Gold Analysis==>>Falling(Signs)Today's data release included the Core PCE Price Index , Employment Cost Index (ECI) , and Unemployment Claims . Core PCE, the Fed's key measure of inflation, saw slower-than-expected growth, suggesting some cooling in consumer prices. This could lead to a potential moderation in the Fed's rate policy if inflationary pressures continue to ease.
The ECI also grew slower than forecasts, indicating wage growth remains somewhat controlled, which also alleviates inflationary concerns. Meanwhile, the higher-than-expected unemployment claims hint at challenges in the labor market.
According to the recent economic data and the possible reduction of inflationary pressures, the desire to reduce the interest rate has increased, and this has caused the price of gold to decrease . Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is attractive as a safe-haven asset in times of high inflation, and deflation has reduced its demand.
Regarding Technical Analysis , Gold started to fall, as I expected in the previous post.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed main wave 5 , and we should wait for Corrective Waves .
One sign of a further decrease in Gold can be the formation of a Bump and Run Reversal Top Pattern , which is currently in the Run phase .
I expect Gold to continue its downward trend due to the high momentum of the decline experienced in the previous hours. Drop targets can be the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) in the first step and then the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdsignal
NFP Set to Rock Gold: Last Opportunity for a Well-Timed ShortMarket analysis: Brothers, today's gold market continues to be bearish! The short orders arranged before the release of yesterday's data have brought us a lot of benefits, and we have seized the lucrative profits of the decline in gold. Tonight, heavy data will be released one after another: the US October non-farm employment data, unemployment rate and ISM manufacturing PMI index will form a triple impact on the gold market.
These data are expected to put bearish pressure on gold, but considering the sharp drop the day before, today's downside may be limited because the market has partially digested the bad news. Therefore, today may be the last short-selling opportunity this week. Next week, with the landing of the US election, the market is expected to turn to favor gold.
So how to arrange it, you can look at the candlestick chart, 2756-2758 is currently an important pressure point, so the strategy before the data is released is to short the market near this pressure point!
Trading strategy:
Layout before data release: short in the key pressure area of gold
Take profit target: 2735-2740
Stop loss setting: 2770
Strategy ideas to follow the trend: As the last trading day of this week, we will arrange short orders before the data is released, and start to arrange long orders next week to follow the trend.
Detailed strategies and operation points have been released to each VIP member. If you need further guidance, please join the VIP group to get exclusive strategies!
XAUUSD: NFP//Short-first, Then-longAfter the initial rebound from a significant drop, it appears the market is ready for a secondary retest of the bottom support range. Keep a close eye on the 2742-2732 support zone. Should prices drop into this range before the data release, and if the data turns bearish, expect further downside with targets in the 2718-2712 range; in case of a stronger bearish impulse, prices may fall to the 2708-2703 region.
Alternatively, if the data supports bullish movement, prices could rise above 2760. Given recent data, bearish probability seems higher, so a “short-first, then-long” strategy is advised, with careful attention to entry and exit points.
wait NEW ATH 2771 ! positive from the market XAU ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Expectations of a more moderate rate cut by the Federal Reserve and concerns about deficit spending after the US election should help support US bond yields and the USD. Additionally, a positive sentiment in global equity markets is keeping Gold prices in check. Investors also appear cautious ahead of key US data releases this week, including the Advance Q3 GDP, PCE Price Index, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Break trendline H1 - buyers push the price to continue waiting for a new ATH in the near future at 2771
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL $2778
TP1: $2765
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2740
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2742 - $2739 SL $2735
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2760
TP3: $2771
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold- Where to sell for down continuationOver the past 10 days, I’ve consistently noted that OANDA:XAUUSD is primed for a significant drop, especially after its 2,000-pip gain over 20 days.
A strong correction is both healthy and expected.
Yesterday, after a brief new all-time high, Gold dropped sharply, declining roughly 600 pips from top to bottom.
Despite this correction, I believe there’s more downside potential ahead.
I’m planning to sell rallies, especially around the broken confluence support zone, where I’m watching for entry signals.
My overall target remains a drop below 2700, with 2690 as a strong support level to test.
Bears are strong, follow the trendGold fell sharply on Thursday, and the current price fell below the previous low. The key is whether it can continue today. Today is the first day of the monthly line change, and the amplitude space is large. The probability of covering this month is very high. The four-hour rebounded at the lower track support, breaking the bottom as a whole. It is currently in a weak rebound, and the overall situation is short!
Gold fell sharply in the NY market yesterday, and the daily high fell and covered. Gold still has downward momentum after the rebound. Gold in the Asian session continues to be short, and plans to be around 2758! The rebound is to give a better opportunity to short. Today's non-agricultural data, gold shorts will continue to exert their strength, and we will remain cautious in trading.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a dead cross downward, then the downward space of gold will continue to open up.
Trading strategy:
2727~2758 range sell high and buy low. But exit the market before the release of NFP data, and wait for the market to stabilize before trading
2787 ! ATH XAU heading in today⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reach a new record high during Wednesday’s Asian session as US election uncertainties and ongoing Middle East conflicts drive demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, a slight drop in US Treasury yields and a softer USD further support the precious metal, outweighing the upbeat market sentiment, which would typically limit Gold's appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend continues to maintain - positive from the market before the November 5 US presidential election. Aiming for the price range 2787 - 2800
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2787 - $2789 SL $2792
TP1: $2783
TP2: $2778
TP3: $2770
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2801 - $2803 SL $2808
TP1: $2795
TP2: $2780
TP3: $2760
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2755 - $2757 SL $2750
TP1: $2762
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2780
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
What Should You Do if You Hold Long Positions Between 2770-2750?Today, influenced by negative data, gold experienced a significant drop. After completing the take profit on my short positions, I entered long trades. I believe many of you are in a similar situation, holding long positions in the 2767-2730 range, which has led to our accounts being in a trapped state.
However, after such a large decline, a market rebound is inevitable. As long as we hold our positions firmly, we can at least expect a rebound to around 2760. Additionally, tomorrow's NFP data and unemployment rate will be released, along with several other minor data points that will certainly contribute to increased market volatility.
If the price rebounds to around 2760 before the data is published, then under negative data conditions, it is likely to drop again. However, if the price does not rebound to this level, gold will not drop too much under negative data, with 2721-2712 being an acceptable range.
In this context, next week's trading will definitely focus on long positions. So, if your orders are also in a trapped state, there’s no need to worry too much. The market always has its ups and downs; stay confident and seize the opportunities for a rebound. In the end, we will achieve better results.
GOLD NEW BUYING ZONE FOR A NEW ATH !!!HELLO TRADERS
As I can |Gold chart is still holding in uptrend after ATH it have to retrace and its opening of new moth that can grab some more liquidity from trend zone a make a massive move if geopolitical issues not solved even with TRUMP Gov which seems impossible as we can see Russia and north Korea both are pushing more in Ukraine and Iran also show that it have a great Defense Tecnology which is now an issue for Iseral fundamental are bad around the world and us economy also shrinking day by day Bricks Trade will give a big problem to $ incoming days technically FIBO GOLDEN VALUE 0.618AND 0.5 ALSO HAVE TO TEST and the uptrend line is another clue charts always talk it just need someone who can understand friends it's just a trade idea on daily based perdition not a financial advice make a proper analysis before taking any trade Stay Tuned for more updates
NFP Ahead: Targeted Short Strategy for Optimal GainsMarket Insight: Great work today on capturing profits with the short trade, everyone! My VIP members and I have made impressive gains. If you're interested in continuing to secure these returns, reach out to me directly—we’re setting up for a major strategic move.
With most key economic releases for the week showing bearish outcomes, tomorrow brings one more critical release: the U.S. October Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which is highly likely to impact gold negatively. We’ll continue focusing on short positions for the remainder of this week. Looking ahead, however, as the U.S. election concludes next week, we anticipate a potential shift, at which point we’ll pivot to long strategies to capture possible upside momentum.
Current Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Level: Short gold at 2740
Take-Profit Target: 2730
Stop-Loss: 2750
Exclusive Member Strategy Update: This strategy will only be shared once today. For tomorrow’s detailed NFP trading plan, I’ll be providing specific guidance exclusively to my VIP members. If you’d like to join and get access to tailored strategies, reach out now!
Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
$2802 ! New ATH heading to XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade within a narrow range in the Asian session on Thursday, consolidating recent record highs. The US Dollar (USD) finds some support as it recovers from a corrective slide, fueled by strong economic data and expectations of a gradual rate-cut approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Rising US Treasury yields, spurred by fiscal deficit concerns, and slightly overbought technical conditions limit further gains for Gold.
Traders are cautious, awaiting the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index and the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday for insights into the Fed's rate trajectory. Despite these factors, any significant pullback for Gold remains unlikely amid continued safe-haven demand driven by US election uncertainty and Middle East tensions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
still a short-term and long-term uptrend - next target $2802, FOMO from the market may last all week before the November 5 election
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2802 - $2804 SL $2809
TP1: $2795
TP2: $2780
TP3: $2770
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2757 - $2755 SL $2750
TP1: $2762
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2780
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅.
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Shorting Range: 2796-2807The market is currently closed. On the 2-hour chart, there are three long lower shadows, indicating strong support below. Although the MACD indicator is facing a bearish crossover, the presence of this strong support suggests a potential for a second surge in volume.
Therefore, during tomorrow's Asian and European trading sessions, if the support level in the 2780-2776 range holds, gold is likely to break above the 2790 high and test the psychological level of 2800.
Additionally, tomorrow during the U.S. session, we will have the initial jobless claims data released, which I expect to have a bearish impact on gold. Consequently, the overall trading strategy for tomorrow will be to go long first and then short later.
The trading range will be set with 2796-2807 as the high range and 2772-2767 as the low range.
Data is approaching: Plan short-selling strategies in advanceMarket Analysis: With the upcoming release of the “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 26” and the “U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for September,” we anticipate significant market volatility in gold. My personal forecast leans towards a bearish impact on gold prices, especially given the positive indicators from various economic data released in October. Thus, the likelihood of tonight’s data being bearish for gold is high. We can proactively establish a short position ahead of the data release.
Pre-Data Release Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Range: Short gold between 2780-2782
Take-Profit Target: 2772
Stop-Loss: 2790
Risk Management and Operational Advice: Post-data release, if profits are realized, it’s advisable to take immediate profits, as the market may reverse following the data announcement. I will also provide subsequent trading strategies after the data is released, so please stay tuned for updates to adapt your trading approach.
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal.
The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support.
I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
Gold Price Analysis October 31Fundamental Analysis
The US Dollar (USD) attracted some buying on the dip and now appears to have halted its corrective slide from three-month highs amid bets on a slower pace of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), supported by strong economic data. This, coupled with concerns over the growing US fiscal deficit, continued to push US Treasury yields higher and limited the upside in the non-yielding yellow metal as it remained mildly overbought on the daily chart.
Traders also appeared reluctant to place fresh bullish bets on Gold, opting to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. In addition, the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday will be looked at for clues on the Fed's interest rate outlook, which will boost demand for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis
After a strong reaction around 2771, the session port zone was formed and is the immediate support level today for gold prices to react. 2756-2758 is noted in the area after which is a notable break point. In the resistance direction, SELL orders are not very favored. Ahead is the ATH level 2789, which is not too trustworthy, the second level around the port in 2799-2801. With the next resistance point, pay attention to the psychological level 2810. Wish everyone a successful trading with my analysis.
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
XAU ! 10/30 ! Bulls dominate - continue to make ATHXAU / USD trend forecast October 30, 2024
Gold opened the week slightly lower, down 0.15%, pressured by rising US Treasury yields as markets gear up for significant US economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. Traders are also watching the November 5 US election closely, with FiveThirtyEight showing Trump's odds at 52%, versus 48% for Vice President Kamala Harris, though she maintains a narrow lead in most national polls.
Strong uptrend - helping gold reach highest ATH 2782. Uptrend maintained going forward - Higher ATH: 2787 - 2800
/// SELL XAU : zone 2800-2803
SL: 2808
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2773)
Safe and profitable trading
Strategic Short Positioning at ResistanceAnalysis: Today’s U.S. ADP employment data revealed a significant downside surprise, typically bearish for gold. However, gold prices have held steady, underscoring the strong fundamental support from factors such as geopolitical tensions and the lack of selling pressure. The market's reluctance to react sharply suggests the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. Despite this, gold sits at elevated levels, and while today’s data may not have triggered an immediate reaction, there’s an expectation of selling pressure as the U.S. trading session opens. Thus, our strategy focuses on initiating short positions to capitalize on potential pullbacks.
Trade Strategy:
Entry: Short gold between 2778-2780
Take-Profit Target: 2770
Mindset: Remain confident in the short strategy, stay composed, and await the gradual absorption of bearish data. Execute with discipline to optimize returns.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.