Downtrend continues - GOLD slows down⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) faces heavy selling pressure heading into Wednesday’s European session, dropping to near $2,700, marking a nearly three-week low. With Republican nominee Donald Trump leading the US presidential race and likely to become the 47th president, the US Dollar is seeing a strong rally, spurring sell-offs in gold.
Concerns over deficit spending and expectations for a less aggressive rate cut from the Federal Reserve are also driving US Treasury yields higher, diverting interest from the non-yielding gold. Additionally, a risk-on mood—shown by a strong rally in US equity futures—suggests a downward trend may continue for XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The election results pushed gold prices back to the support price range of 2700, a recovery in correction mode. Still maintaining the upcoming gold support zone: 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2748 - $2750 SL $2755
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2725
TP3: $2715
note scalping support: 2713
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2695
TP1: $2708
TP2: $2715
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD (GOLD): Is it bearish?!As you can see the 4H chart is Bullish.
but the 15 minutes chart is bearish and till the previous high respected we stay bearish on chart and expect the 15 min supply zone act as a resistance.
So we can expect the price has a bearish reaction to supply zone and we can enter to the sell position with 5 or 1 min. confirmation at 15 min supply zone.
XAU! 11/6! Gold price down - soon to $2700XAU / USD trend forecast November 6, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to build on Tuesday's rebound from the $2,725-2,724 region, hovering between small gains and losses in Wednesday's Asian session. Rising demand for the US Dollar, fueled by exit polls showing Donald Trump leading in key swing states, poses a challenge for gold. Additionally, a strong rise in US Treasury yields and a risk-on market mood put further pressure on the non-yielding metal. However, expectations of heightened volatility around the US election results prevent traders from taking strong bearish positions, which should help contain any significant downside for gold.
After clearing the liquidity of the 2748-2750 price range, the gold price is still moving in the 2730-2745 price range. The election results will create a positive and optimistic financial market. The gold price cools down - drops to 2700
/// SELL XAU : zone 2742-2745
SL: 2750
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2715)
Safe and profitable trading
Short-term recovery for a stronger downward correction⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) sees new selling pressure during Tuesday’s Asian session, dipping to over a one-week low near $2,725-2,724, though the downside appears limited. The uncertainty around the tight US presidential election and potential escalation of Middle East tensions could keep supporting this safe-haven asset.
Additionally, the unwinding of "Trump trades" and expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates further due to a slowing US labor market have pushed US Treasury yields lower. This has prevented the US Dollar from extending its overnight recovery and may continue to limit any significant pullback in Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The downward adjustment trend still maintains the H1 and H4 frames. If you want a stronger decrease - a short-term recovery in the downtrend in the price range 2747 - 2761 is more expected. Current selling volume is slowing down due to support zones blocking it
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2748 - $2750 SL $2753 scalping
TP1: $2743
TP2: $2737
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2762 - $2764 SL $2769
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2717
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2716 - $2714 SL $2709
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU/ USD! 11/5! Gold short term recovery! Aiming for target2705XAU / USD trend forecast November 5, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers from an intraday dip, holding near $2,735 with little change heading into Tuesday's European session. Safe-haven demand driven by the close US presidential race and potential for increased Middle East tensions supports the metal. Additionally, as traders pull back from the "Trump trade" and anticipate further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve amid a cooling US job market, US Treasury yields decline. This has led to renewed US Dollar selling, adding further support for gold as global equity markets maintain a cautious outlook.
Election results approaching - slight recovery before sharp decline, heading towards 2705
/// BUY XAU : zone 2734-2731
SL: 2726
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2761)
Safe and profitable trading
Going Long on Gold During the Election PeriodTomorrow, gold is expected to experience significant volatility, as market sentiment may be influenced by a range of events, particularly the outcome of the elections. Based on the current technical setup, my plan is to maintain a bullish bias in the short term, especially if gold continues its upward trend. However, if the election results turn out to be unfavorable for the bulls and the market reverses, I will add short positions to my existing bullish trades to capitalize on potential downside risks. I will closely monitor price movements and adjust my strategy based on market reactions.
Additionally, after the end of this week, given the increasing market uncertainty, my focus will shift to short positions, with the aim of targeting the 2686-2652 range. This area is likely to provide strong support and will be an important level to watch.
XAUUSD: Bullish trendToday, gold has tested the support at the 2732-2728 range again. So far, the support remains intact, and the short-term trend is still leaning towards a bullish outlook. Based on this, the primary trading direction in the current session remains bullish.
From a technical perspective, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum in the near term. The key resistance zone to watch on the upside is between 2750 and 2758. It is worth noting that a resistance level has emerged around 2745 since the market opened yesterday.
However, given the overall trend, this resistance does not pose a strong technical barrier at the moment, and a breakout above this level is not expected to face significant difficulty.
Therefore, if gold can break above the 2745 level, there is a high likelihood of further gains towards the 2750-2758 range.
XAU/USD 05 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 04 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
Price followed this expectation, reaching the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Subsequently, price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Internal structure has also been confirmed.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at either premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Gold Analysis==>>Falling ContinuesGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already started falling from the Resistance zone($2,751-$2,746) and the Resistance line ( in the 15-minute time frame ).
According to Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed main wave 4 , which has a structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,734-$2,731) , and if the Support zone breaks , we can confirm the end of main wave 4 , and most likely, Gold will fall to $2,721 .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold stays strong amid the US election and Fed rate cuts.Early on Tuesday morning, the latest developments surrounding the U.S. presidential election showed that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in each of the seven swing states, although the margin is very narrow. A survey by AtlasIntel revealed that Trump holds the widest margin in Arizona, with 52.3% compared to Harris's 45.8%.
This update seems to have helped the U.S. dollar halt its decline, keeping gold prices in USD at a low level. Furthermore, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have also supported the dollar.
Personal opinion:
Gold prices remain steady, fluctuating between $2,730 and $2,748, with no catalyst pushing them outside this range. While the RSI still indicates bullish momentum, buying pressure seems to be easing. For continued gains, gold buyers need to reclaim the key $2,750 level, which could lead to a target of $2,790. However, a daily close below $2,750 could signal further weakness.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2715 - 2713
SL: 2708
Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749
SL: 2754
Sell Zone: 2761 - 2763
SL: 2768
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2750-2758Gold has once again tested support without breaking it, indicating short-term upward momentum. During the Asian and European sessions tomorrow, consider focusing on low buys, with resistance continuing to be monitored around the 2750-2758 area.
The upcoming election news during the US session is likely to have a significant impact on the market, so while seizing opportunities, be mindful of potential risks.
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
XAUUSD: Can Gold Return to 2780?On Friday, gold prices experienced a slight decline, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields. However, weaker-than-expected U.S. job growth fueled market speculation for a Fed rate cut, cushioning gold’s decline.
In October, due to hurricane disruptions and an aerospace industry strike, U.S. nonfarm payrolls saw a modest gain of just 12,000 jobs, marking the smallest increase since December 2020. Although the dollar initially retreated, it closed up 0.4%, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rebounded from early losses, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Gold prices returned to the support zone, aligning with prior predictions. Current chart patterns suggest a potential “W” bottom, signaling bullish prospects, with short-term indicators pointing to a likely upward move. However, a mid-term bottom pattern has yet to form, and bulls should watch for resistance around 2750 in Monday’s trading, as a retest of support remains possible.
With the U.S. election approaching and reports of a potential retaliatory move by Iran against Israel, multiple uncertainties hover over the market. Coupled with a lackluster jobs report, many analysts now see a near 100% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut next week.
While rate cut expectations might bolster gold bulls, this scenario could already be priced in, meaning gold prices may potentially drop in response to the rate decision. Ahead of this, the U.S. election on Tuesday and initial jobless claims on Thursday will be key factors influencing gold.
In summary, a turbulent week lies ahead for gold, with investors encouraged to remain vigilant and approach trades with caution.
Gold rebounds ahead of U.S. elections, market cautious on Fed.Gold prices have halted their adjustment from the record high of $2,790 set on Friday, as the U.S. dollar faces strong selling pressure. The gap opened lower following the latest poll results regarding the U.S. elections, which showed Kamala Harris surpassing Donald Trump in Iowa, marking a significant shift. The presidential race between the two candidates is intensifying, with Americans set to vote on Tuesday.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury yields are also declining due to market caution and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, which has supported non-yielding gold prices.
Personal opinion:
Gold prices are heavily influenced by the U.S. elections and the economic situation. Kamala Harris leading in the polls might make investors feel more optimistic. The drop in bond yields also indicates that people are looking for safe places to invest, increasing gold's appeal during this uncertain time.
Pay attention to price levels:
Buy zone: 2727 - 2725
SL: 2720
Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749
SL: 2754
Sell Zone: 2760 - 2762
SL: 2767
Gold retracement to 2717Gold to retracement 2717 is the next step on xauusd, as dollar falls to euro going upwards and Au going a bit down in price in the market, maybe you can short even more Xaueur, not sure (cause I didn't make the analysis) at the spot (euro)
Gold going down, euro going up, and usd going down, be careful with the elections day
Gold's Local Minimum: A Magnet for Price Action?So, the trading week is behind us, and it’s time to kick back a bit, assess the price action, and build a trading plan for the upcoming week, keeping the main drivers in mind. Today, let’s focus on Gold.
Looking at the COT reports: there’s a divergence between the positions of the Commercials and the movement of the underlying asset.
What does that mean? It suggests that hedgers don’t see the need to increase their hedge positions (in the case of Gold, that means short positions). The interpretation here is that there’s a high probability of a correction in the underlying asset.
Retail positions show an average aggregated long position around $2707 (according to open-source data). So, for now, the average positions are in the green, which means the bulls are feeling good, but that’s not all... Remember that level $2707; we’ll come back to it later.
The options sentiment is mixed, with some repositioning in portfolios targeting both up and down, but with a slight bias. The specifics of these adjustments tell me that a correction is expected, but overall, the options traders still see the trend moving upward.
Now, let’s take a look at the chart and summarize.
Remember that level $2707 I mentioned earlier? Let’s find it on the chart. Oops... turns out that’s a local minimum. So, here’s the deal: there’s a level with liquidity (open positions + local minimum), in other words, we have a "magnet" that will definitely attract the prices.
Personally, I stick to a trading strategy of not trading against the trend, even if a correction is confirmed by my analysis. But for some, that potential downside might look appealing enough to open a short position.
Good Luck and Have a Nice Weekend!