Holding Strong: Why It's Time to Bet on Gold's Decline
There isn't much to add—I'm currently stuck in a short position on gold, but I remain convinced that a downturn is imminent. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bearish divergence, and I don’t believe it will break through the $2700 mark easily. As a result, I’m consistently increasing my short positions, waiting for the profit window to open.
Trust me, buying in at this level is as foolish as selling below $2610.
If you're holding short positions, stay firm. If you're holding long, it might be time to take profits. Greed rarely rewards anyone in the long run in the markets.
Xauusdshort
Gold price analysis US session September 26Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices struggled to find a solid intraday direction on Thursday, hovering below the all-time highs reached the previous day. Bets on another aggressive rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) failed to help the US Dollar (USD) capitalize on the previous day’s solid recovery from its YTD lows and support the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, rising tensions in the Middle East and concerns over China’s economic recovery, despite the latest stimulus plans, acted as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal.
However, bullish traders appeared reluctant to press ahead, preferring to wait for further signals on the Fed’s rate cut path before placing fresh bets on Gold prices. Therefore, the focus will remain on the speeches of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, which will play an important role in influencing the USD price dynamics in the short term. In addition, US macro data - the final Q2 GDP report, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Ordinary Durable Goods Orders - will contribute to creating short-term trading opportunities around XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
The 2689-2691 zone becomes an important resistance zone today to prevent gold from sliding further. we are waiting for SELL signal in that area and retracement of gold price will be expected at 2660 and support level 2640
SELL GOLD 2689-2691 Stoploss 2694
BUY GOLD 2640-2638 Stoploss 2635
BUY GOLD 2660-2658 Stoploss 2655
XAUUSD: How long can the bull market sustain its momentum?
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, gold has been on a persistent upward trajectory. After breaking through the key 2600 level, it is now approaching the 2700 mark. Over the past couple of days, it has consolidated above 2650, leaving short positions severely pressured. While bulls celebrate, bears are licking their wounds. I believe that after enduring this challenging phase, bears will stage a strong, retaliatory comeback.
Thus, the best strategy now is patience. Wait for the right moment—if you’ve missed the bull's rally, don’t miss the bear’s counterattack.
Strong XAU Uptrend! wait ATH 2683⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from record highs on Wednesday, dropping to around $2,655 in the European session. A risk-on sentiment and overbought conditions led to profit-taking, while a slight US Dollar uptick added pressure. However, expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing may limit the USD's strength, supporting gold.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and US political uncertainty ahead of the November election also help contain gold's downside. Traders await further clues on the Fed's rate-cut path, with attention on FOMC speeches, including Fed Chair Powell's on Thursday, and the US PCE Price Index on Friday. metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still a strong bullish force reaching the all-time highest ATH of 2670. The fomo from the market may continue throughout this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2620
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2683 - $2685 SL $2690
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: What Should You Do If Your Short Position Is Trapped?
Recently, I've maintained a short position in gold, admittedly missing out on the recent upward momentum. However, at the current levels, I have no intention of chasing the rally. Instead, I will continue to hold my bearish outlook, waiting for a pullback to the 2580-2550 zone.
Chasing the price at this stage poses unnecessary risks, as technical indicators suggest the potential for a retracement. The focus remains on capturing profits as the price corrects, reaffirming my commitment to the short strategy.
ATH XAU ! 2645 ! Continuing uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new all-time high during Tuesday's Asian session but saw limited follow-through as traders await more clarity on the Fed's rate-cut plans. The focus is now on upcoming FOMC speeches and Friday's US PCE Price Index release.
Expectations for further Fed easing, which has limited the US Dollar's recovery after last week's large rate cut, support gold. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, US political uncertainty, and economic slowdown fears also continue to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's PMI news - gold price continued to positively increase, creating a new ATH. Today, the new ATH trend continues to increase slightly - then it needs to decrease to get liquidity - stabilizing the market
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2591 - $2589 SL $2584
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2599
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2600
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Analysis==>>End of the Rally!!!Gold entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 5 . One sign of this completion is the breaking of the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
It should be noted that the Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will be published today, and we expect Gold to react when it is published .
I expect Gold to drop at least $2,590 in the next hours, and if the Support line breaks, we should wait for Gold to drop to the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
GOLD H1 Analysis | ShortHello, everyone!
I’m excited to share my analysis for today on XAU/USD. As we dive into the market, I see a potential opportunity to go short, and I want to walk you through my thought process. It’s crucial to approach trading with a clear strategy, so let’s break this down together!
Market Overview
Gold has always been a safe haven asset, and its movements can be influenced by various factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in interest rates. As we analyze the current market conditions, I believe that there’s a compelling case for a short position.
Technical Analysis
Upon reviewing the latest charts, we’ve identified several key resistance levels that indicate a strong potential for downward movement. Look at the price action over the last few days—there’s been a noticeable rejection at the higher levels, suggesting that sellers are stepping in.
Resistance Level: We've observed a solid resistance at , which has held firm against bullish attempts.
Support Levels: Watch for potential support around . This can help us manage our risk effectively.
Risk Management
As we consider entering a short position, risk management is paramount. Remember, no trade is worth compromising your account. Here are some guidelines:
Position Sizing: Determine your risk per trade based on your total account balance. A common approach is to risk no more than 1-2% on any single trade.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just above the resistance level to limit potential losses.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Aim for a minimum RRR of 1:2 or 1:3. This means for every dollar you risk, you should target at least two or three dollars in profit.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the technical indicators suggest a good opportunity to short XAU/USD, it’s essential to proceed with caution. Always adhere to your trading plan, utilize proper risk management techniques, and maintain discipline.
Let’s work together, share insights, and keep each other accountable as we navigate this market. If you have any questions or additional thoughts on this analysis, feel free to share!
Happy trading, everyone! 💰📉
World gold prices continue to increase, reaching new ATH💵 XAUUSD 💵
➡️GOLD yesterday continued to increase above 263x then decreased again and reacted around the 262x area from last night to the present.
Today I will continue to watch Sell Gold Over 3x according to RSI's reaction. Buy on large frames and reaction patterns Resistance and Support above.
➡️ Everyone, please refer to the Plan for Today 💵Sell Gold 2631-2634
❌SL 2637
✔️TP 2624>261x
⚠️If Buy Today I will wait below 261x.
-----
Forecast
Gold continues to benefit from the Fed continuing to cut interest rates twice before Christmas; Unstable geopolitics, inflation...
In addition to the Fed, central bank meetings in Switzerland and Sweden are expected to cut interest rates this week, when most global central banks will begin their easing cycle. liquid parallel to the Fed.
Investors are now waiting for signals from the Fed and the US economy will report this week as a series of Fed members, most notably Chairman Jerome Powell, will speak in the coming days.
PCE price index data - the Fed's favored inflation measure - will also be released on Friday and will likely influence the central bank's plans to cut interest rates further./.
XAU in correction range as it hits ATH 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained traction during the Asian session on Thursday, breaking a two-day losing streak and halting the pullback from its recent record high. The US Dollar's recovery following the Federal Reserve meeting lost momentum after a brief rise, which supported renewed demand for gold. Additionally, concerns over potential economic slowdowns in both the US and China, along with escalating tensions in the Middle East, boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the Federal Reserve signaled a cautious approach to large interest rate cuts, leading to a rise in US Treasury yields, which may limit further gains for gold. Traders are now awaiting key US economic data, including Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Existing Home Sales, for additional direction.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price completed the upward cycle reaching the expectation of $2,600 - within the H1 frame's downward cycle, moving within two H1 trend lines.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2531 - $2529 SL $2524
TP1: $2545
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2573
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2575 - $2573 SL $2578 scalping
TP1: $2568
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2590
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Rally Slows, Pullback Imminent
Since yesterday, gold has been fluctuating within the 2615-2635 range, with the bullish momentum clearly slowing down. In my view, it is likely to decline to 2606 by Friday at the latest.
Why 2606? This level serves as a key support in the ongoing upward trend. A healthy trend relies on robust technical support levels, which is the foundation of my prediction.
Continue to sell, and patiently wait for the price to drop, allowing the profits to materialize.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Short Trade Setup - 1:10 RRI'm am currently in a short position on Gold (XAU/USD) as the price shows signs of weakening after a steady uptrend.
Entry: 2627.79
Stop Loss (SL): 2635.6 (above recent highs and trendline)
Take Profits (TP):
TP 1: 2615.24 (Move SL to breakeven)
TP 2: 2615.305 (support level close to TP 1)
TP 3: 2586.490 (significant support zone)
TP 4: 2575.1 (deeper retracement level)
Full TP: 2546.86 (ultimate downside target, aligning with a previous major low)
The trade is based on the idea of a rejection near resistance and trendline breakout. I’m expecting a pullback towards the previous lows, supported by multiple levels of take profit to secure gains as the trade progresses.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550
Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades.
If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.
GOLD - only single area, what's next??#GOLD.. .perfect move as per our prediction.
And now market have one n single resistance area that is 2635
Keep close that area and stay sharp.
If market holds 2635 in that case you can see a drop below and one thing is keep mind that 2635 above we have cut n reverse stop.
Stay sharp.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Short - Topped out for nowIdea primarely based on different "time" indicators. Additionally based on todays price action, even there are still lots of people short I believe we topped out Gold for a few days at least and should see some downturn momentum. Fundamental says "Iran wants to ease tensions with Israel" ... Russia is anyways priced in. PMI was kinda bad but I guess, already priced in?
ATH XAU ! 2638 and adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) hit a record high on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar and expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Traders are watching the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, due later Monday. A stronger-than-expected result could strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Buying pressure is still strong - wait for new ATH areas: 2638 then steadily reduce liquidity below
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2596
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2630
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2638 - $2640 SL $2645
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2602
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest