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Technical Analysis for Gold: Bearish Outlook Below 2652/2666### Technical Analysis for Gold: Bearish Outlook Below 2652/2666 Current Market View: Bearish Time Frame: 30-Minute and Daily --- #### Key Resistance Zone: - Critical Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area to monitor is 2635/2652 and 2666. This zone is pivotal because a rejection from this range could signal a strong bearish movement in gold prices. --- ### Chart Analysis: - 30-Minute Bearish Flag Pattern: The analysis highlights a developing bearish flag pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating consolidation before a potential downward breakout. This pattern typically suggests that the market may revisit lower price levels after a brief period of consolidation. --- ### Trading Strategy: 1. Entry Point: - Look for short entry opportunities if the price stays below the 2652/2666 zone. A confirmed breakdown below the flag pattern can serve as an indicator to enter short positions. 2. Targets: - Based on previous charts and published analysis, traders should set targets according to established support levels. Monitoring previous lows will provide insight into potential target points for take profit. 3. Stop-Loss Placement: - To manage risk, place a stop-loss order just above the resistance levels—ideally above 2666—to safeguard against unexpected reversals. --- ### Conclusion: The current sentiment for gold remains bearish below the 2652/2666 resistance area. Traders should focus on the bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute chart and watch for opportunities to enter short positions. Keep an eye on the daily chart for additional confirmation of this bearish outlook as the situation unfolds. Act decisively, and ensure appropriate risk management as you navigate this bearish trend!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRFXGlobal
Nat Gas Friday 20 DecOpened with a gap of 3% on the upside. The start wasn't that good. A couple of losses were incurred at the beginning. But covered in later trades. Credit goes to "adding to the winners". XNGUSD was sometimes leading and sometimes lagging. The script gave retailers ample amount of time to think. Even though the direction of XNGUSD and Natgas against the rupee was the same there was some price slippage. Due to this getting to the conclusion was a bit tricky. As always scalpers must've exited with some profit.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by aadityaghate79
Natural gas idea for 17th July 2024, bullish.📈🚀 Bullish on NATGAS! 🌟 Hey everyone! 🙌 I’m analysing about natural gas right now! Here’s why I’m bullish: Strong Support Zone: Found a solid support zone on the daily timeframe from around $1.5 to $1.9. This is where buyers have been stepping in recently, which is a great place for purchases! 🛡️💪 First Target (TP1): My first resistance zone (where I’ll take some profit) is between $3.4 and $3.7. This is where we might see some selling pressure, but if we break through, it’s gonna be a breakthrough! OBVIOUS?10000%!! 📈💰 Second Target (TP2): The next resistance zone is from $4.9 to $5.3. If NATGAS hits this, we’re in for a big win! 🚀💵 What happens next? Only God knows! 🔍 Okey, short story about what is backing up my theory: Increasing Demand: With hotter weather and rising electricity use, natural gas demand is up! More AC means more gas! 🌞🔌 And don't forget about the upcoming winter ❄️🔥; heating needs will push demand even higher! Supply Concerns: Global tensions with Russia, the Middle East, and Trump assassination affect supply chains. Issues are keeping supplies tight, which is driving prices higher. 🌍📉 Green Energy Shift: Even as we move to greener energy, natural gas remains a key player as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil. Your friend’s Tesla won't work without coal, oil, or gas! 🌱⚡ Overall, NATGAS looks super promising right now. Let’s keep an eye on it and ride the wave! 🌊 #Trading #NatGas #Bullish #Stocks #Investing #SupportAndResistance Feel free to share your thoughts or ask questions! Let’s make some gains! 🤑🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Expate
8
SP500 - #SPX melt up targets for cup and handle pattern.BLUE SKIES Would you have believed it If you were told a year ago. When every expert was predicting a recession. (which will come of course but when no one is expecting it ) So the conditions are set for a melt up I believe #Bitcoin bottoms very shortly maybe this week or next (grab some bitcoin miners!) ENJOY THE NEXT few months! #CNBC will trumpeting SOFT LANDING Investors will believe interest rates are falling because of low #Inflation Which is when the next slowdown will hit. This cycle has been crazy and hard to follow the main trend. The stimulus was unprecedented Remember this cycle started in 2009... 15 years ago We are near the end! But first SPX to smash 5000 and than potentially we hit that 6000 number
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BallaJi
2
End-of-Week Trading Summary.End-of-Week Trading Summary Major Market Movements This week saw significant movements across various markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a sharp decline of 2.3%, primarily driven by concerns over rising interest rates and inflation. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite Index fell by 3.1%, with tech stocks leading the downward trend. On a brighter note, the FTSE 100 managed to eke out a modest gain of 0.5%, buoyed by strong performances in the energy and healthcare sectors. Key Events Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% interest rate hike, citing persistent inflationary pressures. This decision was largely anticipated by the market but still led to increased volatility in both equity and bond markets. Bank of Japan's Rate Hike: In a historic move, the Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate policy by raising rates to 0.1%. This decision caused a sharp appreciation of the yen and triggered a sell-off in risk assets globally. US Non-Farm Payrolls Report: The report showed an unexpected drop in job creation, with only 150,000 new jobs added in November, compared to the forecasted 200,000. This data raised concerns about the strength of the US economy and led to a decline in the US dollar. Important News Stories Global Food Prices: The United Nations' world food price index reached a 19-month high in November, driven by surging vegetable oil prices. This increase has implications for inflation and consumer spending. Amazon Workers Strike: Thousands of Amazon workers across the US are preparing to strike over the holiday season, demanding better working conditions and pay. This could impact Amazon's stock performance and broader market sentiment. China's Car Exports: China's car exports surged as domestic sales slowed, with the country becoming a global leader in electric vehicle production. This shift has significant implications for global trade and the automotive industry. Market Outlook Looking ahead, traders will be closely watching the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and Federal Reserve speeches for further clues on monetary policy direction. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and corporate earnings reports will likely play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment..
FX:XAUUSD
by OakleyJM
Gold: Navigating a Range-Bound Phase After the DropGold (XAU/USD): Consolidation in a Bearish Territory Amid Uncertainty The gold market has entered a consolidation phase, trading within a defined bearish range following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. This pullback comes as the precious metal adjusts to a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with current attention focused on the critical price levels of 2622 – 2581. A deeper look into the backdrop reveals that sentiment remains subdued due to broader market dynamics, and the technical setup underscores the vulnerability of gold prices as they test recent lows. Fundamental Overview: Fed’s Conservative Stance and Market Implications The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday had ripple effects across global markets. Adopting a more cautious stance, the Fed announced plans for just two rate cuts in 2025. This decision disappointed investors hoping for a more dovish approach and weighed heavily on risk-sensitive assets, including gold. Meanwhile, the dollar emerged as the clear beneficiary, strengthening to new local highs as traders flocked to safe-haven assets tied to U.S. monetary policy. The dollar’s rally placed additional pressure on gold, which often moves inversely to the greenback. However, the broader implications extend beyond just this week. Gold's recent struggles highlight the ongoing challenge of balancing inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and macroeconomic trends. Looking ahead, today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—could introduce another layer of volatility. A surprise deviation from expectations in the PCE data, whether upward or downward, could significantly impact gold prices. Furthermore, any unexpected escalation in political uncertainty, whether domestic or international, has the potential to act as a short-term catalyst for the metal, possibly leading to a recovery attempt toward resistance levels. Technical Analysis: Testing the Lows in a High-Volatility Environment From a technical perspective, gold remains entrenched within a consolidation zone after the steep decline earlier this week. Such a pattern is not uncommon at this time of year, characterized by thin liquidity and heightened volatility as institutional players wind down for the calendar year. Price action suggests that the market is trading in a relatively wide range, bounded by key resistance levels at 2616 – 2622 and notable support levels at 2589, 2581, and 2560. Currently, prices hover near the lower end of this range, testing the support levels repeatedly. If the support at 2581 holds, it may trigger a short-term recovery toward the upper boundary of the range. However, any failure to defend these levels could lead to a retest of deeper support at 2560, further cementing the bearish outlook. Conversely, on the upside, resistance around 2616 – 2622 remains critical. A breakout above this zone may entice bullish momentum, but such a move is likely to be capped or short-lived, given the overarching fundamental headwinds. In fact, a retest of this resistance could result in a false breakout scenario, where prices temporarily breach the level before reversing sharply back into the range, targeting local lows. Trading Strategy and Broader Market Context For traders navigating the current environment, the focus should remain on the boundaries of the consolidation range. Range-bound strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, could be effective in the short term. However, caution is warranted given the heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events, including today’s PCE data release and potential geopolitical developments. In the longer term, the bearish undertone suggests that gold may continue its descent unless a significant shift in fundamentals alters the market narrative. Any sustained rally would require a combination of favorable catalysts, such as a dovish pivot from the Fed, a weakening dollar, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Conclusion Gold’s journey through this consolidation phase is emblematic of the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets. While the precious metal has shown resilience in the past, the current setup underscores the challenges it faces in a bearish environment. Resistance at 2616 – 2622 and support at 2581 – 2560 serve as pivotal levels to monitor, with price action within this range offering opportunities for tactical trades. In the grander scheme, the coming weeks will likely determine whether gold can break free from its consolidation or succumb to further selling pressure. As we approach the end of the year, reduced liquidity and heightened volatility will remain defining features of the market, setting the stage for potentially significant price swings in early 2024. (The market decides how much profit you make. You decide how much you lose.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/20/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
Key Nasdaq Levels After a Volatile Week: Long or Short?Join us for a detailed analysis of Nasdaq futures on Friday, December 20, 2024, as the market reacts to a week of high volatility. With deep corrections and strong movements, here’s what you’ll gain from today’s video: 📈 Long Opportunities: Zones like 21,100–21,200 and key mitigation levels for potential rebounds toward 21,400. 📉 Short Setups: Critical areas like 21,380–21,400 and strategies for taking advantage of bearish momentum below 21,000. 📊 Market Insights: Context on the week's volatility, including the impact of interest rate announcements and possible market trends going into the weekend. This video is ideal for traders looking for actionable insights to navigate a volatile market and position themselves effectively. 🔗 Subscribe now for daily market updates, expert strategies, and exclusive content. Elevate your trading performance today!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BinvestorsTrading
Rate cuts and their impact on the marketsRate cuts and their impact on the markets The Fed's decisions to cut interest rates, while seeking to stimulate the economy, have had a mixed effect on financial markets. On the one hand, these measures tend to favor equity assets by reducing funding costs and encouraging investment. On the other hand, in an environment of global uncertainty and expectations of recession, rate cuts have been interpreted by some investors as a sign of economic weakness, which has contributed to the fall in stock market indices. In this context, investors have migrated towards assets considered safer, such as Treasury bonds, which has generated significant movements in sovereign debt yields. This behavior directly affects traders' strategies during the Quadruple Witching Hour, when position adjustment is usually more intense. Quadruple Witching Hour amid market declines With markets facing recent declines, the Quadruple Witching Hour could amplify volatility due to several factors: 1. Massive position adjustments: Investors looking to protect their portfolios or close open positions could generate sharp movements in stock and index prices. 2. Impact on liquidity: In an environment of uncertainty, liquidity could be reduced, making price movements even more pronounced. 3. Impact on specific sectors: Companies that are more sensitive to interest rates, such as technology and real estate, could experience greater pressure due to changing investor expectations. Outlook and strategies In this environment, investors should be particularly attentive to: 1. Evolving expectations about monetary policy: Any changes in Fed language or economic data could influence market participants' decisions during the Quadruple Witching Hour. 2. Risk management: Using hedging strategies, such as options or inverse ETFs, can be key to mitigating the impact of volatility. 3. Opportunities in volatility: For more experienced traders, sharp price movements may offer opportunities to generate short-term profits. In conclusion, the Quadruple Witching Hour in the current environment of Fed rate cuts and market declines represents both a challenge and an opportunity. Careful planning and a clear understanding of the factors at play will be essential to navigate this period successfully. Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by ActivTrades