Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2712-2720During the Asian and European sessions today, gold pulled back as it approached key resistance levels, and is currently near a support zone. Based on the current price structure, the support appears relatively strong, suggesting a potential for a rebound in the short term. If the support remains intact over the next hour, the price could rise again, with focus shifting to the resistance zone around 2712-2720. However, if the support is broken, there is a possibility that the price may test the previous lows again. In this case, the formation of a "W" reversal pattern should be monitored, as it could signal a significant rebound opportunity.
Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionIn this video, we dive into the latest Gold (XAU/USD) market analysis and review the impacts of recent U.S. economic data on Gold prices. On Friday, Gold saw high volatility, with prices hitting the $2,760s following a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, a sell-off brought prices back down to the $2,740s as additional data from the Institute of Supply Managers (ISM) showed mixed economic signals.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #NFP #ISMData #SafeHaven #GoldMarketAnalysis #WeeklyGoldOutlook #EconomicData #GoldTrading#economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD Long term selling can start as early as now. Target 2550.Almost 3 months ago (August 19, see chart below) we gave a bullish medium-term signal on Gold (XAUUSD) that almost hit our 2800 Target last week:
We are high enough to take profits as the target was missed by just 10 points. On top of that, the price is very close to what we consider the absolute top potential of this pattern (Fibonacci level 1.0 at 2900), so from a R/R perspective the return isn't worth the risk.
In addition the 1W RSI is deeply overbought (above 80.00), which is always a bearish sign, even on the medium-term. But this exact 1W RSI overbought (Double) Top, was seen on the August 03 2020 High, which was the Top of the previous Cycle.
As you can see this cyclical pattern frequency holds since 2016 and based on the last Cycle alone, we can sell and initially target the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2550. On the longer term, we can expect a bottom on this sequence closer to the 0.618 Fib (Target 2 at 2350).
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Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Buying After Pullback
With a yesterday's bearish movement, Gold dropped to
a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
A cup & handle pattern formation on that is a reliable signal to buy.
With a high probability, the price will reach 2769 level soon.
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Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅.
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Shorting Range: 2796-2807The market is currently closed. On the 2-hour chart, there are three long lower shadows, indicating strong support below. Although the MACD indicator is facing a bearish crossover, the presence of this strong support suggests a potential for a second surge in volume.
Therefore, during tomorrow's Asian and European trading sessions, if the support level in the 2780-2776 range holds, gold is likely to break above the 2790 high and test the psychological level of 2800.
Additionally, tomorrow during the U.S. session, we will have the initial jobless claims data released, which I expect to have a bearish impact on gold. Consequently, the overall trading strategy for tomorrow will be to go long first and then short later.
The trading range will be set with 2796-2807 as the high range and 2772-2767 as the low range.
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
Strategic Short Positioning at ResistanceAnalysis: Today’s U.S. ADP employment data revealed a significant downside surprise, typically bearish for gold. However, gold prices have held steady, underscoring the strong fundamental support from factors such as geopolitical tensions and the lack of selling pressure. The market's reluctance to react sharply suggests the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. Despite this, gold sits at elevated levels, and while today’s data may not have triggered an immediate reaction, there’s an expectation of selling pressure as the U.S. trading session opens. Thus, our strategy focuses on initiating short positions to capitalize on potential pullbacks.
Trade Strategy:
Entry: Short gold between 2778-2780
Take-Profit Target: 2770
Mindset: Remain confident in the short strategy, stay composed, and await the gradual absorption of bearish data. Execute with discipline to optimize returns.
Gold: It's Time To FallAfter the Asian session opened, gold initially dropped but found support around 2739, consolidating for an hour before a direct rise. The MA5 and MA10 support levels remained strong, but with these now broken, it's likely time to aim for MA60.
I’ve taken significant sell positions above 2750 and plan to hold until the 2747-2742 range.
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Bullish Wave is Coming?!
Gold is currently stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
The price is approaching its upper boundary at the moment.
Because the trend is strongly bullish, chances will be high to see
a further bullish continuation.
Your reliable confirmation will be a breakout and a daily candle close
above the underlined resistance.
The next goal for the buyers will be 2780.
Alternatively, the market may continue consolidating and trading within the range.
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Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor.
Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
XAUUSD See when to sell and when to buy.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 Low and since last Tuesday, the price action has turned sideways to the point that the 1D RSI is breaking today below its MA trend-line.
This is a break-out consistent with the start of the previous two Accumulation Phases of the pattern, but in order to confirm this we need the RSI to close the day below it. At the same time the price remains bullish as long as it is being supported by the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). If both break, it would mean that the new Higher High of the Channel Up is in and that the best action would be to buy near the bottom again (2,700).
If on the other hand the 4H MA50 holds and the 1D RSI closes above its MA, we will stay bullish, targeting 2800 and then reversing to a sell towards the bottom of the Channel Up.
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XAUUSD: Sell above 2756Today, gold prices rose to around 2758 before retreating. From previous trends, there is support around 2748, and the 2743-2738 range is also significant.
Currently, the market structure is not favorable for bulls, making support crucial. In terms of trading strategy, I am leaning towards short positions today, with a key entry point at 2756, which I shared yesterday, and an additional position in the 2760-2764 range.
If the price breaks below support directly, we may need to adjust the strategy and consider going long around the main support levels, but the target should be kept modest, ideally within $6.
Additionally, there will be news releases half an hour before the New York session, which could have a substantial impact on the market, so please pay close attention while trading.
Gold Roadmap==>>When will Gold Correction Start Begin!?Today, I want to show you the Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) roadmap before the US presidential election .
Gold has started an upward rally for over 2 months and is moving in an Ascending Channel .
Educational tip : Try to draw the channels you draw in the chart with a tolerance.
The question that arises for us is how long this bullish Gold rally can continue and when the correction of Gold will begin.
In addition to the fundamental discussion , we can use technical analysis tools to answer the above questions . One of the best methods is the Elliott Wave Theory .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 in the Ascending Channel(small) .
I expect the main wave of 5 Gold to finish in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and then we have to wait for the starting correction .
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Let's see what the history of gold has been like in the last month before the US presidential election .
Throughout history, gold prices have often fluctuated in the months leading up to U.S. presidential elections. These changes have been influenced by various factors specific to each period. Here's a brief summary of gold's performance before some key U.S. elections :
1- 2016 Election (Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton) : Prior to the 2016 election, gold experienced significant volatility. Uncertainty about the outcome, especially with Trump's unpredictable economic policies, increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Gold prices rose in the months leading up to the election, reaching new highs after Trump's victory.
2- 2012 Election (Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney) : Leading up to the 2012 election, gold showed less volatility compared to other years. The Federal Reserve’s expansionary monetary policies and low interest rates kept gold attractive as a safe investment. Gold prices remained relatively stable before the election but surged after due to concerns over the "fiscal cliff."
3- 2008 Election (Barack Obama vs. John McCain) : The 2008 global financial crisis had a massive impact on gold prices. In the months leading up to the election, gold saw increased demand as a safe haven. Economic uncertainty and large bailout packages led to a significant rise in gold prices during this period.
4- 2000 Election (George W. Bush vs. Al Gore) : The 2000 election was marked by the "hanging chad" controversy, causing significant political uncertainty. This drove demand for gold. In the months before the election, gold prices rose, and after the election, due to ongoing political unrest and doubt over the result, gold saw further increases.
5- 1980 Election (Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter) : During this period, severe inflation and political uncertainty, both domestic and international, increased the demand for gold. In the months leading up to the 1980 election, gold prices were on an upward trend and reached new highs.
Conclusion : History shows that gold often rises in the lead-up to U.S. elections due to political and economic uncertainty. Elections coinciding with financial crises or heightened uncertainty (such as in 2008 and 2016) have had a greater impact on gold price surges.
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Now, let's see how gold has performed in November .
Here’s a summary of the percentage changes in gold prices during November over the last 10 years :
1- November 2023 : Data not yet available, but gold has been volatile due to economic and inflation concerns.
2- November 2022 : Approximately +8% increase due to lowered interest rate expectations and recession concerns.
3- November 2021 : Approximately -1% decrease due to rising interest rates and stronger financial markets.
4- November 2020 : Approximately -5% decrease post-U.S. election, but demand remained high due to COVID-19 and stimulus packages.
5- November 2019 : Approximately +3% increase due to the U.S.-China trade war.
6- November 2018 : Approximately +1% increase after a few months of decline.
7- November 2017 : Approximately -2% decrease due to stock market growth and higher interest rates.
8- November 2016 : Approximately -7% decrease following Trump’s victory and market optimism.
9- November 2015 : Approximately -6% decrease due to anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates.
10- November 2014 : Approximately -5% decrease due to a stronger U.S. dollar and improving U.S. economy.
11- November 2013 : Approximately -4% decrease due to global economic recovery and the Fed's exit from its quantitative easing policies.
Gold in November tends to be influenced by changes in monetary policy and economic conditions. Years with inflation or uncertainty saw increases, while years with economic recovery and rising interest rates experienced declines. But in general, there has been a downward trend, especially in the years when the US presidential elections were held.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Update and How To Day Trade GOLD👀👉 This is an update to my previous video. In that session, I discussed the importance of identifying a retracement and waiting for a bullish structure break to enter long positions. In this video, we will analyze gold on a lower timeframe, specifically focusing on strategies for engaging with the trend on a 15-minute chart. Disclaimer: This video is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
XAUUSD: Continue To Sell, TP 2719-2713Recently, due to escalating international tensions, gold prices have soared, leaving Friday’s short positions in a losing state. From a technical perspective, short positions should have started to push back if it weren’t for the news. Currently, the MACD shows a continuous top divergence, but the ongoing war has rendered technical analysis somewhat powerless, which is a major reason for the predicament.
I believe that news will also have a buffering period, during which the market will return to technical patterns, creating crucial opportunities to turn losses into profits. In today’s U.S. session, there is a high probability of a downturn in gold, with my expectation around 2716, so short positions will remain my primary focus for trading today.
If your positions are also trapped, please reach out to me so we can work together to find a way out.
Gold Trading Success: Future Strategies (BUY)Today has been a perfect day as we successfully hit our target of 2720, securing impressive profits. Currently, gold is showing a U-shaped bottom trend, with key resistance at MA5 and MA60, leaving about $5 of room before reaching MA60.
I believe this space can be utilized. If it fails to break through, we will choose to close positions here; however, if it does break, I expect prices to rise towards the 2728-2734 range.
In case of a reverse drop, I suggest adding orders in the 2713-2707 range, with a take-profit target set at 2718.