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Prediction of EURUSD price decrease in the near future?Dear Traders, The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around the 1.0378 mark, extending its bearish momentum for several consecutive days. This persistent decline has been largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cuts, which have bolstered the US dollar and exerted downward pressure on this major currency pair. Analyzing the 4-hour chart, it’s evident that the pair remains below the 34-period EMA, signaling that the bearish trend is far from over. After failing to sustain the upward momentum near the 1.0450 level, the price resumed its descent, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Given these factors, my personal analysis suggests that the downtrend is likely to accelerate in the near term. Any potential corrective pullbacks, in this context, could present strategic opportunities for sellers to re-enter the market. What’s your perspective on this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear your take!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
USDCHF M15 | Bearish Drop?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.9000, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 0.8974, a pullback support level close to 50% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 0.9021, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBPUSD H4 | Falling toward a 161.8% Fibo extension?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2616, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2530, an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension The stop loss will be at 1.2678, a pullback rsistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD H4 | Falling from 38.2% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0453, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0334, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0531, an overlap resistance level close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBPUSD InsightHello, subscribers! I hope you’re all doing well. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points during the December FOMC meeting. - Through the dot plot, the Fed hinted at a total of 50 basis points of rate cuts next year. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned during the press conference that the Fed’s policy stance is now significantly less restrictive and that it may be more cautious when considering further adjustments to the policy rate. - Markets interpreted the Fed’s rate cut as reluctant and viewed it as extremely hawkish. - The BOJ and BOE are set to announce their rate decisions today, with expectations of no changes. Key Economic Indicators + December 19: BOJ rate decision, BOE rate decision + December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index GBP/USD Chart Analysis The dollar’s strength, influenced by the Fed’s hawkish stance, has led to a steep decline in GBP/USD. The pair has broken below the 1.26000 level, signaling a potential further drop toward the 1.25000 level. In the short term, additional declines are possible, and if GBP/USD falls below 1.25000, the pair may extend its losses to 1.23000. However, if a rebound occurs at the 1.25000 level, a rise toward 1.27000 could be expected.
Short
by shawntime_academy
EUR/USD → Consolidates Ahead of Key Fed Interest Rate DecisionHello everyone, Ben here! EUR/USD saw a sluggish upward movement on Monday, drifting towards the upper bounds of its short-term consolidation range just north of 1.0500, though lacking any significant conviction. With relatively limited European data this week, Fiber traders are bracing for a heavy U.S. data docket. In the short term, the trend remains neutral, but prices are consolidating near a critical support level that has held firm for two years. Aggressive rate cuts in Europe are putting pressure on the pair, with expectations set for December 17th-18th. The Fed is widely anticipated to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). However, any hawkish signals from the Fed aimed at taming inflation would increase the downside potential for EUR/USD. Support levels: 1.045, 1.033 Resistance levels: 1.060, 1.065 From an interest rate perspective, within the context of a broader downtrend, price has yet to reach the key liquidity zone. Ahead of the news, I anticipate that the price will climb towards 1.060. However, based on both technical and fundamental outlooks, bearish momentum is expected to resume, and a break below the 1.045 support level will solidify the downward trend. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
CADJPY POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Daily 0.618 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
The next few months will be crucial for USDCNHCurrencies play a pivotal role in the trading game, as in importers from China. They buy goods from US and pay in USD , therefore if the CNH is depreciating 2013, that means their costs will get higher. In 2013, 6 yuan equal to 1 USD , fast forward 11 years later, it is now 7.3 yuan to 1 USD. That is almost 11.8% depreciation on a YOY basis for the last 11 years. Someone has to bear the costs and it is naturally the final ends of the straw, from wholesalers to retailers to final consumers....... Some supporting article :https://www.msn.com/en-ph/money/economy/china-s-exports-slow-imports-decline-in-november/ar-AA1vHpLN Will I trade this pair? Very unlikely as there were no historical data to show it will breaks above the current 7.3 price level. If it does and as predicted by analysts that it will goes to 8, then the risk reward ratio is very good. Please DYODD
by dchua1969
#EURUSD - 19122024I was somewhat wrong on the direction yesterday but intraday levels worked great. TBH, I was not sure about the direction of move yesterday. I said that it does look bearish and if it goes up first, could see the sell down lower. And it nicely hit 1.0513, sold down to 1.0468 level for 45pips, which I said could be a bounce point and well it did bounce back to OP for 25pips but eventually sold down to lows on FOMC. What's next for today? Similar to indices, very bearish daily candle. One could expect further downside but price is now back to a support zone. I expect a move up to 1.0440 before sellers will appear. If EURUSD could reclaim 1.044 on daily, I see that as low is in and should see further upside going forward.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
GBP/NZD Overbought, slight correction - short term tradeHi guys, making up a short term trade on the GBP/NZD ,because it is very overbought and has reached higher resistance level on 1H time frame and 4H time frames. Entry : 2.21970 Target: 2.20998 Stop : 2.22452 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Short
by DG55Capital
Bullish Liquidity Grab on USD/SGD ExpectedTechnical Analysis Monthly Chart: On the monthly chart, USD/SGD has shown a recovery after testing significant support zones, indicating that buyers stepped in to defend these levels. However, the recent upward movement appears overextended, suggesting a potential slowdown or correction in the near term. This aligns with broader market dynamics and the technical exhaustion seen after extended bullish runs. Daily Chart: The daily chart offers more clarity on current price action: Double High Formation: Two equal highs have formed on the chart, a classic indication of liquidity resting above these levels. From a price behavior perspective, this suggests that the market is likely to push upward to liquidate these equal highs before considering a significant move lower. Consolidation Zone: The price is currently consolidating, which often precedes a breakout. This consolidation reinforces the likelihood of a push higher to clear liquidity, especially when aligned with the broader USD dynamics. Fundamental Analysis U.S. Dollar Factors Impacting USD/SGD: The strength of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) plays a crucial role in USD/SGD movements. Here's how recent developments affect the pair: Liquidity Grab in DXY: The DXY recently breached its key level of 107.348 and is now showing bearish tendencies. However, short-term bullish corrections could provide temporary support for USD/SGD, aligning with the potential liquidity grab above the equal highs on the daily chart. Interest Rate Outlook: The Federal Reserve has shown hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns. Robust labor market conditions, especially during the holiday season, reduce the immediate likelihood of aggressive rate cuts. However, rising unemployment or stable-to-declining inflation could shift this outlook, leading to USD weakness and potential corrections in USD/SGD. Upcoming Economic Catalysts: Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment data later this week are expected to influence USD sentiment significantly. If unemployment increases as expected, it could lead to a broader decline in the U.S. Dollar, impacting USD/SGD. Summary and Outlook Technical Expectations: Short-Term: USD/SGD is likely to push higher to liquidate the equal highs on the daily chart, given the consolidation and market behavior around these liquidity zones. Post-Liquidity Grab: After clearing the highs, a correction is probable, particularly if the broader U.S. Dollar weakens. This correction could take the pair back toward key support levels, depending on fundamental triggers. Key Factors to Monitor: DXY price action, particularly around its short-term support zones. NFP and unemployment data for clues on the U.S. labor market and inflation trends. Any changes in Federal Reserve policy outlook or macroeconomic developments in Singapore. Price Outlook: In the short term, USD/SGD may target the equal highs as a liquidity zone. In the medium term, the pair could correct lower following the liquidity grab, aligning with overextended technical patterns and potential USD weakness driven by fundamental factors. By aligning technical insights with the fundamental outlook for the U.S. Dollar, traders can anticipate near-term bullish moves in USD/SGD, followed by a potential correction.
Long
by Wiiso
Sell EURUSD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0437 2nd Support – 1.0410 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
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