XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this video, we delve into the recent surge in gold prices, driven by a combination of factors. On Friday, the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields experienced a decline following disappointing U.S. jobs data, solidifying expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt its interest rate hikes. The October job growth figures fell short of economists' projections, with only 150,000 jobs added compared to the anticipated 180,000. Additionally, wage inflation cooled, indicating a potential easing in labor market conditions.
It is crucial to note that if the labor market continues to deteriorate, the Federal Reserve will be unable to maintain its hawkish stance. This data reinforces the notion of a Fed pause, which has contributed to the rise in gold prices. Furthermore, the dollar index (.DXY) experienced a 1% drop, while the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields reached a low not seen in over a month, further bolstering gold's appeal.
In light of the ongoing Middle East conflict, investors are now pricing in a 95% chance that the U.S. central bank will keep interest rates unchanged in December, compared to the previous 80% prior to the release of this data. These insights are based on the CME FedWatch tool.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $2,010 zone will remain our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout/retest of this zone will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if selling pressure persists below $2,010 just as it had done in the last 5 months, we could witness renewed selling pressure back into the demand zone at the $1,900 zone.
Dive into the latest Gold market dynamics! Discover how escalating Middle East tensions and renewed decline in 10-year Treasury yields and their impact. Stay informed for strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets #USDebt 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold prices experienced a notable decline, particularly following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell's suggestion that the Fed might not have achieved a sufficiently restrictive monetary policy to control inflation sent shockwaves through the market. This hawkish stance contradicted the earlier belief that the Fed was done with rate hikes and potentially entering a rate-cut cycle. Adding to the pressure on Gold prices, U.S. Treasury yields surged after a disappointing 30-year bond auction.
The upcoming week holds significant weight, with the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading set to influence market dynamics. Investors are keenly observing whether inflation will cool enough to reignite hopes for future rate cuts and ease borrowing costs. As we navigate this landscape, we face a divided opinion among investors, with some anticipating higher rates for an extended period, potentially leading to increased price volatility. How should we position ourselves in the face of these uncertainties as we approach the upcoming week?
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,945 zone will be our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout/retest of this zone will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if selling pressure persists below $1,930, we could witness renewed selling pressure back into the demand zone at the $1,900 zone.
Dive into the latest Gold market dynamics! Discover how escalating Middle East tensions and renewed decline in 10-year Treasury yields and their impact. Stay informed for strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets #USDebt 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn Friday's session, the XAUUSD experienced a slight uptick, closing the week at $1,980 after reaching a high of $1,995. However, this price increase was halted by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, following the release of strong US housing data that led to a modest rise in US Treasuries.
October's Housing Starts showed a 1.9% increase compared to September's 3.1% rise, while Building Permits rose by 1.1% after a 4.5% decline in the previous reading.
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins noted evidence suggesting favorable financial conditions for the Fed and welcomed the recent cooling in inflation. However, she also mentioned that she would not rule out additional firming, which caused some concern in the markets.
Overall, the XAUUSD continues to exhibit a bullish bias.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,980 zone will be our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout/retest of this zone and $1,992 will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if the price breaks down the $1,980 and selling pressure persists below the zone, we could witness renewed selling pressure back into the demand zone at the $1,900 zone.
Dive into the latest Gold market dynamics! Discover how escalating Middle East tensions and renewed decline in 10-year Treasury yields and their impact. Stay informed for strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets #USDebt 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD: Gold's intraday gains were weak
Gold 1990 more profit, European rally 1995 empty!
Gold day up weak, has encountered the pressure of 1998, 1991 near more profit out, strong no longer strong will turn weak, European began to short! So 1995 began to short bear, now the support is 1988, once the break, the depth of the pullback opened! The United States focus on this position support can!
From the trend point of view, gold has gone through 5 waves in 4 hours, and now it encounters the pressure of blocking the day line on the track, and there is adjustment demand! From the rule of thumb, this step back to the Bolin rail position, open a wave of adjustment, and then choose the direction!
Operation suggestion:
Gold:sell@1995 SL 2002, TP 1980
XAUUSD: sell
Since there is no data today, we will only do technical forms. The current trend is still short. It is expected that there will be a wave of decline after the US market opens. You can continue to short and set SL to control risks.
Because the U.S. trading time usually fluctuates greatly, if you make a mistake in judgment, setting SL can also avoid some losses, especially for small capital accounts. You can set it up or not for large capital accounts as you like.
The important resistance today is concentrated in 1998-2006, and the support is 1984-1978. If it falls below, look around 1973-1969. If it breaks upward, the vicinity of 2012 will become a strong resistance.
Of course, if your account funds are enough to support it, you don’t need to set SL, but the lot size must be controlled. When we do transactions, we must first ensure the safety of the principal, and then talk about profits on the premise that the principal is safe!
Gold- Consolidation with bullish perspectivesIn yesterday's post, I wrote that an important level for bulls to watch is the 1990 zone.
After a new test of the waters above 2k, Gold fell in that zone and is now consolidating under this significant 2k milestone.
Both the medium-term and the short-term are bullish and if XauUsd finally has a genuine break above 2k we can expect acceleration.
As said, both medium and short-term trends are bullish, but for the short-term trend to remain like this, the price needs to remain above 1985.
In case of a break under, we can expect a drop to 1975 or even lower.
Gold- Up continuation to test ATH?In my yesterday's comments, I explained why, after the false break of the confluence support there is a high chance of a test of the recent high.
Indeed, XauUsd has risen and tested exactly that point. A correction followed and now the price is consolidating.
The overall structure remains very bullish and traders could look to buy dips around 1990.
If Gold manages to break above yesterday's high, the most obvious target is the old ATH.
A drop under the 1975-1980 zone would put a pause on this scenario.
XAUUSD - Gold rebounded due to the Fund, is it possible to sell?On the night of November 20, today's spot gold price on the world market stood around 1,973 USD/ounce. Gold delivered in December on the Comex New York floor was at 1982 USD/ounce.
The world gold price on the night of November 20 was about 8.2% higher (149 USD/ounce) compared to the beginning of 2023.
World gold tends to continue last week's increase after inflation in the US cooled down. It is likely that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon reverse monetary policy and reduce interest rates.
This week, the Fed will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. Market signals show that the Fed will almost certainly keep interest rates unchanged at its December policy meeting and will likely maintain it at 5.25% - 5.5% until June next year.
The USD on the world market decreased quite quickly. The DXY index - measuring the fluctuations of the greenback against a basket of 6 major currencies, dropped sharply from 104.1 points at the end of last week to 103.6 points at the beginning of the trading session on November 20 on the US market.
XAUUSD Double Top Sell SignalGold (XAUUSD) is failing to break early into today's E.U. session above Friday's High, and that is so far a Double Top. If it holds, it will be a technical rejection sell signal and based on the similarities with the September 01 peak fractal (+3.65% rise, identical 4H RSI patterns), it can complete a drop even a little under the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
With the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) involved this time as the long-term Support and the 4H MA50 (blue) and 4H MA200 (orange) each offering its part as Supports the past 10 days, we will put our target a little higher at 1950.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XAUUSD: Next week's highlights
This week, gold returns close to 40k, gold once rose to 1993 in the case of CPI data, then fell back to 1980 near, next week focus on the 1980 support to break the situation!
Currently there are orders do not know how to operate friends, you can pay attention to me, I will answer for you!
XAUUSD: Trend analysis and operation strategy
Jobless claims helped gold rally again yesterday as data showing a softening labor market, combined with recent inflation data, reinforced the view that the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates further. These negative US economic data exacerbated the decline in US Treasuries, which in turn caused the price of gold to soar. The daily level, the Bollinger band continued to close flat, the surge in international gold prices broke through the resistance of the first line of the medium rail, and successfully stood firm above the medium rail, the morning opening price continued to rise, there is a trend of further higher in the short term, and this wave of rebound prices once again hit $2000 is not a problem. 4 hours, the Bollinger belt opening up, the price of gold to maintain the upward trend of shock, the whole direction is still mainly, the recent trend of gold is relatively strong, the pullback is expected to be not too much, short-term attention to yesterday's rise after the pullback near the low point of support, that is, the 1980 line of support, waiting for the price pullback to do more.
Spot gold operation recommendations:
Strategy 1: Callback 1976-1980 near multiple single entry, stop loss of $6, the target 1992-1995 line;
Strategy 2: Rebound 1995-1992 near the short single entry, stop loss of $6, the target of 1980-1975 line.
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
XAUUSD: SellInitial jobless claims are about to be announced. From a technical perspective, the trend of gold today is biased towards the short side, but there is uncertainty in the data.
If it is negative for gold, then it will follow the trend and have a sharp decline, and it is expected to fall below 1950.
If the data is bullish for gold, there is a high probability that it will fall back after rising, so today we focus on short trading.
If you don’t want to take risks, you can wait until the data is released before trading. Those who like risk-taking can trade short positions in advance to control risks.
Good day and good luck!
GOLD - Gold trading strategy on November 16World gold prices increased today (November 16), but conflicting US inflation data is increasing volatility and risk for precious metal investors.
Traders' and investors' attitudes were more optimistic midweek following reports that the US consumer price index for October increased 3.2% year-on-year. CPI is forecast to increase 3.3% year-on-year, compared to a 3.7% increase in the September report. October PPI fell 0.5% from September compared to expectations of a 0.0% increase. 1% during this period. CPI and PPI data met the expectations of those who wanted to see the Federal Reserve pause its interest rate tightening cycle. Now, many Fed market observers believe that the US central bank will continue to pause interest rate increases in the coming months.
US stock indexes were higher and at multi-week highs in midday trading, following sharp gains posted on Tuesday.
XAUUSD:It has the potential to form a double top
The 1957 support level is confirmed, and the rebound tests the resistance near 1965. If it cannot break through, it will form a double top pattern. If it breaks through and performs a backtest to confirm that the 1965 support is valid, it will rise again and break through 1980.
XAUUSD:Sell 1981-1986, Buy 1969-1963
Hello everyone, welcome to Allen's strategy column.
Yesterday I shared with you today's trading plan, focusing on the resistance from 1974 to 1989, and also talked about the trading direction. I am more inclined to rise. The market is in line with expectations. The support was tested during the Asian and European trading periods, with the lowest at 1961.It has not fallen below 1957, which is very good.
Now it is above 1970, which is very close to the resistance of 1974. If it can be maintained above 1969 before the start of the US market, then there is a very good chance of testing around 1979-1981 when the US market opens. .
Trading signals: Sell 1981-1986, Buy 1969-1963.
If you encounter a problem that cannot be solved, you can tell me and I will try my best to help you.
Good luck to everyone!
gold trading strategy
Today it started to rise after backtesting the support of 1961. Now it faces the resistance of 1974 and is trying to break through. From a morphological point of view, the probability of breakthrough is greater, so the transaction should be to fall back and go long ( 1971, 1969, 1966 ), with the target set at 1979, 1984, 1987.
XAUUSD Retracement almost completed. Sell opportunity.Gold (XAUUSD) took advantage of the lower than expected U.S. CPI and rose aggressively back above both the Channel Down and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but not before hitting our Lower Low target within the Channel Down (see chart below):
Even though this rise is more based on fundamentals than technicals, the price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level where the previous Channel Down break-out formed a top and reversed (September 01 2023). If fundamentals continue to influence the market more, then we might see Gold rise a little more, until the 4H RSI gets close to 80.00, but the upside is limited. You can start selling with a first short-term target the 0.236 Fib ay 1947.50.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Gold looks ripe for a pullbackGold prices rallied nearly 11% over a 3-week period into the cycle highs. Yet the characteristics of its clean, strong bullish move have been replaced with choppy price action since it failed to hold above $2000.
A shooting star formed on Friday following its false break of $2000 to form a lower high on the daily chart. And this was followed by a bearish engulfing day on Monday to show momentum is trying to turn lower.
Given the strength of the initial move, I suspect gold needs to pull back. The highs around $1950 make a ideal initial target for countertrend trade, whilst prices remain beneath Friday's 'shooting star' high.
We can reassess its potential for a swing low if prices pullback and respect support.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Outlook & Trading Plan 🥇
Update for Gold.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed violation of a key horizontal support.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a narrow horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
Its support breakout - 4h candle close below 1931 - will give you a strong intraday confirmation.
A bearish continuation will be anticipated to 1923 / 1916 levels then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD Is the pull-back completed?Almost 10 days ago we made a bold (at the time) bearish call (see chart below) for a short-term pull-back on Gold (XAUUSD) towards the 1W MA50:
The yellow metal has so far responded positively to this call as it dropped below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) to 1945. The Channel Down pattern that emerged is using the 4H MA50 as its Resistance/ Lower Highs trend-line and until it breaks, we should be expecting a continuation. Oversold 4H RSI readings will always give technical bounces like yesterday's but as long as the 4H MA50 holds, it is more likely to see Gold test the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 1933. If the 4H MA50 does break and closes a candle above it, we will buy and target 1995.
Notice how the Channel Down pull-back is similar to the declines of July - August, May and April. The 4H MA50 served as the Resistance and in the case of April, it did test the 4H MA200.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇