Get started

XAG

XAGUSD vs XAGCAD? More important than you might think.I have been looking at XAGUSD vs XAGCAD, with the theory that the relative performance of the pairs could be a signal. In this scenario, CAD should be thought of as a proxy for commodities, of which Silver is just one. The USD is acting as a measure of the wider economy, and the role Silver plays in it. Starting with the long term then, some general notes. The CAD (main chart) persistently pegs more closely to the price of silver, as you might expect. It has lower highs, and higher lows. Priced in Silver, CAD is less volatile. USD on the other hand, fluctuates above and below this line, with important potential observations. Notice the considerable difference between the two charts today, a potential for catch up is coming? We can see highlighted important regions. In green, the 2011 Silver and commodity bull market. Silver in USD significantly outperformed, more detail on that later. In red, we see the 2011 to 2020 bear market. Significant under performance of silver is highlighted. We will see some more detail of that in a bit as well, as there are some important differences today. Finally, the period today is highlighted, which appears to be under performed. More on that later. Next, let's get more into the thesis. Here is the consolidation phase of the 2008 bear market. We see persistent and significant out performance, almost without exception from where you set the time scale. The difference grows to as much as 30% in several parts, all before the real bull market begins. Most of this can be seen around $25, which was the previous interim top from 2006. The Silver Bull Market. The growth in XAGUSD continues throughout the process. The top in this cycle is amazingly formed as CAD reaches it's highest point in 40 years vs the USD, in April of 2011. Two months later, the CAD begins it's 30% retreat to the twenty year lows. Measured from December 2008, the performance of XAGUSD peaks in the region of +100% vs XAGCAD (This depends on the start and end date of course). The Crash; Although not obvious initially, the XAGUSD Line dips below XAGCAD and stays below, which seems to confirm this bear market. This limits this relationship for picking tops, I admit. The bear market 2011 to 2016. I've highlighted how the market consistently fails to outperform XAGUSD vs XAGCAD. Even during the 'Bull' run of 2016, there is only a brief, 3 month period where it is even possible to show out performance of XAGUSD, from Nov 2015 to Mar 2016. Move the chart and see for yourself. This signal is squashed even before the bull market begins, which could have been a warning sign as XAGUSD failed to break out relative to XAGCAD. 2016 to 2020. A mixed signal? The consolidation of 2016 to 2020 was mixed, there was no clear under performance, but neither did it outperform. Using the full consolidation phase, we cannot see a breakout today. Today; While no breakout is clear, there are perhaps signs this has changed with this current phase. From the March lows, we can now see Silver in USD is clearly outpacing Silver in CAD, although not yet by as much as in the 2008-2011 cycle. This could mean either; The signal is registering a false breakout. Although unlike the 2016 and earlier interim tops, this out performance has lasted almost a full year. Something that has not happened since 2008. We are still in the early stages of this bull market. Look for this comparison to breakout with a 20 to 30 point difference. This is not hard to see as possible, considering how far XAGUSD needs to catch up just to where XAGCAD is today. And considering that when it does, it tends to overshoot, this could be further confirmation that this party has just started. Takeaways; Look for this comparison to breakout to the upside 20 to 30 points, which could then continue for months to years. A spike in the USD is not out of the cards as always, and would be negative for this relationship. If XAGUSD remained neutral in that scenario, I would be very bullish however. This relationship currently has about 10% cushion to allow that without dropping XAGUSD below XAGCAD. A spike in the USD driving this ratio down would also need to persist for several months to indicate this is not Silver's time. Top in the relationship should be formed by a significant high in the CAD.
FX_IDC:XAGCADLong
by petrykdoug
2
SILVER on a retracement move 🦐SILVER on the 4h chart after the strong bullish spike until the 30 level retraced below the resistance. The market after a consolidation tested the support. According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break below we can set a nice short order. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
SAXO:XAGUSDShort
by InkyGrip
6
XAUUSD !! Who is waiting for bearish ? The channel is broken and now, technically, there should be a decrease in the channel length.I put the link of my previous analysis, you can review Please push **LIKE** to support idea , thanks This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wolf_of_Trading
66
💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast: While the price is above the support 21.90, resumption of uptrend is expected. We make sure when the resistance at 29.85 breaks. If the support at 21.90 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid. Technical analysis: While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A trough is formed in daily chart at 25.88 on 02/04/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 27.40, 28.45 and maximum to Major Resistance (29.85) is expected. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses. Relative strength index (RSI) is 57. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader ? Now, It's your turn ! Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ForecastCity_World
12
💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast: While the price is above the support 21.90, resumption of uptrend is expected. We make sure when the resistance at 29.85 breaks. If the support at 21.90 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid. Technical analysis: While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A trough is formed in daily chart at 25.88 on 02/04/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 27.40, 28.45 and maximum to Major Resistance (29.85) is expected. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses. Relative strength index (RSI) is 57. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader ? Now, It's your turn ! Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ForecastCity
14
XAGUSD is approaching support, potential bounce. Price is facing bullish pressure from our pivot, in line with our graphical swing low support, ascending trend line, 100% fibonacci extension and 38.2% fibonacci retracement where we could see a further upside above this level to our resistance level at 29.6899. Failure to hold above our pivot level at 28.0565 could see a swing towards our first support target at 29.6899. Pivot: 28.0565 Supporting Points: graphical swing low support, ascending trend line, 100% fibonacci extension and 38.2% fibonacci retracement 1st Support: 26.6885 Supporting Points: Horizontal overlap support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement 1st Resistance: 29.6899 Supporting Points: Horizontal swing high resistance Trading FX & CFDs carries high risk.
SAXO:XAGUSDLong
by M4Academy
The uptrend in silver continues!Last week, the opportunity for silver came true. Now the price is in a similar situation. After reaching $ 30 yesterday we saw a correction. We are now looking for its end for new entry opportunities. The expected resistance levels are in the area of the previous peak - 29.85 and in case of a breakthrough 30.82. Fundamental grounds provide opportunities for higher values, so be prepared. Some brokers are changing their margin requirements! If you have questions about how to trade this or another situation, contact us! To support us, like and comment!
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by ForexTrendline
2