Weed stocks over sold from tax loss harvesting?Ive traded gtbif green thumb successful before and think this might be the time to trade again. Gtbif is one of the biggest holdings inside this Msos etf.
I like the etf MSOS, the shares of GTBIF, and any of the other profitable Cannabis stocks.
Looking for mean reversion, even 2x upside potentially.
Long 3 strike calls on MSOS.
if trade in options works, I may roll back into the etf and keep for free from gains.
Weed
GrowGeneration | GRWG | Long at $1.90GrowGeneration NASDAQ:GRWG is approaching one of my favorite technical analysis setups as it gets closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA: the white and teal lines). Often, but not always (i.e. public offering news...), the price will jump to the selected historical SMA after a long period of consolidation - which has been occurring for some time. Additionally, the President, CEO, and Director of NASDAQ:GRWG have been buying shares recently near $2 which is a bullish indicator. There are currently only 54.8 million floating shares and an 8%+ short interest, so this could get interesting if the election cycle whips up new interest/chatter about national decriminalization of marijuana. As a result, GrowGeneration is in a personal buy zone at $1.90.
Target #1 = $2.20
Target #2 = $2.50
Target #3 = $3.00
Target #4 = $3.50
WM Technology | MAPS | Long at $1.00WM Technology NASDAQ:MAPS provides ecommerce and compliance software solutions to retailers and brands in cannabis market in the United States and internationally. After it's de-SPAC in 2020, it soared to $29.50 and now can be found for around $1.00. It's been consolidating at these lows for almost two years, and it may be gaining algorithmic traction for a move soon based on my selected simple moving average (SMA). Often (but not always), when this SMA gets close to the price, there is a pop to the historical SMA. Currently, it is in a personal buy zone at $1.00.
Target #1 = $1.50
Target #2 = $2.00
CGC BULLISH EMA 20 CROSSOVER IMMINENT-Earnings next weed### Investment Thesis on Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC)
This is not financial advice of any kind. Do your research!
1. Overview and Rationale
Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) is one of the leading players in the cannabis industry. With the potential reclassification of cannabis by the US Federal government, CGC stands to benefit significantly from increased market access, reduced regulatory burdens, and expanded business opportunities.
2. Fundamental Analysis
- **Market Position**: CGC has a strong market presence in Canada and is strategically positioned to enter the US market upon federal legalization.
- **Revenue Growth**: The company has been showing steady revenue growth with expanding product lines, including recreational and medicinal cannabis, CBD products, and partnerships with beverage companies.
- **Strategic Partnerships**: Canopy Growth's partnership with Constellation Brands provides a robust financial backing and enhances its product portfolio with cannabis-infused beverages.
- **Potential for US Market Entry**: Reclassification by the US Federal government could open a significant revenue stream for CGC, given the size and growth potential of the US cannabis market.
3. Technical Analysis
**Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Analysis**
- **EMA 20 Cross Over**: The EMA 20 is on the verge of crossing above the EMA 50. This crossover is typically seen as a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend in the stock price.
- **Historical Performance**: Previous EMA 20 crossovers have been followed by significant price increases, suggesting a reliable pattern for future predictions.
**Triple Dive Pattern**
- **Formation**: CGC has recently formed a triple dive pattern, characterized by three successive lows followed by a reversal.
- **Implications**: This pattern often indicates a strong support level, suggesting that the stock is unlikely to fall further and may be poised for a bullish reversal.
**Keltner Channels**
- **Current Position**: CGC's stock price is currently at the lower band of the Keltner Channel, which often indicates that the stock is oversold.
- **Potential Movement**: A move back towards the middle or upper band of the Keltner Channel would signal a potential upside, aligning with other bullish indicators.
4. Risk Factors
- **Regulatory Risk**: While reclassification is a significant catalyst, it remains uncertain and dependent on political processes.
- **Market Volatility**: The cannabis industry is known for its volatility, and CGC is no exception. Investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations.
- **Execution Risk**: The ability of CGC to capitalize on US market opportunities will depend on effective execution of its expansion strategy.
5. Investment Strategy
Given the combination of fundamental strengths and positive technical indicators, CGC appears to be a compelling investment opportunity. The potential reclassification of cannabis by the US Federal government could serve as a significant catalyst for the stock. The imminent EMA 20 crossover, triple dive pattern, and current position within the Keltner Channels all support a bullish outlook.
**Recommended Action**: Initiate a position in CGC stock, with a focus on medium to long-term gains. Monitor technical indicators closely for confirmation of trends and be prepared for potential volatility.
---
### Follow-up Question
How would you assess the impact of the potential reclassification of cannabis by the US Federal government on CGC's market strategy and revenue projections?
"The mind adapts and converts to its own purposes the obstacle to our acting. The impediment to action advances action. What stands in the way becomes the way." — Marcus Aurelius
CGC bout to get high? Elliottwave If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
Looks like wave 3 price action.
The news is early so we shall see if the PA holds up.
looking for the sharp move up to give a bit of a pull back.
I would look to play the wave 4 of the wave 3 at this point, it depends, but that is my conservative variety.
I can use the smaller degree and the geometry as confluence for an entry.
on the watch list.
Cannabis PropositionConsidering the recent political shift regarding cannabis scheduling and the changing landscape of the drug war, I am closely monitoring the prolonged underperformance of the cannabis industry. Since the legalization of cannabis in Colorado and Washington state, proponents have touted the potential of legal cannabis policies in curbing crime rates. We anticipate witnessing the ongoing evolution of this transformative movement.
TLRY - 420 to the MOON or is CANNABIS FINISHED?This chart is pretty explanatory, and probably doesn't require much explanation.
I'm bullish on this stock.
I'm 90% sure Dems push cannabis legislation through as it's a bipartisan issue for the most part, and will look good for both parties pre election. Starts with credit cards and banks, imo.
Don't follow green line path as gospel, it is often incorrect, but helps me plan a preliminary "ideal" path based on indicators. It helps with backtracking predictions, and keeping emotions in check, as you know what "past you" saw.
I like 1.89 as a big time buy target, but it could easily go lower.
Relevant trends and targets marked.
Watch out, current trends are showing the run-up into earnings, which would allow for a drop.
Does this mean anything? Not always, but it's good to note.
current bullish price movement doesn't have to end if rejection trends and targets start to break and confirm.
Good luck!
SHORT Leafly - lost over 99% since the IPO.Since the IPO, Leafly has lost over 99% of its value.
Leafly's management team throws shares at retail investors on a monthly basis and feeds the short positions of hedge funds.
As long as Leafly continues to get beat up by hedge funds, prices will continue to fall.
There is steadily more selling than buying. The demand is very low.
In the long term, the stock could be interesting.
SNDL Calls 1/24 JUICYLots of downtrend, lots of uncertainty, but this one could play out to be a major lottery winner. Earnings report recently released was a mixed bag, but it remains the book value is somewhere around $5. Trading well below that. Federal legalization could set off a powder keg but don't count on that anytime soon. My last call didn't work out too hot, but doubling down because shorters can go ahead and eat my shorts.
POSSIBLE HEXO BIG GAIN - REDDIT WSBBig potential gain coming up on a small stock that's cheap and has potential to run up to $6 in a short amount of time.
Here's the current trading pattern. It puts a big candle wick nearly at the @ 2.33 mark, but shows retracement around 1.69.
Should reddit continue to pick up this stock with pending cannabis news before April of 4/20, look for cannabis to explode followed by a huge retracement.
Weed companies are going to zero?TILRAY. Weekly chart.
Fake CHoC and feak breakout. Hope you have an opportunity to SELL it.
After 2.64 you have fib levels on 1.48 and who knows whats next.
We also have large weekly support ar 2.43, so be careful there.
We can touch it and then rebounce until 5.12 which is obviuosly Bullish CHoC.
SUMM:
SHORT — NOW
STOP 5.12
LONG — ONLY IF IT BREAKS 5.12
POT Stock WeedWEED chart on the 3D time frame.
-Weed looking good here, imo. 3D 13/48 MA cross imminent, but 48MA not yet turning up
-Bollinger squeeze in progress, nice channel
-Volume increasing
These are the technicals I look for.
None of this should be interpreted as financial advice, I am not a professional or certified financial adviser! all charts, and or analysis' are my personal opinions and observations only!
Bargain Hunting - OBV Divergence?This is just a thought here - although this appears to be a never-ending downtrend, I wonder if this on-balance volume divergence signals something. This shows that buyers are willing to step in here a bit more aggressively than the previous "bottom," as shown by higher OBV despite lower prices - even though OBV has declined overall since its peak. We're also seeing higher OBV in general since 2021, which could signify aggressive accumulation despite continued decline in value. This sort of behavior can be seen throughout the cannabis industry.
ACB is roughly 98-99% down from its all-time high. Not that it could ever get back up there, but I think at least a return to the $6-7 range is possible over the coming months. However, since the downtrend has technically not ended, there is still significant risk of continuation to the downside. Seems worth a speculative gamble though, as per my last stock analysis and being "strategic."
Overall, I'm only down 12% on stocks since I started investing slowly since last year. Not too bad, considering how far down big tech has tumbled. That's probably because I've stayed away from big tech, and been pretty careful about investing too much in weed stocks, at least until prices started to get obscenely low. I also managed to stabilize my portfolio by investing in Uranium ETF's, which helped a bit.
-Victor Cobra
Dumpster Diving into Speculative Weed Winners: Canopy GrowthBig level of interest for Canopy Growth NASDAQ:CGC trying to fill the July 25, 2016 gap from 2.15 to 2.20 —post-bull pennant.
Pot stocks have taken a beating since the 2021 highs (pun intended). They're clearly oversold BUT they're sitting without a catalyst from the Biden administration toward marijuana legalization efforts.
If you're into dumpster diving, Canopy Growth could be a good dumpster to choose. They have exposure in the United States and don't forget, Constellation Brands $STZ has a large stake in the company. 🧐
For a trading strategy, look for momentum into the end of the week after the gap is filled . Otherwise, buckle up and settle in, as it is likely to continue breaking down out of the falling wedge into Tuesday, August 9, 2022 earnings.
A clear pullback scenario for the cannabis industrySeeing the growth and innovation that has occurred in recent months shows that the big wave is incoming. This formation clearly refers to pull back and bottom. Even one of the most conservative countries of Europe; Poland has given the Market Authorization to Tilray, Inc. (TLRY). Also, the election vibe has been taking charge of global media, federal legalization would be the starting point of new stoned FOMO.
TLRY - Zombie mode incoming. Waking the dead. LONG ONLY TV- This sector could not be anymore DEAD. Everyone is dead and never want to look at this sector ever again. When they come back you'll get those mega mega moves that you can sell into and move onto the next.
- I haven't heard one sound coming out of this space in months, which is EXACTLY what you want when looking for a possible turnaround.
- If green holds you're looking really good for a MEGA move up that could really last. If it doesn't, wait for the next set up, but I think its worth holding this one for a while. Set stops and forget about it with targets also set.
- Below 3.19 == BAIL BAIL and wait for further price development
- These kinds of trades are the low risk with mega return potential, all while sitting on your ass and not even thinking about it.
- As I said, if this set up fails, I'll be trying a couple more as the potential pay out should hopefully dwarf any losses incurred on getting that sex god entry.