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Nifty Analysis The Nifty 50 has experienced volatility in recent months due to a variety of factors, including global economic conditions, domestic policy decisions, and sectoral performance. As of December 2024, the index has seen fluctuations driven by external market pressures such as interest rate hikes by central banks globally, oil price trends, and geopolitical tensions. However, the Indian economy's resilience, driven by sectors like IT, banking, and consumer goods, has helped support the index's performance. Global Market Sentiment: Global economic trends, including inflation rates, the pace of recovery post-pandemic, and interest rate policies from major central banks like the US Federal Reserve, have a significant impact on the Nifty. Domestic Factors: India's economic growth, corporate earnings, and government policies (like the Union Budget and reforms) play a vital role in determining the outlook for the Nifty index. Sector Performance: Specific sectors within the Nifty 50 index—especially IT, banking, FMCG, and pharma—often drive the market’s movement. The technology sector, in particular, has been a major contributor to Nifty's gains over recent years. Inflation & Interest Rates: Domestic inflation trends and decisions from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) regarding interest rates directly affect the market, influencing investor behavior and liquidity.
NSE:NIFTY
by sr225406
nas100 update Key Observations: 1. Trade Progress: • The price has moved significantly in your favor, reaching Target 1 at 21,582.04 and continuing upward toward the higher target at 21,939.56. • The current price is at 21,825.54, showing strong bullish momentum. 2. Updated Elements: • Profit Metrics: The trade has generated 445.38 USD in profit (based on the updated lot size and risk percentage shown in the position calculator). • The 4-hour bearish order block (OB) has been respected so far, with no major reversals threatening the trade. 3. Risk Management: • The note on the chart (“Narrow stop for any added positions”) suggests you’re managing risk effectively for scaling into the trade while locking in profits on the original position. 4. Key Levels: • Entry Zone: 21,235.54 remains valid. • Stop-Loss: Still set at 21,186.05, providing protection. • Fibonacci 50% Retracement: The bounce from this level was accurate, reinforcing your initial analysis. 5. Trading Psychology: (“Patience, react, don’t predict. If it isn’t in the press, it’s in the price”) reflects a disciplined trading mindset. Scaling In on a Retracement: 1. Retracement Zones: • Set pending buy orders at 21,700 and 21,582.04, where price may retrace. 2. Smaller Lot Size: • Use 50% of the initial lot size for added trades to minimize overall risk. 3. Entry Confirmation: • Look for bullish engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support levels, or price respecting the Fibonacci retracement (50% or 61.8%). 4. Stop-Loss Placement: • For the added position, place your SL just below the retracement zone: • If entry is 21,700, SL can be at 21,582.04. • If entry is 21,582.04, SL can be at 21,186.05. 5. Profit Targets for Added Positions: • First target: 21,939.56. • Final target: 22,130.78.
FX:NAS100Long
by Saint876
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500: US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008. India's Nifty 50: India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak. Gold: Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well. Brent Crude: Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn. USD/INR: The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025. US Govt. 10 years bond yield: The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026. Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak. In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
SP:SPX
by BISHNU_P_BASYAL
The Best Phase of the Trend: The Expansion PhaseBeing a successful trader requires the ability to identify the phase of the trend with the highest probability of success. The best opportunities arise during the expansion phase, where the prevailing trend resumes, pushing the market to new highs or lows. This phase is characterized by swift, decisive market moves with minimal pullbacks, aligning strongly with the overall trend. My Trading Steps: 1. Define the Primary Trend on the Daily Identify the dominant trend (uptrend or downtrend) to establish the broader market context. 2. Look for a Countertrend on H4/H1 Spot corrections or pullbacks against the primary trend, signaling potential setups. 3. Find a Trigger Candle Watch for a Marubozu-like candle at the zone of the countertrend line break or the last clean, untested breakdown. 4. Exit Rules Exit the position if the price closes below the trigger line. 5. Take Profits Target key Fibonacci levels and significant support/resistance zones. a countertrend on H4/H1 This is an 80% Setup: Targeting Fibo 138.2 The strategy has an 80% success rate when the target is set to the Fibonacci 138.2 level, calculated from the closing prices of the correction. This precise targeting aligns with the expansion phase of the trend, ensuring high-probability entries and exits while maximizing potential profits. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
TVC:DXYEducation
by TheMarketFlow
Potential bullish rise?S&P500 has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,995.10 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 5,936.66 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 6,110.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
3
US500 ShortUS500 SHORT 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by RODDYTRADING
US100 LONGUS100 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by RODDYTRADING
S&P500: Recovery mode activated. Next stop 6,200.S&P500 turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.702, MACD = 16.670, ADX = 24.717) as it rebounded near the 1D MA100, which happened to be just under the bottom of the long term Channel Up and has recovered more than 50% of last week's correction. In the meantime, the 1D RSI is making a bullish reversal idential to the last two bottoms. The two prior bullish waves of the Channel Up topped on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 6,200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
NIFTY 50 26th DECEMBER 2024Stop-Loss (Red Zone)(23670): Your stop-loss is set below the recent swing low, which is a good strategy as it protects against potential downside movement if the price reverses. Entry Zone:(23700) It seems you are entering a long position (buy) in a consolidation phase after the price formed a possible higher low. This suggests you expect the price to move up toward the targets. Target Levels (Green Lines): 1st Target (23,910.70): This is a reasonable target, as it aligns with a previous resistance zone (from the left side of the chart). If the price reaches this level, a partial profit booking strategy can be applied. 2nd Target (23,965.75): This is just above the 1st target, closer to the next resistance level. It's a logical continuation of the trend if momentum sustains. 3rd Target (24,010.20):
NSE:NIFTY
by trade_geeks