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Wave Analysis

VELO While the market is currently experiencing a correction, I believe Velo will reach the 4 cent mark and potentially go even higher. However, my end goal for Velo, and generally for my entire portfolio, is to sell and rotate into existing assets if Velo hits above 15 cents while other assets remain stagnant. I have a rule that I usually adhere to: my 100% is typically 80%, with the remaining 20% reserved for unexpected gains beyond my expectations. Regarding the broader market cycle, I have concerns that this cycle might mirror 2017. Back then, BTC reached an all-time high (ATH) and shortly after, in December 2017, altcoins surged dramatically through January 2018. I feel this way for two reasons: BTC is at an ATH similar to 2017. Trump has stated his objective to have a BTC reserve of 1 million. Do you think they will buy the majority of the 1 million at the current price, or will they tank the market, which is already at a peak in many sectors?
by ShadowDNA
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders, Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday. Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year. Overview EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday. Idea The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year. Conclusion The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
Long
by Samuel124
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years! In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall. So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :) As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision. I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows. The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle. This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse. What are your thoughts?
NASDAQ:COINLong
by investornomics
2
GOLD Analysis and ForecastGOLD is trading around 2,602. bouncing off the low of 2,582. Now the price is above 2,600 which means it could continue its rise in the next few hours and reach the 21 SMA around 2,645. Technically, XAU/USD is below the key pivot point located at 2,656 which means that it could reach the 200 EMA located at 2,512 in the short term and even reach the psychological level of $2,500. Our outlook is bearish, so we will look for opportunities to sell below 2,590. Besides, in case it bounces back to 4/8 Murray, it will be seen as an opportunity to sell. Technically, we can see that gold has reached oversold levels on the 4H chart. The gap left at 2,562 remains to be covered. All this means that gold could make a strong fall and then make a sustained technical rebound. Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold if it falls below 2,590 or buy above 2,600 with targets at 2,645 and 2,656.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
Where should we buy DRIFT?It seems that from SW H onwards, DRIFT has entered a correction phase. It could move downward from the red zone (for wave C). Along with the price correction, there will also be a time correction. There is a fresh demand zone, where short-term buy/long positions can be considered. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
S&P 500 Reached The Top - Correction UnderwayThe S&P 500 looks to have reached a significant top - being rejected from the 1:1 Fibonacci extension on the Weekly Timeframe. With other confluence like the rising wedge, high weekly RSI levels, and a decreasing momentum on the MACD, all things point downwards for the stock market in 2025. The next target would be the blue zone where a potential chance for reversal could occur. A top in the S&P 500 could also signal tops forming on major stocks like NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:TSLA , etc. so keep a lookout.
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
SOLANA // target reached, what now?The market has come all the way down to the weekly breakout and the correction fibo 78.6 with an impulse. After such a fast impulse bumps into a strong support, chances are high that some kind of a correction of the impulse will come. It doesn't mean, it turns from here, and goes to new highs, though! The daily countertrend breaks above the daily impulse base (higher green level), but the countertrend line breaks at the daily breakdown (lower green level). Above that, if the waves support, the bull trend resumes. Below the long trigger zone, every move up is only the correction of the correction, therefore, quite risky. There is space to take the long side from here, though, so It may be a good opportunity for a good day trader. I'd definitely wait for H4/H1 to turn waves long. The price may go to the weekly impulse base, but I would wait with the short until the market is trading below the weekly breakout. The reason is that at this phase, accumulation may kick in, with sudden ups and downs on the market. What's is your opinion about this market? Fell free to share it! ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by TheMarketFlow
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings A Crypto Mining Stock to Watch Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA ) “Bitcoin at $96K? It’s like Monopoly money growing into something real—fueling wealth and lifting stocks like $MARA. Let’s break down the crypto miner making waves in this dynamic market.” After Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged to $96,000, Marathon Digital Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has positioned itself as a significant player in the crypto ecosystem. For investors, NASDAQ:MARA represents a unique opportunity tied directly to Bitcoin’s price movements and the operational efficiencies of crypto mining. Let’s dive into the details to evaluate its potential. Current Market Data Stock Price: Around $22.73 Market Cap: Approximately $4.65 billion Earnings Per Share (EPS): -$0.42 (last quarter) At first glance, NASDAQ:MARA ’s financial metrics might raise eyebrows. A negative EPS highlights the ongoing challenges of profitability in the volatile crypto mining industry. However, its substantial Bitcoin reserves tell a different story. Bitcoin Holdings: A Key Asset Marathon Digital holds 40,435 BTC, valued at approximately $3.88 billion at the current Bitcoin price of $96,000. This means that 83% of its market cap is backed by Bitcoin holdings alone. Such a significant asset base provides a unique valuation anchor in an otherwise speculative industry. Book Value Breakdown Total Bitcoin Value: ~$3.88 billion Estimated Shares Outstanding: ~204.6 million Book Value Per Share: ~$19.00 Compared to its stock price of ~$22.73, this suggests NASDAQ:MARA is trading close to its asset-backed value, making it an intriguing option for Bitcoin bulls. Valuation Metrics Traditional valuation methods struggle with companies like NASDAQ:MARA , given the negative EPS and the speculative nature of the crypto market. However, using a forward-looking EPS of $1.22 (an optimistic assumption), we can estimate: Graham Number: At a stock price of ~$22.73, NASDAQ:MARA appears fairly valued by this metric, though this assumes optimistic future earnings and stability in Bitcoin prices. Operational Highlights BTC Yield Growth: Marathon has reported steady improvements in Bitcoin yield, signaling operational success and increased mining efficiency. Renewable Energy Investments: Recent moves to secure wind farms and other renewable energy sources could reduce mining costs and enhance profitability. Scalability: With a solid foundation and operational upgrades, NASDAQ:MARA is well-positioned to benefit from further Bitcoin price increases. Risks and Volatility Crypto Dependency: NASDAQ:MARA ’s performance is tightly coupled with Bitcoin’s price. While this offers significant upside during bull markets, it exposes the stock to extreme downside risk in bear markets. Regulatory Uncertainty: Potential changes in crypto regulations could impact mining operations and profitability. Operational Costs: Fluctuations in energy prices and mining difficulty could strain margins. Buffett’s Perspective: Speculation vs. Strategy Warren Buffett famously avoids speculative assets like Bitcoin, and by extension, Bitcoin-focused companies. However, Marathon’s strategic moves—such as renewable energy investments—showcase a long-term vision that could appeal to more risk-tolerant investors. Conclusion: Is NASDAQ:MARA a Buy? NASDAQ:MARA ’s substantial Bitcoin reserves and operational improvements make it a compelling choice for investors who believe in Bitcoin’s continued growth. At a price of ~$22.73, the stock seems fairly valued relative to its book value and intrinsic potential. However, investing in NASDAQ:MARA requires: A strong belief in Bitcoin’s future. A high tolerance for crypto market volatility. An understanding of the risks tied to mining operations and regulatory changes. For those ready to embrace the volatility, NASDAQ:MARA offers an opportunity to ride the crypto wave with a company building for the future. For more in-depth market insights and strategies, visit DCAlpha.net and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
NASDAQ:MARALong
by DCAChampion
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) - Top is In; Time to ShortPLTR is presenting a potential short setup as it approaches a short zone within the Fibonacci retracement levels. This area aligns with strong resistance, suggesting a downside move could follow. Trade Details: - Entry (Short Zone): $74.25 - Stop-loss: $78.30 Targets: - Target 1: $65.10 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension) - Target 2: $57.15 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension) Analysis: The rejection of the resistance zone could trigger a bearish wave down to the targets. Fibonacci extensions provide additional confluence for the downside targets. Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by MrStockWhale
Wave 3 Incoming? Why I’m Bullish on Gala’s Next MoveAfter closely tracking this correction since December 9th, I’m thrilled to share that my buy-in target of $0.03493 has been hit with near perfection. Throughout this period, I’ve carefully planned my exits and entries, which I’ve illustrated on my charts and shared as ideas in real-time. By exiting and re-entering at key levels, I’ve been able to: Protect my capital during the downturn. Make some gains on the December 11th bounce. Accumulate an additional 1.9 million Gala tokens on this re-entry – all without leverage. At the onset, it’s always challenging to identify the exact type of correction we’re in. However, as the pattern unfolded, it became apparent that this was likely a Wave 2 correction, with price retracing to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Historically, 70% of Wave 2 corrections retrace between 0.382 and 0.786, with only 15% going beyond that. While there’s a possibility of further downside – especially as I remain short-term bearish on Bitcoin, which could drag alts lower – my priority is to secure a good price rather than aim for the absolute bottom. Support Levels Should the price dip further, key supports are: 200-day EMA: $0.03070 Weekly Support: $0.02959 0.786 Fibonacci Level: $0.02760 That said, I’m happy with my re-entry at this level and prepared to manage any downside. Wave 3: The Opportunity Wave 3 follows Wave 2 and is typically the most impulsive and exciting phase. Missing it while chasing a marginally lower entry is not a risk I want to take. Whether we’ve already completed the ABC correction or are in its final stages, I’m confident we’re transitioning towards something significant. The next few days and weeks will be pivotal, and I’m excited to see how Gala performs from here. Let’s see where this journey takes us! 🚀
Long
by heywippa
2