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Wyckofftrading

The Fundamentals of Wyckoff Theory Richard DeMille Wyckoff was a famous stock trader and investor, born in the late 19th century (1873–1934). Wykoff was a pioneer in the technical approach to stock market research. Wyckoff’s analyzed these market operators and their operations and concluded where risk and reward were optimal for trading. He shows the position of stop-losses at all times, the importance of managing the risk of any trade, and he explained techniques used to campaign within the large trend ( bullish and bearish ).Wyckoff also founded Wall Street Magazine. A five-step approach to the market. Wyckoff also developed specific Buying and Selling Tests, as well as a unique charting method based on Point and Figure (P&F) charts. While the tests help traders spot better entries, the P&F method is used to define trading targets. However, this article won’t dive into these two topics. Accumulation The Composite Man accumulates assets before most investors. This phase is usually marked by a sideways movement. The accumulation is done gradually to avoid the price from changing significantly. Uptrend When the Composite Man is holding enough shares, and the selling force is depleted, he starts pushing the market up. Naturally, the emerging trend attracts more investors, causing demand to increase. Notably, there may be multiple phases of accumulation during an uptrend. We may call them re-accumulation phases, where the bigger trend stops and consolidates for a while, before continuing its upward movement. As the market moves up, other investors are encouraged to buy. Eventually, even the general public become excited enough to get involved. At this point, demand is excessively higher than supply. Distribution Next, the Composite Man starts distributing his holdings. He sells his profitable positions to those entering the market at a late stage. Typically, the distribution phase is marked by a sideways movement that absorbs demand until it gets exhausted. Downtrend Soon after the distribution phase, the market starts reverting to the downside. In other words, after the Composite Man is done selling a good amount of his shares, he starts pushing the market down. Eventually, the supply becomes much greater than demand, and the downtrend is established. Similar to the uptrend, the downtrend may also have re-distribution phases. These are basically short-term consolidation between big price drops. They may also include Dead Cat Bounces or the so-called bull traps, where some buyers get trapped, hoping for a trend reversal that doesn’t happen. When the bearish trend is finally over, a new accumulation phase begins.
by TayFx
5
Bitcoin's Price Movement Explained By The Wyckoff DistributionPlease leave a LIKE & Comment if you enjoy the analysis. The Wyckoff distribution pattern has a range between $4800 and $6800.  According to the distribution, the price is currently in at the "Upthrust" point, since it has moved above the horizontal resistance level at $6800. This is the initial movement of phase "B". The expected future movement is a downward move that takes the price below the horizontal support level. The potential low below the support line is known as the "Show of Weakness", which could be the catalyst that initiates an upward move which causes it to break out above the resistance line. As for the exact value of the low, it is possible that this low occurs both below and above this support line. It is called the "Spring" if it goes below, while the "Last Point Of Support" if it is above. Once/if the price reaches this level, we will have a clearer understanding of the time period required for the price to complete this entire distribution.
Long
by BitcoinMaximus1
ES Price action analysis with key levels & what to expect 25 Mar 2020 - Climatic run up with increasing volume followed by biggest down wave with highest supply. Bearish reaction with slow grinding down move during non-regular trading hour (RTH). Could it be preliminary supply? 26 Mar 2020 - Another climatic run up after shocking number of jobless claim (think this ugly number will pressure the House to approve the bill?) ES broke above 2550 with fading volume. Possible exhaustive demand? Key levels to watch - First line of support - 2550, 2nd support- 2400, If stays above 2550, should challenge 2700.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by mingjong
4
EURGBPWe've had the weekly distribution schematic happening perfectly so far, now marking this up again I'll like to see the 2nd LPSY be made for our 1000 pip entry move to the downside which adds confluence of our GBP based pairs heading to the upside long term heading into the first few months of 2020. From that point on I expect EUR to then start to rise begging a bullish rally to the upside as I expect GBP based pairs to severly weaken heading into the end of 2020 as a markek crash is expected. #WyckoffSchematics
by jedahs
3
Wyckoff theory: GBP/AUD Application (short opportunity) Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Mark Down. Two Rules of Richard Wyckoff The Wyckoff theory is based primarily on price action and the different cyclical stages the market falls in to. It is essential that we discuss two important rules stated in his book “Charting the Stock Market”. These two essential rules are paraphrased below. The first rule of Richard Wyckoff states that the market never behaves the same way. Price action will never create a move in exactly the same way that it did in the past. The market is truly unique. The second Richard Wyckoff rule is related to the first one. It states that since every price move is unique, its analytical importance comes when compared to previous price behavior.
by UnknownUnicorn3442968
10
BITCOIN BATTLE CONTINUES - KEY LEVELS APPROACHING!Since the climactic action in Bitcoin in late June, price has entered a trading range and we have had the signs of Wyckoff distribution. We will need to see the confirmation of the weakness on the right hand side of the trading range. The characteristics of distribution and re-accumulation can be very similar. A buying climax followed by an automatic reaction and the secondary test. The secondary test was on lighter volume indicating demand may have eased. We also couldn't reach the top of the trading range. Price failed at $13,200 with supply entering the market. This level may be tested in the future if we do see a rally higher. Although we are making lower highs, an indication of the downtrend establishing. Mid July we saw the bottom of the trading range tested and a minor sign of weakness. The price sliced through $10,000 on large volume and spread indicating large supply levels entering the market. We didn't see any follow through lower and this was the first sign that bitcoin may need to go sideways longer to build that cause for the next trend move. The first key level to watch is $10,520.30 - the top of the supply bar. This is the highest volume on the chart since the buying climax. Price has just moved through this area in the last 4 hours. The next few bars will be interesting. 18th July was the first sign of any demand entering the market and price rallied higher on nice volume and spread. We have seen this level defended on four occasions now. There are two ways to interpret this - the smart money is not allowing price to fall lower or they have not distributed fully yet and are doing this on the rallies higher. By 21st July the demand had eased and price had to fall to find further demand. We did see a spring of this area on July 29 and rallied strongly thereafter. Price rallied to $12,325 before stalling. The second key level I want to talk about is $10,974.63 - this has been a flip area for support and resistance since the supply came in at this level back in early July and may be a crucial level moving forward. Look at how many times on the chart price has bounced higher or lower off it. Look at 5th August, it was the first time in a while that price could break through this level. It was no coincidence that there is a large range demand bar starting at that level. It is the area where demand overcame supply. Unfortunately there wasn't much follow through higher after this and price trending sideways before failing again. In mid august the bottom of the trading range was tested and defended again. We have certainly now built enough cause for a move. We need to see the confirmation on the right hand side of the chart. A large demand bar that takes out these levels and rallies higher or a large collapse and supply bar taking out the bottom of the trading range. Either way there is a nice moving coming and patience is the key. So keep your eye on $10,974.63 in the near future!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AussieWyckoff
3