AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets.
The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.
Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523
The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
GOLD → Price returns to the descending range OANDA:XAUUSD is declining and testing local lows. The market has stopped paying attention to the conflict in the red sea, which is surprising, and focuses its attention on the comments of the Fed representatives, who are quite a lot of speakers and will speak this week.
Of the news today, Core Retail Sales at 31:30 gmt is worth waiting for. Analysts expect unchanged data, but Bowman (FOMC) will speak at 14:00 and Williams (FOMC) will speak at 20:00, most likely to comment on the situation around inflation and further interest rate situation. Overall, the regulator is not ready to give up yet and may continue to keep the dollar strong.
As for gold, the price is still in a neutral consolidation phase. A breakout of one of the boundaries may determine the outlook and it could be a support breakout. In general, gold is returning to the descending range and testing support levels for the possibility of further decline. Most likely, bears will try to hold their zone, in this case gold may test 2013 within the bearish trend in the nearest future. And in the medium term, target 1994, where there is a huge pool of liquidity.
Resistance levels: 2024, 2030
Support levels: 2017, 2013, 2010
As the time horizons are determined both technically and fundamentally, gold may test local lows on the back of a rising dollar
COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Fundamentally, the dollar is strongerFX:EURUSD is declining and forming an attempt to break trend support. Fundamentally, the TVC:DXY is strengthening on the background of the Fed's position, which negatively affects the base currency - EUR.
On the high timeframe we see that the dollar continues to strengthen after a long consolidation. The Fed is not going to give up and is trying to insure itself before a possible interest rate cut, which may come in spring-summer 2024. This scenario may strengthen the dollar to local highs, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
EURUSD broke 1.088 testing the trend support, technically, the breakout has already occurred, the price may take a small correction and retest the support, after which it may head towards the lower boundary of the range - 1.0756. Consolidation of the price below the trend support will confirm the bearish position, which will be a favorable scenario for sellers.
Support levels: 1.078, 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.10
Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger than the euro, which will obviously have a negative impact on the currency pair. We expect confirmation of the scenario (consolidation below the support) for further opening of sales.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment.
The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken.
NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366
Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086
There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Waiting for the price to start rising FX:GBPCAD is forming a bearish trend change attempt. The Canadian dollar index is declining, while the GBP index is in consolidation against the background of the uptrend.
The growth of the currency pair may continue after retesting the support at 1.6977 and forming consolidation above this zone.
What confuses us is the false breakdown of the 200-hour moving average, but what is interesting is that there is no strong fall. The market is in a correction phase and apparently the price is set to test the previously broken resistance (support at the moment). After consolidation, the market may move into the realization phase (distribution), where the price is capable of reaching 1.7275 in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.6977, 1.6898
Resistance levels: 1.7050, 1.7132
I expect growth after the end of the correction phase. It is worth paying attention to the above support, because it is from this zone that the price can start the strengthening phase
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Best time to buy is right now, here is whyXRP is currently sitting on the main support of the ascending parallel channel. This is definitely a great opportunity to buy cheap XRP. We have a leading diagonal wedge as wave (1) followed by a sharp correction wave (2). Wave (3) should be in progress. You can be sure that XRP is a big deal for huge institutions such as banks. They are already investing a lot of money into implementation of this cryptocurrency. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, the XRPL uses a unique Federated Consensus mechanism as its method of validating transactions. Transactions are confirmed on the XRPL through a consensus protocol, in which designated independent servers called validators come to an agreement on the order and outcome of XRP transactions. All servers in the network process each transaction according to the same rules, and any transaction that follows the protocol is confirmed right away. All transactions are public and transparent, and anyone can operate a validator. There are currently over 150 validators on the ledger, operated by universities, exchanges, businesses, and individuals around the world.
Through the Federated Consensus mechanism, all verified transactions can be processed without a single point of failure as no single participant makes a decision independently. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Beam, consolidation is coming to the end, buy now (151% profit)Beam Rank #69 is a very good-looking coin from a technical perspective. We had a strong pump of 500% In November 2023. Now the price is going sideways, but it is time for another pump. It's good to buy this coin right now, as it can skyrocket anytime soon. We have a strong Elliott Wave combo Impulse + ABC correction. 1.618 FIB extension is the next profit target, but I believe we will go much higher than that! Make sure you buy the right BEAM coin, as there are 2 with the same name. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Beam allows financial counterparties to make safe, stable and reliable transactions. This helps eliminate the problem of user data mismanagement, keeping the system cleaner and more secure. Beam’s blockchain was built on the C++ programming language from scratch.
User addresses are kept confidential at all times and are never disclosed to any third parties. Users have total access and control over their privacy, deciding who can access their information and what they are allowed to see.
Beam supports custom transactions of different types, such as escrow, atomic swaps and time-locked ones. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
STX is one of the best performing high-caps. Buy now?STX is a very important coin for Bitcoin. STX is a Bitcoin Layer for smart contracts. Why do I think you should buy this coin? We have to take a look at the price action first. We see that we have multiple similar swings high at around 1.75, which is a very bullish sign. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we see that we have a strong combo of (1)(2)(1)(2). The previous all-time high is the next stop, but I believe we will go much higher this year. You can hold it for the long term as well. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Stacks is a Bitcoin Layer for smart contracts; it enables smart contracts and decentralized applications to use Bitcoin as an asset and settle transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain.
Bitcoin is the largest, most valuable, and most durable decentralized asset. The Stacks layer unlocks $500B in BTC capital using the Bitcoin L1 as settlement for decentralized applications.
Stacks has knowledge of the full Bitcoin state, thanks to its Proof of Transfer consensus and Clarity language, enabling it to read from Bitcoin at any time.
All transactions on the Stacks layer are automatically hashed and settled on the Bitcoin L1. Stacks blocks are secured by 100% Bitcoin hashpower. In order to re-order Stacks blocks/transactions, an attacker would have to reorg Bitcoin. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → The price will continue to rise provided...FOREXCOM:XAUUSD formed a rally at the end of last week and broke the resistance of the downtrend. The reason is another armed crisis, but in Southwest Asia.
On Monday, the market opened the session with price strengthening and retesting 2058. The mood of the market is such that the price growth may continue in the medium term. There is no sense to pay attention to the dollar now, temporarily the correlation in the pair is decreasing and fundamentally gold looks quite a strong asset.
Today the volatility may be lower than the daily average due to the fact that it is a holiday weekend in the USA.
Technically, as the market is testing the level of 2050, the price consolidation above this area will form a bullish potential, which in the medium term can push the price to 2070, 2100, 2150. It is also worth paying attention to the moving averages.
Support levels: 2050, MA50+MA200, 2039
Resistance levels: 2058, 2064, 2070
The market is testing the support, against which gold can strengthen on the background of favorable fundamental background for the asset
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD H1The price retest and broke through they level 2050.
if the bulls hold the level, the price will continue to rice towards 2150.
I'look for a pullback to the rang zone. I think the price can go up. because it is gaining bullish momentum.because formed a rally at the end of last week and broke the resistance of the downtrend. my goal is the resistance and liquidity zone at 2070.
NTRN is going parabolic, best altcoin for fast profit?NTRN is in a strong uptrend and it looks like we can go even higher. 207% profit is the next target for this coin because it is the 1:1 FIB extension. Currently the price is breaking out of the rectangle pattern on the weekly chart, which is also a good opportunity to trade the breakout. I am bullish on this coin. There is almost none bearish volume, also a good sign. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
NTRN is one of the most secure cross-chain smart-contracting platforms. It combines the security of a top 10 blockchain by staked capitalization with bleeding-edge cross-chain infrastructure to enable DeFi applications to securely scale across a growing network of 51+ interconnected blockchains.
GOLD → Why could the metal's price rise continue? FOREXCOM:XAUUSD closes the trading week above the opening, which is quite a positive sign, as the market has obvious reasons for the rally, which can continue up to 2150.
We are living in a time of a 30 year record number of armed conflicts with over 180 clashes. This is all affecting the market, including gold. A recent reason for gold's rally was the military operation against the Houthis in Yemen by the U.S. and the Great Britain for the freedom of the sea route. As part of the rally, the price is overcoming bearish resistance and forming further preconditions for a possible rise.
There is not much fundamentally significant news in the coming week, the world is focused on the war in the Middle East, which is still ongoing and the new armed conflict in Southwest Asia. This is pre-determining the medium-term outlook for gold. The dollar has been receiving bullish news for the last two weeks, but continues to consolidate without any bullish reaction under the resistance level of 102.6. The market is probably waiting for downside signals. Gold on the other hand breaks trend resistance, which temporarily detaches the correlation between the assets, hence the format of technical and fundamental analysis changes a bit.
The coming week may see a retest of local support before a further retest. Now all eyes are focused on the resistance of the global range 2050-2070 and it is likely that in the medium term gold may break this level and start to form a new global range.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → A "sell the news" scenario? What happened?BINANCE:BTCUSD tested a new high of 49K amid increased volatility due to positive news for the asset. But, as we can see, what many did not expect was a strong sell-off.
I have been talking about sell-offs from the 48250 level for a while now, since mid-November 2023, the moment BTC entered a new range.
The 48250 area is a strong resistance with a huge pool of liquidity and it is quite logical to see a false breakdown followed by sell-offs.
In addition, strong bullish news related to SEC approval of applications for spot BTC-ETF forms the opposite direction to the expected price movement:
At the moment, the "Sell The News" scenario is developing - this maneuver includes a possible price correction of 10-20-30%.
It is logical that the price cannot grow all the time and the asset pricing includes corrections to maintain adequate liquidity in the market.
At the moment the price is testing the nearest strong support 41639 and forms the third retest ( false breakdown ) of the support. In the TA format, the price can form a rebound, which we see. At the moment we should pay attention to the level of 42850 from which growth or a small rebound may follow and then fall to 40659 - this is a strong level, which is a risk zone and liquidity pool. A false breakdown may be formed before further growth.
Support levels: 42850, 41639, 40659
Resistance levels: 44490, 45500, 47280, 48250
Regarding technical nuances ( resistance, false breakout ) a correction is forming. The price may test one of the mentioned support and liquidity zones to free the market from unwanted participants. Fundamentally, BTC is strong enough to continue its growth both in the medium and long term.
Regards R. Linda!
ENS - downtrend ended, important coin for EthereumENS is one of the most important altcoins for Ethereum. We can see that the uptrend is starting, and 2024 is going to be huge for this coin. We can see that at the bottom of the downtrend, we have a pretty long accumulation of whales. The price should not go into this range ever again. We have only 2 resistances on the way up: 0.5 FIB + major swing high and the previous all-time high. I think we are going to go much higher in 2024, but I will make updates later. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) is a distributed, open, and extensible naming system based on the Ethereum blockchain. ENS converts human-readable Ethereum addresses like john.eth into the machine-readable alphanumeric codes you know from wallets like Metamask. The reverse conversion -- associating metadata and machine-readable addresses with human-readable Ethereum addresses -- is also possible.
The goal of Ethereum Name Service is to make the Ethereum-based web easier to access and comprehend for humans - similar to how the Internet’s Domain Name Service makes the internet more accessible. Like DNS, ENS also uses a system of dot-separated hierarchical names called domains with domain owners fully controlling their subdomains.
ENS launched with a highly successful retroactive airdrop in November 2021 that rewarded users who had registered addresses before the project launched its token. However, in February 2022, it faced criticism over apparently homophobic tweets by its director of operations.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
LDO hit a new all time high! Buy nowLDO looks absolutely strong. It just hit a new all-time high, and this is serious. What you want to do is buy coins that have reached an all-time high for massive profits. What is the next target? The 1.618 FIB extension is 500% far away, which is good; take profit here. Strong Elliott Wave combos (1)(2)(1)(2) provide a solid trade setup. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Lido DAO is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) which provides staking infrastructure for multiple blockchain networks.
Most notably, the platform provides a liquid staking solution for Ethereum, allowing users to stake their ETH and receive stETH (Lido staked ETH) tokens in exchange, which represent the user's staked ETH and staking rewards.
Lido DAO is secured by a mix of decentralized governance, audited code and smart contracts. The Lido protocol runs on Ethereum with help from smart contracts that process user deposits and distribute staking rewards, among other functions. Several third-party security firms have audited Lido’s smart contracts in order to identify and address potential vulnerabilities.
The platform’s native token is LDO - which also serves as the governance token for Lido DAO. Holders can participate in governance proposals and vote on key decisions such as board adjustments, new integrations and platform updates. LDO holders have the right to determine the development and operation of the platform.
Lido currently supports staking for Ethereum and Polygon only with the recent sunsetting of Solana. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Algorithmic Identification and Classification of Chart PatternsWelcome to the world of technical analysis, where chart patterns play a pivotal role in shaping trading strategies. This is an ultimate guide designed to help users objectively identify the existence of patterns, define the characteristics and classify them. In this discussion, we will mainly concentrate on the patterns formed by trend line pairs. This includes wedges, triangles and channel type patterns.
🎲 Basic Principle of Identifying the Pattern
It is very important to apply definitely set of rules when identifying the patterns in order to avoid biases or fitting patterns to our opinions. The dangers of overfitting the patterns to our bias is documented in the idea
To identify the patterns objectively, we need to set some ground rules or follow a well-defined technique to derive the patterns. Here is the technique we follow to identify chart patterns.
🎲 Only Indicator Required - Zigzag
Tradingview has plenty of free community scripts for Zigzag indicator. For this demonstration, we are going to use our Multi Timeframe Recursive Zigzag implementation.
Once the indicator is loaded on the chart, go to indicator settings and perform these modifications.
Disable the Labels : The Labels contain information that is needed for this exercise.
Set the Highlight level to 1 or 0 : We can iteratively increase the level and check next levels on the go.
You can also adjust Zigzag Length and Depth Parameters.
🎲 Scanning and Identification of valid Pattern
We can either use 5 pivots or 6 pivots for pattern identification. 5-Pivot based scanning will generate more patterns than 6-Pivot based scanning. 6 pivot patterns are geometrically more accurate however, there is no proof that 6-Pivot based patterns produce better trading outcome.
🎯 Step 1 - On each level of zigzag, mark the last 5 or 6 zigzag pivots.
Since we are using Multi Timeframe Recursive Zigzag implementation, we can gradually increase the zigzag level from 0. This means that on every level, we can check if there are any patterns.
On each level - consider only the last 5 or 6 pivots and mark them on the chart.
Markings on Level 0 would look like this for 5 and 6 pivot scanning
🎯 Step 2: Draw Trend Lines
As part of this step, draw two trend lines.
The first trend line will join pivots 1 and 5 marked in the previous step.
The second trend line will join pivots 2 and 4 marked in the previous step for 5 pivot scanning. For 6 pivot scanning, the trend line joining pivots 2 and 6 will be marked.
🎯 Step 3: Inspect the validity of trend lines
A valid trend line is the one that confirm to below two points
Touches all the alternate pivots. For example, the trend line drawn from pivot 1 to 5 should also make contact with the candle of pivot 3. In case of 6 pivot scanning, the trend drawn from pivot 2 to 6 should also make contact with the candle of pivot 4.
All the candles from the starting pivot to ending pivot of the zigzag should be confined within the trend line pairs. Meaning, no candles should completely go above the upper trend line and no candle should completely go below the lower trend line.
Please note that while verifying the above points, minor adjustments in the alignment of the trend line can be made. Start and end of the trend line does not need to be on the high/low points of the candle, it can also be placed in any of the wick positions.
After adjusting the trend lines, in both type of scanning, we can see that the trend lines confirm to the above-mentioned rules. Hence, we have arrived with valid patterns in both types of scanning on the level 0 zigzag.
🎲 Classification of Patterns
Once the patterns are identified, they need to be classified into different types. We need to apply predetermined rules to objectively classify patterns into what they are. Everyone can build their own rules.
🎯 Properties of Derived Trend Lines
Before classifying the trend lines, we need to understand below properties of the derived trend lines.
▶ Direction of Individual Trend Lines
Both the trend lines needs to be individually classified among these categories
Rising - Trend Line is sharply rising up.
Falling - Trend Line is sharply falling down.
Flat - Trend Line is flat across the pivots.
Bi-Directional - Trend Lines are moving in opposite directions
Please note that, it is less probable for trend line to absolutely flat. Hence, allow angle to have certain degree of threshold to be considered as flat. For example, +- 10 degrees can be considered as flat.
Also, the angle of the trend line can further subjective based on how compressed the chart is. It is recommended to use either log/auto-scale or a specific formula based on ATR to identify the angle.
▶ Characteristic of the Trend Line Pairs
This parameter defines how both trend lines are aligned with respect to each other. Possible options are:
Converging - Trend Lines are converging and when extended towards the right will intersect at a visible distance.
Diverging - Trend Lines are diverging from each other and when extended towards the left will intersect at a visible distance.
Parallel - Trend Lines are almost parallel to each other and may not intersect to either right or to left at a visible distance.
To objectively identify the intersection distance, we further need to use some standard. Here are few options
Fixed Number of Bars : If the trend lines do not intersect to either left or right within X bars (Lets say 100), they can be considered as parallel. Otherwise, they can be classified as converging or diverging based on which side the intersection happens.
Relative to the Length of Pattern : If the length of longest trend line is X bars. The trend lines should converge within 1–2 times the X bars to be considered as converging or diverging. Or else, it can be termed as parallel channels.
🎯 Geometrical Shapes Classification
Following are the main geometrical classifications based on the characteristics of the trend lines and the pair.
Channels - Trend Lines are parallel to each other. And hence they both move in the same directions.
Wedges - Trend Lines are either converging or diverging from each other. However, both trend lines move in the same direction. Both trend lines will be either up or down.
Triangles - Trend Lines are either converging or diverging from each other. But, unlike wedges, upper and lower trend lines will have different direction.
🎲 Types of Patterns
Once we identify the direction and characteristics of trend lines, we can go on and classify the pattern in following categories.
Details below. Please note that examples are generated programmatically.
🎯 Rising Wedge (Contracting)
Rules for Contracting Rising Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are Rising
Trend Lines are converging.
🎯 Rising Wedge (Expanding)
Rules for the Expanding Rising Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are rising
Trend Lines are diverging.
🎯 Falling Wedge (Contracting)
Rules for the Contracting Falling Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are falling
Trend Lines are contracting.
🎯 Falling Wedge (Expanding)
Rules for the Expanding Falling Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are falling
Trend Lines are diverging.
🎯 Contracting/Converging Triangle
Rules for the Contracting Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is falling
The lower trend line is rising
Naturally, the trend lines are converging.
🎯 Rising Triangle (Contracting)
The rules for the Contracting Rising Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is flat
The lower trend line is rising
Naturally, the trend lines are converging towards each other
🎯 Falling Triangle (Contracting)
The rules for the Contracting Falling Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is falling
The lower trend line is flat
Naturally, the trend lines are converging towards each other
🎯 Expanding/Diverging Triangle
Rules for the Expanding Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is rising
The lower trend line is falling
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other.
🎯 Rising Triangle (Expanding)
The rules for the Expanding Rising Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is rising
The lower trend line is flat
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other
🎯 Falling Triangle (Expanding)
The rules for the Expanding Falling Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is flat
The lower trend line is falling
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other
🎯 Rising/Uptrend Channel
Rules for the Uptrend Channel are as follows
Both trend lines are rising
Trend lines are parallel to each other
🎯 Falling/Downtrend Channel
Rules for the Downtrend Channel are as follows
Both trend lines are falling
Trend lines are parallel to each other
🎯 Ranging Channel
Rules for the Ranging Channel are as follows:
Both trend lines are flat
Naturally, the trend lines are parallel to each other.
MOVR is breaking out! 1237% profit is possible?MOVR is extremely bullish; we have a bullish flag and a strong uptrend. We have 2 possible profit targets: the first is the 1:1 FIB extension, and the second is the 1.618 FIB extension. This coin is really hot when it comes to interest from retail traders. The ABC correction is complete, and I do not see any reason why we should go down from this point! A break of 30 USDT will lead to a massive pump to 111 USDT. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
As a decentralized smart contract platform, Moonriver requires a utility token to function. MOVR is central to the design of Moonriver and cannot be removed without sacrificing essential functionality. The Moonriver token uses include:
Supporting the gas metering of smart contract execution
Incentivizing collators and powering the mechanics around the creation of a decentralized node infrastructure on which the platform can run
Facilitating the on-chain governance mechanism, including proposing referenda, electing council members, voting, etc.
Paying for network transaction fees
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → It's a stalemate. The market can grow FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaches our target, but after a false breakdown of support 2016, the market quickly buys back all the fall. Now the price is heading towards a strong resistance
The most interesting thing is that three times in a row the US market received fundamentally bullish news. The TVC:DXY has been in the same place for 10 days now and cannot pass through resistance, which speaks volumes about the state of the index and the mood of the market. The market is overheated and in all likelihood the index is preparing for a decline. Gold is not so eager to react to bearish news and at any opportunity the market tries to buy back the fall.
At the moment the price of gold is heading to the resistance of the ascending channel, from here two scenarios can develop:
1) False breakout may lead to a pullback, within which the price may break through 2031.8. Consolidation below this level will continue the correction phase and within the descending channel the price may head towards 2016
2) False breakout will form a small correction to 2030-2031. But, the fundamental background will play its role and the price will start forging resistance retests for a breakout. Breakout of downside resistance and 2038.9 level is a signal and price consolidation above these areas will be confirmation
Support levels: 2031.8, 2025
Resistance levels: MA-200, 2038.9
I think that the chance is higher towards the resistance breakout than towards further decline. We follow the price reaction beyond the mentioned zone and wait for confirmation of one or another scenario to open trades
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD Big Support For Corrective Drop Is At 1.07 - 1.08Euro turned up at end of 2023, it recovered with a sharp reaction higher up to 1.1 area where pair slowed down and turned lower into a pullback that is now in progress. Ideally, thats wave (A) of a new higher degree correction that can represent even wave 2 so be aware of some more weaknesses or sideways price action, but eventually, new buyers will show up still later this month.
Some nice support is at 1.08-1.07 area.
Also, after the latest strong US jobs and US CPI data suggest that speculators can be looking for too much of the FED cuts this year, so market can do some "repricing" and dollar can rally further.
GBPUSD → A technically weak dollar will strengthen the pair FX:GBPUSD continues to form consolidation in the ascending triangle format. Bulls are gaining strength and trying to break through the resistance zone 1.2780 - 1.2800.
The currency pair is in a global uptrend and according to a number of prerequisites this direction may continue.
If we pay attention to the TVC:DXY , we can see that the index does not react to bullish news at all and apparently due to the overheated condition the index is ready to decline. In this case, this maneuver will be favorable for the pound sterling, which can strengthen the pair.
On the chart we see an ascending channel and a pre-failure consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle. The resistance 1.2780 - 1.2800 plays a key role. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above the level will form a bullish potential, which will confirm the breakout of the level.
Support levels: 1.2715, 1.2615
Resistance levels: 1.2780, 1.2888
I expect a breakout of resistance under the pressure of buyers on the limit resistance zone.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → How might today's news affect gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading in a range, as evidenced not only by trading between levels, but also between moving averages. The reason for this is the controversial fundamental environment.
The market is reacting weakly to bullish news for the dollar because fundamentally it is already overheated. Speculators react very strongly to negative news than positive news and in the current environment this is worth considering.
Important news is being published today. In general, analysts are expecting bullish CPI data and bearish Initial Jobless Claims data. Bad data for the $ will push gold up, to the point where the price could change its local trend. But good news for the $ may continue to form an actual range for gold 2015 - 2050.
It is worth paying attention to the strong resistance on the dollar 102.6, technically, the index is ready to go down and very strongly (This should have a positive impact on the price of gold), but I wonder what will show today the funamental market.
Support levels: 2030, 2020, 2015
Resistance levels: 2039, 2049
On the news, the price may test strong zones. At the moment, there is no clear understanding of the strength of the news we will receive, but according to a number of assumptions we have a chance to strengthen the price of gold
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin sell the ETF news. 20% crash is comingBitcoin is crashing after the BTC ETF launched on Nasdaq - iShares (ticker IBIT on TradingView). This is not looking good; the crash looks really strong on the 1-minute chart. Everyone bought into the ETF News, and now the whales are taking advantage of it and want liquidity at approximately 39k. Why 39? We can see multiple swing lows in this zone. I turned bearish on Bitcoin today. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin is the first decentralized, peer-to-peer digital currency. One of its most important functions is that it is used as a decentralized store of value. In other words, it provides for ownership rights as a physical asset or as a unit of account. However, the latter store-of-value function has been debated. Many crypto enthusiasts and economists believe that high-scale adoption of the top currency will lead us to a new modern financial world where transaction amounts will be denominated in smaller units.
The smallest units of Bitcoin, 0.00000001 BTC, are called Satoshis (or Sats in short), in a nod to the pseudonymous creator. At Bitcoin price now, 1 Satoshi is equivalent to roughly $0.00048.
The top crypto is considered a store of value, like gold, for many — rather than a currency. This idea of the first cryptocurrency as a store of value, instead of a payment method, means that many people buy the crypto and hold onto it long-term (or HODL) rather than spending it on items like you would typically spend a dollar — treating it as digital gold. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!