoring a sell strategy unless strong reversal signals emerge at key support levels. Please keep in mind, do not risk more than 1% of your account. Please comment, like and share this idea. it will help a lot.
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by Nozuk
US30 Broke another Support Level at 44000 - Over CorrectedUS30 is completely overcorrected with market manipulators going to liquidate buyers who think price is about to rise. If price continues to fall, look for there to be no support until 43362 which is way's away. If that happens there is a big opportunity to maintain short trades but it is very risky because US30 is completely over corrected and may go bullish at any moment. Keep an eye out for further selling for intraday opportunities.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by leslyjeanbaptiste
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached. + big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by edl75
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty Bank Index on a 15-minute timeframe and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades. Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (200+ points) If the market opens with a gap up above 53,533.00, monitor for a potential retracement to the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00). Look for bearish signals in this zone to initiate short positions. If the price sustains above 53,736.00, consider it a bullish sign and look for long opportunities targeting the deep retracement zone of the last swing (53,977.00 - 54,077.00). Place stop-loss orders below 53,533.00 to manage risk effectively. Flat Opening If the market opens flat around 53,224.85, observe the price action around the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00). If the price holds above 53,101.00, look for long opportunities targeting the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00). If the price breaks below 52,945.00, consider short positions targeting the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30). Place stop-loss orders accordingly to manage risk. Gap Down Opening (200+ points) If the market opens with a gap down below 52,945.00, monitor for support around the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30). If the price holds above 52,530.30, look for long opportunities targeting the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00). If the price breaks below 52,530.30, consider it a bearish sign and look for short opportunities targeting lower levels. Place stop-loss orders above 52,945.00 to manage risk. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging and maintain a balanced portfolio. Monitor implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Diversify your trades to spread risk across different assets. Summary and Conclusion The trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key levels and zones for potential price movements. The plan includes strategies for gap up, flat, and gap down openings, with specific actions based on price behavior around important support and resistance levels. Effective risk management is crucial, especially when trading options, to protect against significant losses. Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty 50 Index and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades. Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,711.00, it is crucial to watch for a retest of the last and important resistance for intraday at 24,735.00. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,940.00. Place a stop loss just below 24,711.00 to manage risk. If the price fails to sustain above 24,735.00 and shows signs of reversal, consider short positions targeting the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. Monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Flat Opening If Nifty opens flat around 24,539.50, observe the price action within the highlighted yellow zone. A breakout and sustained movement above this range can pave the way for Nifty to target levels of 24,711.00 and 24,735.00. Initiate long positions if the price breaks above the yellow zone with a stop loss just below the breakout level. If the price remains within the yellow zone, avoid taking new positions and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown. In case of a breakdown below the yellow zone, consider short positions targeting the support zone at 24,484.00. Gap Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap down below 24,450.00, it is essential to watch for a retest of the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. If the price fails to reclaim this level and shows signs of further weakness, initiate short positions targeting the extended zone for Wave C correction at 24,354.00. Place a stop loss just above 24,484.00 to manage risk. If the price sustains above 24,484.00 after a gap down, consider long positions targeting the yellow zone and monitor for a potential reversal. Adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging and trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk across different positions. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions. Summary and Conclusion In summary, the trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. For a gap-up opening, focus on sustaining above 24,735.00 for long positions. For a flat opening, watch for a breakout from the yellow zone. For a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,484.00 level for potential short positions. Implementing proper risk management strategies is crucial for successful options trading. Disclaimer I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox