Wyckofftrading
Wyckoff accumulation 2070 Daily ChannelThis my main long term perspective on gold's loooong descending channel since 2070.
In my view, this is just an over-extended bearsqueeze due to the strengthening Dollar Index which would ultimately reach 120 soon, and ultimately peak.
Market Makers are bullish overall and choosing to extend price action for as long as it needs to, and exhausting off as many sellers from the market as possible in the process to secure a decisive break out to the upside.
ALGO completing Wyckoff accumulation phaseAfter a multi-month period of mark-down ALGO is exhibiting the final stages of Wyckoff's accumulation model:
1. Preliminary Support (PS) established
2. Selling Climax (SC) achieved
3. Automatic Rally (AR) occurred
4. Secondary Tests (ST) occurred
5. Price broke key resistance level (Sign Of Strength / "crossed the creek"
6. Price Backed Up ("walk back to creek")
The next phase is the mark-up phase.
This could correspond well with a mid-term rally off SPY support level.
Wyckoff's Spring Accumulation for Bitcoin ??!The most of the signs and the psychology of the people in the Market, are pointing for lower macro lows $10k-13k.
What if a "Spring" (fake out) according to Wyckoff's Accumulation phase plays out ?
Fake us all out, drag us into shorts, and then start reversing ?!
Long BTC to $25,600Cognitive flexibility, required to shift one’s bias from bullish to bearish, long to short, and vice versa, based on market conditions, is extremely valuable as a trader. In previous publications, I mentioned that since the BTC price has been in a down trending environment for nearly 9 months we should assume that the current trading range (31 days and counting) is re-distribution unless the market conditions tell us otherwise. The BTC price is up 22% since the secondary test (ST) on July 13. Thus, the current market conditions tell us that we should consider whether the current trading range is re-accumulation instead of re-distribution.
If the current trading range is re-accumulation, then the secondary test (ST) on July 13 had a spring-like effect and the subsequent rally, which broke above the trading range upper bound, broke above the value area high (VAH, purple line) and, most likely, will close above the open of the significant sell bar (shaded pink) on June 16. This is bullish!
The 2 day, 4 day, and 8 day all look bullish. With regard to a long position, target 1 is $25,600 and target 2 is $29,959.
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), preliminary support (PS), selling climax (SC), secondary test (ST), failed upthrust (FUT), upthrust (UT), upthrust after distribution (UTAD), last point of support (LPS), selling climax (SC), shakeout (SO), sign of strength (SOS), sign of weakness (SOW), Phase A (Ph A), Phase B (Ph B), Phase C (Ph C), Phase D (Ph D), Phase E (Ph E).
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
My idea for Gold, Wyckoff DistributionHere is a potential move on Gold to the downside, based on recent Bullish mitigation events and the fact we touched a major Weekly Supply zone, and that the bullish trend from 1680 is long due for a small correction down to an estimated 1770 or 1753.
(Disclaimer, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE)
BTC Reaction at Re-Distribution Trading Range Upper BoundThe BTC price continues to be observed within a Wyckoff re-distribution trading range (to be confirmed or to fail) with the upper bound given by the automatic rally (ARa) daily high and the lower bound given by the selling climax (SC) daily low.
The secondary test (ST) on July 3 had a Spring-like effect, catalyzing a very nice rally (+19%) that wicked above the trading range upper bound. I expect the BTC price to test the point of control (POC) around $20,472. Let’s see how the BTC price reacts at the POC (e.g., Will it fall through the POC support or reverse direction?).
With regard to the Phoenix Ascending (PA) indicator (lower panel), upward momentum (Energy, grey) is diminishing. We will be observing downward momentum soon. The blue line at level 70 will provide support for the BTC price. Given the levels and likely trajectories of the blue and red lines, a steady, step-wise move down (similar to the reaction from June 26 through July 3) seems likely.
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), selling climax (SC), secondary test (ST), upthrust (UT), upthrust after distribution (UDAT), preliminary supply (PS), failed upthrust (FUT), last point of supply (LPSY), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOW), Phase A (Ph A), Phase B (Ph B), Phase C (Ph C), Phase D (Ph D), Phase E (Ph E).
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
Nasdaq 100 in Wyckoff Re-Distribution Trading RangeThe Nasdaq 100 index (NDX) price continues to be observed in a down trending Wyckoff re-distribution trading range. The NDX price broke the support of the previous trading range on Jan 18, 2022 and the downward price move was halted several days later with the selling climax (SC) event.
Here I offer two scenarios for the future NDX price: (1) a bullish scenario, and (2) a bearish scenario.
For the bullish scenario to play out, the NDX price needs to break the closing price on May 25 ($11,935), May 26 ($12,282), and May 27 ($12,665). Failure to do so would invalidate the bullish scenario.
For the bearish scenario, the price would need to reverse then break the trading range support ($11,334). If this were to occur, the NDX would likely find support at around $10,500. Failure to break the trading range support would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Given the strong positive correlation between the NDX and BTC, which can be viewed as a risk-on stock, Bitcoin HODLers will be watching these events play out with great interest. Happy trading!
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), selling climax (SC), secondary test (ST), upthrust (UT), failed upthrust (FUT), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOW), upthrust after distribution (UTAD).
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
Dow Review (English subtitles)Click the "subscribe" necessarily if you come review! Then I will post more ideas.
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The course includes :
Wyckoff Method
Demark method
VSA
Trading method tailored to your psycho-type
Trading Psychology
For more details please contact me in a private message
I can also introduce you with my unique indicators, of my own design
Wykoff Zone (Defines activity and smart money zones and also gives buy and sell signals)
Indicator Demark, which has no analogues on the platform - as most of the indicators are far from the essence of the methodology of Demark and too simplified, which violates the basics of the principle of
For investors, I can transfer the 2 weeks course Lazy Investor on which you can learn how to invest and in what shares to invest + method of cross zeros
Completed with my own developments taking into account the imbalance of supply and demand
Indicator Wyckoff Line created by the activity of professionals and identification of liquidity zones, to which the price is attracted.
Remember that the market is only driven by supply and demand. No technical indicators will tell you in advance whether a supply or demand imbalance has occurred.
Listening to the news can put you in a state of wrong decision, so make decisions only by the activity zones of professionals. By understanding where the imbalance of supply and demand is occurring, you can correctly build your strategy of work.
The indicator has a clever algorithm that takes into account the activity zones on several timeframes above the working chart.
It also includes a system of VSA, which determines the entry point for buying or selling a certain instrument. The entry point is determined by the imbalance of volume and price on the principle of lack of demand, or lack of supply in liquid areas.
Take a look at "Figure 1", which clearly shows the supply test after which the price reached the next liquidity level in WMT stock
The following example clearly shows a buy after a downtrend, which after the passage of the liquidity zone defined a clear signal to buy the stock AAPL
The essence of the indicator is that high volume is always a liquidity zone, into which the price will constantly strive. The indicator determines the liquidity zones of the professionals, which you set on the higher timeframes with the help of certain settings of the high volume bar. And along with the indicator package I provide a tutorial video where I tell you how to use this indicator. I also give some author's settings and recommendations for entering or exiting a position.
Now let's analyze the sell signal. Here is an example of one of the sell signals in which the indicator clearly worked:
The price reached the liquidity zone and it signaled three times that it was time to enter the position. Next, using completely different entry techniques, you could sell the KO stock or, if you were trending upwards and your techniques did not involve selling, you could simply exit your position in time.
The uniqueness of the indicator is that it works on a chart like crosses zero. By setting liquidity zones, you can use the signal of this indicator to enter a position without any market noise. Take a look at the example below where an entry was made into an MSFT stock:
snapshot
To start using the indicator you need to write me a private message.
I will send you instructions for using the indicator and my recommendations (how to enter and exit a position) and indicator settings.
You can receive free support and advice from me during the whole time of using the indicator by writing me in personal messages.
Ability to use the indicator in different languages: I will provide you with a video guide for setting and instructions for use in your own language.
Available languages for using the indicator: Russian, English, Chinese, Spanish, German.
Translation of indicator settings into different languages is in progress.
Indicator subscription price is $20.
Indicator purchase for unlimited use is $300.
Gold trading idea, XAUUSD analysis with Sell zone updateSee previous posts for details.
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* This is Pre-plan and an education post
That means my view can change, depending on how the price will arrive at the level and what will be happening on the M5 in my level of interest for entry. Then I will decide if I will enter or not. So please don't just blindly follow this. The FX market is a quickly changing environment and it requires full focus on the levels for the precise entry with low risk.
* DISCLAIMER
We are the only one person who is responsible for our health, relationships, success, and money in our lives. So taking a risk on the markets based on this idea is only and only your decision. You deserve the profit and you are responsible for your potential loss. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The author of the analysis does not accept liability for any loss or damage.
* Legal Risk Disclosure
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
Gold trading today, XAUUSD analysis and estimating targetDid you analysis XAUUSD today?
Here's a Wyckoff scenario for Gold.
We have a distribution schematic in 1h time frame.
What is the potential gold price target?
This is estimate target of Wyckoff distribution for taking profit of short orders above.
So we have safe target at 1817.5 (for above positions).
We're using P&F chart & measure movements.
Today, we'd like to see a pullback to LPSY for new short entries.
Let's see price action there.
We measure movements to take profit and find new timing zones for next orders.
Hope this post could help you make better XAUUSD analysis.
Do you want to see more posts about Gold trading?
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* This is Pre-plan and an education post
Our Gold's analysis based on Wyckoff method, Gann trading and price action.
That means my view can change, depending on how the price will arrive at the level and what will be happening on the M5 in my level of interest for entry. Then I will decide if I will enter or not. So please don't just blindly follow this. The FX market is a quickly changing environment and it requires full focus on the levels for the precise entry with low risk.
* DISCLAIMER
We are the only one person who is responsible for our health, relationships, success, and money in our lives. So taking a risk on the markets based on this idea is only and only your decision. You deserve the profit and you are responsible for your potential loss. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The author of the analysis does not accept liability for any loss or damage.
* Legal Risk Disclosure
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
PG Hello friends! now let 's analyze the PG company my Wyckoff Line indicator, which you can access and which clearly defines the liquidity zone of professionals , as well as with which you can determine the liquidity zones and, accordingly, understand where the accumulation is .
Where is the distribution absolutely clearly and determined the repulsion from the liquidity zone at the very bottom
You can also see that I recently made a deal on the chart , this mark is marked with the mark b 1 ,
which also absolutely clearly indicated the purchase before the decline
On the right we see the relative strength index , which shows that at the moment the company is still in a negative moment relative to the market and it is not yet ripe for purchase at the moment and we must definitely wait until the price reaches the liquidity zone , after which we will already look at the relative strength index and certainly by sector
Thank you all
Click like subscribe necessarily if the review came in! Then I will post more ideas .
My chat of learning and analysis Wyckoff Analytics search in chats and subscribe
Friends, I conduct training in an individual format and in a limited number of students, since a large number will interfere with my trading!
The training course includes :
The Wyckoff Method
Demark method
VSA
A trading method tailored to your psychotype
Psychology of trading
For details, write in a personal message
I can also introduce you to my own unique indicators , of my own design
Wykoff Zone (You determine the activity and zones of smart money and also gives buy and sell signals )
is a Demark indicator that has no analogues on the platform - since most of the indicator are far from the essence of the Dymerka technique and are too simplified , which violates the basics of the principle
For investors, I can shift a 2-week lazy investor course where you can learn how to invest correctly and in which stocks + the tic-tac-toe method
supplemented
with your own developments taking into account the imbalance of supply and demand
Is gold in Wyckoff accumulation Phase C and ready to rally?This Point and Figure chart shows that gold may be in Wyckoff Phase C. It is still a little early to say for sure, but there are some positive signs. Supply has been reducing over what looks like Phase A and B, which is consistent with an accumulation structure. There has been reducing supply into the prospective Phase C. If the structure were distribution, we would expect to see supply increasing here. There has also been positive relative strength vs. equities all year.
After a hypodermic top in March, gold has been moving down with pressure from the USD and rising interest rates. However, there are signs that rates may have peaked for the short term. The USD has also shown climactic behavior. Plus, gold is getting a bid from the possible (and likely, in my opinion) general capitulation in equities that is about to happen.
My downside P&F target for the hypodermic top has now been met, so at the very least we should expect some consolidation here. Yesterday's Sign of Strength bar was a hint that demand is coming in. I will be looking closely at any local accumulation structure that is made here, to set targets for the next leg up into a Last Point of Support. What we need to see next is a commitment above 1860 to act as a confirmation.
BTC in Phase B of a Wyckoff Re-Distribution Trading RangeIn my previous publication, I opened a long position at what I thought at the time was a selling climax (SC). My analysis was incorrect, as what I thought was a SC was, in fact, a preliminary supply (PS) like event. The PS is known as the first concerted attempt to stop the down trend. Lesson learned.
Nevertheless, the BTC price has entered another Wyckoff re-distribution trading range, which is to be confirmed or to fail based on market events.
We are in Phase B as we’ve observed the SC and the automatic rally (ARa). Therefore, I’d expect the price to test the lower boundary of the trading range in the form of a secondary test (ST). This idea is consistent with the Phoenix Ascending (PA) indicator, given in the lower panel. I expect the red line to be rejected near level 50 then turn back down and for the green line to continue moving downward. The energy fall below 50 soon, indicating downward pressure on the price.
Significant bars, which help define important areas of support and resistance, are given by the blue shading.
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), selling climax (SC), secondary test (ST), upthrust (UT), upthrust after distribution (UDAT), preliminary supply (PS), failed upthrust (FUT), last point of supply (LPSY), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOW), Phase A (Ph A), Phase B (Ph B), Phase C (Ph C), Phase D (Ph D), Phase E (Ph E).
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
BTC Short Near Trading Range SupportThis chart builds on previous ideas I’ve shared regarding the BTC price action since October, 2021. In a previous publication, I stated that we likely had observed a shakeout (SO)/sign of weakness (SOW) in potential Phase D of Wyckoff re-distribution. I presented a scenario that would confirm my idea (solid red line). According to this scenario, we would observe a last point of supply (LPSY) event followed by the price breaking the trading range support to the downside. I presented a scenario that would disconfirm my idea (solid green line). According to this scenario, we had observed a SO/Spring event, which would be followed by a sign of strength (SOS) rally. The price data from over the last 12 days seems to confirm my idea of stepping-stone BTC Wyckoff re-distribution.
Given the observation of a likely LPSY, we may open a short position near the trading range support (approximately $41,000) or at the present price. The take profit targets are at the next support levels; specifically, $37,400 (-5.4%), $33,700 (-14.4%), and $29,900 (-25.2%).
The upper and lower boundaries of the trading ranges are given by the solid black lines and black dotted line. Significant bars, which help define important areas of support and resistance, are given by the blue shading. The blue arrows point to volume spikes.
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), automatic reaction (ARe), buying climax (BC), secondary test (ST), upthrust (UT), failed upthrust (FUT), last point of supply (LPSY), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SO), Phase A (Ph A), Phase B (Ph B), Phase C (Ph C), Phase D (Ph D), Phase E (Ph E).
The Phoenix Ascending (PA) indicator by @WyckoffMode is given in the bottom panel. The projected path for the red relative strength index (RSI), blue least squared moving average (LMSA), and energy (E), are given by the red, blue, and grey dotted lines.
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.