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Wyckoff

OIL WILL GO TO THE MOON FIRST !THE INTELLIGENCE SERVICE GAME It is IMPOSSIBLE that the intelligence services (CIA, NSA, MOSSAD, SVR, MSS, ISI, RAW, MI6...) that have invested billions and billions in monitoring "every click," every "audio" message left on an encrypted messaging platform (i.e. Pegasus), COULD NOT have been aware that HAMAS was arming itself in preparation for an operation and suddenly became ineffective! So if all the services were aware of the "scam," how did the opposing party anticipate managing this potential stumbling block? SET MOOD AND ESTABLISH THE SCENE BEFORE THE ARMS RACE BEGINS THEN COMODITIES WILL FOLLOW The internal security of a state depends on the quality of services provided by its protecting intelligence agencies The failure of Western services in prediction, but above all, the conviction that the Russians were 30 years behind, becomes glaringly evident. Otherwise a part of them knew it (CIA, MI6) and chose to misinform EVERYONE to sow chaos with the aim of boosting markets and generating demand. I always claimed this difference between USA and Russia in the fact that one are Poker players, and the others are chess players. In poker, it's not just about knowing how to lie, but also about knowing how to raise the stakes or play probabilities to determine the strongest hand on the table. The lack of information about one's potential can only be estimated through a provocation close to the borders; this is the opportunity the Americans seized in 2014 to overthrow the Ukrainian gvt. and repeat what they tried in 1936 by arming Poland (the former concept of the sanitary cordon). How can they switch from a theater of war into another ? Easy ! It is a question of manipulating public opinion as they already did in 9/11 to SAVE AMERICA from the crisis. Generally, we learn from our mistakes to avoid repeating them. And it's during an armed conflict that we delve into history to understand its origins. One must believe that only in fashion does a cyclical phenomenon exist. Without wanting to resort to sarcasm, artificially creating a conflict by using HAMAS to justify a local intervention is truly treating people like fools. The image war is primarily the one that targets public opinion at the expense of the invisible mechanisms that are set in motion, in order to make the 'pill' go down more smoothly. DEDOLLARIZATION TAKES A BACKSEAT, OIL FIRST ! Do not ignore that the USMCA (formerly NAFTA) still remains the largest consumer market ahead of the EEA. What is vulnerable or fragile for one state is an opportunity for another. The composition of teams is now known to all. The G7 against the BRICs, gradually marking the end of a G20, some countries seize an opportunity in investing in newly available areas (Africa is an example). As we observe a blatant loss of the former Western colonies, on which the latter built its wealth, it is entirely normal to see a conservative mechanism at play, detaching/tearing away the European zone at all costs to preserve the development of its own economic activity, much like a dog would defend its stake. From an objective standpoint, the Soviet Union and Europe share a similar economic framework : > A zone bringing together a group of states > Free movement of goods and individuals within it > The development of common projects using different parts of the zone > But above all, a common currency So, It took time to establish a common currency, therefore dedollarization won't happen right away And where some of them failed to stand out in creating alternatives to the dollar as they all got eliminated (HUSSEIN, KADHAFI, CHAVEZ), the probability that the BRICS succeed in this global "decentralization" becomes more and more evident. This is one of the reasons that is increasingly appealing to countries wishing to join this organisation. There is a certain logic if one looks at the geographic perspective of the 6 new members who have joined the BRICS, that it is imperative to secure the area to supply the new markets (Middle East / Africa), and consequently gain full control of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden (part of the BRI). Israel is merely an opportunity for the West to slow down the development of this project ! Therefore, to return to this "small" war of secret service cartels, MOSSAD (and indirectly the CIA) could not have been unaware that Hamas was arming itself progressively, but above all, qualitatively. One might even assume that it was evident to anticipate, following the abandonment of 50 billion dollars worth of military equipment in Afghanistan, just like the initiation of the Marshall Plan for Ukraine in the supply of heavier weaponry, a scenario concocted from scratch to set up this new theater of war! Something tells me that the cancelled cereal deal by the Russians has something to do with it... What are you ready to do at any cost ? www.macrotrends.net No matter the price you put into it, it will be nothing compared to the resources of governments ! In conclusion, not only have you been manipulated in a 'scam' with war images you could never have imagined seeing in 1973, but you will all watch how the price of a barrel will skyrocket and get ready to pay your "full of tank" 5 times more expensive. Russia's deputy PM NOVAK on NSE:OIL prices by year end : "Market sets the prices itself" Why? Quite simply because the geographical area of the conflict is composed of OPEC, and therefore the likelihood of a refinery receiving a 'stray missile' is very significant. As a result, the "Peace Makers" have decided to replenish their coffers to continue funding the production of ammunition... FOR THE PLAYERS : The last week close, before the busy weekend from the Gaza Strip left a gap between 84.90$ and 85.95$. There are barely 0.24$ left to close this one. The experience of 1973 raised the thermometer by over 35$ (from 28$ to 65$) initially, ultimately ending above 146$ over the decade following the conflict. 147.5$ was the 2008's ATH (we know the reason...) 138.4$ was the Russia's SMO over Ukraine, which shows the first attempt to Break the Creek Pull back above 92.63$ will trigger my Swing LONG STOP BUY > 92.63$ | STOP LOSS 79$ TARGET 1 > 147.50$ TARGET 2 > 215.32$ Just take a look of 1973-1983 chart to understand ! I don't make the rules!
TVC:UKOILLong
by UnknownUnicorn6367453
📈 Ethereum's Wyckoff Accumulation 📈Understanding Wyckoff Patterns: A Brief Overview Richard D. Wyckoff's trading methodologies have stood the test of time. These patterns are characterized by phases of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. Ethereum's 4H Chart: A Wyckoff Tale On Ethereum's 4H chart, we see signs of accumulation, where smart money starts buying. The next phase could be marked by manipulation, with price swings often seen as tests. Following this, distribution may occur as the price rises to a certain level. The Anticipated Outcome: A Bullish Move Wyckoff patterns often conclude with a bullish move. Traders are eyeing this setup for a potential uptrend in Ethereum's price. Trading Strategy: Navigating the Wyckoff Path Traders may consider entering or adding to positions during accumulation. Caution is advised during the manipulation phase, as price swings can be volatile. Distribution may be a signal for some traders to take profits. Conclusion: Wyckoff Wisdom on Ethereum's Journey Understanding chart patterns like Wyckoff can provide valuable insights into market dynamics. Ethereum's 4H chart currently reflects this classic pattern. While it suggests potential upward movement, traders should always exercise caution and use risk management strategies. Crypto markets are known for their volatility, so stay informed, adapt to changing conditions, and trade wisely. As we watch Ethereum's Wyckoff-style journey unfold, remember that trading is both an art and a science, and every move should be calculated. 📊🚀🌐 ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
1
XAUUSD: Accumulation Ahead of NFP Data!Gold price is in a slightly bearish phase, staying below $1,820 due to the impact of the yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond, which is above 4.7%. This situation makes it difficult for XAU/USD to undertake a significant recovery. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a bearish trend for XAU/USD, with indicators showing an abundance of sell signals in heavily oversold territory, without signs of downward exhaustion. The momentum indicator is accelerating downward, reaching around 94, while the relative strength index (RSI) is at 18. Meanwhile, moving averages confirm the bearish strength, well above the current level, highlighting the sellers' dominance. Analyzing the 4-hour chart, the risk of further declines is evident. A simple 20-day moving average acts as dynamic resistance around $1,824.10. This indicates that XAU/USD is under the control of sellers, as confirmed by technical indicators that turned downward after a temporary correction in negative levels, reflecting the lack of interest from buyers despite the extremely oversold condition of the US dollar. Regarding support and resistance levels, it is expected that gold may find support at $1,804.70, $1,792.10, and $1,779.85, while it may encounter resistance at $1,824.10, $1,833.35, and $1,845.20. The spot price of gold is touching new multi-month lows, reaching $1,813 per troy ounce. Despite the extremely oversold conditions of the US dollar, the precious metal fails to attract buyers. The market is concerned about persistent inflationary pressures and a tight labor market, which could lead the Federal Reserve (Fed) to further monetary restrictions, with the consequent risk of an economic recession. Hawkish comments from Fed officials this week and mixed signals from the employment sector keep these concerns alive, awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report for September. It is expected that 178,000 new jobs will be added in the month, while the unemployment rate is expected to contract from 3.8% to 3.7%. Before the event, US Treasury yields have slightly stabilized after reaching historical peaks. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is currently at 4.72%, slightly down from a 16-year high of 4.88%, while the 2-year note offers 5.02% after soaring to 5.20% in mid-September. Lower yields prevent the US dollar from rallying in the short term. Furthermore, at the 1916 level, it seems that the price is accumulating for an imminent rise or fall. At the moment, my view is still long, with the price in the buy zone. It will be crucial to assess tomorrow's NFP data, which will definitely shake a price that has been too stagnant for days. Let me know what you think. Happy trading from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Wyckoff Nasdaq - explainedI have posted the picture to a full Wyckoff schematic on the top right of the chart! Notice that we are currently at what could be considered the sign of weakness in phase B and could rally to the high of the range on this trend break! You can see the support of the entire consolidation can be formed off of the point we are at. Phase A outlines the support and resistance and it formed accurately as you can see! the remaining points in the schematic are definitely to be considered, however this market environment has been known to form phase A very clearly and other points and phases sometimes can seem exaggerated or falter in the following phases so I will be watching for common similarities with recent wyckoff playouts on the short term as well! Notice the arrows pointing to the blue and white line, I am very interested in returning to it on the short term, readjusting the position size at that time may be of interest! A break of the red yellow can invite a retest, this could be part of the relationship with the blue and white line! Although the current point in the schematic suggests a move to the upside, the entire pattern itself is known to reverse momentum and break the existing trend on phase E, In this case it is a daily chart and can mean a very long term process so it can take some time to progress through to phase E! I will consider the phases as they form and I encourage you to track this with me!
SKILLING:US100
by LegatusTrading
SILVER – 30$ COULD BE JUST AN APPETIZERObviously the re-accumulation is done. NASDAQ:XAG has found its Climax around 14$, played in Phase B for 6 years with an attempt to 21$ thus creating an UpThrust, till “COVID”, where price collapsed to 11$, found “some” buyers that sent price to the opposite direction. As you can see JAC is obvious ; BU seems to be done as well, bullish divergence confirmed. This “b shape” is clearly identified, with a SOS scenario definitely confirmed, 30$ seems to be just an appetizer. If we zoom out on a bigger TF, it looks like MM rushed out PA for 6 years before it re-integrated the Fork, kissed the Mid Range (what we called JAC), sitting on the “Preliminary supply” (what we call the UpThrust). What next ? Little flashback. 2022 was a year of sharp contrasts between silver’s fundamentals and institutional investor attitudes towards the metal; while the silver market saw what may well have been the largest deficit on record, professional investors were indifferent or bearish for much of the year. This year was not lost for Bears. blacksquare.finance The downward pressure on silver prices from this further boosted physical demand. This was perhaps most pronounced in India, where on top of already exceptionally strong demand, low prices encouraged the entire supply chain to replenish its stocks. This followed two pandemic-hit years of inventory draw-downs. There were other, price agnostic, drivers of demand growth last year. Most notable among these was the strength of industrial fabrication, in large part linked to the robust solar industry, but also reflecting a postpandemic recovery in a number of other markets. Indeed, were it not for China’s zero-COVID policies, global silver demand would have likely been even greater than the all-time high of 1,242.4Moz (38,643t) it realized in 2022. A lack of supply gains was another factor contributing to last year’s deficit. Limited organic growth, project delays and disruptions resulted in a marginal decline in mine production while recycling barely rose. All this culminated in a 237.7Moz (7,393t) deficit, most likely also an all-time record. (There is some uncertainty, as differences in definitions, coverage and methodology between Metals Focus and past data providers to the Silver Institute complicate comparing balances over the past few decades.) Importantly, the combined 2021 and 2022 deficits more than offset the cumulative surpluses of the previous 11 years. blacksquare.finance India WSS published last year a Changing Landscape of Indian Investment. India was currently the world’s third largest silver physical investment market after the US and Germany. The bar market in particular has been extremely successful, with around 500Moz (16,000t) bought cumulatively over the last 10 years. This partly reflects a lack of other silver investment vehicles, such as ETPs and digital products, both of which are available in the Indian gold market. For instance, digital gold was introduced in 2016, while mutual funds first launched gold ETPs in 2007. That said, the silver investment market is slowly changing, with digital silver and silver ETPs both launched last year. Looking at these themes in more detail, the growing popularity of e-commerce apps has meant that the likes of Amazon and Flipkart have been selling silver bars online, which can be physically delivered. However, holding physical silver comes with space constraints and security issues. To address these points, digital silver was launched by DIGIGOLD and Kredx; more will no doubt follow should their popularity grow. These allow silver to be bought online, and then have it stored in a vault. Once purchased, the silver can be sold directly for cash, or redeemed in physical form. In addition, the ability to invest as little as one rupee, the ease of transacting, transparency, and the ability to buy/sell at any time make it an attractive product. That apart, in 2021 the Securities and Exchange Board of India, the securities and commodities market regulator, allowed the launch of silver ETPs. Although several mutual funds issued silver ETPs, three are active, Aditya Birla Sun Life, Nippon India and ICICI Prudential, with a combined AUM of Rs 6.3bn ($82m) as of February 2022. Silver ETP fund-of-funds (a fund that invests in its own ETP) were also launched by Nippon India and Aditya Birla Sun Life. Other asset management companies have also filed scheme information documents (SIDs) to launch ETPs. Even though these products are relatively new, as retail investors become more comfortable with them and as financial literacy improves, we expect such products to become more popular. Although there will be some market share loss for bar demand (religious motives drive coin purchases), ultimately, we expect total Indian silver investment to grow. Russia-Ukraine Among the key drivers of the silver price in 2022 was the jump in geopolitical concerns following the start of the Russia-Ukraine SMO. This in turn exacerbated inflationary pressures as commodity prices soared, particularly in the energy complex. Likewise Cryptoassets, precious metals investment continued to benefit from nominal rates still being low and real rates negative at the beginning of the year. This, combined with worries about stagflation or even a recession, kept price expectations positive and in turn encouraged retail investors to buy hard assets including physical silver. The steep decline in LBMA silver stocks, along with the phenomenal jump in Indian silver imports, also gained much attention last year, contributing to the positive retail sentiment. The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine issue in early 2022 initially benefited both gold and silver; the gold/silver ratio was stable in a 75-80 range for much of Q1. Precious metals came under pressure, however, from late April as aggressive rate hikes by the Fed pushed the US dollar and Treasury yields higher. This raised the cost of holding precious metals for institutional investors and, with silver’s higher beta, the ratio widened to over 85. Expectations of sharply higher interest rates in the US were also joined by growing recessionary concerns and this fueled more underperformance by silver, as the metal suffered both as a precious and an industrial commodity. These pressures saw the gold/silver ratio touching 95 by September. A pullback to back below 80 then emerged towards the end of the year amid expectations that the Fed would slow its pace of rate hikes. Silver underperformed early on in 2023 despite tailwinds from China’s re-opening and the benefit provided to industrial metals as expectations that the Fed would adopt a more dovish stance encouraged investors to buy into gold. Amid all this, institutional and retail investment sentiment diverged at times during 2022. Geopolitical uncertainties, concerns about growth and inflation, all supported retail interest throughout the year. This was especially true when professional activity weighed on silver, as retail investors, particularly in North America and Europe, took advantage of ensuing low prices to purchase silver coins and bars, pushing combined sales in these two regions to the highest total in Metals Focus’ series. Indian physical investment saw a stunning recovery after two-years of below par demand, as lower prices and investment holdings starting the year at a low level led to renewed buying. blacksquare.finance Mexico – The Catalyst. Mexico just reported its steepest decline in annual production of silver in 4 years, which is notably worse than during the Covid lockdowns. Not forget that Mexico is by far the largest producer of the metal in the world today. The supply of silver remains remarkably constrained, and if this is indeed the beginning of another gold cycle, the metal could be worth multiples of its current price. Otavio (Tavi) Costa (CRESCAT CAPITAL) confirmed that Gold is about to reach record prices on a monthly basis. If historical correlations matter, it is hard to believe silver won’t follow the same path. That alone would imply a 110% return from its current levels. Relative to M2 money supply, silver remains one of the cheapest tangible assets in markets today. If the current inflationary issues prove to be structural, we are likely entering a secular bull market for precious metals. Key Level If we consider this a failed structure, it is no less that PA is out of the Fork (MarkDown). What we have consider as a BackUp few charts above, could be called a Spring, with a pull back on the MidRange (as luck would have it on 0.618 Fibo18 retracement!) – LPS. And once again, it JAC, plus 3 taps on 0.618. With the reduce of the volume, could be a Sign of the insistence to break it definitely. Mid Range might be the 1st Target, 50$ the second. 26.9$ (VAH19 might be the Key) If it happen, the journey still remains long. This is not crypto, this is a commodity. Even if PA has re-integrated the range, it currently trading below the POC20 (23.89$). 26.9$ (VAH) should be broken. This will confirm a definitive exit and here the “Creek” (BU) could be the LPS before take off to 30$. If it fail with a clear re-integration, it should drop below 20$ to confirm any Bear scenario.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn6367453
Understanding Bitcoin Price MovementUnderstanding Bitcoin Price Movement through Wyckoff's Theory Richard Wyckoff, a legendary figure in the world of trading, left us with invaluable insights into price action and market behavior. His principles, outlined in "Charting the Stock Market," lay the foundation for understanding how markets move. Let's delve into two pivotal rules from Wyckoff's playbook: Rule 1: The Market's Unique Behavior Wyckoff's first rule reminds us that the market is a dynamic entity. It never repeats the same price action exactly as in the past. Each moment in the market is distinct, shaped by a multitude of factors. Recognizing this uniqueness is essential. Rule 2: Comparative Analysis The second rule dovetails with the first. It emphasizes that the true analytical value lies in comparing current price action with historical behavior. By drawing parallels and contrasts, we can extract meaningful insights into market trends. These two rules serve as the cornerstone for comprehending the Wyckoff Market Cycle theory, which remains influential in modern trading practices. Wyckoff Market Cycle Theory Wyckoff introduced a groundbreaking theory based on price action, defining four distinct stages within a price cycle: 1. Accumulation Phase In this initial stage, institutional demand rises, and bulls begin to assert control. However, price action remains relatively flat, resembling a range-bound structure. Identifying higher lows within this range signals the Accumulation phase, hinting at an impending bullish move. 2. Markup Phase The second stage, Markup, sees bulls gaining enough momentum to breach the upper boundary of the range. This breakthrough signifies the emergence of a bullish trend. 3. Distribution Phase Distribution is the third stage, characterized by bears attempting to regain control. Much like the Accumulation phase, price action remains flat, but with a different twist. The sustained failure to establish higher bottoms hints at a looming selloff, depicted by lower tops. 4. Markdown Phase The final stage, Markdown, marks the onset of a downtrend following the Distribution phase. It signifies that bears have gained the upper hand, driving prices lower. Confirmation of the Markdown occurs when price action breaks below the lower boundary of the horizontal distribution channel on the chart. The beauty of Wyckoff's theory is its cyclical nature. After the Markdown phase, the entire process restarts with Accumulation, offering traders a framework to navigate the complexities of Bitcoin price movement. Understanding these principles allows us to discern patterns in Bitcoin's price action and make more informed trading decisions. By embracing the wisdom of Richard Wyckoff, we can navigate the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading. 🫶 Thanks for Your attention, sincerely yours, Kateryna. Wishing You successful trades and unforgettable adventures in the world of cryptocurrencies and the financial market!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
7
The Wyckoff Blueprint for XRP🚀XRP, often referred to as the "banker's cryptocurrency," has been through its fair share of ups and downs. However, an intriguing pattern is emerging on the charts, pointing to a potential bullish trend. Let's delve into the Wyckoff Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution cycle, a pattern that has historically signaled bullish moves. Wyckoff Accumulation: The Foundation The first phase of the Wyckoff cycle is accumulation. During this period, smart money accumulates an asset at low prices, creating a support zone. Wyckoff Manipulation: Setting the Stage After accumulating, the market is manipulated to set up favorable conditions. This manipulation often involves fluctuations and tests of the support zone. Wyckoff Distribution: The Launchpad Distribution follows manipulation, signaling a move to higher prices. It's a critical phase where demand exceeds supply, leading to a breakout. XRP's Current Position: A Bullish Outlook Observing XRP's recent price action, it's evident that accumulation has been in play. Price fluctuations and accumulation patterns suggest that smart money is positioning for a rally. What Lies Ahead: A Potential XRP Rally If history is any indication, the Wyckoff pattern suggests that XRP might be gearing up for a significant move. The distribution phase could be the launchpad for a bullish surge. Trading Strategy: Navigating XRP's Wyckoff Cycle Traders should closely monitor XRP's price action, particularly during distribution. Look for signs of increasing demand and a breakout above key resistance levels. Conclusion: XRP's Wyckoff Potential While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, the Wyckoff pattern has been a reliable indicator in the crypto space. With XRP displaying characteristics of accumulation and the potential for a distribution phase, it's an exciting time for XRP enthusiasts. Keep a close eye on XRP's charts, adapt your strategy as needed, and remember that the crypto market can be volatile. By staying informed and prepared, you can make well-informed decisions in this dynamic landscape. 🌊📈🚀 ❗See related ideas below❗ Feel free to like, share, and share your insights in the comments. Your active participation fuels our crypto discussions and fosters a collective understanding of this exciting space. 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
STABLECOIN – QUIZZ FOR SMART TRADERS Few months ago, I posted on the USDT.D ( Follow the money if You wanna hit your target ). According to the CryptoAsset market, USDT.D is 7.86%, so far. But if we add CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D to this chart, what is not insignificant because they are predominantly used in DEXs, we reaching 10.22% . Knowing that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is at 49.86% ; CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D at 19.03%. The TOTAL represent quite 80% of the Market… Do you need me to draw a picture of what I think about the rest ? In any case, when you are in an MarkUp channel, the probability of breaking it out to the downside could ONLY confirm the end of a trend, except for what you call a deviation (which in my language means a mSOW). You’ve understood it well! A decrease in stablecoin dominance simply means their use in investment, or rather their re-injection into Cryptoassets market ! Even if this Chart showing a Ribbon reversal, even if it setup a potential exit, with a potential desire to kick the 200, IT WILL TAKE TIME to exit from this Failed Structure because to confirm this exit (once Major SOW happen), we need to see at least a pull back on the low Fork trendline (ICE), no more than its MidRange. The only indication in this chart, is the volume decreasing for a potential spike/squeeze before any logical construction (because Weiss indicator bullshiting at this point!). In the assumption of lapping the 200, it will be highly likely to confirm if there will be a rejection or not ! Aesthetically this MarkUp is so perfect. I won’t say if we gonna make another lap to continue the progression! Of course, I would have preferred to see an upthrust before finding ourselves in front of this exit trap. Not that the last movement is too weak or too shy, which indicates the difficulty in a chaotic market progression. What is important in an increase or a decrease is not the trend itself, but rather the strength of the movement. From Weekly to Daily While in traditional markets, the construction of forks with different phases (from A to F) is obvious, in crypto, MM cause prices to fluctuate in all directions, leaving a lot of liquidity in both sides. This makes TA more complicated. As easy as it was to understand the Weekly TF, it gets more complicated on the Daily one. As I have often repeated, the cryptocurrency market is very young, with low liquidity, and therefore very volatile. There is a lack of rules, almost no discipline, which sometimes shows the intensity of the movements. Furthermore, when Institutional need to cover margin call on classics they don’t hesitate to purge their “crypto” positions, as we saw it in the past. According to AR as of 15.08.22 (ICE level), we currently working on the same level. If we consider the Spike as of May 22 with a kind of TPO leaving (9%), we can appreciate a double bottom. There is 4 bearish divergences, plus 3 “Yellow candles”, if I consider the Spike as of 10.03.23 being a LPSY, we just slid into a new Fork, more practicable. I could not exclude a 3 taps (9% again). It become obvious. Furthermore, We broke 8% , we might “BackUp” at least on this zone to confirm the continuation of the trend or break it to change the character. And since it’s in this area that our 200 Weekly is located, it would suit us well. Distribution or Accumulation ? As much as MarkUp 1 is clear and straightforward, MarkUp 2 seems to have been rushed and “destroyed”, with a possible QUASIMODO leaved ! This pullback below the VAH, with that kind of LVN that even a dentist would think twice about how to fill it, confirm that we are still in a PHASE B. If so, POC level (9.66%) is inevitable ; VAL (9.35%) could be lapped, and I don’t exclude squeeze a Spring below 9% at most 7.74% (200 Weekly) with a pull back. This would be a PHASE C, according to push dominance above 11% quickly. Otherwise, it will be a never-ending day (new lap till ST level). Below 9%, I would be like a Mowgli with this important question if I should be back to the Jungle once I leaved it! We have time. “Yellow candle” H4 triggered20 (10.28%) and POC is a magnet. This could confirm my BTC projection. Conclusion What could be the catalyst the confirm me the end of this tremendous Bear ? On fundamentals ! I am still negative on this market till we did not wash it definitely ! 1.8M tokens, over 700 exchanges…. don’t you think it’s a lot ? There will be projects that will be disappear once MIL:BTC will break 25k. 20k will be catastrophic we should try the be more objective on : SMO might end in Ukraine by December. Taïwan – China will the next step !!!!!! ECOWAS (G7) vs. Free African countries (BRICS) US elections 2024 Binance issue + different new cases to come… MICA law + CBDC attempt (typically test the market to try to interfere). I am not talking about my POV over dislocation of the Europe. And more much to come in the next years. I don’t know what is the global current use of DeFi tools. I stopped at 8% worldwide…. We just entered in the Digital AGE and decentralised systems become usual. The Adoption will take some time.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by UnknownUnicorn6367453
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe AnalysisIn the daily TF, after engulfing the $16,218 area, price started to accumulate. This accumulation took almost 60 days and BTC had very low fluctuation but after the accumulation price started to break all the SR lines and even the mid-term trend-line. As a result of these engulfing these SR lines, we can see FTR zones were formed and had supported the rise in the price one after another. And also cased a formation of a very important base between $19,562 - $20,368. (Referring to the strength of this base and the pattern formed, we can consider this base an important Order Block). By breaking out of the FTR zone $25,200 (orange) price formed a new FL between $24,745 - $32,376. Generally, when price of BTC rose to $32,000 we can consider this a pullback to the DP of the weekly TF. And started to distribute. In the current situation we must take the following into consideration: ⁃ currently price is ranging in a Flag ( indecision area) and non of FLs has been engulfed in order for us to have a clear for cast of BTC future moves ! ⁃ As price is in downtrend in the higher TFs, and after making the pullback to the DP of the downtrend pattern price broke the mid-term uptrend trend-line.,The probability of engulfing the lower FL and descent of price to the base which was before the pole (FTR) is very high ! Kindly note that in Financial Market there are more than 1 scenario! We in fact, by relying on rules and principles of Technical Analysis & also deep analysis of Fundamental Data, try our best in providing you with a thorough analysis together with e most probable scenario for the future values of assets and currencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TraderAceAcademy
XUAUSD Next Stop 1905-1900 pls put trays in the upright positionYes these lines might cause you seizures do not look at them if you have or a family member has experienced or has a history of having them. I am going to post two charts one is something I just made. so simple. and another is my indicator. both say market wants to dump to 1900ish-1905. this chart a signal when the market basically burps or farts....lol sorry but you aren't suppose to see it. I see it because I made my indicator with my own formulas. I use that symbol's candle that it is referencing and I can draw channels leading from it above and below price action using other price action. This shows me where price will go if it breaks out one way or the other. The other chart is an instant direction indicator which right now on a 15 min chart is showing both lines pointing down. the stronger the trend the straighter the lines and the closer together they are. you can switch down to a 1 min and see what the instant is.... if the red line is on top while moving up its a weak move... probably ignore that move. When green is on top its got alot more momentum to it. I normally add to my position when the red is on top and moving up. When it switches I start closing positions. Right now the market isnt running full steam but when it is there chart I am using is set to move against gold when the market is running up or down. depending on different metrics. Its kind of smart. Once I get it dialed in It should tell me where gold will be headed to. There is a .30 cent difference in price between the two with the market closed. I can imagine on really huge volume days this can have a massive divergence and push this. Thanks for taking the time to read. I love messing around with new things and this was fun. Please Like, follow and of course boost...as its free. And it shows me that you appreciate or want to see more of this. by iCantw84it 09.25.23
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by iCantw84it
1
XAUUSD Outlook Sept 15 Short-Term Short - ACCUMULATION - RALLYOVERALL DAILY TREND: BULL BIAS in HTF From a Daily TF perspective, there seems to be a higher timeframe Wyckoff Accu 2 at play. There is a DTF Rally that is undergoing a pullback sequence and is already at the area of the Daily Fib 618-786 Expectation is that PA will reverse soon to the upside. DAILY CYCLE POTENTIAL OUTCOMES for today: D3 shorts/ False Break Reversal for a continuation down to tag 27 ext bear level before finally pulling back up for a long term rally. May do a 300 pip drop before reversal. Lower TF’s are still heavily bearish Monday and Tuesday + Yesterday have been down days Yesterday didn’t quite touch the 382 level so i am extending the Fib. Now, the 382 level is flush with the M15 HBMR and very near the PD’s High. We still have a 225 pip (75x3) of Fall & WE HAVE NOT REVERSED AT ALL We are in Prev LOW and has pinned 2 prev day’s lows. We got TRAPPED Traders for sure WE HAVE DONE AN INITIAL BALANCE BREAKOUT AND Hand now we ALSO HAVE AN OR BREAKOUT but we have not done any retesting. It’s been consolidating underneath the prev LOW in a 100 pip box range. I referenced last month, PA and it dropped 300 pips from Monday before starting the conso to reverse back up. May be the same case for Gold. 300 pips is in the 1900 level aligned with 786 which is the level it often reverses from based on historical data. SO. For today: it has moved down 25x3 levels Making LL’s and LH’s = formula for a Pump & Dump It could potentially pump / wick the following confluence which are very near to each other almost clumped together: 1) HBMR area 2) PDH 3) NY EOD C High 4) Current day’s High which is also Asia Session’s High 5) Intermediate structure 38.2 fib area 6) Prev LOW and 7) OR Low BEFORE DUMPING FURTHER DOWN. There are still a ton of Demand Areas with a ton of volume below to get liquidity from before rallying up. Quite we are bearish until 1900. If I'm wrong, then PA could just rally up already.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by RSC_FX
Gold Long term Wyckoff Re-Accumulation.Gold is currently inside a daily/4h bear channel correction to lower 1800 weekly/monthly demand levels. Overall trend for gold is still bullish on the weekly/monthly, so a buy in the 1800s is a very good opportunity, which would mean forming a Wyckoff Phase C LPS for a potential rally to 2000 by December or next year. Failing 1800s or holding 2000 level would mean gold is looking to correct much deeper for the range on the monthly, and potentially an area of 1550 would be a likely target to fill all orders from 1660.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Vysera
3
Maybe Wyckoff ??Hi there ; to those of u who are familiar with Wyckoff, as i have just recently started getting into this type of analysis , maybe we can make some sense out of this market moves . - it seems like phase A has been successfully accumulated supply and the diminished volume in mark-downs , make it seem promising . - as now we enter phase B , we will attempt a rally up into 26300 key zone . then we'll see what's what in later idea updates that i'll provide . Keep in touch !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by hamidking82
2
EURUSD Wyckoff PatternEURUSD Wyckoff Pattern EURUSD - H1 Chart - Wyckoff Pattern in Accumulation Phase 1. Preliminary Support (PS) Preliminary Support or PS is a support level that forms after a significant fall in market prices. It’s caused by Big Institutional Players and Smart money traders, when they try to acquire bullish positions after a strong selloff. In the image, you can notice that after a Sharp fall, the price action bounced back and moved sideways – That’s the example of Preliminary Support Once a Preliminary Support is established, Market will find it very hard to break that support level because of Strong buying interest. 2. Selling Climax (SC) Selling Climax is another pattern in Accumulation phase characterized by sharp selloff. It takes place before the Preliminary Support or PS. It indicates that selling pressure has reached a stage in which panic selling by the public will be absorbed by Big Institutional players or Smart money traders. Selling Climax often coincides with bad news or some negative events, as it is caused by the panic selling behavior of public Investors. Big players often use the Selling Climax to acquire positions at lower price. In the Image, you can see the example of Selling Climax Pattern. The bounce back in market prices followed by Selling climax reflects the buying interest of Big Players. 3. Automatic Rally (AR) Automatic Rally is an up move that forms after the Selling Climax in the Accumulation phase. The underlying buying interest cause the prices to rally higher, but quickly prices will fall back after making a new high. The highest point of this rally will become the Resistance of the Accumulation range. You can see the example of Automatic Rally or AR in the Image. After an Automatic Rally, Intense selling activity from the Public decreases and bearish sentiment becomes weaker. 4. Secondary Test (ST) The Secondary Test formation happens after an Automatic Rally. It’s caused by the long covering process of Public Investors, which brings the price back to the area of Preliminary Support. Often prices will bounce back after touching the Preliminary Support indicating the presence of Buying Interest. Secondary Test is a reflection that market prices have found the bottom. It is common to have Multiple Secondary Tests, as the market will retest the Preliminary Support to check the strength of Buyers. In the Image, you can see the examples of Secondary test. 5. Springs Springs are nothing but shakeouts that happens within the Accumulation phase. The prices will fall below the Preliminary Support of the trading range only to reverse back above the trading range within a short time period. (Often referred as False Breakout) Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
31
The End of a Bear Market : Structural Breaks 📉📈🐻 Bear Market Recap: A bear market is marked by a prolonged period of declining prices and pessimistic sentiment. It can be challenging for investors, but it also sets the stage for a potential turnaround. 📉 Structural Breaks: One of the key signs that a bear market might be ending is the emergence of structural breaks on the price chart. These breaks could include a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a shift in market sentiment. 🚀 The Bullish Catalyst: Structural breaks are often accompanied by increased buying interest, a resurgence of optimism, and a more positive outlook for the asset in question. 🔍 The Importance of Retesting: After witnessing structural breaks, it's common to see a retest of old highs or key resistance levels. This retest serves as a critical validation of the new bullish sentiment. If the asset successfully retests and holds above these levels, it could be a sign that a new bull market is underway. 🔮 The Future Unfolds: While recognizing the signs of a potential market shift is valuable, always approach it with caution. Markets are complex, and not all structural breaks lead to sustained bull markets. In conclusion, identifying the end of a bear market and the start of a new bullish phase involves recognizing structural breaks on the chart and understanding the significance of retesting old highs. It's a critical juncture in market dynamics and can present exciting opportunities for investors. Stay vigilant, stay analytical, and remember – the transition from bear to bull is a moment of transformation and potential growth! 📊🚀 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and share your insights in the comments; your engagement fuels the creation of valuable content! 💚💚💚
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
4
AMD Wyckoff Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution 📈💹📉 The Wyckoff Phases Recap: The Wyckoff method consists of Accumulation (smart money buying), Manipulation (price action controlled by insiders), and Distribution (smart money selling) phases. 📈 Applying Wyckoff to AMD: We can adapt this method to AMD stock. During Accumulation, savvy investors may be accumulating AMD shares quietly. Manipulation is when price action might seem unpredictable but is driven by insiders. Distribution marks the phase where these insiders might start selling. 📊 Accumulation Signals: Look for signs of increased buying activity in AMD while prices remain relatively flat. This could indicate the accumulation phase. 💡 Manipulation Hints: Manipulation can be tricky to spot, but unusual price movements or volume spikes might provide clues. Consider this phase as a time of price consolidation before a potential move. 📉 Distribution Clues: During the distribution phase, watch for decreasing buying interest and potentially diverging indicators. This might indicate that insiders are slowly selling off their holdings. 🚀 Trading Opportunities: If you can identify these phases correctly, you might find opportunities to trade AMD more strategically. For example, entering during Accumulation when prices are low and potential upside is significant. 🔮 The Future of AMD: Keep in mind that while Wyckoff analysis can provide valuable insights, no strategy guarantees success. Always combine it with thorough research and risk management. In conclusion, applying the Wyckoff method to AMD stock can offer a unique perspective on its price movements. Recognizing the phases of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution might empower you to make more informed trading decisions. Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding market phases can give you an edge when trading AMD or any other asset! 📊🚀
by AlexWhale
BTC BEAR TRAP : Trend Reversals 📈📉 Greetings, fellow traders! Today, let's explore a fascinating aspect of market dynamics – the concept that markets often change their trend direction when most participants least expect it. We'll dive into how we might currently be in a bear trap and what it could mean for a potential upswing. 📈 The Art of Contrarian Thinking: Market trends are tricky creatures. They often lure traders into thinking the current trend will continue indefinitely. However, seasoned investors understand that when everyone is convinced of a particular trend (bullish or bearish), the market may surprise with a reversal. 🐻 The Bear Trap: A bear trap is a situation where the market appears to be in a strong downtrend, leading traders to sell or short assets. However, this could be a cunning trick, as the market may reverse course, catching those overly bearish traders off guard. 📈 Signs of a Reversal: While we can't predict market movements with certainty, recognizing signs of a potential trend reversal is essential. This might include technical indicators, fundamental shifts, or sentiment changes. 🚀 The Anticipation of Growth: If we're currently in a bear trap, it suggests that the market sentiment is overly pessimistic. This can set the stage for a potential upswing when the market decides to confound the majority. 💡 Key Takeaway: The market has a way of playing tricks on participants. It's a reminder to remain adaptable in your trading strategy, ready to pivot when the unexpected happens. 🔮 The Future Unveiled: While recognizing a bear trap is insightful, always combine this with thorough analysis and risk management before making trading decisions. In conclusion, market trends can be both persistent and deceptive. Understanding that trend reversals can happen when they're least expected empowers traders to navigate the markets with greater flexibility. Stay vigilant, stay open-minded, and remember – in the world of trading, being prepared for the unexpected is often the key to success! 🧐🚀 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and share your insights in the comments; your engagement fuels the creation of valuable content! 💚💚💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
6
EUR/USD 4H TF Analysis🇪🇺 EUR/USD 🇺🇸 🗣️EUR/USD analysis update - 4H Timeframe🗣️ Analyzing the EUR/USD currency pair chart is a fundamental skill for anyone interested in foreign exchange (Forex) trading or investing in the currency markets. The EUR/USD pairing is one of the most traded in the world, making it a prime choice for both beginners and experienced traders. This analysis serves as a foundation for understanding how to make informed decisions in the Forex market. As we have received many request regarding the technical analysis of this pair, Here we are going to analyze EUR/USD since 13 July 2023. And we hope to provide useful info for Educational and better future investing decisions. As you can see, after reaching the weekly supply zone, price has formed a distributing structure. And we can see a Wyckoff formed. And as a result of this structure and break of the SR line, there is a FTR formed and price has formed a downtrend after retesting this zone. Most of the SHORT positions which were set up at the FTR zone has successfully take their profit. Price has again engulfed the green zone and formed a new FTR which has been presented to you as a base structure on the chart. Overall, after a Drop Base Drop price has started a downtrend! Flag Limits of this structure are shown on the chart and price has first engulfed the bottom of the range which is a sign of possible future bottom break of this range. Also this engulfing as been along with break of the SR line. After reaching the higher of the range and hunting liquidities at this area, as per expected price has moved downward and by engulfing the Blue SR line it has formed a new FTR (Decision Point). *very important point for this currency*. Price had a pullback to this area and started moving downward to 1.076 area. (In higher time-frames we can see a QM formed at this stage) Price was supported at 1.076 and was pulled back to the FTR(decision point). We expected the price to be rejected from this zone and by touching the Midterm Trend-line (red line) price continued the downtrend to the 1.076 are again. As the result of all this we are expecting the price to move lower to the Weekly Demand zone at 1.063. 🎗 Trader ACE Academy 🎗
Short
by TraderAceAcademy
Altcoin Market Cap Potential through Wyckoff Analysis 📊🚀📉 Wyckoff Analysis Refresher: Wyckoff analysis is a method for understanding the phases of price movements in markets. It encompasses Accumulation (a period of smart money buying), Markup (bullish phase), Distribution (smart money selling), and Markdown (bearish phase). 📈 Applying Wyckoff to Altcoins: We can adapt Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market. Accumulation represents the phase when astute investors accumulate altcoins at low prices. Markup follows, with prices surging as the broader market catches on. 📉 Distribution and Markdown: After a substantial rise, we may see distribution, where early investors start selling. Markdown is the subsequent bearish phase when prices drop. 🚀 Assessing Market Cap Potential: By analyzing altcoin price movements within these Wyckoff phases, we can gain insights into their market cap potential. If an altcoin is in the Accumulation phase, it may have untapped potential as smart money accumulates. 💡 Key Takeaway: Wyckoff analysis can guide your altcoin investment decisions. If you identify an altcoin in the Accumulation phase, it might be a promising long-term bet. But remember, thorough research is crucial. 🔮 The Future Unveiled: Keep in mind that markets are dynamic, and past patterns don't guarantee future results. Wyckoff analysis is a tool to aid your decision-making, not a crystal ball. In conclusion, applying Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market can provide a unique perspective on market cap potential. Recognizing which phase altcoins are in can help you make more informed investment choices. Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding Wyckoff principles can empower you to navigate the altcoin landscape with a strategic edge! 🚀📈 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and share your insights in the comments; your engagement fuels the creation of valuable content! 💚💚💚
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko