Bitcoin will fall sharpely!Beware, there is a high risk of Bitcoin dump in the next few days. Of course, I could be wrong, as I'm no soothsayer and I've made mistakes in the past, but I'm relying on a predictive model I've been developing for the past three years, which has become very reliable in recent months. To sum up, my model gives me a cycle top below $100K, a 30 to 40% dump this week, followed by a downtrend punctuated by rebounds over several months towards $31K. Do your own research, as I'm only expressing my opinion, which is not a financial advice.
XBTUSD
BTCUSD path to 200 000 USD weekly chart overview🔸Hello traders, today let's review weekly price chart for BTCUSD .
going into BTC halving event later in April bulls still maintain control,
having said that, we are closing on on the danger zone, which is
defined by 75 000 - 100 000 usd, so let's review the primary scenarios
for bitcoin prices going forward. No nonsense overview, no dinosaurs,
NFTs, super mario patterns, etc, just pure price action. Let's dive into it!
🔸Looking at the weekly price chart (log scale), bitcoin is trading
in well-defined bullish channel since 2018 on weekly timeframe.
We got a confirmed/strong sequence of higher lows / higher highs,
which is a clear definition of an ongoing uptrend. Prices are projected
to appreciate further, however there are two possible outcomes/scenarios
going forward, so let's review them.
🔸SCENARIO1: uptrend resumes without any reasonable pullbacks,
which will catch a lot of traders off guard, generate strong momentum
and FOMO and BTC then will be projected to hit a final target near
200 000 USD by end of 2024. This is one of the options, definitely, however
traders should be aware of the high danger zone, we are closing in
on it right now - 75 000 - 100 000 usd - high risk of pullback/reversal.
🔸SCENARIO2: after halving initially we get solid gains / BTC pumps
into high danger zone on decent / strong volume, however once we
hit near 75 000 - 100 000 usd momentum fades / dies off and we start
to top out on weekly price chart with heavy sell-side wicks and
bulls eventually lose control near 100 000 usd and then we proceed
into pullback/correction mode. It's possible that we lose up to 50%
of the recent gains in the ongoing correction, based on the weekly
price chart logical/next higher low might be printed near 35/40K.
🔸Bottom-line/recommended trade setups: if you are already
a long-term holder and bought low near 20 000 usd, you should
definitely keep holding and ride out the volatility, as the price
target at 200 000 USD is still very reasonable / possible within
12-24 months. If you bought recently anticipating massive gains
post BTC halving you should be very careful and watch out for
potential reversal near Danger Zone. good luck traders!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Test of ATH Soon! ₿
It looks like Bitcoin is preparing to retest the ATH soon.
I see very bullish technicals: after a test of a strong rising trend line
the price went up and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
After the test of the ATH, with a high probability,
we may see its violation and a formation of a new one.
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Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA)🔮Hi, everyone👋.
Today I want to tell you the secrets of 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) in the monthly time frame.
By reading this post, you might find an approximate target for Bitcoin before the 2024 Halving.
First of all, I suggest you read the following two posts, and maybe our strategy puzzles will be completed before the 2024 Halving.🧩
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🔮 Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA):
Between two consecutive Halvings, Bitcoin must go below 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) once.
The duration of Bitcoin under the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) is between 335-396 days (the movement between the two Halvings of 2022 and 2024 is very similar to the movement between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016).
After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin has never gone below 350-DMA again before the next Halving.
After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin starts its growth for a new All Time High(ATH).
Due to the similarity of the recent movement of Bitcoin to the movement of Bitcoin between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016, if we use the Bar Pattern tool, Bitcoin can have a price of about $ 50,000 before the Halving of 2024 .
🎉 In the coming days, I will try to share other secrets with you, and maybe our puzzle will be completed soon.
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Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bull Run Continues ₿
I strongly believe that Bitcoin will continue growing
after a release of the US fundamentals today.
My technical confirmations are a test of a key daily support
and a consequent formation of a double bottom pattern.
Goals: 71260 / 72350
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Important Decision Ahead ₿
Bitcoin has finally reached the levels of a current all-time high.
Analyzing the current sentiment, I believe that the market will
update it soon.
Your confirmation will be a breakout of the underlined red resistance.
A daily candle close above that will be a strong bullish confirmation.
Growth will continue then.
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Bitcoin is entering the sell-zoneBitcoin's price is hovering at a critical level, and the potential for a deeper bearish move looms large. Historically, when Bitcoin dips below key support levels (56999 and 49999), it can trigger algorithmic trading bots to initiate aggressive sell-offs, accelerating price declines faster than manual traders can react. This phenomenon has occurred in previous bear markets, where sharp drops activated cascades of sell orders, pushing prices down rapidly.
Currently, BITGET:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin is flirting with the $55,000 support zone, and failure to hold this level could signal the beginning of a deeper decline. A break below FWB:42K may lead to a swift drop toward $20K, as bearish sentiment is dominating the market, particularly with futures traders leaning heavily toward short positions. The broader market is likely to interpret this breach as a confirmation of sustained downward pressure, which could drive Bitcoin to revisit the $15,000 level—similar to the 2022 bear market.
For those who purchased BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin around the $50,000 mark, the risk of a significant drawdown looms large, with potential losses of 50% or more if Bitcoin plunges toward $25,000 or lower. Further downside could see Bitcoin retrace all the way to $15,000, reflecting the magnitude of the correction experienced during the last major crash in 2022.
Given the current technical outlook, the absence of bullish momentum combined with major resistance levels at $60K and $70K suggests that a rebound might be unlikely without strong buying pressure. A breakdown in the $40K area could accelerate bearish moves as algorithmic bots kick in, potentially leading to a rapid sell-off and testing lower levels.
Investors and traders should stay vigilant, as any further breach of support could lead to a prolonged bear market, reminiscent of Bitcoin’s previous crashes and so a sell-off could happen quicker than you can open a short position.
Bitcoin - A short term overviewBINANCE:BTCUSD (1H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
BTC is currently trading at $58593 and currently trading at the support zone. Looks like price is consolidating around 58K range. A break out or break down from this consolidation will result in price reaching the next target.
- If price breaks down then the next support for bitcoin is around 55K range.
- If bounces back from this range then next resistance is around 61K range.
Let's see how this plays out.
It looks like price will mostly bounce back from this range. This gives us a long opportunity
Entry: 58K range
StopLoss: 56500
TP1: 59000
TP2: 60000
TP2: 61000
Don't forget to keep stoploss.
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GreenCrypto
BITCOIN: MACD bullish crossover is imminent.BINANCE:BTCUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update
- BTC is currently trading at $61,400 and is showing an overall bullish sentiment.
- From a MACD perspective, a bullish crossover appears to be imminent, signaling continued bullish momentum for Bitcoin.
- The MACD crossover is observed on the daily chart following the recent correction due to recession fears. A confirmed crossover could renew optimism for Bitcoin, potentially pushing the price above the $70,000 barrier.
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GreenCrypto
BTC - Price is still retesting#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ It's fascinating to observe that this retest remains in progress, consistently holding up as a support level over an extended period. This resilience suggests a strong underlying foundation, even as market conditions fluctuate.
+ As the downtrend continues to unfold, it indicates that future retest attempts may push to even lower price levels while still maintaining their effectiveness. This pattern underscores the importance of carefully monitoring these price movements, as they could provide valuable insights into market behavior.
+ The key element to focus on here is the continuation of the trend. For Bitcoin to reverse this downtrend, it must demonstrate robust buy-side volume during these retests. A strong influx of buying interest at these critical junctures could signal a potential shift in market sentiment, paving the way for a possible upward momentum.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): 2 Important Zones to Watch ₿
Here are 2 significant demand zones on Bitcoin to pay close attention to.
Zone 1: 46600 - 50000 area
This structure is based on an important psychological level 50000
and 2 historical key levels.
Zones 2: 38500 - 41300 area
This structure is based on multiple historic levels
that the price respected in December last year.
Probabilities are high that the market will stop falling soon.
However, a bearish violation of Zone 1 will push the prices much lower.
Let's see.
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BTCUSDT: Still Above Resistance - Potential Continuation ?---------------------------------------------------------------
Description
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The Bitcoin/TetherUS pair has displayed a strong bullish momentum since recovering from the 2022 crash. The price is currently trading above a crucial resistance level, suggesting potential for further upside. However, the recent price action has shown signs of consolidation, indicating a potential period of indecision before the next significant move.
- The overall trend since the 2022 low has been bullish
- The horizontal resistance level has acted as a significant barrier in the past. A sustained break above this level could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
- The recent price action suggests a potential period of consolidation before the next directional move.
- The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom of the chart is reading 64.52, suggesting moderate bullish momentum without being extremely overbought.
- We can see a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating a bullish market structure.
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Agree or Disagree with the ideas ? lets discuss in the comments.
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VectorAlgo
BTC - Navigating the Recent Decline and Key Technical IndicatorsDear Traders, today I want to provide you with a trading analysis of Bitcoin's recent decline from $70,000 to $66,000, we will utilize several technical analysis tools, including Fibonacci retracement levels, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and other moving averages. This analysis will explore key price movements, support and resistance levels, and potential future trends.
1. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Fibonacci retracement levels are commonly used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the key Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%). In this scenario:
- Retracement Levels:
- From the high of $70,000 to the low of $66,000, key Fibonacci levels are:
- 23.6% retracement: Approximately $66,950
- 38.2% retracement: Approximately $67,520
- 50% retracement: Approximately $68,000
- 61.8% retracement: Approximately $68,480
- 78.6% retracement: Approximately $69,090
The recent decline saw Bitcoin retracing to the 61.8% level, suggesting a strong support area. A failure to maintain this level could indicate further downside potential.
2. Bollinger Bands Analysis
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (usually a 20-period SMA) and two outer bands set at a standard deviation away from the middle band. They help identify volatility and potential overbought or oversold conditions.
- Observations:
- As Bitcoin declined, it approached the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
- A rebound from this level might indicate a short-term relief rally, while a close below could signal continued bearish momentum.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
The Ichimoku Cloud, or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, provides insight into trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels.
- Components:
- Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): A shorter-term moving average, usually set at 9 periods.
- Kijun-sen (Base Line): A longer-term moving average, typically 26 periods.
- Senkou Span A & B (Leading Span A & B): Form the cloud, representing potential support/resistance.
- Current Status:
- Bitcoin's price fell below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish trend.
- The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen have made a bearish crossover, indicating potential continued downside.
- The Senkou Span A has crossed below Senkou Span B, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
4. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and Other Moving Averages
EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them responsive to new information. Key EMAs to watch include the 21-day, 50-day, and 200-day.
- EMA Observations:
- 21-day EMA: Has turned downwards, signaling short-term bearishness.
- 50-day EMA: Positioned above the current price, acting as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level could confirm the bearish trend.
- 200-day EMA: Often considered a long-term trend indicator. Currently below the 200-day EMA suggests a longer-term bearish outlook.
- Other Moving Averages:
- The 100-day SMA is also crucial, currently providing a near-term resistance level. A breakdown below this moving average may lead to increased selling pressure.
5. Momentum Indicators
Additional indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide further insights:
- RSI: Nearing oversold levels, indicating that a short-term reversal could be on the horizon.
- MACD: The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, suggesting bearish momentum.
Conclusion and Future Outlook
The technical analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently in a bearish phase, as evidenced by the price's position relative to key moving averages, the Ichimoku Cloud, and other indicators. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around $68,480 serves as a crucial resistance point. A sustained move above this level, along with reclaiming the 50-day EMA, could signal a potential recovery.
Conversely, continued weakness below the 200-day EMA and the lower Bollinger Band suggests further downside risk, with potential support around the $66,000 mark. Traders should closely monitor these levels and indicators for signs of either a reversal or continuation of the current trend.
BITCOIN. HIDDEN FACTS ON. (BTCUSD)We don't see a drop in Bitcoin .
There is no money or investment that falls forever.
Unless Of course the system crashes.
I do not give investment advice.
As soon as it breaks 28800, they will try to blow up all the crypto.
Stop-Sell = 27999 Don't worry, sell it.
Supported.
33000 (buy %5)
31900 (buy %5)
31000 (Buy %10)
30200 - (Buy %15)
29400 (Buy %15)
28800 - Last Level
27999 - Short. ( %50)
2*300 - Short Closed ?
There is no such thing as coincidence.
Tschüss!
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Important Support to Watch
The fall of Bitcoin Continues.
Here are important support clusters to watch on a daily time frame.
Support 1: 52300 - 53070 area
Support 2: 47000 - 50700 area
Support 3: 43300 - 43900 area
Support 4: 41650 - 42500 area
Support 5: 37800 - 39400 area
These structures may provide the reversal points.
Watch carefully the reaction of the market to the underlined zones
and wait for a signal to buy.
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook
Since the beginning of June, Bitcoin is not in a good shape.
The market is trading in a minor bearish trend and formed
a falling expanding wedge pattern.
The test of a huge confluence zone based on a trend line of the wedge
and a horizontal demand zone triggered a strong rejection.
For now, the market is accumulating within a narrow range.
I believe that a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge
and a daily candle close above that can be an important bullish trigger.
The market may start a strong up movement then.
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