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Xauusdsetup

Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery. Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning. The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook. Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
Don't trade XAU/USD in the middleGold is currently in a phase where it’s too early to establish an uptrend channel, but the conditions are ripening for a retest of its previous all-time high in the $2,793 area. What’s crucial at this stage is the formation of a rounded bullish pattern, which could set the stage for further upward momentum. Short-Term Movement: Retest and Cooling Down Retest of $2,793: A rally to retest the $2,793 level appears likely, as gold capitalizes on recent bullish momentum. Cooling Phase: After rejecting the all-time high, gold could cool down, first retreating to the $2,650 zone, and then further to $2,550. This corrective move will allow the market to consolidate before the next significant push. Two Possible Scenarios for 2025–2026: Scenario 1: Bullish Channel and New High by April 2025 Timeline: Between January and February 2025, XAU/USD could start forming a clear bullish channel. Target: This structure could lead to a new all-time high in the $2,800–$2,900 range by March–April 2025. Outlook: This scenario represents a continuation of the bullish trend with steady growth. Scenario 2: Prolonged Range and Significant Drop by 2026 Timeline: Gold may remain in a range-bound phase until November 2025, oscillating between key levels ($2,700-$2,500) Target: A lack of upward momentum during this time increases the probability of a significant decline to $2,300 by May 2026. Outlook: This scenario reflects market exhaustion after prolonged consolidation, leading to a bearish correction. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,793 (ATH), $2,800–$2,900 (potential new high). Support: $2,650, $2,550 (corrective phases), $2,300 (long-term bearish target). Summary: XAU/USD is preparing for a retest of the $2,793 all-time high, followed by a likely cooling phase to $2,650–$2,550. Beyond this, gold’s trajectory depends on its ability to establish a bullish channel in early 2025: Bullish Outcome: New ATH of $2,800–$2,900 by April 2025. Bearish Outcome: Prolonged range followed by a drop to $2,300 by May 2026. Traders and investors should monitor key levels and the market’s ability to build a rounded bullish pattern to gauge the next significant move.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by QuantumFusionWave
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 05 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Market Analysis 12/04Yesterday, gold tested the 2635 support multiple times without breaking below it. At one point, prices rose above 2650, which aligns with our expectations. During this consolidation, long positions were quite profitable. Current Market Outlook: The consolidation range is gradually narrowing, and today we are likely to see a breakout in one direction. If prices break upward, the previous high around 2666 will act as a new resistance. If prices break downward, gold could return to around 2625. 2628 remains an important support level to watch. Key Factors to Monitor: Technical Levels: Support at 2635, 2628, and 2625. Resistance at 2666. Geopolitical Considerations: Keep an eye on the situation in Syria. While the current geopolitical developments have not shown significant positive news for gold bulls, unexpected events could still have an impact on the market. Risk management is crucial, especially with potential geopolitical volatility. Risk Management: Ensure appropriate stop-loss orders are in place, especially given the uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape. Conclusion: Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, and a breakout in either direction is imminent. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy based on market developments and technical signals. Let me know if you have any questions or need further assistance!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD Potentially BearishOANDA:XAUUSD topped out at almost 2800 and there after we have seen some consistent lower lows and lower highs. If price continues to hold around the 2650 area with some significant rejections, we just might see price creating a new lower high and potentially targeting the 2542 key zone area. Although we might see price dropping lower than that, I will rather lock in some profits when price comes to that zone Always do your analysis before taking any trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mbjoey
Israel's Shift to Syria and Its Impact on Gold PricesOver the weekend, the fighting between Israel and Lebanon paused, and Israel turned its attention to Syria, hoping to use this move to weaken the Russia-Ukraine war situation. However, as of now, the situation remains deadlocked, and Ukraine has not gained any significant advantage. Many of you may not understand the connection between these events, but here’s a simplified explanation: Ukraine and Israel are in the same camp. While Ukraine has been facing difficulties in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia holds over 80 strategic points in Syria. If Russia loses these, it would be a significant blow. So, Israel, as an ally of Ukraine, attacked Syria, hoping to help Ukraine gain an upper hand before a ceasefire, thus securing more significant benefits. However, up to now, things have not gone as smoothly as expected. Russia deployed troops to Syria, and in the process of attacking, they destroyed a command center of the four-nation alliance. Reports suggest that the leader of the Shams Liberation Organization may have been killed in the strike. Due to the stalemate in the war, gold's price movement has been unclear. In this situation, the focus should be on the developments in Syria. If Israel gains the upper hand, the probability of gold rising increases significantly. From a technical standpoint, the bulls currently have a slight advantage. Key support is at around 2635. As long as this support holds, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, and we may see a rapid rally at any time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
1
Gold Market Analysis 12/2At the start of the Asian session today, gold continued its downward movement, reaching back to the previous low near 2620. Typically, previous lows often provide some support. Today, we have seen multiple candlesticks with lower wicks at this level, indicating that the support is holding well at the moment. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 2615 remains a key level of support. If this level holds, a rebound is expected. Resistance: The resistance zone is between 2635-2643. Watch for potential price action around this area, as it could signal either a break higher or a reversal. Market Outlook: Given the current support at 2620 and the signs of a potential rebound, I expect a move higher, with the next target being the 2635-2643 resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
Gold Hits 2635 Target, Next Focus on 2646 ResistanceDuring today's Asian session, I shared a long strategy with a target of 2635-2643. Currently, the price has risen above 2635, and we have secured our first profit of the week. Congratulations to all who followed the strategy! The price is still on an upward trend, and a rise to around 2640 should be achievable. At that point, we need to pay attention to the resistance near 2646 and observe if it breaks. A slight pullback is expected, with key support around 2632-2628. If the support holds, we could see the price push back above 2650.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAU/USD 02 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD: 1800+' Buying Opportunity One Not To Miss! Dear traders, XAUUSD currently making AB=CD pattern where A to B pattern has already been created, we are currently in a verge of creating C to D move. The fundamental also support our view, the price of the gold drop in a wake of elections announcement. US presidential result led the decline in the gold prices as DXY prices rose up significantly. However, as the market settles we are seeing price going back to its previous trend. Please be extra cautious while trading gold. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
22
XAU/USD 02-06 December 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
3
XAU/USD 29 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold First Entry Fully Closed +500 Pips 0 Drawdown Here is our first entry on Gold +500 Pips 0 Drawdown , Second Entry +400 Pips 0 Drawdown Also . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
Gold’s Key Support at RiskGold is once again in a downtrend, and the key level to watch is the support zone between 2618-2609. If this support holds, gold may form a double bottom, increasing the chances of a rebound. However, if the support breaks, this could likely be the final leg of a five-wave downtrend, and the decline could be the largest of the current cycle, potentially breaking below 2600 and reaching 2580, or even lower.If you're looking to go long on gold (trend trading), you will need to wait for the end of the five-wave decline and for a clear bottoming pattern to form before making your move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
Building a Bottom Before ReboundWhether from the perspective of the 5-wave pattern or the support levels established during the previous uptrend, both suggest that the current price is forming a bottom region before a potential rebound. We need to be patient during this phase. Of course, I’m sure there are some traders who enjoy scalping—if that's the case, you can trade smaller intraday swings during the bottoming process. However, I would recommend focusing on buying at lower levels for better entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean