EURUSD → Fundamental and TA diverge. What's next? FX:EURUSD has been declining all week. The correction continues to the lower boundary of the uptrend, and after a false breakdown of support the market responds with a bullish reaction.
The daily timeframe is turning a triple top, but everything is ambiguous. Price is in a global fleet.
Within a local uptrend, a false break of channel support increases liquidity and the market builds bullish volumes, against the news this reaction may be temporary.
If the wedge resistance is broken, a consolidation above the line can be formed, followed by an impulse towards the key resistance.
The Fed is not going to give up and is increasingly saying that rates will either be kept or increased in the medium term, in which case the currency pair may show us a bearish mood.
Support levels: 1.08485
Resistance levels: the upper boundary of the wedge, 1.0945, 1.1000
I expect an attempt to break through the resistance of the wedge. If it succeeds, the price may head towards 1.0945 within the channel. But if the consolidation in the wedge continues, there will be a chance to break through the trend support.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
NZDUSD → Retest of the key resistance area. DowntrendFX:NZDUSD bounces from the local support area and forms a retest of the strong resistance area. What to expect from the price in the nearest future?
The US is having a day off today, but at the same time the PMI is coming out and it looks like the data might be bearish for the currencies, so if this is confirmed, the currency pair might show some bullish volumes.
The price is about to retest the resistance area and a break-down of the resistance will form a strong momentum towards 0.63054.
BUT! We have a bullish trend, rally to the resistance, which can be stopped by the upper border of the range.
As a priority, I expect price decline within the price channel, but if resistance is broken, it will be necessary to rebuild the strategy.
Support levels: 0.6116, 0.60692
Resistance levels: 0.61911, channel resistance, 0.62359 .
As a priority I expect a false breakdown of the channel resistance, followed by downward price movement towards support. But if the fundamental background changes, the price is likely to break resistance.
Regards R.Linda!
💱EURUSD - A resistance retest is forming. Breakout or rebound? EURUSD is retesting the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
But on the D1 the price is trading under the strong resistance, forming a false-break
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 1.09125 level. Consolidation and decline below 1.08800 will form further momentum
2) The price is in the "wedge" pattern, breaking through one of the lines will open a new potential after the consolidation.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price makes a retest of 1.09125. The local trend is ascending, hence it is likely that the price can break the resistance
2) The price will continue growing in case of breaking through the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
3) On the rebound from the wedge resistance, the price will head towards 1.08440 and continue its consolidation in the figure
Key resistance📈: 1.09125
Key support📉: 1.08800, 1.08400
EURGBP → The market is getting ready to continue falling FX:EURGBP is forming a counter-trend correction to increase liquidity and accumulate potential for a possible further decline. The trend is bearish and now there are signals that could continue the trend
Note the local uptrend channel. This is most likely a correction on the background of a bearish trend. Price can't go down all the time, so the market needs to make these maneuvers.
The price broke through the support of the correction, we expect the price consolidation.
At the moment, the support of the ascending channel and the level of 0.85412 plays a key role. Consolidation below these areas will form entry points for possible sales. The moving averages have moved towards resistance. Impulse is forming.
Support levels: 0.85412
Resistance levels: the earlier broken through channel boundary, MA50, 0.86000, MA200
I expect continuation of falling after the price consolidation under the specified levels. Most likely, the trend will continue.
Regards, R.Linda!
GOLD → The limit level of 1920 pushes the price up OANDA:XAUUSD strengthens to 1931 and reaches its local target. The resulting pullback forms a strong limit area formed by buyers 1920. What could this lead to?
Locally, I expect the price to rise to the local targets and liquidity zones, as the price cannot fall all the time. Such zones are: 1933, 1935, 1939
The daily technical analysis points us to a break of the uptrend and the formation of a correction. The trend correction can confirm the break and after the retest of one of the key resistance levels, which is 1935-1939, the market can activate the volume bears and the price will continue the implementation of the trend breakout.
At the moment we are interested in the resistance area of the range. The price may reach it in the near future and then we will follow the price reaction to this area. Here is a likely scenario:
Support levels: 1920, 1912
Resistance levels: 1933, 1935, 1939
I am expecting growth this week, but in the long term I will consider a fall, as TA on D1 is pointing this way
Regards R. Linda!
C98USDT → Realization of accumulated potential BINANCE:C98USDT enters the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. A prolonged trend may change its direction, but in order to do that the bulls will have to take the priority in their hands.
Global and local wedge are marked on the chart. The resistance boundaries of the figures coincide and the price breaks the area, consolidation is formed in the green zone and C98 starts to form a bullish momentum.
For the buyers, the resistance at 0.1751 is important at the moment. If the price breaks through and fixes above this area, the cryptocurrency pair can form a bullish momentum. Resistance at 0.3258 will be the priority target in this case.
Lately bitcoin is strengthening and forming consolidation of 30000-31000. A breakout of resistance will also give momentum to altcoins.
Support levels: MA-50, 0.1540, 1.1209
Resistance levels: 0.1751
I expect the retest to 0.1751, which might end up with a breakout of resistance and in this case the price will continue growing. I am interested in the target of 0.3258 and 0.5750.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge)
The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them!
In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge!
It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱USDCAD - A reversal pattern and a trend changeUSDCAD breaks the downtrend and forms a reversal pattern. Good potential for strengthening of the currency pair begins to appear
TA on high timeframe:
1) On d1 the situation is complicated. Consolidation is formed inside the channel 0.91200 - 0.88595.
2) It is acceptable to buy if the consolidation is above the level of 1.32600 or above the base of the pattern H&S.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A local bottom of 1.31200 is formed, to which price reacts in a "rally" format
2) Resistance is broken and after the channel resistance is retested, the price retests 1.32600.
3) Breakout and consolidation of 1.32600 will form a counter-trend entry point into a long position. In this case there is a chance to strengthen to 1.3383
Key support📉: 1.3206, 1.3177
Key resistance📈: 1.32600
BTCUSD → 4 setups that will make the buyer happy BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing confidence and chic dynamics in the market. On the global chart, the flagship is forming 4 key set-ups that say it is highly likely that the price will continue to strengthen. Let's break it down!
The cup & handle, the bearish wedge, the head and shoulders, as well as the breakout of the strong resistance level 30261 after another retest. This set-up colaboration makes bitcoin fans happy enough :)
On the daily chart, the price makes a retest of resistance 30575. After the false breakout on June 21, we did not see a decline. A pre-breakdown consolidation was formed, after which the flagship broke the level and at the moment the price consolidation is formed above this level, which may give us a good bullish signal.
In the mid-term, there is a chance that the price will test the channel resistance quite quickly.
It is also worth paying attention to the moving averages, which play the role of support, but at the same time the curves show the key boundaries that the price has previously overcome.
Support levels: 30575, 30261, 30000
Resistance levels: 32196. 34000, upper limit of the channel
I expect from the bulls a strong position above the level of 30000-30575. In the medium term bitcoin gives good signals, which can realize the idea of 34000-38000
Regards to R. Linda!
XLMUSDT - Breaking through bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:XLMUSDT forms the bottom, relative to which the price develops positive dynamics. After testing 0.0758, a rally is formed and the price makes a retest of the trend resistance.
As we can see, a three-day accumulation is formed in relation to the resistance. The market is obviously ready to continue rising, but in order to do that the price needs to overcome the resistance.
The resistance at 0.1035 is worth mentioning. The bulls may fight hard for this level and if they manage to hold this area, the coin will show a good result in the middle term, because the level of 0.1035 is the range support, whereas the resistance and the target for the price may be the upper boundary at 0.1305.
Support levels: 0.0959 and 0.0987.
Resistance levels: upper trendline, 0.1035, 0.1130
I expect a confident bullish position above the level of 0.1035. An indicator for this will be consolidation above the level. Medium-term perspective - growth up to 0.1305.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are quite strong in the market. Falling furtherOANDA:XAUUSD forms another bearish range of 1912-1985. The price is descending in steps in the channel, which indicates a strong dominance of sellers in the market. What do you want to see next?
After the false breakdown of the support 1895, the market tries to buyback the fall and it succeeds. The price makes a retest of the resistance 1912. Another false breakdown is formed, but this time it is resistance.
On the schedule is clearly seen a bearish trend, which coincides on H1, D1 and W1.
The fundamental background is negative. The Fed is discussing a further rate hike, which may strengthen the dollar and weaken gold.
The price is again testing the local support at 1902. If the level is broken through, the price will head towards 1895 and then maybe towards 1890.
Resistance levels: 1910, 1912 and 1924.
Support levels: 1902, 1895
I expect the price will continue falling down against the bearish trend after breaking through 1902 or 1895. Resistance levels are strong enough and will not let the price through.
Regards to R.Linda!
USDCAD → Realization of a symmetric triangle on W1FX:USDCAD on W1 demonstrates exiting a symmetrical triangle downwards. A correction or rebound from downtrend support is forming. What to expect from the price in the near term?
The price forms a bearish price channel and after another retest of the trend support the currency pair forms a rebound to the resistance area 1.32697-1.33171. There is a high probability that the price will not break this area and after consolidation and a break of the limit support level 1.32400 will continue its fall to 1.31214.
The market is controlled by the bears, the medium-term potential is 1.28000
The 200-hour moving average acts as resistance and supports the upper boundary of the channel; the 50-hour is support, but probably not for long.
Resistance levels: 1.32697, 1.33171, MA-200
Support levels: 1.32400, MA-50
I expect the fall from the resistance area will continue. Realization of the global pattern, which is able to send the price to 1.28000, is forming.
Regards R.Linda!
GOLD → Price is testing 1912 support for a breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is preparing for further declines. Bears on the basis of negative fundamentals are not going to give up. Another retest of support is forming, which increases the probability of further downside
Closing of the daily candlestick on Tuesday is very close to the indicated level of 1912.5. The retest is formed - the market checks the support area. Price starts to consolidate below the local bearish resistance and near the level of 1912.5.
Based on the technical analysis we see a very high probability to break through the support (a deep false breakout is possible). But we consider support at 1895 as a medium-term target. But again, if today's news affect the gold prices and if the resistance is broken through, we might see an increase to the upper boundary of the range.
The moving averages are pointing to a global stop and an attempt to change the bullish trend.
Support levels: 1912.5, 1895.5
Resistance levels: 1917, 1920.
The retest gives a strong signal. For this reason, on the background of the falling market, I expect a breakout of the key support with a further decline to 1895.
Regards to R. Linda!
EURGBP → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURGBP a week earlier forms a break of the resistance of the descending price channel. A consolidation of 0.86000-0.85400 is forming. We see consolidation at the resistance. What to expect from the price?
Most likely, the price will continue to test resistance 0.86067. Pre-break consolidation is forming, which can be interpreted as another attempt of price exit from the range, followed by the strengthening of the currency pair.
Moving averages are beginning to narrow and if the conditions are favorable, they may soon form a signal that confirms the intention of the market to change the trend.
A breakout at 0.8606767 will send the price to 0.86722, but if the breakout does not happen, correction to the trend support will be formed.
Resistance levels: 0.86067, 0.86345, 0.86722
Support levels: 0.85725, trend support
The market is showing good dynamics and consolidation confirms the intention of the buyers. I am waiting for breakthrough of resistance with the subsequent growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → implementation of distribution. Target 2300BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been showing a swell in the last few days. The price is out of the key range. The bullish set-up is working 100% and price is breaking resistance. What to expect from ethereum next?
For a long time, the coin formed a wedge pattern, which ended with the price forming a rally after a false break of global trend support and the SMA-200 and breaking not only the wedge resistance, but the trend line and the 1846.5 level.
A consolidation above this support area will consolidate the bulls' position and continue to shape the move.
Within the price channel, we have an implied target - the resistance area of 2300. Most likely, in the medium term, we should expect growth towards this mark.
Support levels: rising support line, previously broken wedge boundary, 1846.5 level
Resistance levels: 1920, 2021
Consolidation lasted about 45 days, the distributive phase after consolidation may last for 15 days. I expect that in the mid-term we might see a breakthrough of the local resistances and strengthening of the price to 2300
Regards to R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Profit target for the next bull run + 32% crash soon!
Of course, I am still bearish on Bitcoin, and we are going to hit 20,500 or 17,000 this year. But before it happens, we can go as high as 33,000 because there is a lot of liquidity to be taken.
I started to be bearish around 30k a few months ago, and nothing changed in my outlook. But I think 6k and 10k are not possible anymore because Bitcoin proved its strength and the uptrend transformed from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is definitely something we cannot ignore in our next trades.
A 32% or 40% crash later this year, most likely in September or October, is very possible, and I am expecting this scenario to happen. I prefer a bearish scenario over a bullish one this year, and I do not see any crazy pumps to 35k, 40k, or even higher.
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Now the question is, How far can Bitcoin go in the next bullish cycle? My technical analysis shows around 100,000 USD. We have a huge ascending parallel channel on the LOG weekly scale that you can see on this chart. It has already had five touches, and it started in 2017. What's more, if we take the Fibonacci extension from the start of the previous bull market to the end of the previous bull market and to the end of the previous bear market, the 0.618 FIB extension is right at 104,000 USD.
Seriously, please do not expect Bitcoin to hit 300k or 1 million in the next few years; the market cap would be insane if this happened.
In the short term, I am pretty neutral because Bitcoin could reach 33K or also start a big crash. At this point, we need more confirmation, so I prefer to trade altcoins at this moment and wait for BTC. I trade over 200 futures pairs, and I have a lot of opportunities everywhere.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NEARUSDT → Double bottom and range breaking BINANCE:NEARUSDT forms several key setups which are quite strong prerequisites for further growth. What to expect from the price?
A double bottom is forming at the level of 1.229. The formation period is 7 months. Price is accumulating a huge amount of energy during this period while a range (consolidation) of 1.229-2.596 is forming.
At the same time the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge. In that case, if the bulls hold their positions above the previously broken line, we will see a rise to the upper boundary of the range in the medium term. A breakout of 2.596 will take the price to 3.361.
The moving averages are still as resistance, but MA-50 has been tested and may be broken soon.
Support levels: the previously broken range boundary, the level of 1.229
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1.800, MA-200
I expect predictable reaction from the bulls. A consolidation above the previously broken line will form an entry point to long positions, and after that I will wait for an increase to resistances.
Regards R.Linda!
BITCOIN UPDATE Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
First of all, Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week! Today is Monday, and I have some information to share with you. 📰
Last week was nice, and yesterday we witnessed the highest weekly candle close of the year. This week will also mark the monthly close, which is expected to show significant growth. 📈
Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, forming new HH's and HL's. The correction from $30k was highly predictable, and I have been mentioning it for the past two months. Now, I will share my outlook on future events, and this post will serve as an addition to my recent BTC 1D TF chart. 🔙
The 200MA and 200EMA have performed exceptionally well, and as I mentioned before, I anticipate further growth for BTC in the near future due to several reasons:
1️⃣ The sweep of the high at the $32k level ;
2️⃣ Liq. grab from the monthly FVG ;
3️⃣ The 3.618 level as the next Fib. target ;
4️⃣ The "Manipulation" stage according to PO3 ;
5️⃣ The fifth wave according to Elliot Wave theory ;
6️⃣ Additionally, there is a MACD Bullish Cross.
💡 Remember - Dips are for buying! In the near future, focus more on long positions rather than short ones !
🔜 Further updates will be provided as new developments unfold !
bitcoin update Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
As we said before we can expect more pump here only if the 31K$ resistance zone break but now price is below the resistance so we may have short-term fall too.
Major supports:
A. 27500$
B. 26700$
C. 25000$
Major resistances are:
A. 31000$
B. 34000$
GOLD → Consolidation is formed after a trend breakThe market stops OANDA:XAUUSD fall at the local support level of 1912. On Friday, we saw a redemption of the fall, but the price could not overcome the resistance. The retest sent the price down.
There is a sideways formation of the range between 1938 and 1912. The price might test one of the key resistances, but there is not much of a potential for the buyers at the moment.
Yesterday we analyzed the situation in the high D1 time frame and mentioned that the price broke the uptrend, and if the gold crosses below 1910, it will move under the red zone.
The MA50 acts as a local support and the MA-200 keeps pushing the price as resistance.
Most likely high volatility may not happen and the price will stay in the above range for some time.
Support levels: 1924, MA-50 1918, 1912
Resistance levels: 1928, 1938, MA-200
I expect continuation of the consolidation formation, but in the medium term I expect a fall from the resistance, a possible retest of the support of 1912 and further fall after a breakthrough.
Regards R. Linda!
CADCHF → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:CADCHF is preparing for the continuation of the uptrend. The price within the ascending price channel is forming a consolidation against the resistance 0.68220. What to expect from the price?
The chart clearly shows a bullish trend. The market is interested in the resistance at 0.68220, which the sellers are defending so strongly. If the price breaks through that area, it might continue rising, and the CHF-CAD will continue going down.
The moving averages show that the market is ready to exit the consolidation. At the same time, the indicator acts as support. The nearest target, which the price can strive for, is the resistance at 0.69312 level.
Support levels: SMA-50, trend support, 0.67194
Resistance levels: 0.68030, 0.68220
I expect the consolidation aimed at breaking the resistance will break the level in the nearest future. After the breakdown of the level I will be waiting for the strengthening of the currency pair to the upper boundary of the trend.
Regards, R.Linda!
GOLD → Breakthrough of the global trend support. 1800? OANDA:XAUUSD last week motivated us to keep a close eye on the trend support and the Triangle Beak pattern. A break of the support breaks the base of the trend, but there is still no confirmation, we only see the primary phase. What to expect from the price?
A breakout of the trend base forms quite a strong bearish momentum. Earlier, the broken level was also tested, but the false-break format did not give any result, Price is closing in the red zone on the daily and weekly timeframe.
If the bears can hold below 1939, 1925 or even below 1907, they have an excellent corridor to move down towards the 1800 area.
Pay attention to the 1907 - 1808 range. We have a void on volume and with the support levels, price could "fly" down.
There is a lot of important news coming out this coming week, it is worth keeping an eye on the press releases and considering the news in your trading:
I expect bearish scenarios to develop in the coming week. Preliminarily, the Fed is not going to cut rates, they will either hold or increase. There is a crisis in the countries against the background of geopolitical reasons; there are quite a lot of disputable nuances related to inflation in the West. In general, we have a rather complicated situation. Analysts shout about the U.S. recession, it is possible that the price of gold will go down deliberately, but again, everything is just a rumor.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 6 months! (strategy)
Bitcoin is pumping, but buying at the current price is not worth it at all. I have been talking about the 10k, 15k, or 20k (unfilled CME gap) for a long time. Usually, summer is choppy, followed by September and October, which are generally very bearish months for Bitcoin.
Of course, I am not here to immediately FOMO into Bitcoin, and I do not recommend anyone do it. You can take a look at altcoins; they are extremely bearish, and since I have been bearish for 3 months, they have crashed by 50% or 70%. Just take a look, for example, at MATIC or Cardano.
I do not have any Bitcoin because timing is important when it comes to investments. The most efficient way is to buy Bitcoin around 20k later this year and ride the third impulse wave to the upside. I expect a huge ABC correction to be triggered soon, and as we know, the usual retracement for the 1st impulse wave is most likely 0.618 or even deeper.
Bitcoin is one of the most bearish assets in the world. Gold almost hit an all-time high, as did Nasdaq. Bitcoin is supposed to be the most bullish asset, right? It already should be above the previous all-time high somewhere around 100k, but it's struggling below 30k.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
I am expecting a big crash on Bitcoin, no matter this recent pump. The market moves in waves, and corrections do make sense to me. I think 10k is no longer possible for Bitcoin due to the recent pump because the current uptrend from 15k is now transforming from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is a sign of the start of the bull market.
On the chart, you can see a projection for a Diamond or Head and Shoulders pattern that can be formed in the next few months prior to the final dump to 21k.
My strategy and game plan for Bitcoin is that first we are going to go higher, to around 33000, to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022. After that, I am expecting a huge crash back to 25k, and then some consolidation pattern should occur as wave (B). In September, we can expect a final huge crash to 20K, followed by an extremely strong buy-back from whales.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!