XAUUSD: Mainly short trading, target 2637-2629
During tomorrow's Asian trading session, the primary range is expected to be between 2654 -2644. There is significant resistance around the 2654 level, and if this resistance holds, the market should favor short positions.
Support is seen near 2643, and if this level breaks, the next target range would shift to 2637-2629. The market's inability to push through resistance at 2658 reinforces a bearish outlook in the near term.
Xauusdsell
XAUUSD:Trading around 2638-2663 during the day
Following its drop to the 2600 level, gold has found solid support and rebounded strongly, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. Prices are now trading back above the 2650 mark.
In the short term, attention should be focused on the 2643-2638 support zone. On the upside, key resistance remains near the recent highs, particularly around 2658.
This week's daily close (1D) will be pivotal. Should we continue to see bearish candles without a break above the previous highs, a significant downturn is likely next week or in early next month. This correction is expected to extend over several weeks, shifting from intraday moves to more sustained declines.
We must also closely monitor the global political landscape. If tensions escalate further, there is a strong possibility of gold breaching the 2700 level. However, if conditions stabilize, we can anticipate a drop below 2550 within the next month.
Go short gold!Bros, gold gradually rebounded to around 2650, breaking through the short-term resistance of 2530-2540, but according to the current conditions, gold does not have the conditions to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to retreat downward, and the key resistance area above is around 2655-2660, so I will continue to short gold in this area.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold?
Gold Retracement Opportunity: Targeting Key Fib Levels!Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential retracement towards the 0.5 FibCloud level after covering all the price imbalances. We have key targets mapped out with multiple take-profit (TP) levels as the price retraces. Technically, we are seeing a well-formed structure, with price rejection near the upper channel resistance, and the overall trend indicating a likely pullback to mitigate recent upward movement.
Key technical levels :
• TP1: 2,634
• TP2: 2,628
• TP3: 2,620
Risk Management:
This trade setup provides favorable risk-reward metrics, but it’s essential to maintain disciplined risk management. Stop loss (SL) is placed just above the upper boundary near recent highs to minimize downside exposure. It is advisable to take partials as the price hits respective TP levels, securing profits while reducing exposure. Be prepared to adjust stop losses to break-even or beyond as the trade moves in our favor, ensuring we protect capital and lock in gains.
Conclusion :
This trade offers a strategic entry for traders looking to capitalize on a potential gold retracement, given the technical alignment and FibCloud setup. As always, risk management is key in navigating market volatility, especially during news-sensitive periods.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Expect gold to fall below 2600Gold is currently in a swing state and is still relatively weak, but even so, I did not choose to chase gold short at this time.
Because in the short-term structure, gold has obviously built a double bottom structure in the 2605-2600 area, which is conducive to the rebound and repair of gold to a certain extent. Gold fell from the high of 2684 to around 2605, and the areas around 2635 and 2645 are exactly 38.2% and 50% of this round of decline. Then gold may rebound again in the short-term structure and touch the 2630-2640 area, which is why I am not in a hurry to short gold in the past two days.
Today, CPI and initial jobless claims data will be released. Gold may rise first and then fall back under the influence of the data. So in terms of short-term trading, if you see gold rebound and touch the 2630-2640 area, you can boldly start shorting gold!
CPI data is coming, are you ready to make money?Technical analysis of gold: Gold daily line recorded a big negative again, which is very weak from the perspective of the shape, especially after breaking the 2630 low support and closing at a low level. In terms of the daily line, the five consecutive negative lines in the daily line structure are unfavorable for the development of bulls, especially yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative, which further aggravated the need for adjustment at the daily level, and the price was under pressure below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other periods maintained a short-term arrangement. The short-term indicators were downward and the volume increased, and the bears had the advantage. At the 4-hour level of gold, the short-term moving average continued the bearish divergence pattern and maintained downward. It is currently running above the lower Bollinger track, and there is no sign of bottoming out for the time being; at the same time, there is a trend of forming a dead cross. If it forms, the downward space will be further opened; the hourly level is currently maintained in a low narrow range of fluctuations, and the strength of the intraday rebound is relatively small. Pay attention to the possible secondary downward trend after the small adjustment and repair is completed. On the whole, He suggests that today's short-term operation strategy for gold should be mainly shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2622-2627 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2600-2595 line of support.
Continue to short gold after the reboundBros, this week should be magical. Gold has touched my expectations one by one during the decline. I said that gold would at least retest the 2615-2610 area, and it is even possible to touch the area near 2600. Gold fell to around 2604 yesterday, which is exactly in line with my expectations.
Gold seems to have stopped falling and once rebounded above 2620, but in fact, I am not optimistic about the sustainability of gold's rebound here, and I think gold is a bit tempting to go long now. Once gold starts to kill bulls, I fully believe that 2600 is not the end point. Gold still has room to continue to fall, at least retesting the 2590-2580 area, and even looking at the area near 2550.
So in terms of short-term trading, you can boldly short gold with the short-term resistance in the 2630-2640 area! Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you can boldly short gold by relying on the short-term resistance of the 2630-2640 area! Bros, let us look forward to the next profits!
Has gold seen bottom? Can we continue to be bearish?
Yesterday I clearly suggested shorting at 2648, and 2630 was not the short-term bottom. The final result was in line with expectations and unexpected, because the gold price plummeted by nearly $50, not only reaching our target of 2615, but also reaching the lowest point of 2604. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have made a lot of money. Congratulations!
Let's get back to the point. Because the market's bets on the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts have faded and most of the market's positions have chosen to take profits, gold fell sharply by nearly $50 during the US trading session yesterday, with the short-term low reaching 2604, and then the decline narrowed. As of now, it has remained around 2620 for consolidation.
From the gold daily chart, although the lowest point reached 2604, the final closing price was above 2620, just when the daily MA20 daily moving average position was held, and there was no effective break.
So since the lower support has not broken, we cannot directly choose to continue shorting today. Instead, we have to wait for the rebound power to be consumed before going short, and the upper suppression area will be a good choice.
From the 1H chart, the previous support of 2630 has now turned into resistance, and the same is true for the 2640 line. Therefore, today we need to observe the resistance situation in the 2630-2640 area. Once there is a sign of reversal here, I think it is an opportunity to short.
If there are any latest changes in transaction details, I will update you in time in the channel. If you are interested, you can enter below.
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XAUUSD: Double Top/Head and Shoulders
From a broader perspective, gold currently resembles a head and shoulders pattern. However, if we focus on a smaller scale, it appears to be forming a double top. For now, we will base our market analysis on this smaller pattern to guide our trades.
Typically, after a double top forms, a rebound often follows. This is one of the primary reasons why I recommended a buy position before yesterday's close. When bullish momentum is strong, the price tends to rebound towards or even above the resistance level. In cases of weaker bullish strength, the rebound peak may fall below or only reach the resistance level.
Given the current state of the market, the bulls still hold decent power, making it likely that the rebound will test or even surpass the resistance zone around 2629-2638. This area can be considered as a potential exit point for long positions and an ideal entry point for shorts.
For short positions, the initial target can be around 2596, which was a previous resistance level during the uptrend. The mid-term target aligns with the low formed during the left shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, around 2558. The final target would be near 2518, the starting point of the head and shoulders formation.
Every trader has their own preferred strategy, but the key is to align with the overall trend. Even if short-term volatility creates challenging situations, staying patient and trusting the broader market direction will lead to success in the end. The process may involve several tests, but perseverance and timing are crucial.
Gold 2630-2638 Range Is Good For Shorting
After a significant rally, gold has finally retraced to the 2600 level. If you’ve been following my recent analysis, you should have already taken advantage of this move.
Yesterday, my strategy was to short at 2648, closing near 2618, while recommending a long position near 2610 with a target range of 2620-2628. This approach played out perfectly, securing notable profits.
Gold is now hovering around the MA20, where resistance is expected to be minor. The key resistance zone lies between 2632-2638, close to the MA60. While it may not reach this level, the current rebound is not over yet.
If it reaches the MA60 region, it will present an ideal shorting opportunity with at least $10 of downside potential.
Successful trading always relies on strong signals—don’t you agree?
XAUUSD: Sell@2634-2644
The bearish trend is still very obvious. Short-selling is the main method in the near future. If the price falls below 2600 in the short term, there will be a rebound of about $20. Before that, the rebound during the decline will not be too large, so if you have long positions, you must not be too greedy.
Short gold above 2650Brothers, although gold has not seen a decent decline under the influence of geopolitical conflicts, the sustainability of gold's rise has gradually deteriorated, and the rebound high has gradually moved down. Gold has shown an obvious peaking signal. At present, gold is facing resistance in the 2655-2660 area in the short term; and it has repeatedly tested and broken through the support near 2640, and once fell below the 2630 position. I think gold still has room to continue to fall, at least it will retest the 2615-2610 area, or even the area near 2600.
So I am still optimistic about the decline of gold, and in terms of short-term trading, I advocate shorting gold in batches above 2650.
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
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End of the Bull Run: Time to Short as Gold Enters
The bullish momentum in gold has come to an end, and we are now entering a correction phase. Based on the current Moving Average (MA) alignment, the price is likely to decline towards the 2620-2580 range. This presents an excellent opportunity for short positions.
I suggest taking advantage of this setup by consistently selling within the 2643-2675 range. Follow this strategy and capitalize on the forthcoming downtrend.
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