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DXY - Can Get To $108DXY This is now a very strong bounce and a bullish morning star candle pattern is printing on the month chart still with half the month to go. I think this may be first major bounce from the market topping slump back in 2022... From the crash low I see it as an AR "Automatic Rally" (short covering) into a 3 wave correction... And now the real bounce which may end up being a higher time frame 3 wave correction that Elliott Wavers might call a WXY. This is starting to look like it will be the obligatory minimum 0.618 @ $108.7 retracement as per crash structure ratios and it can of course explore into the Golden Window up to 0.786 @ $111.3 overshoot ratio and even a little beyond. This is great for currency trades long dollar and as you know I posted a short GBPUSD trade (see linked idea) a while ago. That trade should have some legs if dollar gets to the Golden Window, which I think it will if the month closes here or above. Pull backs along the way of course. Not advice
TVC:DXYLong
by dRends35
2
The S&P500 is struggling to reach its previous peak The S&P500 is approaching the 5914-5892 support range on the one-hour timeframe after a price decline. This area acts as strong support due to previous reactions and a crossover with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The price reaction to this support area indicates buyers’ willingness to increase their strength. The bullish candles that will form after hitting this level indicate a possible price reversal. If this level holds, a move towards the targets of 6033 and then 6126 is possible in the short term. However, a break of the support level of 5892 could lead to a further decline and a drop to lower ranges. Traders should pay attention to the price reaction to these ranges as well as trading volume.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by arongroups
Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We have tried to draw a Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We will try to understand what is happening as per each indicator and try to get the jist of moves that may occur with a medium to long term perspective. Indicator 1) Parallel Channel: The parallel channel indicates that after hitting the channel top at 26277 the Nifty is receding and is on a search of it's bottom from where it can launch forward again. That is the case when every time Nifty has it a channel top as you can see in the chart. The Future Channel Top once Nifty picks up the next Bull run seems to be around 29497 as per the parallel channel. Mid channel support of the parallel channel is around 23500 zone which can support Nifty. If we get a weekly closing below 23500 this level will become a resistance. In such a scenario of weekly closing below 23500 Channel bottom seems to be near 21296. Indicator 2) Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement suggests a bottom near 23263. If this level is broken there is a possibility of Nifty falling to the next fibonacci supports will be at 22506 and 21577. Once the Bull run begins the next resistance levels as per Fibonacci seem to be at 24725, 26777 (Previous high), 27162 and finally 28331. Indicator 3) Bollinger Band: Support with respect to lower width of Bollinger Band seems to be near 23340. Mid Bollinger band resistance seems to be near 24660 and Bollinger band upper width resistances seems to be near 25981. Indicator 4) RSI or the Relative Strength Index: RSI currently is at 44.41 and going downwards showing weakness. The RSI support can be found in the zone of 40, 38 or 36. Usually When RSI is below 30 the stock or index is considered oversold and when the stock or index RSI is above 70 it is considered overbought. RSI Below 20 is extremely oversold zone and RSI above 80 is considered extremely overbought. Indicator 5) MACD or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence: MACD is a combination of Moving averages lines which tend to indicate direction in which stock or index will move and histograms indicate strength or weakness of a rally. As per MACD Nifty right now is in extreme Bear grip and will take a little time to recover. When the Blue line will start moving upwards and when it might cross the red line and continue to move upwards it can be considered as Nifty will come back to Bull Zone. Colour of histograms at that time will also start going Dark Green or light Green. Indicator 6) 50 and 200 weeks EMA or the Mother and Father line: I have designed a theory called Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. As per this theory the movement of index or a stock in the chart is like a movement of a 3 year old child when it goes to a garden. The movement of 50 EMA is like movement of the mother and movement of the 200 EMA is like movement of a Father of that child. To know more about this theory or other indicators mentioned earlier you need to read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. This book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. It is one of the Highest rated book in the category. Have a look at that book it will help you immensely in your wealth creation journey. Now as per this theory the Nifty right now is at 23587. 50 Weeks EMA is at 23403. 200 Weeks EMA is at 19335. as the Nifty is above these levels both these levels will work as a great support to Nifty and can help Nifty from falling further. Conclusion: Nifty is approaching multiple supports from where it has potential to turnaround. Mid channel support is around 23500, 50 Weeks EMA support or the Mother line is at 23403. 23340 is the Bollinger band lower band width support. Fibonacci support is at 23263. We can see a turnaround mostly from either of these three supports. If these supports are broken by chance (looks less likely but you can never say never) then the next supports will be at 22507, 21296 or worst case scenario as of now looks like 19335. On the upper side resistances seem to be at 24660 Fibonacci mid resistance, 24725 is the Fibonacci resistance, 25981 is Bollinger band upper width resistance and 26277 is the Fibonacci resistnace which also the previous high of Nifty. Once this zone is crossed in a long term we can reach the targets of 27162 Fibonacci resistance, 28331 Fibonacci golden ratio resistnace and 29497 which is the approximate nex channel top. (This is the Medium to Long term outlook of Nifty). This is how you can analyse any index or a stock using the 6 indicators mentioned in the writeup. I give top most priority to these 6 indicators in my analysis. Disclaimer: Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY50.....Wave y up?Hello Traders, the NIFTY50 extend his gains to 24857 on December 05th! After, a sharp decline to 23537 occurr. This move took the shap of a flat in progress, and if so to come, the next move would be to the upside. Targets remain from 24537 to 25234 area. Note the detailed count. The advance from the December 5th low is three waves and so a wave w! The decline is an, so called, "whatever correction", and the possible move to the upside, if so to come, must be an ("a-b-1-2-3-4-5")-y advance! Thereafter a decline to lower lows below 23263 should be next! But it is to early to judge and we have an eye to the facts. In fact! If this move was all of the correction (@ 23263) the next move is an impulse to new highs in the coming weeks. Have a great week..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
Market SnapshotQuestions I've been asking myself lately: Is my Bank safe? If the market crashes will they survive? While they fight for survival is my money at risk being with them? Do I have enough money saved so that if my job decides my services are no longer needed my family is not immediately or permanently at risk? What's the safest vehicle to put my money in a highly inflationary environment? What's the safest vehicle in a deflationary environment? What if the price of oil doubles over the next 5 years? You really need to buy more gold and silver (not a question just talking to myself) How will I take advantage of the housing crash that's looming? Why haven't you opened a family trust yet and put all of your assets under the care of?
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
nifty 50NSE:NIFTY WAIT and Watch! Could be Tricky!!!!! lets see, Fingers crossed. Note : 1. One should go long with a StopLoss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low. 2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2. 3. Plan your trade as per the Money Mangement and Risk Appetite. Disclamier : You are responsible for your profits and loss. The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose. Follow back, for more ideas and thier notifications on your email. Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
NSE:NIFTY
by CreativeCreature
Planning SPX Longs into A Break Lower SPX made the top off the 2.61 and today on the news of rate cuts it slammed to the implied target level for that. Hit targets on a lot of my shorts today. Have some extremely deep OTMs still running but these are a nominal part of my risk and just there to benefit from a super rejection of the macro 4.23 fib. In terms of nearer term swing assessment, we're now getting close to the level I think we'd be likely to find support if this is a bull move that is just having a flash crash correction. Planning to start picking up longs if we spike down closer to 5800. Will likely buy deep OTM calls at this price if we hit it. Broadly speaking risk off on my positions at the moment. Banked most of my profits. Don't plan to do much trading the rest of the year. Do plan to do a lot of trade plan prepping for decision at the macro inflection point. Whatever way it goes, my hypothesis is we're going to see faster and faster markets going forward. Great times to be a trader. I want to make sure I'm prepped to benefit from any of the "Known" outcomes that fit inside my strats.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
Downward pressure on S&P 500 Index intensified past daysYesterday's sell-off damaged the S&P 500's 50-day moving average. While we initially saw a bounce back at the opening, it didn't hold. This makes the 5925 level a critical point to watch as we head toward the end of the year. For those keeping an eye on the charts, a trendline has been intact since the low in October 2023. Although it was breached during the August downturn, we managed to rally back into the bullish channel that's been forming since the fourth quarter of 2023. This channel offers support around the 5800 mark, and I anticipate this level will hold as we close out the year. Should we dip further, the following support levels to watch are 5690 and 5525. While I don't foresee us dropping to these lower levels before year-end, it's essential to acknowledge the potential downside risk. The market sentiment shifted following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, giving sellers the upper hand for the first time since the summer.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG) Confluences on This Trade - Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266 - Rejecting Demand zone - @ 38.2 Fib Retracement - Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI) - Buy Side imbalance fill - Daily Volume Support Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal, WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND **RISK ACCORDINGLY Intro to the next possible move: After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down. **This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF. Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support. with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by brianfj
4
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902): If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance. Plan of Action: Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450. In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume. Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls. Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range): A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move. Plan of Action: Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000. If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902. Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902): A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664. Plan of Action: If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900. A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200. Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade. Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits. Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses. Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes. Summary and Conclusion: Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Consolidation in Premium Zones: Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies. 2. Bearish Momentum: The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones. 3. Potential Reversals in Discount: When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move. Trading Strategy: Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase. Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area. As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
SP500 / Bearish Momentum is under control...S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped another 1.7% and still has bearish momentum. As long as it trades below 5863, it will touch 5803 and 5781. so the consolidation will be between 5863 and 5781 till breaking, it is possible to do a correction till 5863 and then will drop. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5835 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5894, 5932 Support Levels: 5803, 5781, 5734 Trend Outlook: Downward by stability below 5863 Bullish correction toward 5863 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading ?Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered. The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept: 1. Y-Axis → TIME 2. X-Axis → PRICE In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets. Key Insights: 1. TIME as the Guiding Factor: - The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME. - Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves. 2. Price Delivery Algorithm: - Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME. - Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers. 3.Intraday Gann Astro Example: - With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted. - Example from the chart: - At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms. - At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations. 4.What Gann Astro Does Differently: - Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points. - Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing. - Predict highs/lows hours before they happen. Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example. You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using the secret Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market. And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods. Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge: 1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME. 2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated. 3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive. Here’s another LIVE trade execution I successfully completed this week, profiting $3,125 . The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. There is nothing else in the trading space that comes close to this level of precision and accuracy. Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy. The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market. LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE What? Shocked? Clear your mind because this is the real way of trading, whether in swing or intraday. If you're not applying this, you're just gambling with no clue about what you're doing in the market. Those useless indicators and strategies that revolve solely around PRICE will only mislead you. The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market. NOW let's understand how markets turn on TIME - In this chart, I’ve calculated each market HIGH and LOW with unmatched precision—something rarely seen in the trading space. By leveraging mathematical models, I pinpointed the exact TIME at which these highs and lows would form. Using advanced mathematical and astro models inspired by Gann, I employed techniques like Squaring the Range, ASC Distance, and the concept of TIME = PRICE. This principle means that when TIME equals PRICE, the market is compelled to reverse due to the fundamental laws governing its movement. It’s crucial to note that while price manipulation can occur, TIME remains immutable—making it the ultimate factor in accurate forecasting. By calculating the critical TIME entries that align with price, we unlock insights into market behaviour that traditional approaches simply can’t match. GANN INTRADAY TRADING - "The Hidden Truth: Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading" In this chart, you can see the market reversing exactly at 21:05, a TIME I calculated in advance using Gann's astro intraday techniques. The method applied here is Squaring the Range—a concept rooted in understanding the range as the time zone where the price remains confined between two major HIGHs and LOWs. Using advanced mathematical principles in Gann astro analysis, I was able to determine the precise future reversal point. This allows me to approach my trading desk only at the calculated time and execute trades with confidence. This highlights why TIME outweighs PRICE in importance—while prices can be manipulated, TIME remains a constant and reliable indicator for market reversals. "GANN INTRADAY TRADING - Exposing Market Algorithms: Gann's TIME Secrets Revealed" Now, let me share some golden nuggets of hidden Gann intraday trading strategies. It doesn’t matter if the market is in consolidation—you can still profit if you know exactly when the market will break out of that consolidation phase and begin delivering price in a single direction, also known as expansion. In earlier times, markets were primarily influenced by market makers, but now, price delivery is controlled by algorithms designed to enhance liquidity. With the massive influx of participants in today’s market, these algorithms play a critical role in maintaining liquidity flow. Despite these changes, the core principle remains intact: the market still moves based on mass psychology. Using Gann Astro's hidden techniques, traders can gain an unparalleled edge. For example, I calculated the precise TIME when the market’s price delivery algorithm was set to initiate expansion in a single direction. This predictive ability highlights how mastering these techniques can transform the way you approach market movements. Here’s another example showcasing a bullish scenario using Gann techniques. Take notes carefully because such valuable insights into Gann intraday trading strategies are rarely shared publicly, especially with this level of detail. In this bullish setup, the focus is on identifying key time cycles when the price delivery algorithm aligns with Gann's mathematical principles. By leveraging time-based calculations, I pinpointed the exact moment when the market began expanding upward, indicating a strong bullish movement. This strategy not only highlights the power of Gann’s intraday techniques but also reinforces the critical importance of TIME over PRICE in trading. Mastering these principles can provide a significant edge, allowing you to approach the market with confidence and precision. In the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time. The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success. I don’t know if Trading View will recommend this idea to people, but honestly, it’s worth far more than the garbage that gets posted here—signals, scams, and all those misleading strategies that do nothing but trap people in a gambling mindset. If you’re reading this, let yourself know that you’re in the right place. Save this, share this, and help boost it so that this idea can reach more people and guide them toward learning the real way of trading in the market. If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to comment below. You can also reach out to me—links are below this post, in my bio, or via private message here on TradingView. Let’s trade smart, not gamble!
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by GannAstroTrader
1