XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear,
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This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
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Xauusdsell
Gold Short Trade Idea - After All-Time Highs 1 Hour (1H)Gold has recently surged to new all-time highs (ATH) following a strong breakout during the New York session. The momentum carried through to the Asian session, where the price continued to climb. However, as we enter a potential exhaustion phase, there may be an opportunity to short gold.
Analysis:
• All-Time Highs: After reaching new ATHs, gold appears to be losing steam, suggesting that a retracement could be imminent.
• Momentum Loss: The recent price action shows signs of weakening, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back, providing a window for a short position.
• Technical Levels: The take-profit target is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for price to pull back after a significant move.
• Price Discovery: Gold is currently in a “price discovery” phase, where the market is determining the true value after reaching unprecedented levels. This increases the potential for volatility and unexpected price movements.
Trade Management:
• Partial Profits: If the trade starts moving in our favor, it’s advisable to take partial profits along the way. This strategy minimizes risk and locks in gains, as waiting for the full target may be too optimistic in a volatile environment.
• Tight Stop-Loss: Given the current market conditions, it’s crucial to keep the stop-loss tight. The market is in uncharted territory, so protecting your capital is paramount.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential pullback after a historic surge in gold prices. However, caution is essential due to the “price discovery” nature of the market at these levels. Manage your risk carefully and be prepared to adapt to the market’s movements.
Trade carefully, and good luck!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSD: Trading in support or resistance areasAfter the CPI inflation data released yesterday, the market predicts that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting next week has dropped from 44% a week ago to 13%, so the probability of a 25% basis point rate cut in September has basically become a foregone conclusion.
Smaller and more conservative rate cuts are not good news for gold, but it is still a certainty that the rate cut will be beneficial to gold. However, after the impact of the rate cuts in the past 1-2 months, most of the gold price has been digested in the process of rising.
So I think that if the gold price cannot set a new record high in the next 1-2 weeks, then there will be a downward trend in gold.
From the perspective of the gold market, the gold price is now at 2516, which is the middle position between the lower support of 2500 and the upper resistance of 2530. It is not good to be bullish or bearish here, so we need to wait for the market to approach the support or resistance before formulating a trading plan today.
The trading plan is as follows:
If the gold price reaches around 2530, you can sell here without breaking a new high
If the gold price reaches the 2500-2510 area, you can buy without breaking support
Based on the fundamentals of smaller interest rate cuts, I prefer to be bearish at high levels rather than bullish at lower levels.
Risk data to watch out for today:
European Central Bank Deposit Facility Rate
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Data
U.S. August PPI Data
XAUUSD: USD exchange rate today (September 11): Domestic and intUSD exchange rate today in the world
The USD increased slightly compared to some major currencies in the last trading session, consolidating the gains at the beginning of the week, ahead of important inflation data.
Safe-haven currencies such as the yen and Swiss franc also rose amid sharp declines in bank stocks, after the US Federal Reserve's managing director outlined plans to increase capital of large banks by 9%.
A sharp reaction to the news A sharp reaction to the news
The XAU/USD market is driven by several macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and overall risk sentiment in global financial markets. To understand how the price of XAU/USD might behave in the near term, let's examine the key factors at play:
1. Current Market Environment:
Global Inflation: Persistently high inflation typically supports gold prices as gold is considered a hedge against inflation. If inflation remains elevated, investors might continue to seek gold as a store of value.
US Dollar Strength: Gold prices are inversely related to the US dollar. A strong dollar can push gold prices lower as gold becomes more expensive for buyers in other currencies. Conversely, if the dollar weakens, gold prices can rise.
Interest Rates: Central bank policies, particularly the US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, play a significant role. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest), potentially leading to lower demand. On the other hand, a dovish stance or rate cuts support gold prices.
CPI blockbuster data hits, will it break through or fall again?At present, the controversy over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in September is still uncertain. Since March this year, the US CPI data has continued to decline, and this CPI is the last heavy data before the Fed's September meeting, and it is also the last chance to shake the expectation of interest rate cuts. As of now, the market expects a 69% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September and a 31% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, the results of today's CPI data release are likely to affect the sharp fluctuations in gold.
Regardless of the results of today's data release, we must be cautious in trading, because the results of large fluctuations are difficult to judge. At the same time, in addition to the direct impact on the economy, it will also affect the expectations of interest rate cuts. At that time, the large fluctuations in gold prices up and down also need to be prevented.
As can be seen from the 4H chart, there is a strong resistance near the 2530 line. So far, it has failed to break through 7 times. Whether it will fall again or set a new high depends on the results of the CPI release.
Here I give the following trading strategies for your reference:
The first option is to sell at a high level, with a target of around 2505.
The second option is to wait for the price to fall back to around 2505 and buy.
Are you ready to short gold?Gold rose to 2520 as expected, even higher than I expected, and once reached around 2529. However, the highlight of the gold market today is the CPI data.
To be honest, for the current gold market, I don't recommend chasing gold any further. Even if gold rises to the 2530-2535 area, I don't recommend chasing gold any further. Because the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates this month, but there are still differences on whether to cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Once the market expects a 25 basis point cut, gold will continue to fall; even if the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, I think it will be difficult for gold to rise sharply based on CPI data alone, because if gold rises sharply based on a single CPI data, it will compress the room for growth of the interest rate decision on September 19, so even if the CPI data is bullish for gold, the room for gold to rise will be compressed, and gold is likely to rise first and then fall.
So in terms of trading, I don't recommend chasing gold for the time being. On the contrary, if gold approaches the 2530-2535 area, I think you can start to short gold boldly!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
XAUUSD CORE CPI NEWS FORCAST 11.09.24REASON FOR FALL
Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services, but it does not include those from the food and energy sectors. This measure of inflation excludes these items because their prices are much more volatile. It is most often calculated using the consumer price index (CPI), which is a measure of prices for goods and services.
Key Takeaways
Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services but does not include those from the food and energy sectors.
Food and energy prices are exempt from this calculation because their prices can be too volatile or fluctuate wildly.
Core inflation is important because it's used to determine the impact of rising prices on consumer income.
XAUUSD Short/Sell Swing Trade Analysis| Huge Profit Inside Reason for Sell
A major announcement in the market!
There's a big event coming up soon.
Wednesday, 11 September, 12:30 p.m. UTC: the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
On September 11th at 12:30 p.m. UTC, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index report. In July 2024, the US annual inflation rates dropped to 2.9% and 3.2% for headline and core inflation, respectively. The market anticipates a 0.2% increase in monthly inflation and a 2.6% annual rise. The report will influence whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 or 25 basis points in September. If the figures fall below expectations, the U.S. dollar may weaken, impacting EURUSD and XAUUSD positively. Conversely, better-than-expected figures could strengthen the U.S. dollar, pushing EURUSD and XAUUSD down.
How will this event affect your trading routine? Share in the comments!
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Gold may hit around 2520 again before CPIToday's gold market seems a bit boring. Most of the time, it fluctuates in the 2502-2506 area. There is basically no trading space. Just now, gold stopped below 2510 during the rebound process, and the rise did not continue; and gold failed to fall below the 2500 mark during multiple declines, and the bullish potential still exists.
Just now, gold rebounded to around 2510, but I was not in a hurry to short gold. Because gold has rebounded since 2485, it has built a "W" bottom structure at the technical level to support the rebound of gold; and today, gold has tested the 2500 mark many times but has not fallen below it, proving that the "W" bottom structure support is effective, and gold may still continue to rise, and may even hit the area around 2520 again. This is also the reason why I am not in a hurry to short gold near 2510!
At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations. On the other hand, it may also be waiting for the guidance of CPI data. Gold may try to hit the 2520 area again before the CPI is released; if gold tries to hit the 2520 area before the CPI data is released, then we will boldly short gold in the 2520 area!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Gold price continues sideways waiting for tomorrow's CPI⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggled to build on Monday's gains and edged lower during Tuesday's Asian session, weighed down by continued US Dollar strength. After Friday's mixed jobs report, investors reduced expectations of a larger Fed rate cut in September, boosting the USD and pressuring gold.
Additionally, a positive sentiment in equity markets further dampened demand for the safe-haven metal. XAU/USD remains within a multi-week trading range as investors await more clarity on the Fed’s rate decision. Focus now shifts to US inflation data due Wednesday, with the potential rate-cut prospects limiting aggressive bearish positions on gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
There was no important news on Tuesday, Gold prices continued sideways in the price range of 2480-2520 waiting for important data of the week: CPI, PPI,...
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2486 - $2484 SL $2479
TP1: $2495
TP2: $2505
TP3: $2520
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2519 - $2521 SL $2526
TP1: $2510
TP2: $2500
TP3: $2490
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
The world is optimistic, gold bounces strongly to the 2500 areaGold Price Forecast
Experts expect that the opportunity of the Fed reducing hobby costs through 25 foundation factors is increasing, that could make gold charges prone withinside the close to time period.
Ole Hansen, head of commodity method at Saxo Bank, predicts that the August jobs variety isn't always sufficient for the Fed to reduce through 50 foundation factors on September 18. This is not going to assist gold attain new highs.
Christopher Vecchio, an analyst at Tastylive, predicts that regardless of short-time period volatility, withinside the lengthy time period, the treasured metallic will continue to be an appealing funding as worldwide authorities debt rises and hobby costs fall.
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XAUUSD sell
2515-2520
SL 2532
TP 2500
TP 2490
TP 2480
TP 2470
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Buy/Sell Scenario:
🟢 Buy:
* Break above 2529.27 with a full body candle close.
* Retest of the bearish OB resistance line that failed on the 1-hour timeframe.
* Formation of a bullish engulfing candle in the 5/15-minute timeframe to take advantage of a Buy opportunity towards 2550 and potentially higher.
🔴 Sell:
* Retest of the bearish OB resistance line on the 1-hour timeframe at 2508.26.
* Formation of a bearish CHOCH candle in the 5/15-minute timeframe with a full body candle close.
* Retest of a bearish CHOCH candle to take advantage of a Sell opportunity towards 2470 and potentially lower.
Stick to shorting gold!Today we have made good profits in both long and short gold transactions. First, we shorted gold near 2498, and gold perfectly hit TP: 2488 during the decline; then we longed gold near 2492 and manually closed the order above 2496. A total profit of 140pips was made in both long and short gold transactions, which is a very good trading result!
Today, gold fell back to around 2485 again, and then rebounded. The downward momentum did not continue, and there were signs of building a double bottom structure in the short term, proving that the 2485-2480 area still has some support for gold in the short term; however, from the perspective of the gold rebound structure, the gold rebound potential is weak, and as gold falls, the resistance area also goes down. The current short-term resistance of gold is in the 2505-2510 area. If gold cannot recover this area, gold will most likely continue to test the support near 2470.
So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at high levels. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 2505-2510 area as resistance. I believe there will be a good profit!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Gold price continues to go sideways - adjusting downward⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reversed course from near-record highs and dropped below the $2,500 level after Friday's US jobs report. The mixed data lowered expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, leading to some US Dollar recovery and putting pressure on gold.
However, fears of a US economic downturn and ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas kept demand for safe-haven assets like gold steady. These factors, along with the potential start of the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle, caution against a bearish outlook for XAU/USD.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price adjusts to a short-term decrease - creating more liquidity for the expectation of price increase to create a new ATH
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2465
TP1: $2480
TP2: $2490
TP3: $2500
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2512
TP1: $2498
TP2: $2490
TP3: $2480
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Bearish Strategy Amid Resistance Levels
Today’s bullish trades have been relatively smooth, with the price now hovering near a key resistance zone. From a technical perspective, if a breakout occurs, the next upside target would likely range between 2510-2518. However, if the price fails to break through this level in the near term, there is a high probability that we will see a move towards the 2452 support area later this week.
Overall, the primary focus for this week remains selling at higher levels.
XAUUSD: 2505-2500 resistance is not broken, boldly sellThe August NFP data released by the United States last Friday was 142,000, lower than the expected 160,000 and higher than the previous value of 89,000. At the same time, although the unemployment rate was in line with market expectations, it was actually the first decline in 5 months, which caused the gold price to rebound to 2529 and then fall to 2485.
From the daily chart, the K-line decline this time is very similar to the previous decline. If we calculate the next three trading days according to the previous rules, it will fluctuate in the range of 2470-2505. We can sell high and buy low during this period. And after 3 trading days, it happens to be the node when CPI is announced.
Therefore, from the perspective of trend and time, the probability of copying the previous market is also very high.
Now the gold price is close to the resistance of 2500-2505. I have mentioned the support and resistance of this range countless times before. Everyone knows its importance. Therefore, if nothing unexpected happens today, I will sell near this range.
Key Levels and Targets for Gold Trading
Following Friday's significant decline, gold's technical indicators are showing signs of recovery, suggesting a short-term buying opportunity at lower levels. The upper resistance zone is between 2508 and 2514, which appears strong based on current market conditions.
The probability of a direct breakout above this zone is low. Therefore, if the price reaches this resistance area, consider short-selling opportunities. For this week, the initial short-term target for the downside is in the 2478-2472 range.
Sellers are determined not to let Gold reach a new ATH✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/9 - 9/13/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold pulled back after failing to reach the all-time high of $2,531, dropping over 0.80% late in the North American session. Uncertainty over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points in September weighed on the metal, with XAU/USD now trading at $2,493 after peaking at $2,529.
The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for August missed expectations but showed improvement from July’s revised figures. The unemployment rate fell, and Average Hourly Earnings increased, adding complexity to the economic outlook.
🔥 Identify:
1 thing worth noting: 6 times the price of Gold touched the old peak area ATH 2527-2531, the price reacted very strongly. This shows that the momentum for price increase is still very strong, however, large funds and investors do not want the price of Gold to increase during this time, maybe after the interest rate cut
Long-term time frames, technical aspects still show that Gold is developing stably, the main trend is Up
We will soon see a new peak, a new ATH in late 2024 soon
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H2 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2505, $2530, 2559
Support : $2471, $2453
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD/USD 4H WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 08.09.24Global economic events: Events and economic conditions in the U.S., such as changes in interest rates, geopolitical tensions, or financial crises, can affect global investor sentiment. These events can influence the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, impacting its price worldwide, including in India
Strong level / best time to sell on correction from the level (all signals on real account )
The situation with gold (XAU/USD) is currently characterized by several key factors that affect its value. First, the gold price often reacts to changes in economic data and the political environment. The unpredictability of global financial markets, inflation, and changes in U.S. interest rates particularly affect the demand for gold as a safe haven.
Second, there has been a recent increase in interest from central banks in gold holdings as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves. This could lead to additional demand for gold in global markets.
In addition, a strengthening US dollar usually has a negative impact on gold as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. At the same time, geopolitical instability and conflict situations can contribute to the rise in prices for the precious metal as investors look for ways to protect their assets.
At the moment, volatility in XAU/USD quotes can be observed, which creates both risks and opportunities for traders. Technical analysis shows important support and resistance levels that can influence further price movement.
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.