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Wave Analysis

WHAT'S HAPPENING WITH APT?Why Aptos (APT) is currently falling? 1. Negative Sentiments: The market has low confidence in Aptos due to its inability to maintain price stability compared to its peers. 2. Token Supply Unlock: A major token unlock scheduled for January 11 will increase supply in the market, causing selling pressure. 3. Open Interest Decline: Reduced open interest indicates traders are closing positions, signaling weakening interest. 4. CEO Stepdown: Leadership changes often create uncertainty, leading to a lack of investor trust. 5. BTC's Bearish Influence: Bitcoin’s price drop has a ripple effect on altcoins, including APT. 6. Market Conditions: The overall cryptocurrency market remains volatile and bearish.
by SherrySOC
3
Beautiful fractals of Bitcoin ends before ChristmasWhen we start counting the strong and memorable upward waves of Bitcoin from August's lowest price, where we saw a nice support reaction at $49,000, we witness one of the most beautiful phenomena in the financial markets on the chart. It's a stunning nested fractal that showcases a powerful five-wave upward movement, with the third wave standing out, and it itself has formed another self-similar five-wave fractal, for 4 times in a row! I can't emphasize enough how beautiful this part of the market is. The power of the upward waves, the neat and appealing corrections, the Fibonacci levels that comply with Elliott's rules, and the stunning reactions to significant static and dynamic levels—all of this creates an incredible visual. I can share this section of the Bitcoin chart many times in my classes to help enthusiasts understand the nested nature of market waves and gain greater mastery and appreciation for the beauty of the financial market. I've even tried to create a minimal drawing of this phenomenon on the chart with my limited drawing skills. Now, we see that all these fractals have closed at the price of $108,000, and there isn't an upward fractal that had started before touching the low at $49,000. The downward momentum from the $108,000 price indicates that we've completed a strong bullish period and are entering a new phase. The end of an upward movement doesn’t necessarily mean the beginning of a downturn, so I’m not setting any outlandish bearish targets. I always track the market step by step. This could be the start of a significant drop, or perhaps the price will range for a while. The recent movement, which has lasted about 135 days, suggests that this correction period won't end soon, and I don’t expect the historical peak to be broken until March 2025 at the earliest. Based on fundamental analysis of the markets in the upcoming year, I believe we can agree that Bitcoin's upward movement may continue into next year. However, given the economic data and the Federal Reserve's cautious decisions to strengthen the dollar, we shouldn't expect this rise to happen rapidly. Bitcoin's fluctuations in the $90,000, $80,000, and maybe even $70,000 range can be good news for those who are still dollar-cost averaging. By the way, I wish all market participants the best in the new year. Merry Christmas 🎄 and Happy new year! ✨✨✨✨
by leqaeian
1
Alikze »» ONE | Accumulation phase🔍 Technical analysis: The accumulation phase is ready for the bullish wave 3 rally - 1W 📣 BINANCE:ONEUSDT In the previous analysis, the weekly timeframe was corrected after hitting the supply zone, the details of which were examined. 🟢 On the weekly timeframe, it is in a three-year range in a concentration that is in the accumulation phase. 🟢 At present, given that the current supply zone has been consumed, we should wait for the zone break for the next supply zone. 🟢 Therefore, this upward leg will have the ability to grow to the neckline area, which can bring a 200-300% rally. 💎After breaking the second supply zone and consolidating above the area, it will have the ability to grow to the 84 cents area. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea 💡 with a LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬 if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email 📧 in the future. Thanks for your continued support.🙏 Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
2
Major analysis of ONDOHere, we set the time as weekly time and it can be seen that the price reacted to the level of 2.14 and returned. Considering that the 618 area in Fibo is an important area (1.14) , the price is expected to return from this area, otherwise the area of ​​786 (0.87) can be the next resistance in the price path. Stopping the decline in the $0.87 range, with the market accompanying, which we hope promises us a hot market in 2025, the currency is expected to touch the price level of 3.18 . Be successful and profitable .
by mnmehr
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500: US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008. India's Nifty 50: India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak. Gold: Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well. Brent Crude: Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn. USD/INR: The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025. US Govt. 10 years bond yield: The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026. Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak. In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
SP:SPX
by BISHNU_P_BASYAL
MOCA is at the end of its trend (2H)From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, MOCA appears to have formed a large triangle. It seems that wave C of the large triangle is a double combination, and we are currently in the second part of this combination, which is itself a triangle. At present, we appear to be in wave c of this smaller triangle. Wave c also seems to be a diametric, and we are now in the final stages of this diametric. It could reject downward from the red zone. The closure of a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
The Best Phase of the Trend: The Expansion PhaseBeing a successful trader requires the ability to identify the phase of the trend with the highest probability of success. The best opportunities arise during the expansion phase, where the prevailing trend resumes, pushing the market to new highs or lows. This phase is characterized by swift, decisive market moves with minimal pullbacks, aligning strongly with the overall trend. My Trading Steps: 1. Define the Primary Trend on the Daily Identify the dominant trend (uptrend or downtrend) to establish the broader market context. 2. Look for a Countertrend on H4/H1 Spot corrections or pullbacks against the primary trend, signaling potential setups. 3. Find a Trigger Candle Watch for a Marubozu-like candle at the zone of the countertrend line break or the last clean, untested breakdown. 4. Exit Rules Exit the position if the price closes below the trigger line. 5. Take Profits Target key Fibonacci levels and significant support/resistance zones. a countertrend on H4/H1 This is an 80% Setup: Targeting Fibo 138.2 The strategy has an 80% success rate when the target is set to the Fibonacci 138.2 level, calculated from the closing prices of the correction. This precise targeting aligns with the expansion phase of the trend, ensuring high-probability entries and exits while maximizing potential profits. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
TVC:DXYEducation
by TheMarketFlow
ZRO from 0.7 then to 0.64 first, before deciding up or down!At this point, it appears that ZRO is undergoing a significant correction toward the $0.46 level. Scenario (b) is outlined below. In the coming days, ZRO is expected to reach the $7 level before consolidating around the $6.4 level. This point is crucial and should be closely monitored. If the price slides further, it may drop to the $4.6 level before rallying to complete the fifth major wave. In Scenario (b), if the price at the $6.4 level rises quickly with significant volume, it will signal a direct move into a new third wave (3).
Long
by MoCrypto83
Nat Gas Tue 24 DecThe script has become quite volatile. Traders unfamiliar with this volatility or used to the equity market will lose their minds. Nat Gas has crossed the 300 mark and now the nature of the beast has changed. And it is going to get worse and if you're a price action trader then you're going to have a hard time making money. Cause fluctuations are not backed by logic or valuation but by fear in other sectors. People who have studied this market for a long and dedicated their energy and time to this script are going to survive, other traders are going to lose their money and mind eventually. I'll only say "Go back to your playground". Whoever has dedicated themselves to this craft is going to make money even in the worst conditions. Goodbye and happy trading!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by aadityaghate79