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NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 8A video version of this analysis is available in the link on my tradingview channel. Last week, was more of the same and it provided more confirmation that the trend continues to be in favor of the bulls. By now you should have realized and understand, that I do not sell, instead, I take my profits at my HH's and then wait for the market to sell back to the next largest HL before entering another Buy. (Sounds easy, however it requires constant practice) I will repeat this... 1. I am not a signal service 2. I offer no subscriptions 3. I am under no obligation to tell anyone when I enter and exit trades 4. If you would like to follow my strategy, you must view the content that I constantly share and use it to develop your own methods. You must practice, review, analyze in order to be successful. Last week, I highlighted two zones of interest for my entry, however as the week played out, I realized by Tuesday, that the price had no interest in going to my Zones as it registered two HL's on the H1 and H2 Monday and Tuesday which by then confirmed that the weekly low had already been made by Monday's H1 HL. I only took 3 trades last week and every single one of them ended in ATH broken. (100% win rate) If you go back and review your charts, you would have noticed that the H1 gave a total of 6 low points, all of which facilitated a new ATH eventually being broken. So for this week, I already have an entry carried over from last Friday's London session's M5 HL @ 21596.0 which will be broken before any other kind of meaningful retracement on the week. So for right now, it's allowing the trend to do it's thing and bring home another guaranteed HH. This market will continue to make HL to HH's and will finish 2024 very strong. Have a great trading week. #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #zigzagtheory #patience
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
US30 POSSIBLE SET UPUS30 has posted ATH post elections & post FOMC closing the weekly daily candle above the previous week and day which confirms that Market is strong bullish where we should be looking for buying only US30 has posted all time high at 44137 and low of the week was at 41642 with 50% level at 43216 which can act as valid buy zone if we look at lower time frame institutional order flow is at 43300 to 43470 probability of tapping this zone is possible which can act as buy zone targeting 1:3 we have inducement at 43651 which will act as SSL level in coming week. Fundamentally United Health Groups earning report is due on 15 Nov which will act as catalyst in move of US30. Manage your risk Note: Only for educational purpose not an investment advise.
BLACKBULL:US30
by Awii_Khan
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24 Nifty closed at 24677 (last week 4276) , for last 30-40 days nifty was in sideways movement. last week on the last day market touched 24200 and bounced back to 24677 . RSI at 60.37 ,Macd signal is more than MACD and in positive for last 2 weeks (after 2 months). But stochastics levels is sustaining above 90%, overbought position for the last 3 weeks. Buy call on dips was given last week. Market bounced back in the last day and near to key resistances. FII started buying, in positive for Dec month, however not full fledge buying, hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time. Maharashtra election win and US acquittal of Adani in bribe crime is a positive news and definitely helped Indian market to sustain above 24000. Outgoing RBI governor didnt change the interest rate. Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to move above 26000 to next targets of 27000. I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term. Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election . Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE (Currently in22.8) was in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. PE touched 21.5 and bounced back. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period , further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyse and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile. Nifty 24768 (PrevWeek 24677 ) Short term Nifty short term resistance at 24800 0.5 Fib Resistance, once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target. Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000 Medium Term next target is , if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance) Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21240
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Breakout Confirmation- Ready to hit 25,647 !!Nifty 50: Outlook for next week and feb-25 After analyzing the index’s movement from August to December 2024, Nifty 50 has exhibited two key patterns: 1. Head & Shoulders: • Rally from 24,887 to ATH 26,277 (Sep 9–26). • Breakdown after completing the right shoulder on Oct 21, leading to a 1,500-point fall to 23,291 on Nov 22. 2. Inverse Head & Shoulders: • Formation began on Oct 23, with the head completed on Nov 21 and a neckline formed by Nov 26. • On Dec 4, the right shoulder completed, followed by a breakout above 24,463. The index consolidated for a week between Dec 4–13, strengthening the breakout signal. Outlook With strong confirmation of a bullish reversal above last week close, supported by FIIs inflows and favorable macroeconomic data (CPI/IIP), It is highly likely that Nifty 50 is likely to hit 25,647 by December 23, 2024. If the breakout doesn’t happen then we can see a consolidation and retest on last week levels failing which will lead to a breakdown which can push Nifty to 23,000 levels by Februrary 2025 Disclaimer: I am not SEBI-registered. This analysis is for educational and study purposes only. Any trade taken based on this view is solely at your own risk and is not a recommendation.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by chandakpulkit
Nifty Trading Strategy for 15th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy Key Levels: Buy Above: The high of the 5-minute candle which closes above 24,940 Sell Below: The low of the 5-minute candle which closes below 24,600 Risk Strategies: Risk Strategy 1: If the market opens with a gap up around 24,820-24,840, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close. Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle. Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle. Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions. Risk Strategy 2: If the market opens with a gap up around 24,920-24,950, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close. Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle. Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle. Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions. Additional Tips: Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 5-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals. Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital. Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty. Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by ramkkyy
U.S. Dollar IndexHello dear traders, In the past week, we witnessed the release of numerous economic news that had significant impacts on the market. These reports, especially concerning the U.S. economy, greatly influenced the price trends of the U.S. dollar (DXY) and other currencies. Analysis of Economic News from Last Week Various reputable economic organizations published reports including employment data, unemployment rates, and changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Notably, the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, which was expected to indicate an increase in new jobs, turned out to be below expectations. This created heightened concerns about the strength and stability of the U.S. economy, which in turn pressured the dollar. Additionally, the announcement of high inflation rates and interest rates had compounded effects on market trends. While an increase in interest rates was anticipated, the negative news regarding economic growth raised concerns that future Federal Reserve meetings might be affected. Consequently, these combined factors led traders to adopt a cautious outlook on the market, resulting in price declines in the currency markets. Technical Impacts on the Market From a technical perspective, the U.S. dollar (DXY) chart has been showing bearish signals, and as previously mentioned, we expect a downward correction in the coming weeks. Price trends in the DXY align well with the recent economic news, as the breakdown of key support levels, such as 107.243 , and the formation of bearish patterns indicate weakness in this currency against others. Given the technical analysis, we can point out that if the downward trend in DXY continues, the charts of the euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and New Zealand dollar (NZD) will offer suitable buying opportunities. Particularly if corrections in DXY persist, we can expect further appreciation in these currencies. Conclusion Considering the detailed analysis of economic news and the technical conditions, it is recommended to keep in mind that rapid and significant changes in the market may occur following new announcements. With careful attention and appropriate risk management, you can take advantage of the upcoming opportunities. Thank you for your support and trust, and I hope the insights provided are beneficial for you. Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)." Wishing you success!
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
24-12-13 DAX 20405 EUR - Crash worlwide ahead!Maybe DAX will reach 21000 in the next 2 months, even SPX could rise up to 6400 USD, but one is for sure. Such a great disbalance in 40 years is incredible. Rising US Treasury yields up from o% to 4.5% and CPI by 2.7% with riskless 1,7% is wonderfull, but normaly not for the stock market. Every time, Fed rose the yields more than 2% within 12 months, stock market struggled. But here a now, yields up from 0% to 4.5% within a year… and what does the stock market ?
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
3
US30 4H Dow Jones Analysis : Introduction: My previous analysis is here . As noted, while Nasdaq was predicted to be bullish, Dow Jones remained bearish. This contrast reflects the precision of price action analysis combined with a strong strategy that enables accurate market readings. Main Scenarios: The current trend remains bearish, and I expect the price to drop to 43530, where a potential reversal may occur. Invalidation Level: A breakout and consolidation above 44500 will invalidate my analysis and signal a potential trend reversal. Forecast and Strategy: Short-Term Targets: 43350 42900 Upon reaching 43530, I will update the analysis to evaluate whether the market continues downward or reverses. Closing: As we approach the year-end, risk management becomes even more critical. Avoid entering trades without a solid plan. For further updates, please like this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by GreyFX-NDS
How to flip $2,000 into a million in a bubble. In this post I want to share with you an idea I've shared with my friends irl who have market exposure. Heading into the 2022 high I strongly encouraged my friends to sell stocks. We were heading into a multi decade resistance level and I'd put the odds somewhere around 80% there'd be a notable reaction to this level. Could be a pullback, could be a crash. If it's a pullback it's easy to get back in, not so easy to get out in a crash. So, no brainer. Late 2022 I started to tell them it was worth getting back in as long as they used good stop loss rules and then when we got to a 76% retracement of the 2022 drop I started to explain the concept I'll discuss in this post to them. First let's lay the groundwork for this. We can focus on the things we know. It's a known that indices have uptrended for a long time. And it's a known of trend development that trends do not get slower. A trend is always increasing in velocity. It goes up faster and faster and then when it comes down it comes down faster than it went up. This is always what happens. Trends speed up. Regardless of the direction. Now, in 2022 we hit a multiple decade resistance. This was evidenced by a local market top. Confirming the market also seems to care about this level. Whatever happens, this is likely to be a major pivot point in the trend. Either we'll top out here or well head into a stage of hyper overperformance. In this overperformance, we will likely see indices up 100% from the current highs. 200 - 300% is on the table, 100% is a number that would have high odds of hitting, based on historical breaks like this. And if the resistance is actionable, this could all come crashing down in a horrific way. If you accept these premises that the market is due to either crash up or crash down, then it makes no sense at all to have common stock exposure (Or whatever you prefer). If the long bet is wrong, you can take crippling losses and if the long bet is right you can make a lot more money betting on the hyper aggressive breakout. Around 4500 I started to tell my friends this. I told them if I was them I'd drop my stocks. Bank the profits on those and then I'd take 10 - 20% of what I'd made in profits and use these to buy a portfolio of aggressive OTM calls. My thinking here is if the market yanks, no big deal. SPX could drop 90% and my friends would take rather nominal losses. Giving back a fraction of what they made in the rally rather than seeing all their positions go from profits top negative. On the other side of the coin, if the breakout comes - they'd make a lot more on the calls than they'd make with common. Depending on aggression level, they'd make a crazy amount more. A rally similar to the Nasdaq breakout would translate as something like this on SPX. At this moment in time you can buy Jan 2027 calls for under $150. In the event this move happened, these would be worth min over $65,000. A bit under $75,000 if the move is completed faster and this is not even accounting for the potential of an IV boost if the market goes into hyper performance. $2,000 into a series of bets on that happening would return over a million in the event that it did actually happen. This is not without risk. The plan I proposed to my friends has one main risk and that is the market slowly continues to uptrend. Making good gains but not hitting the bubble conditions to make it realistic these deep OTMs actually trade (For context, the statistical probability of profit on these right now is 0.2% - something would have to change). In that scenario, they'd take some small losses on the call portfolio and they'd have missed out on whatever the gain of just owning the underlying asset would be. That's the potential cost of the bet. On the upside of that, my friends who had 10s or even 100s of thousands exposure to the bear move can covert this to a few grand risk and still make mega bank if the bubble thesis comes into play. If SPX hits the 100% move inside of 2 years, these calls pay somewhere around $25,000 per $130 risked. In the event this heads into a blow off event they start to get up to close to $100,000 on those positions. This is hyper high RR way to bet on a developing bubble. Ensure you do not have excessive losses in a crash and the price of this is basically you convert your bet into a bet that the market will not range. If the market ranges for a year or two, this idea suffers. I think this is the wise thing to do at this point if speculating in stocks. We're into a binary level in my opinion. A polarising decision will come in this area. The smart thing to do is to put a hard cap on risk exposure so all bearish tail events do not hurt you and have the potential to make 1,000s of % of profit in the event of a bullish tail event. I think the probability of a tail event in the coming years is high now. Rarely is the probability of a tail event high, but rarely do we test multiple decades of resistance in indices. There is so much that can be made or lost in a tail event, that it makes a lot of sense to think about how you can structure bets to survive or thrive in the different outcomes. If this proves to not be the end stages of a bubble, then I think it's only reasonable to assume we're actually somewhere in the middle of a bubble. Which means something exceptional is likely to come in the following years - whatever way this inflection point resolves itself. In my opinion, if you want to bet on continued up moves in indices, you might as well bet on a full fledged bubble. The odds of indices breaking resistance and slowly limping higher I consider super low. I think we reverse or we fly. I have my bets structured to benefit from either one.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by holeyprofit
1
My expectations for US30 at H4Hi Guys! We are at US30 H4, I do my trade at M1 or M5 but I wish to share my view point with you about it in H4, Hope it will be useful... We need to see how the price closes in the 4-hour time frame at point A. The first scenario: if it breaks the channel (Channel) with a powerful bearish candle, the possibility of continuing the bearish trend until reaching point B, which is the intersection of the three trend lines (T1, T2, T3) and the bottom of the bearish channel (CH) and also a beautiful number (around of 43000), is very high; There is a gap that the price is very willing to see, so in this scenario it is possible for the downtrend to continue for at least half of the gap. The second scenario: if the price touches the bottom of the channel (Channel) and makes weak Bullish or bearish candles in the 4-hour time frame, the possibility of the price returning to the upward trend is very high, in this scenario, the price is likely to complete its second movement size (leg2) and complete the project 3 collisions (1,2,3) move towards the beautiful number of 46,000 Both scenarios are beautiful scenarios that can be easily seen, it should be seen which scenario is not easily seen, the probability of its occurrence will be higher. Wishing you successful trading My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
TVC:DJI
by ali_kasma
U.S. Long Term Interest Rates at 8% ?U.S. 30 - Year Yield/Rates (TYX) could rise to 8% in 2025. TYX completed an Elliott five - wave Impulse pattern from March 2020 to October 2023. Subsequently there was a clear Elliott wave Single Zigzag into the September 2024 bottom. TYX could be in the early phase of Primary wave , if so it could reach 8% in 2025. Weekly RSI is in the neutral zone at only 58.19%. Price could rise significantly before reaching the overbought zone at 70.00%. Price has again pushed above Ichimoku cloud resistance. A decisive move above this zone implies a multi month rally. TYY could reach 8% sometime n 2025.
TVC:TYXLong
by markrivest