XAUUSD Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metalGold remains steady near $2,610 as the US Dollar continues to strengthen.
Fed signals fewer rate cuts next year, reducing upward pressure on Gold.
XAU/USD faces downward pressure as it tests 100-day SMA supportThe Gold price remains relatively steady around the $2,611 mark, as market participants adjust to a more cautious outlook on US interest rates. The broader backdrop shows the US Dollar retaining its strength, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt a slower pace of rate cuts in the coming year. Fed officials have indicated that fewer rate cuts are likely than previously anticipated, with expectations for the federal funds rate to reach 3.9% by the end of 2025. This shift comes amid a slower disinflation process and the uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s policies on immigration, trade, and taxes
Xauusdsetup
Gold Analysis Today (XAU/USD)XAU/USD is moving within a parallel channel in a 'bearish trend,' which formed as the price touched the channel borders three times since last week.
The price is currently testing the upper border of the channel and is preparing to rebound. We recommend opening a sell order as mentioned in the previous analysis.
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum.
Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
XAUUSD: Get Ready For Big Move! First Swing Sell then Swing Buy!Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have an amazing selling opportunity coming up on gold. Where we can expect price to reverse for a massive 2000 pips. The overall view on gold market remain bearish since the us elections result came out in the market. So our view or bias remain the same. Good luck and trade safe.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at Pullback 2,640 / 2,650 / 2,660
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2540.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum.
Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
XAUUSD End of Day trend forecast from December 23rd According to my analysis, the XAUUSD End of Day trend is Bullish from December 23rd, 2024 till 5 trading days . There are support and resistance levels given in the chart may vary in the real-time market.
The content provided is only for the educational purposes. Do not trade without stop-loss.
Gold UpdateGold has formed:
1- Valid ascending channel (in blue) with multiple touches .
2- Head & Shoulders (in yellow).
3- Resistance on the right shoulder.
As long as the right shoulder resistance still stand with no broken candle, both 2 & 3 are still valid and considered as good strategies
Now we’re waiting for an H8 candle to broke and close clearly under the last touch (trigger point) of the our blue channel and to retest and get rejected from below of the channel so we can enter a Short (sell) trade
Follow us for more ideas and updates
GOLD TO $3000/OZ (after correction ofc)After my previous optimistic idea, here’s a scenario that seems much more likely! Now I can also see that gold needs a little break before it can head towards the $3000+ target price! I think the $2500 avg. price level is a very good entry point before the first wave of the fifth wave begins.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Bullish Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a trade after the breakout of White MA 2,680
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low level should be in retreat.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
Goal 🎯:
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2540.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD 20 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Rate Cut Disappoints: Stocks and Gold Experience Sharp Declines◉ Abstract
On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 0.25%, marking its third cut in a row. However, the Fed also said it might not cut rates much more in the future because it expects the economy to grow stronger and inflation to continue. This cautious message worried investors, causing a sharp drop in the stock market.
The S&P 500 fell about 2.96%, its biggest one-day loss since August. Gold prices also dropped by around 1.6%. The declines in both stocks and gold show that investors are feeling uncertain about the economy and are rethinking their investments based on the Fed's outlook.
Continue reading the full article:
◉ Introduction
On December 18, 2024, both the S&P 500 and gold experienced significant declines, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and market reactions to economic forecasts.
◉ Federal Reserve's Decision
● The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25%. This is typically a positive move for equities and commodities like gold.
● However, the Fed signalled a more cautious approach to future rate cuts, expecting stronger economic growth and persistent inflation.
● This cautious outlook raised concerns about the possibility of limited future rate cuts, which spooked investors.
◉ Market Reactions
1. Stock Market Decline
● The S&P 500 fell by approximately 2.96%, marking its largest single-day percentage drop since August 5th.
● The market's reaction reflected a realization that previous optimistic expectations about aggressive rate cuts were misplaced.
2. Gold's Decline
● Gold prices dropped sharply, with an intraday decline of about 1.6%.
● Gold, while a safe-haven asset, is less desirable in a rising rate environment due to increased opportunity costs.
● With the Fed's indication of fewer future rate cuts, investors shifted away from gold.
◉ Overall Market Sentiment
The simultaneous decline in both equities and gold can be attributed to a broader market sentiment that reacted negatively to the Fed's cautious outlook on inflation and growth prospects. This created a risk-off environment where investors were uncertain about both stock valuations and commodity holdings.
Gold Trading Strategy 12/19Yesterday's interest rate decision caused gold to break below 2600, reaching around 2580. Currently, the price has rebounded to 2610, but 2600 remains a key support/resistance level, and it’s expected that gold may test this level again.
Today's trading strategy will focus on the 2693-2623 range.
Look for shorting opportunities within the 2618-2628 range
If the price drops into the 2603-2593 range, consider going long
XAU/USD 18 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
I have been mapping systematically. Since last analysis, price has been printing erratically, printing a bearish iBOS, followed by a double bullish iBOS and most recently a bearish iBOS.
Price is trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ and has minimally tapped in to M15 supply zone. Price is expected to target weak internal low priced at 2,642.830
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Influenced by Various Factors, Focus on The Fed's DecisionGold prices need to clear $2,664-$2,664 levels for investors to gain control of the short-term market.
From a technical perspective, any subsequent up-move might face hurdles near the weekly highs, around the $2,664-$2,666 area touched on Monday, ahead of the $2,677 area.
A sustained strength beyond the latter should allow Gold prices to reclaim the $2,700 round figure.
The up-move could extend towards the monthly swing highs, around the $2,726 zone, above which XAU/USD is likely to resume its upward trajectory.
On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $2,633 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the monthly trough, around the $2,614 zone.
This is followed by the $2,600 level, which, if broken decisively, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make Gold prices vulnerable to extending the recent sharp decline from the one-month highs touched last week.
XAU/USD 17 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Scenario xauusd update levels This analysis is purely about adjusting the level, plus a minor comment, the price is still holding on to the main level and could create a double top, the main one makes sense to me because there is a npoc on the support around the price of 2700, at which the price could choose a stop below we are currently in a poc, so then the view of thinking like this is still short, but I am still waiting for a confirming signal.
Gold Shows Bullish Signs, Eyeing 2666-2672 Resistance ZoneGold is at a critical point of contention between bulls and bears. From the technical chart, the bulls are in a stronger position, with signs of a double bottom. If this stabilizes, gold is expected to rise again towards the 2666-2672 area. Therefore, today's trading should focus on long positions.
XAUUSD next possible move“Risk management is more important than being right.” – Ray Dalio
In trading and investing, always wanting to be right can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
It’s not your ego, but your ability to protect your capital that determines your long-term success.
Risk management is like a shield: it allows you to stay in the game, even when the market goes against your predictions. Being a good trader doesn’t mean always predicting the market correctly, but knowing how to limit the damage when you're wrong.
By adopting a disciplined approach to risk, you create an environment where mistakes are not failures, but learning opportunities.
Remember, the goal is not always to win, but to stay in position to win tomorrow.
Gold Set for Recovery After Friday's DeclineLast Friday, gold encountered strong selling pressure at 2692, continuing its downward movement to the green zone, which I’ve marked as a potential buying area. Traders who held long positions on Friday may see profits on Monday.
There could be a second downward move, but if this happens, the 2644-2636 area is expected to act as strong support. For long positions, the initial targets are 2657-2666, and if prices stabilize around 2654-2658, we can target the 2671-2679 range.