XLK Bullish Channel Holds for Tech The channel provided good support, actual first test of the bottom end of the channel since the low in March. Tech took a brutal beating last week with a disgusting weekly candle. However, the recovery this week has been extremely strong. Until the channel breaks, there should be some expectation of a bullish move to the upside. Only if the channel breaks would there be a break from the overall bull trend and a possible larger correction to the downside. If that takes place, then I expect at least the gap to be filled at 110 (red outline box) or even more of a correction to test the February 20 highs.
On the hourly, a clear bullish RSI divergence played out, making the price action look somewhat like a wedge breakout. But then resistance was found today at a parallel level to the recent lower lows, so now lower highs which means short term bearish. If a higher high can be set and a S/R flip accomplished, see below, then it would be a good spot for a call play to retest just short of the highs.
Game plan is seen in the hourly chart below.
