XAUUSD: Rebound to 2500 met resistance, will it continue to fallYesterday, the price of gold fell rapidly after breaking the 2500-point integer mark, falling as low as 2470, with a range of 30$. This coincides with my previous point of view. Yesterday, we bought near 2500, stopped loss in time after breaking, and turned to chasing the decline, making up for the loss caused by the buy order and earning 4K.
Now the gold price is near the 2500 mark again. I think this is still a swing level. If it cannot break through, the price will fall again. If it can break through the resistance range of 2500-2508, then the price is likely to try to reach historical highs again.
Relatively speaking, I am more inclined to fall when encountering resistance, but the specific situation still needs to be judged based on the actual situation. If there are any changes, I will inform you as soon as possible.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD:23/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2514, support below 2470
Gold operation suggestions: Gold was under pressure around 2515 yesterday, and retested to 2470. It broke the previous day's starting point of 2485. The strong market broke the low and turned into a volatile consolidation market.
The overall price showed a stage head pattern at the 2530 mark. The daily level was suppressed below the 2520 mark for two consecutive trading days, showing a weak oscillation and decline. Today, the upper strong resistance pressure focuses on the 2500 integer mark. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target continues to focus on breaking the new bottom.
BUY:2484near SL:2480
SELL:2500near SL:2505
SELL:2514near SL:2519
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Will Gold Fall To 2450?Okay Here Is My Today Intraday Plan For Gold Today.
I Wanna Sell Gold Between 2501 - 2507 Zone.I'm Gonna Wait For Market Make The Move First For More Setup.
Currently Price At My First Sell Zone.But This Zone And Time Isn't Comfortable For Me.
So I'm Waiting 😌
If There Any Good Setup I'll Update 😎
GOLD - 1H Sell OpportunityAfter yesterday’s significant drop, OANDA:XAUUSD saw a rise, pushing up to the resistance block order zone. Given the strength of this resistance, there’s a high likelihood that gold could face a strong downward movement from this level, potentially leading to a substantial fall. This setup suggests that the recent uptick might just be a temporary retracement before the next bearish leg.
XAUUSD:Longs closed in the 2488-2496 range
Gold started to rebound after touching the support near 2482-2473. It is still in the rebound stage. From the graph, the resistance of the rebound should appear near 2488-2496. At that time, we need to pay attention to the breakthrough of the resistance.
I think the probability of a direct breakthrough is not high, because when it falls below 2500, it has become a strong resistance again. If you want to return to above it, you need to accumulate strength. Therefore, in the process of long trading, the TP setting should not be too high, and it can be controlled in the range of 2488-2496.
Making money is not something that can be achieved overnight. You can't have the mentality of getting rich at once. A step-by-step trading method will reduce risks, and steady trading can allow us to survive in this market longer.
XAUUSD: Bullish Trend Faces Key Resistance; Short-Term Bearish Daily Chart Analysis:
Ascending Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend over a longer time frame.
The upper trendline acts as resistance, and the lower trendline as support.
Daily LQZ Levels:
Several daily liquidity zones (LQZ) are marked:
2,532.560: Acting as a key resistance level.
2,470.480: Another support level, closer to the current price.
2,416.392: The lowest support level in this view.
Price Action:
The price recently tested the upper trendline and showed signs of pulling back.
The price might test the lower levels, possibly towards 2,470.480 or even 2,416.392.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Rising Wedge Formation:
A rising wedge is forming, often considered a bearish pattern in this context.
The price is near the upper boundary of this wedge and the key resistance at 2,501.939.
Key Levels:
2,501.939: The current resistance level on the 4-hour chart, corresponding to the LQZ.
2,470.480: Support level aligning with the daily chart.
Expectations:
The rising wedge suggests a potential downside move, especially if the price fails to break above 2,501.939.
A break below the wedge could see the price testing the lower LQZ levels.
1-Hour Chart Analysis:
Descending Channel:
The price action shows a descending channel within the broader bullish context.
This indicates a short-term bearish correction within the larger uptrend.
Key Resistance and Support:
2,501.939: The key resistance here also aligns with the 4-hour chart.
2,470.480: Support level, likely to be tested if the bearish momentum continues.
Possible Move:
If the price remains below 2,501.939, it could continue its descent within the channel, testing the 2,470.480 level.
15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Tight Consolidation:
The price is consolidating within a very tight range near the 2,498.410 level.
The consolidation is within the context of a larger descending channel visible in higher time frames.
Potential for Breakout:
Given the proximity to key resistance and support levels, a breakout from this range could lead to a sharp move.
A downside breakout might lead to a test of 2,470.480, while an upside breakout could challenge 2,501.939.
Short-Term Strategy:
Traders might look for a breakout of this consolidation area to position themselves for a quick move towards the aforementioned levels.
5-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Setup:
The 5-minute chart shows the price attempting to break out of a very tight descending wedge.
A bounce off the lower trendline might provide a short-term buying opportunity, while a break below could signal further downside.
Immediate Levels:
2,498.600: Immediate resistance; a break above this level might lead to a quick rally to 2,501.939.
2,470.480: Remains the key support to watch on any downside move.
Summary:
The overall trend on the daily chart remains bullish, but shorter time frames show potential bearish setups, suggesting caution is needed.
Key levels to watch include 2,532.560 on the upside and 2,470.480 on the downside.
In the short term, price action within the 2,498-2,501 range will be crucial to determine the next significant move.
This analysis should provide a comprehensive overview of the XAU/USD pair across different time frames. Let me know if you need further insights or specific strategies based on these charts.
XAUUSD 4hr Long 4hr Long
XAUUSD has been breaking into new highs on our Weekly, Daily and now our 4hr entry time frame. and surfing above our 50/200 EMAs. Price has now had a pullback followed by a valid engulfing pattern. That makes this a good example of the 50ema Valid Engulfing Strategy.
🎯 Entry - 2512.250
💰 Take Profit - 2567.576
❌ Stop Loss - 2493.830
ENDING DIAGONAL ! CORRECTION OR KEEP PUSHING UP ? Last Friday Gold Make The History Again By Making New ATH And That The Psychology Level Of 2500 , And All The Way Up To 2509.8 Marking As New ATH (For Now) By Closing Above 2500 Weekly/Daily And 4H Candles Strongly.
What drives Gold Now ?
No Any Good Resistance
Fundamentals Are Good For Gold
War Is Still Going On
But As My Simple Elliot Wave Annualize Gold Has Make A Ending Diagonal Pattern Here. Ending Diagonal Is Indicating A Reversal Sing Of Gold If Follow Technicals. But Have A Doubt About That Because Of The Behavior Of The Gold Is So High Demand As Same Time. If The Diagonal Break Is Solid Gold Can Again Make A Motive Until Price Reach 2650 .
Will See On Next Week What Will Happen.
Wait For More Update
XAUUSD: 2500 is not broken, so it can continue to be bullishGold Market Fundamentals:
Investors are largely convinced that a rate cut will happen in September, with the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields continuing to decline, providing strong support for gold prices. Revised data from the U.S. Department of Labor reflects growing Fed concerns over the labor market, reinforcing expectations of a rate cut. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the stalled ceasefire negotiations in Gaza are also supporting gold prices.
Fundamentally, the market remains optimistic. Global economic slowdown, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks are all factors supporting gold prices. Meanwhile, increasing expectations of a Fed rate cut are likely to further weaken the U.S. Dollar, creating favorable conditions for gold.
Gold Market Technicals:
On the 1-hour chart, gold prices have repeatedly tested the 2500 level as a key support, and it appears strong, with multiple pullbacks failing to break through. Additionally, the MACD indicator has formed a double golden cross pattern, indicating the potential for further price increases.
Trading Strategy:
Based on the above analysis, we maintain a bullish outlook today. However, close attention should be paid to the 2500 support level. If this level is broken, the pullback could intensify. Therefore, monitor the 2500 support closely, and I will update the strategy in the channel if any changes are needed.
Support Range: 2500-2488, 2460-2475
Resistance Range: 2520, 2531
Intraday Risk Data:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
U.S. August PMI Data
U.S. July Existing Home Sales
Focus on Powell's speech tomorrow
First go long gold, then go short goldHello everyone, because I have been in the hospital for treatment and rehabilitation recently, I have not had time to update my trading ideas in recent days. I have completed all the procedures in the hospital today, and I can participate in the market again from today.
From the overall situation, after gold reached a high of around 2532, the bullish momentum slowed down, and gold showed signs of returning to the technical side, so gold has a need for correction and repair. However, according to the short-term rhythm, gold has been able to rebound in time after falling many times, and it has not effectively broken during the decline, so gold refuses to fall to a certain extent, and the buying force below is strong.
From the overall structure of gold, I currently divide gold into three areas as a whole. At present, gold is running in the first area. According to the profit and loss ratio, in terms of trading, I actually prefer to short gold at a high level; currently, gold has fallen to around 2485 in the short term, which is exactly at the dividing line between the first and second areas, and is also located in the short-term support area. Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we can first consider going long gold in an appropriate amount; when gold rebounds to the middle and upper area of the first area, that is, after it is around 2510, we can then consider shorting gold!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
XAU/USD Monthly Chart Analysis: and Future Target 3000?On the monthly chart of XAU/USD, a classic Cup and Handle formation has developed, with a significant breakout occurring on March 1, 2024. Following this breakout, the price rallied by approximately 24.62%.
To project future price targets, I employed a method of measuring the depth of the cup and adding it to the breakout level. This calculation resulted in a potential price target range of $2,915.24 to $3,000, reflecting a total expected increase of around 42.39%. As of today, August 22, the price has already moved up by 18.81%, leaving a potential upside of 16% to reach the target.
The time projection for achieving this target was derived from the duration taken to complete the Cup pattern, which spanned 108 bars. By dividing this time period by two, I arrived at 54 bars, pinpointing a potential target date of September 1, 2028. Interestingly, there's a coincidental alignment between the breakout date of March 1 and the projected target date of September 1.
However, it’s important to note that financial markets are highly sensitive to news and events, leading to dynamic price movements. The prices are not static and can experience various phases, including uptrends and downtrends. The intention behind this analysis is to identify and track high-time-frame patterns, providing a basis for future projections.
I’ll also be tagging my previous Ethereum prediction, where I forecasted a price movement from $1,500 to $3,500 based on similar logic.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal study and predictions. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
XAUUSD - 4H Gold’s Potential DownturnOANDA:XAUUSD has recently surged to the top of its ascending channel, reaching above the $2,500 level. This move, however, appears to be a liquidity hunt, where the market triggers stops above significant levels before reversing direction. After this liquidity grab, technical analysis suggests a strong possibility of gold retracing within the ascending channel.
Fundamentally, several factors are contributing to the potential downside. The recent easing of tensions in the Israel-Palestine conflict has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, the de-escalation in geopolitical risks generally leads to a pullback in gold prices as investors shift towards riskier assets. Moreover, the broader market sentiment is leaning towards a stronger dollar, especially with expectations of continued monetary tightening by central banks, which could also pressure gold prices downward.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, gold is likely to face a correction back within the channel, with potential support levels around $2,350-$2,400. This retracement would align with the overall market dynamics and investor sentiment shifting away from gold.
Gold Analysis 8_21 Gold has turned bearish and news helped pushed price down . Dollar gaining some strength
and reaching previous days high. Price has taken all the lows of the week and into last Friday.
We could see it touch weekly low but a lot of bearish pressure is in the market.
I'm really focusing on gold now I'm trying to watch it and gain a feel for it more. So far its
rewarding and a learning experience. lol
Looking to see a rally back up to a zone then push back down towards sell side liquidity areound 2451.00
I'm a seller by nature so I'm able to see those much easier. I took my profits and watching the rest until London/NY session.
Follow me for more info.
Risk Mngt #1
XAUUSD:22/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2500-2450
Four-hour resistance 2514, support below 2500-2494
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fluctuated in the range yesterday and was shot down again at 2519. The slight rebound in the Asian and European sessions was under pressure at the 2519 mark, forming multiple suppressions. The European session fell down and broke through the 2500 integer mark to reach 2493 and stabilized and rebounded. After the news was released, the gold price quickly rose and pierced the 2519 mark and fell back.
From the current market trend, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2494, and the pressure above focuses on the vicinity of 2514-2530. Continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day. If it breaks through, trade with the trend.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY2500near SL:2494
BUY:2514near SL:2510
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold Trading Strategy: Resistance at 2520 Reinforces Bearish OutIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could start correcting, and that rallies should be sold. This prediction played out as expected: after attempting to rise above the 2520 mark, the price began to decline, reaching an intraday low just below the critical 2500 level.
Although the bulls tried to regain control, they faltered again around the 2520 level, indicating a strong resistance at this point.
This suggests that a solid ceiling has formed at 2520, and further declines in Gold's price are likely.
As of now, the price is hovering just above 2500, and my strategy remains unchanged: sell during rallies.
The first target for the bears could be the support zone around 2485.
However, in my opinion, if the price decisively breaks below 2500, a more appropriate target would be 2460. This bearish outlook would be negated by a daily close above 2520.
XAUUSD: 2500 points determine the next directionI have some personal matters today, so I don't have time to update you with detailed trading strategies. I will just briefly talk about it.
At present, there is a risk of a correction in gold. If it cannot continue to break the previous high, I will not continue to be bullish. 2500 is a key point. If it breaks, it may adjust downward by 30-50$, so you need to pay special attention.
The above paragraph is what I said in the channel. Now it seems that my guess has been confirmed. Gold does have the risk of falling. The lowest point of this decline is 2493, but it is not an effective break. Now the price is hovering around 2500 points, and there is indeed support near 2500 points.
Now let's see the break near this support. If there is no break, then we will continue to look at the previous high, and if it breaks down, we will be bearish.
Whether 2500 points can support or break is difficult to predict now, so I will give you a trading plan for your reference
If 2500 points support, we will buy, and the target is near the historical high of 2531
If 2500 points break down, we will sell, and currently it is near the previous high of 2480
XAUUSD:21/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis:
4H resistance 2530, support below 2485
1H resistance 2520, support below 2500
The Fed's September rate cut expectations have greatly boosted gold prices. Investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which puts pressure on U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, pushing gold prices to a record high on Tuesday. From a technical point of view, gold prices have been blocked from rushing up to the $2,520 mark many times, and the upward momentum has weakened. Investors need to beware of the possibility of gold prices fluctuating at high levels and building a peak. However, from the daily chart, gold prices are still in the rising stage, and technical indicators have not shown signs of falling, and the overall upward performance remains strong. Pay attention to the support of the 2480 long-short dividing line in the short term.
Gold operation suggestions for the evening:
BUY: 2482-2485, SL: 2475
SELL: 2520-2525, SL: 2530
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold Continues on ATH Bullish Path⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw slight losses on Monday as investors paused after the recent record high, waiting for more clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy plans. Attention is now on the release of the July FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. His comments will be key in guiding expectations for future interest rate cuts, which will influence the US Dollar (USD) and gold's next move.
Meanwhile, the growing belief that the Fed will start easing rates in September, due to signs of cooling inflation, has pushed the USD Index (DXY) to its lowest level since January. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war continue to support gold. However, a positive market sentiment and hopes for a Gaza ceasefire may limit significant gains for XAU/USD. Despite this, the overall outlook favors bulls, with any significant dip likely seen as a buying opportunity.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is currently sideways around $2500, accumulating waiting for FOMC interest rate information on Wednesday. Still supporting the Uptrend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2478 - $2480 SL $2473
TP1: $2495
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2530
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2530 - $2532 SL $2537
TP1: $2520
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👀👉 Our focus is on the XAUUSD, which has exhibited strong bullish momentum on both the daily and 4-hour charts. However, with prices currently encountering a resistance level, we expect a potential retracement towards the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% levels.
This analysis incorporates essential aspects of technical analysis, including trend identification, price action, and market structure. We'll also detail a potential trade setup and discuss strategies that could enhance the probability of success.
Please keep in mind that this analysis is intended for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The observations provided are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. We highly recommend verifying current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation offers a comprehensive review of the prevailing trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it’s crucial to recognize that while the information is educational, it does not assure trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market involves significant risks, and we strongly emphasize the importance of applying sound risk management techniques in all your trading endeavors.
We encourage you to perform extensive research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, be cautious, and approach the markets with a well-crafted strategy. 📊✅