XAUUSD: As long as it doesn’t break 2600, boldly sellYesterday's gold market was really frightening. First, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate of 50 basis points, which was higher than market expectations. The price of gold rose from 2567 to 2600, setting a new historical high again. Then Powell's speech showed hesitation and uncertainty, and pointed out that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. It would proceed at a suitable pace or slow during the interest rate cut cycle. This dovish speech led to a decline in investors' attractiveness to gold. The gold price plummeted from 2600 by $50 and stabilized the decline in the 2550-2560 range.
However, since the 50 basis point interest rate cut is already on the table, the Federal Reserve has launched a monetary easing policy and the first rate cut is larger than before. This makes the market believe that there may be another 50-100 basis point interest rate cut before the end of this year. Therefore, gold is now back again The high area of 2590.
Although there is still the possibility of interest rate cuts before the end of the year, I think that is a long-term problem, and for us who are short-term traders, it is not the focus of attention.
From the market point of view, after yesterday's sharp decline that started at 2600, the shape of gold has changed, and it is in line with the short-term peak signal.
Therefore, my view on the current gold is that it is bearish in the short term and bullish in the long term.
Trading strategy:
Now the gold price has reached the high range of 2600-2590. As long as it does not set a new high again, you can boldly sell here
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590
Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well.
Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support.
Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.
Gold Set to Decline After European Session
Today, the primary focus is on short positions after the European session. During the Asian session, there may be another test of the upper resistance, but the probability of a breakout is low. Therefore, after the European session, bearish momentum is expected to take control. Our trading strategy should align with this trend by initiating sell positions. In the near term, the market is likely to decline towards the 2550 level, with a medium-term target around the 2487 zone.
XAUUSD: Analysis and strategy before the Fed rate decisionYesterday's view on gold was still very accurate. In the article, I clearly stated that there would be a correction before the Fed's interest rate decision, and the window period was after the data was released. As expected, under the premise of multiple negative data and a large number of long orders being profited, the gold price fell all the way to 2560, which also gave us the opportunity to close the short positions we held last week.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced today. My prediction for a rate cut is 25 basis points. The possibility of 50 basis points is not high in my opinion, but it has to be guarded against.
In the context of the upcoming announcement of the interest rate cut, today's trading strategy must be based on the number of basis points of interest rate cuts to formulate a trading plan, so I give the following suggestions for your reference:
In the case of a 25 basis point interest rate cut:
I personally think that the gold price will rise first and then fall. First of all, the interest rate cut is definitely good for gold, but because of the continuous interest rate cut remarks for a month, the gold price has now reached a historical high of 2590, and has digested the impact of the interest rate cut in advance. The rise in gold prices from 2530-2590 is largely due to some investors' belief that the Fed will be concerned about employment issues, which greatly increases the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, once the announced value does not meet expectations, the price of gold will inevitably fall.
In the case of a 50 basis point rate cut:
There is no doubt that gold prices will continue to rise and set a new high again.
Gold on the Edge: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Support Bounce?4-Hour Chart:
Consolidation Below All-Time High:
After reaching the all-time high, the price is consolidating in a rising wedge pattern. This formation reflects indecision in the market, but the overall structure suggests potential for a downward move.
Key Levels:
4H LQZ TP1 (2,550.342): A strong support level and a possible target for short positions if the price drops.
4H LQZ TP2 (2,522.172): The second support level, likely to attract buyers if tested.
Strategy: If the price breaks down from the rising wedge and fails to hold support at 2,550.342, a move toward 2,522.172 could be expected. A reversal could occur at either of these liquidity zones.
1-Hour Chart:
Descending Channel (near support): The price is trending lower after failing to break above the all-time high. The descending channel is not steep, suggesting mild bearish pressure.
Support Levels:
1H LQZ (2,542.481): Immediate support for the current descending structure.
4H LQZ (2,522.172): Deeper support, aligned with the broader market structure, giving more room for a potential pullback.
Strategy: A break below the 1H LQZ could accelerate the sell-off, targeting the 4H LQZ. Watch for consolidation or buying pressure at these levels, as they are potential reversal points.
15-Minute Chart:
Rising Wedge: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal, suggesting potential weakness in the uptrend. The price has made lower highs while testing a crucial support zone.
Key Levels:
All-Time High (2,589.652): The price tested this region but has failed to sustain momentum above it. This could indicate a major resistance level.
1H LQZ (2,542.481): The first level of significant support, serving as a take-profit target (TP1) for short positions. If the price breaks below, it could accelerate toward this level.
4H LQZ (2,522.172): The next key support zone (TP2), which could act as a strong buying area if the price corrects further.
Strategy: Watch for a potential breakdown from the rising wedge. A confirmed break below the wedge and support levels could indicate a stronger move downward toward 1H LQZ or 4H LQZ.
Overall Summary:
Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, the rising wedge formation points to potential bearish pressure, especially with failure to break above the all-time high.
Key Levels:
The all-time high (2,589.652) remains the major resistance.
Watch for reactions around 1H LQZ (2,542.481) and 4H LQZ (2,522.172) for potential support and buying opportunities.
Breakout or Breakdown: If the price breaks below the wedge patterns on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, further downside toward the liquidity zones is likely. However, a rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum.
This setup is perfect for monitoring entry points based on key support/resistance levels and the wedge formations' breakdown potential.
GOLD Gave 2 Hours Ago , +60 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , Let`s Sell It To Buying Area !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GOLD H1 Analysis rate cuts decision today big move expected GOLD H1 Analysis rate cuts decision today big move expected
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Gold Forms Triangle Consolidation, Double Top Reversal in Sight?
Yesterday, gold made its first pullback to test support and has now formed a triangle consolidation pattern. I anticipate that today will begin with an upward movement, followed by another test of resistance. However, I believe the resistance will hold, leading to another decline. Eventually, gold is likely to break below the trendline, forming a double top at the highs and triggering a significant bearish reversal.
XAUUSD: The decline is about to begin, have you sold?After gold rose to the high point of 2580-2590, it basically maintained a shock consolidation this week. So far, no new historical highs have been triggered this week.
For now, most investors in the market believe that the Fed's interest rate decision will be a node, but in fact, it is not. I think today's data will be a window for a change.
Because the closer the interest rate decision is, the more people will be eager to close the profitable long orders, which will quickly weaken the long force and give the short force an opportunity to take advantage of the situation.
So I think there is a high probability that there will be a callback before the interest rate decision.
Trading strategy:
Sell in the 2580-2590 area, the target is first to look at the 2550 area, and the second is the previous high 2530 area.
I personally still hold on to the short orders I held last week. After adding positions at high levels several times, the average price is now at 2567. As long as the gold price falls, our trapped orders can be closed at a profit.
Gold Nearing Peak: Time to Short Ahead of Expected Pullback
Gold has reached a high level, and technical indicators are starting to show signs of weakening. I anticipate that we are about to see the final short-term push upward, followed by a return to a downward consolidation trend. Prices are expected to drop below 2550.
The current trading strategy is to initiate short positions, gradually adding more as the price fluctuates, and holding until the downward trend begins.
Gold Stagnates at Resistance: A Breakdown Imminent?
Gold has been consolidating at its high levels for some time, with the resistance zone clearly defined. As long as this resistance remains unbroken, the primary focus should be on short positions. The longer the price consolidates, the sharper the eventual decline is expected to be.
Gold: Will start selling above 2590
Currently, the gold price is at 2584. I believe it should rise to the 2590-2596 range before starting to decline, with a significant drop likely to occur, potentially reaching the 2563 area. Therefore, I plan to initiate a sell position near 2590, with take-profit targets set in the 2573-2561 range.
Gold's price movement could be influenced by market supply and demand, geopolitical risks, and economic data, so I will closely monitor market developments to adjust my strategy as needed.
GOLD: The 2570-2580 area is likely to be a stage high pointGold finally ended the suppression of nearly a month yesterday, breaking through 2530 in one fell swoop, and the latest high reached 2572.
I mentioned in yesterday's article that if gold does not set a new high in the short term, it may go down, but I didn't expect the impact to be so strong, much more violent than I expected.
Yesterday, my Sell position was still held, with a small position at 2543 and an increase at 2550. Now the price has stabilized around 2570. I am going to add a little more, pull the average price appropriately, and continue to hold a bearish view.
In my opinion, it is impossible to keep setting new highs. From the previous high of 2530 to the current 2570, it has risen by more than 40 US dollars after setting a new high.
According to the previous rising pattern, each time the increase is 50$, so we can conclude that the high point of this rise is likely to be in the 2570-2580 area.
Therefore, we don’t have to worry too much about the short orders we hold. The price of gold is likely to start falling from the 2570-2580 area.
Next, I will continue to update my ideas in my channel for your reference. If you have any ideas, you can ask me directly.
GOLD Broke The Res , Best Place To Buy Clear Now To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 16th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
#XAUUSD: 900+ big move in making| Do not miss out| Setupsfx_OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been accumulating since past few weeks and it has now reached an exhaustion point where we expect a breakthrough taking out buy side liquidity and creating a record higher high. Since last three days we have been waiting for an outbreak since it did not happen last week even with help nfp. Now looking at how price is behaving we are confident enough that price is going to breakthrough the accumulation phase. As always this is not a guarantee and should only be used for secondary bias, do your own analysis before taking any trade on any instruments. Good luck.
XAUUSD: Price is Moving as we had predicted in previous chart! Dear Traders,
We had predicted the last bullish move that occurred from 2430 to 2500 as we had explained why we think that price will move big from 2430 region. Now, as the price in final phase of AB=CD pattern, last CD pattern move will be crucial for us to reach our final target which will be 2550. Good luck.
XAUUSD: Trading in support or resistance areasAfter the CPI inflation data released yesterday, the market predicts that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting next week has dropped from 44% a week ago to 13%, so the probability of a 25% basis point rate cut in September has basically become a foregone conclusion.
Smaller and more conservative rate cuts are not good news for gold, but it is still a certainty that the rate cut will be beneficial to gold. However, after the impact of the rate cuts in the past 1-2 months, most of the gold price has been digested in the process of rising.
So I think that if the gold price cannot set a new record high in the next 1-2 weeks, then there will be a downward trend in gold.
From the perspective of the gold market, the gold price is now at 2516, which is the middle position between the lower support of 2500 and the upper resistance of 2530. It is not good to be bullish or bearish here, so we need to wait for the market to approach the support or resistance before formulating a trading plan today.
The trading plan is as follows:
If the gold price reaches around 2530, you can sell here without breaking a new high
If the gold price reaches the 2500-2510 area, you can buy without breaking support
Based on the fundamentals of smaller interest rate cuts, I prefer to be bearish at high levels rather than bullish at lower levels.
Risk data to watch out for today:
European Central Bank Deposit Facility Rate
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Data
U.S. August PPI Data