Get started

Xauusdlong

High-level shock and callback strategyGeopolitical Tensions Drive Short-Term Gold Rally – Strategic Approach for the Next Move In recent sessions, geopolitical tensions, particularly Israel's military actions in Syria, have spurred risk-off sentiment, driving gold prices higher in early trading. However, despite the short-term surge fueled by geopolitical risks, gold prices have failed to break above last week's key resistance level at 2655. Given that gold is currently trading at historical highs, a correction or consolidation at these levels seems likely. We believe this rally is primarily driven by short-term geopolitical risk factors, rather than fundamental support. Once the market has priced in these risks, gold prices are likely to undergo a pullback, creating more favorable conditions for a long position at lower levels. Today's Strategy Recommendations: Short Strategy at Key Resistance: If gold rises above 2655, consider implementing a short position. If the price breaks above 2660, additional short positions can be added, anticipating downward pressure in the near term. Wait for Pullback to Enter Long: It is recommended to wait for a price pullback to a suitable support level before considering a long position. Exact entry points will depend on market reactions and technical signals. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. All trades should be executed with strict risk management in place, avoiding over-leveraging and ensuring capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery. Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning. The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook. Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAU/USD Longs from 2,590 or 2,570?Gold has been trading within a range, creating significant liquidity both above and below the current price. Once this consolidation phase breaks, I anticipate a reaction from either my supply or demand zones. Overall, my bullish outlook on gold remains intact. I am particularly focused on the demand zones around 2,570 and 2,590, which I’ve marked as key areas. If the price reaches these levels, I expect a slowdown, allowing for accumulation before initiating a new rally to the upside. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Bullish Market Structure: Higher timeframes continue to show strong bullish momentum. - Break of Structure: Price has broken key levels to the upside. - Unmitigated Demand Zone: Price needs to revisit these areas before continuing higher. - Liquidity Above: There’s a notable amount of upside liquidity, particularly around Asian session highs. Note: If gold takes out the upside liquidity, I’ll shift my focus to potential sells around 2,670, targeting the 5-hour supply zone for a reversal back down.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
Xauusd weekly chart Gold opened in a calm manner on Monday and spent the rest of the week fluctuating in a narrow channel at around $2,650. Trade Balance data from China and November inflation figures from the United States could help XAU/USD break out of its trading range next week. Gold resistance 2666/2690 On the flip side, the Asian session low, around the $2,614-2,613 region, now seems to act as immediate strong support ahead of the $2,605-2,600 area. This is followed by the 100-day SMA, currently around the $2,583 zone, below which Gold support 2604/2591
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JohnHarry_7
XAUUSD - Gold Awaiting NFP!In the 4H timeframe, gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 and has exited its ascending channel. If gold re-enters the channel and stabilizes above the drawn downward trend line, we can witness the continued rise of gold and limited visibility of the channel ceiling. Within the supply zone, we can sell with appropriate risk reward. The failure of the support area paves the way for gold to fall and you can buy in the demand zones. The U.S. nonfarm payroll report is set to be released today, drawing the full attention of markets. It is expected that nonfarm jobs will increase by 200,000, primarily due to the resolution of the Miloten hurricane and the conclusion of Boeing’s strike. However, recent charts indicate a declining trend in nonfarm employment over the past few years, confirming the weaker labor market conditions that the Federal Reserve has noted during its rate-cutting cycle. Even if the headline figure exceeds 200,000, it is unlikely to prompt a change in policymakers’ stance. The unemployment rate is also projected to rise to 4.2%. Markets may look for meaningful insights from today’s employment data, but they are unlikely to find anything substantial. Overall, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again in December. Forecasts for job growth range between 155,000 and 275,000, compared to just 12,000 new jobs in September. The unemployment rate for this month is anticipated at 4.2%, slightly up from 4.1% last month. Last month’s precise unemployment rate was reported at 4.145%, while the labor force participation rate stood at 62.6%. In terms of wages, annual average hourly earnings growth is expected to slow to 3.9%, down from 4% last month. Monthly wage growth is forecasted at 0.3%, slightly below the previous month’s 0.4%. Average weekly working hours are expected to remain unchanged at 34.3 hours. Key data released so far include: • ADP Report: 146,000 jobs added compared to 150,000 in the previous month. • ISM Services Employment Index: Declined to 51.5 from 53, still the second-highest figure of the year. • ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: Rose to 48.1 from 44.4. • Challenger Job Cuts: 57,727 compared to 55,597 in the previous month. • Philadelphia Fed Employment Index: Increased to 8.6 from -2.2. • Empire State Employment Index: Rose slightly to 0.9 from 4.1. Recent trends suggest that the labor market is generally weakening, though temporary improvements are evident in some areas. JOLTS data paints a similar picture, with most Federal Reserve members convinced that the labor market is cooling. However, a single NFP report is unlikely to alter this broader trend, particularly given the influence of hurricanes, elections, and the end of Boeing’s strike on the numbers. On the other hand, President-elect Donald Trump's pro-business policies and "America First" approach have pushed gold prices lower ahead of the new year. However, one Canadian bank believes that gold's upward trend is not over yet. While markets may need time to adjust to Trump's economic policies, CIBC analysts remain bullish on gold's future in 2025. Investors should not be surprised by the gold market's current woes, the analysts said, as a similar trend was seen in 2016, during Trump's first term. The Bank of Canada has reiterated its summer forecasts and stated that Trump's impact on the gold market will ultimately be positive. According to analysts, “It may take several seasons, but inflationary pressures will eventually show. Although this issue may challenge the trend of interest rate cuts, we believe that wealth preservation and the desire of non-US investors and central banks for safe assets will continue to support gold prices." Peter Schiff, chief strategist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, believes that the price of gold will not return below $2,000 an ounce, and that the price of gold is likely to double or triple. He noted that gold fluctuated between $1,500 and $2,000 from 2011 to 2024 and has now reached higher levels without resistance. Schiff emphasized at the New Orleans investment conference that the performance of gold this year shows the strength and high potential of this valuable metal. He also predicted that as the price of gold rises, more investors will be interested in stocks of mining companies. Meanwhile, BlackRock emphasized in its recent report that the Federal Reserve does not appear to have entered a typical cycle of interest rate cuts. The analysis shows that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates further in 2025. This reduction will occur in a situation where economic growth will slow down somewhat, but inflation will still remain above the target. Therefore, the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates below 4%, and rates will remain above pre-pandemic levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAUUSD Trade Log - Monthly Swing TradeXAUUSD Swing Long Trade This is a high-confidence swing trade setup with multiple confluences across monthly and daily timeframes. Trade Details : - Risk: 5% of capital - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4 - Entry: Anywhere within the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has a 90-point range. You may DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into your position for better flexibility, though this is discretionary. - Confluence: Signals align from the monthly down to the daily charts, indicating strong bullish momentum. Macro Factors Supporting Gold Longs : - Safe-Haven Demand: Global geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, have driven investors toward gold as a risk-averse asset. - Rising Recession Risks: With several central banks maintaining high interest rates for prolonged periods, economic slowdown fears are rising, further boosting gold demand. - Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide, especially in emerging markets, continue to accumulate gold reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar. - Inflation Hedging: Persistent inflation concerns make gold an attractive hedge, particularly as real yields show signs of plateauing. - Weakened Dollar Outlook: A potential pivot in US Federal Reserve policy could weaken the dollar, which would likely support gold prices in the medium to long term. This swing trade offers a strong opportunity to capitalize on the current macroeconomic and technical landscape favoring gold's upward momentum. Stay aware of any unexpected fundamental developments that could influence the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
Gold Market Analysis 12/06Gold began to rebound after falling to around 2623. Since the 2635 support has been broken, it has now turned into resistance. Therefore, during the rebound, the first resistance to watch is 2635, followed by 2643. This was the highest point reached during the rebound after the price fell to 2635 today, making it an important resistance level. The next key resistance zone is the 2652-2657 area, where the price has recently encountered resistance. Since tomorrow’s NFP data could have a significant market impact, if the data is bullish, it’s quite possible that gold will rise back above 2650. However, if the data is bearish, the optimal level to consider for support would be around 2608. The prolonged period of consolidation has trapped many positions during today’s downturn, creating significant selling pressure. Therefore, it’s important to be cautious during trading and avoid blindly chasing prices higher. This is an ideal market outlook based on current conditions, but always remember that the market is constantly changing. While you can use this analysis as a reference, it’s important to remain flexible during your trades. Don’t stick to rigid strategies—adjust as the market evolves. If you have any doubts or need further guidance, feel free to reach out to me directly. I’m here to help with personalized advice!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
Gold Market Analysis 12/05Yesterday, gold faced resistance near 2657 and pulled back. Now, 2652 is acting as resistance again. If it doesn’t break through, gold may test the support around 2635 again. If that level breaks, the next support zone is between 2628-2623. However, if it breaks above 2657 and holds, gold could rise towards the 2666 resistance level. I recommend trading around these key levels today. With Initial Jobless Claims data coming out, if the market has already chosen a direction before the release, you can trade in the opposite direction based on the trend. This may lead to unexpected profits
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal: Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless. Key Details: - Risk: 1% - RRR: 1:3 - Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone - TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance - Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
Gold fluctuates within a range, how to operate?On the disk, the price bottomed out and rebounded to 2652 on Monday, and broke the high to 2655 on Tuesday. Although new highs continue to be reached, the actual increase is not large. On the daily line, yesterday closed with a cross Yang, and closed at 2643 at the end of the day. The downward momentum of the cycle indicator has slowed down with the stabilization of the support of 2633, and there is room for rebound on the daily line. In terms of 4 hours, the gold price was under pressure from the high of 2655 overnight, and the lowest reached 2635. The real price did not break the short-term moving average support, and the other moving averages of each cycle maintained a short position arrangement. The short-term indicators also started to explore downward, so there is still a risk of a decline in the 4-hour aspect. In short, while the new high is refreshed, it will also be the beginning of the layout of short orders. In terms of intraday operation, it is recommended to focus on high altitude and supplement by low and long positions. For the lower support, pay attention to the 2633 area, which is the short-term 10-day moving average of the daily line. You can try to participate in long orders. If it is broken by the bears, pay attention to the 4-hour Bollinger Band lower track 2620. As for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 2666 area and participate in short orders, and focus on the 2675-2680 area, and start to arrange short orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
XAU sideway is about to end! Scalping BUY 2634SCALPING XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) faces selling pressure after briefly rising to the $2,650 resistance zone, reaching a new daily low during the early European session on Wednesday. Despite this, the metal continues to trade within its established range from the past week, as traders remain cautious ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Market participants are seeking insights into the Fed's rate-cut outlook, which could influence US Dollar (USD) demand and shape the next significant move for gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Scalping BUY price range before ADP-NF news was announced ( 2634 - 2632 ) ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2634 - $2632 SL $2629 scalping TP1: $2640 TP2: $2645 TP3: $2650 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) 4/12/2024 Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) On the daily chart, gold remains in a prolonged consolidation phase, with price action mainly hovering around the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA21) and the technical level of 2,644 USD. Although gold has recovered from the previous decline, the overall picture still leans towards a bearish scenario, with the main trend being defined by the price channel (a). Additionally, pressure continues from the EMA21, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark. These factors create conditions for a bearish trend. As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), its technical outlook remains biased towards a downward trend, and any upward movements should be considered short-term corrections. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, it could continue to decline towards the next target range around 2,606–2,600 USD. Furthermore, a new bearish cycle would begin if gold drops below the key level of 2,600 USD. For the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold is highlighted by the following key levels: Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600 USD Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663 USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
Scalping XAU ! signal BUY zone SIDEWAY SCALPING XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and expectations of another Fed rate cut this month continue to support safe-haven demand for Gold. At the same time, market belief that Trump's policies could drive inflation higher and prompt the Fed to maintain elevated interest rates for longer is boosting US Treasury yields. This provides some support to the US Dollar (USD), limiting Gold’s upward momentum. Given these mixed signals, caution is advised before making new bullish bets. Traders now turn their focus to the US JOLTS Job Openings data for potential short-term trading opportunities around XAU/USD. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Small frame gold price continues sideways, there are still SACLPING signals in the 2622 price range ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2623 - $2621 SL $2618 scalping TP1: $2628 TP2: $2633 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4