Gold Market Analysis 12/13Gold has dropped to the support level of the current upward trend, and the selling pressure has largely been released. Today's trading strategy should focus on buying at lower levels, with resistance at 2692-2704. The target can be set within the 2688-2702 range. Additionally, pay attention to the support in the 2666-2652 zone. While the possibility of a break below 2652 seems low at the moment, it remains something to watch. The 2652 level is crucial, as it serves as the dividing line between bulls and bears. A genuine break below this level would signal a shift from a bullish to a bearish technical pattern, derived from the connection between the 2790 and 2720 highs.
Xauusdtrade
Buy gold, TP: 2690-2695Bros, today gold fell sharply and fell below 2695 due to the negative impact of PPI data on the gold market. I reminded in the previous opinion that the 2700-2695 area is the last line of defense for bulls. Once gold falls below this area, it is easy to be sold and continue to fall.
So today I went long on gold near 2702 as planned. After gold fell below 2695, I strictly followed the trading plan and chose manual stop loss near 2693, ending the gold long position with a loss of $4.7K; then I followed up with a gold short position near 2693, and manually closed the position near 2683, ending the transaction with a profit of $4.9K.
It means everything I did in trading today was for nothing,fortunately, I strictly followed my trading plan and strategy to execute the transaction, so even if I lost money in the long transaction, I recovered the loss in the short transaction, and there was no loss overall. Relatively speaking, no loss is the greatest success.
At present, after gold is relatively stable, I have bought gold again near 2683, and the short-term important support below is 2675. I expect gold to rebound to at least 2690-2695. As for the result of the transaction, let us wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Start going long goldBros, yesterday I emphasized that the key resistance area for gold in the short term is in the 2720-2725 area. Starting from today's London market, gold is just suppressed below 2720 and is currently fluctuating in the 2720-2700 area. In fact, at this time, whether we participate in long or short transactions, we have no way to make a move!
According to the current decline, gold is just profit-taking, and it is not sold off. If gold is sold off, the decline will be far more than that. So it is not completely certain that gold will return to the short trend. So the bulls still have the ability to fight back.
The 2705-2695 area below is the last line of defense for the bulls. If gold falls below this area, then gold may be sold off and continue to fall. But before a break below this support area, we have one more opportunity to go long gold.
If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 12 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
As highlighted in yesterday's analysis dated 11 December 2024, price was expected to print a bullish iBOS to narrow the internal range, and this is precisely how price printed.
Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading within an established internal range. While price has not yet printed a bearish CHoCH, it has traded up to the premium of the 50% internal EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading within the premium of internal 50% EQ. Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal low at 2,700.810.
Alternative Scenario:
Price may potentially seek further liquidity to complete a bullish iBOS on the H4, therefore, bearish momentum may face limitations.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Go ahead and try shorting gold!Bros, due to the renewed tension in the geopolitical situation and the surge in risk aversion in the market, gold has risen sharply in the short term, and the current highest has reached around 2618. However, the continuity of the gold market, which has risen due to news stimulation, remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2720-2725 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 2700-2695 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will still not give up shorting gold. I will still try to add positions to continue shorting gold based on the 2720-2725 resistance area! Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusd target 2743 Here's a summary of your updated XAU/USD trade plan:
Trade Plan
- _Entry Point_: 2715
- _Target_: 2743
- _Stop-Loss_: 2703
Market Analysis
The XAU/USD is experiencing a strong bullish trend, driven by a weakening US dollar, increasing inflation concerns, and geopolitical tensions.
Technical Analysis
- _RSI Indicator_: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60, indicating a strong bullish momentum.
- _Moving Averages_: The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are trending upwards, supporting the bullish view.
- _Support Levels_: The support levels at 2703 and 2695 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback.
Risk Management
- _Risk-Reward Ratio_: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:4, which is relatively aggressive.
- _Position Sizing_: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.
Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
Sorry, I'm already short goldBros, the expected CPI disappointed me. And the original plan to buy gold at 2580 was stranded because gold did not fall back effectively, so I had to give up the original plan to buy gold.
Gold moved very strongly today, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around 2700. But for now, after gold continued its rebound to the 2700-2705 area, it did not usher in explosive emotional buying, and the price of gold did not rise sharply. Instead, it has been fluctuating in the 2700-2705 area. In the fierce game between long and short sides, the short force is not completely without opportunities, so since there is no opportunity to participate in the long gold, we might as well prepare in advance to see the decline and retracement of gold.
In addition, from the perspective of candlestick charts, even if gold continues to rise, it needs to build a W-shaped structure in the structure to support the continued rise of gold. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to fall back!
Bros, I have already shorted gold in the 2700-2705 area. Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Ready to go long on goldGood morning, bros! Let's re-examine the gold market together!
Gold fell back again after touching around 2674, with the current lowest falling to around 2661. From a short-term structural point of view, gold constructed a sub-high of 2674 at the hourly level, forming an 'M' top structure with yesterday's high of 2676, forming a negative impact on gold. A certain degree of technical pressure;
However, from an overall perspective, if gold cannot fall below the 2650 position during the fall, it will reduce the pressure on the hourly level 'M' top and accumulate energy during the fall, which will help gold continue to fall after the fall. The price fluctuates and rises, and it is easier to break through the resistance in the 2678 area, and may even continue to rise to the 2680-2690 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, we can use the 2660-2650 area as support and try to go long on gold! Bros, are you bullish on gold in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Market Analysis 12/09During the U.S. trading session today, gold surged again but faced strong selling pressure in the 2673-2678 range, causing the price to drop. It is now at the first support level, and we expect a short-term bottom to form in the 2658-2648 range. This support zone presents a buying opportunity, with a rebound target near 2666-2673.
Friends who hold short positions in gold, what should we do now?Bros, gold once rose to around 2676, but fortunately it has started to fall back now. To be honest, today's gold trading is in trouble. I originally wanted to short gold around 2660 now, and then go long gold around 2645 after gold fell back. However, gold only touched 2653 several times during the decline and then rebounded again. So I have held my short position until now, and then added the same position around 2675 to continue shorting gold. Once put me in a passive position in today's gold trading.
The better thing now is that gold has started to fall back to around 2668. Although I still have floating losses, it is much better than just now! Come on, brothers! We still have hope for turning losses into profits, so wish us good luck!
Bros, do you think my gold short position still has a chance to turn losses into profits?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now!
Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise.
However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold!
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery.
Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning.
The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak
This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook.
Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
The plan to go long on crude oil beginsBros, today's NFP market is somewhat disappointing. Gold did not activate our limit orders during the rebound. So we don't have a good position to participate in gold trading.
At present, I pay more attention to crude oil than to gold. At present, crude oil has fallen to around 66.95 and has not effectively fallen below 67. Moreover, crude oil has repeatedly turned the tide in the 67-66 area, successfully stopped the decline and successfully reversed the trend, so crude oil has now entered a strong buying area.Therefore, crude oil is currently at a very attractive price near 67. I think there will be a large influx of buying funds in this area, thus supporting the oil price to rise again.
Then I think we can start to go long on crude oil in this position area! Wish us good luck! Bros, are you also bullish on crude oil in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
NFP market trading strategyFrom the data, the previous value is 1.2 (million), and the forecast value is 20 (million). From the current expectations, the non-agricultural employment population data may continue to rise sharply, which is bearish for gold; if the data is revised for the previous value, it may bring greater pressure to the gold market; gold fell to around 2613 overnight, and it is not ruled out that institutions are running ahead of the NFP market. If gold in the NFP market continues to fall sharply, it will also harvest most of the funds chasing the rise;
From the chart, gold is currently in a volatile pattern, but from the perspective of rebounding and falling back many times, it faces multiple resistances above, first facing resistance in the 2655-2665 area, and secondly facing resistance in the 2675-2685 area. So it is actually difficult for gold to break upward at the technical level; and today is Friday, the gold market closes the weekly line. From the weekly level, gold still has room to continue to fall, so once gold falls in the NFP market, it is likely to test the 2605-2600 area support; it may even test the 2580-2560 area.
So, today’s NFP market trading strategy:
1. Set the price limit to sell gold at 2658-2662. If it exceeds 2666, the short position will be abandoned;
2. Wait for the data to be released and then follow the gold fluctuations to choose an opportunity to short gold;
Bros, are you ready to participate in the NFP market? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Mainly short gold, but there is still an opportunity to go long.Bros, since gold has chosen to break down and fall below the short-term support of 2620, it is obvious that the gold bears have a slight advantage in the struggle. So in trading, we mainly focus on shorting gold. The current short-term resistance area has shifted to the 2630-2635 area, so in short-term trading, we can short gold with the 2630-2635 resistance area;
But on the other hand, even if gold continues to fall, it is difficult to completely reverse into a short trend before today's NFP market, which limits the downside to a certain extent. The support area below is in the 2610-2600 area; so once gold falls back to this area, I will still try to go long on gold again; but we need to be careful that once gold falls below 2600, it is likely to continue to fall to around 2580.
Trading strategy:
1. Short gold with 2630-2635 area as resistance;
2. Try to long gold with 2610-2600 area as support (only try once)
3. It should be noted that once gold effectively falls below 2600, it is very likely that gold will continue to fall to 2580 area
Bros, how are you going to trade gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD GOLD Scalp / Day Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we analyze the 4-hour chart, highlighting a clear break of structure with evident lower lows and lower highs. While my bias leans toward a short opportunity, we explore both scenarios: a potential long opportunity if the price breaks upward, and a possible short opportunity if it breaks downward. As always, this is not financial advice. 📈
Long Gold AgainWe just bought gold near 2632, and then gold rebounded above 2643. I just closed our long position near 2642 and easily earned 100 pips.
At present, gold has fallen back to around 2626. Although we just missed the opportunity to short gold, when gold falls back, as long as gold does not fall below the 2625 line, I think the gold fall is still an opportunity to go long on gold, so I just went long on gold again near 2628. I think we should be able to make at least another 100 pips profit. Anyway, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Analysis 12/06Gold began to rebound after falling to around 2623. Since the 2635 support has been broken, it has now turned into resistance. Therefore, during the rebound, the first resistance to watch is 2635, followed by 2643. This was the highest point reached during the rebound after the price fell to 2635 today, making it an important resistance level. The next key resistance zone is the 2652-2657 area, where the price has recently encountered resistance.
Since tomorrow’s NFP data could have a significant market impact, if the data is bullish, it’s quite possible that gold will rise back above 2650. However, if the data is bearish, the optimal level to consider for support would be around 2608.
The prolonged period of consolidation has trapped many positions during today’s downturn, creating significant selling pressure. Therefore, it’s important to be cautious during trading and avoid blindly chasing prices higher.
This is an ideal market outlook based on current conditions, but always remember that the market is constantly changing. While you can use this analysis as a reference, it’s important to remain flexible during your trades. Don’t stick to rigid strategies—adjust as the market evolves. If you have any doubts or need further guidance, feel free to reach out to me directly. I’m here to help with personalized advice!
Gold Market Analysis 12/05Yesterday, gold faced resistance near 2657 and pulled back. Now, 2652 is acting as resistance again. If it doesn’t break through, gold may test the support around 2635 again. If that level breaks, the next support zone is between 2628-2623. However, if it breaks above 2657 and holds, gold could rise towards the 2666 resistance level.
I recommend trading around these key levels today. With Initial Jobless Claims data coming out, if the market has already chosen a direction before the release, you can trade in the opposite direction based on the trend. This may lead to unexpected profits
Execute gold trading by selling high and buying lowBros, gold has been fluctuating in the 2645-2655 area most of the time today, with only a fluctuation space of $10. To be honest, it is not easy to participate in trading except for scalping. At present, gold has rebounded to around 2650 again. Gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations as a whole. Gold may use the NFP market to break the box range, thus showing continuity.
So before the NFP market, we can still treat the market with shock in trading. Then the first thing to pay attention to above is the resistance of the 2655-2660 area, and the first thing to pay attention to below is the resistance of the 2640-2630 area. Before breaking the box range, we can rely on the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low.
Trading strategy:
1. Using the 2655-2660 area as resistance, try to short gold;
2. Using the 2640-2630 area as support, try to long gold;
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue to short goldBros, today we shorted gold near 2647 with 2650-2655 as resistance according to the trading plan. The object closed the gold short position manually near 2636 and gained 100 pips, which is a good result.
Just now, gold rebounded from 2632 and has now reached 2657. I still shorted gold again near 2654 as planned. Although gold touched near 2657 during the violent fluctuations, it did not stand strong, so it did not prove the effectiveness of its breakthrough. Moreover, it also faced resistance in the 2660-2665 area above, so gold may face another correction in the short term, it will retrace at least to the 2648-2645 area.
So we can still try to short gold again in the short term, and I have already shorted gold near 2654. Wish us good luck! Bros, did you follow me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Waiting for opportunities to continue shorting goldBros, gold is still operating within the oscillating range of 2630-2655, and has not made any breakthrough moves. Gold is currently trading around the mid-range position of 2641. Currently, gold is trading around the mid-waist position of 2641. To be honest, the mid-waist position is not very easy to participate in trading, because gold has room for fluctuations up and down, at least it is not easy to set SL in the execution of transactions, so we can still wait patiently for trading opportunities.
From the perspective of gold structure, gold is still relatively weak, so I still prefer to short gold in trading, so if gold can rebound to the 2650-2655 area, I will continue to try to short gold.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!