Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a correction after new local highsTwo out of our three Silver positions remain active, with Silver reaching a remarkable high near $35. Today, we decided to fully close our second position, locking in substantial gains. The first position, initiated at $26.30, will remain open with a stop loss placed slightly below $26, aligning with the high-timeframe support and wave 1 level.
Given current analysis, a correction in Silver may be on the horizon after reaching the minimum target for wave 3. With increased Treasury yields and some profit-taking, Silver could face resistance in climbing further, especially considering the upward trend in yields.
While we cannot predict the exact speed of this potential downturn, if it unfolds as expected, we’ll look to re-enter with Silver certificates around the $30 to $28.30 range. The ideal correction would see a pullback toward the volume range high and a subsequent bounce within the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone, which we’ll confirm once wave ((a)) is established. Stay patient and focused, as volatility is expected to rise with the upcoming presidential elections.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Silver’s U-Turn: Head & Shoulder Formation Triggers Sell Signal● After breaking out from the Rounding Bottom formation, the price soared to an impressive peak of $34.87.
● Subsequently, a consolidation phase unfolded, leading to the development of the Head & Shoulder pattern.
● We expect a swift drop once the neckline is breached, potentially retracing the price back to its earlier breakout point.
Key levels to watch
● Entry : Below $33.4
● Potential Target : $32.7
● Stop-loss : Above 33.7
XAGUSD Bull Flag to test the strength of the MA50 (1d).Silver has completed a Cup pattern with the price breaking above it this week.
Yesterday's pull back may start a Bull Flag, delayed Handle of the Cup, same as the mid April Bull Flag that gave an excellent buy above the MA50 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Targets:
1. 38.500 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading on a similar pattern as April. A neutral (1d) RSI is perhaps the most efficient buy signal there is.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Correction Silver H4. 24.10.2024Correction Silver 📉
The correction in silver started a bit earlier than the expected zone, so I'm clarifying the situation. Buying zone is important at 31.31-32.17 and slightly above the margin with support level. I am still aiming for 35.50 and higher after the end of the pullback. There were no strong culmination volumes at the top, so it is more likely that a pullback is forming downwards.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
XAGUSDXAGUSD is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Silver H1 | Potential bearish reversalSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 34.18 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 34.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG/USD "SILVER DOLLAR" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Bonjour! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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silver to 35$ Rate Cut Expectations Hello Traders as I can see Silver Breaks Above $30.19 as Fed Rate Cuts Loom, Eyes $31.76 and $32.52 as Bullish Targets for the Week Ahead. Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Propel Silver Higher; Traders Await Fed's Upcoming Interest Rate Decision. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Soar: Markets See 57% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Cut, 43% Chance of a Bigger 50-Basis-Point Cut
is moving toward to 35$ range as we can see bull market continues on the base of FFR cut Expectations also technically chart is showing us that the descending Triangle breakout is a clear view to continue Rally till 35$. Silver prices surged last week, breaking above the $30.19 per ounce mark and confirming a bullish trend on the weekly charts. The rally brought key levels of $32.52and $35 into focus. Optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar and strong gold inflows, fueled silver’s upward move.
Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Drive Silver Higher. One of the key drivers of silver’s rise was the U.S. dollar’s continued decline, which hit its lowest level of the year against the yen. A weaker dollar typically boosts silver by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Additionally, global gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw continued inflows, with the SPDR Gold Trust reaching its highest levels since January. This increased demand for gold also lifted silver prices, as the two metals often move in tandem. Friends its just a trade idea make proper research before entering any trade Support the idea it will help many other traders Stay tuned for more updates ....
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35
Precious metal prices are fluctuating near multi-year highs due to safe-haven demand driven by:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections,
→ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East,
→ Expectations of central banks lowering interest rates.
As seen on the XAG/USD chart, silver prices:
→ Are near their highest levels in 12 years,
→ Are approaching the $35 mark,
→ Have risen by over 43% since the start of the year.
Technical analysis of the XAG/USD chart indicates that silver is following an upward trend (shown in a blue channel), with the current price near its median line. This suggests a potential balance between supply and demand, which could stabilise price fluctuations.
Key observations:
→ A red resistance line on the chart reflects a corrective phase within the blue channel.
→ Breaking through this resistance in September triggered a strong bullish impulse (marked by a blue arrow).
→ This impulse was so robust that it pushed the price above the psychological $30 level, turning it into support.
A similar pattern might emerge in the future. After another strong bullish move (marked by a second blue arrow), the $32.5 level could also become a support area.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver (XAG/USD) Red Alert Technical Update📉 Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Update
Resistance at 34.40 met! 🛑
Expecting a drop towards 33.00 first, followed by 30.00 as the next target if bearish momentum continues. 📉💡 Keep an eye on these key levels!
#Silver #XAGUSD #Forex #Commodities #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
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XAUUSD Potential breakout to a new ATHXAUUSD has broken and closed above the downward channel, signaling a strong bullish trend. As the price approaches the all-time high (ATH) level, there is potential for a pullback as traders may take profits or reassess positions. However, with the current bullish momentum, the market is likely to continue moving higher, even if a slight pullback occurs. If the price does pull back, looking for rejection signs near key support levels could confirm further upside. The target is the resistance zone at 2698
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Historic Resistances
As a bull run continues on Silver,
here are the next historic resistances to focus on.
Resistance 1: 34.0 - 34.4 area
Resistance 2: 34.7 - 35.4 area
Resistance 3: 37.0 - 37.5 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Massive Cup & Handle on Silver could take price to $722 by 2046Could also reach that full breakout target much sooner to but the trajectory of the measured mvoe line were it to validate the breakout above the rimline around the arbitrary spot I placed it at has the end of the measured move line in the year 2046. With the right scenario playing out on the global stage a price like that is possible much sooner even, and there’s also always the chance that we go past that timeframe without hitting the full target just yet either but that happens less often than when it hits the target beforehand. *not financial advice*
XAGUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 34.23 - 34.65, which aligns with 161.8% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibo extension
Our take profit will be at 32.95 a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 35.60, above 100% Fibo projection
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.