Wave Analysis
BTC/USDT ! HOUR DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE LONG TARGET 105KIn this idea I have a clean descending broadening wedge that is about to take off to 105k. Target is clearly marked and should hit that no problem. If you agree throw me a like and follow me for more setups that keep you in the money. Much love - ND
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Every day for nearly 10 years, I have updated BTC in the various groups I have owned or worked for.
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BTC UPDATE 21/12/2024
BTC has shown resilience, bouncing successfully in the current region with a successful retest, indicating strong buying interest. However, we’re not out of the woods yet—the market remains cautious, and confirmation is still needed for the next bullish leg.
Key Weekly Pivot to Watch: $100,831
The weekly pivot at $100,831 is the critical level to reclaim.
A close above this pivot would signal renewed bullish momentum and confirm the bounce as more than a relief rally. There may still be one more retest in the lower region, but a more condensed corrective pattern would reflect the support as holding.
Scenarios to Prepare For
Bullish Case: Close Above $100,831
A weekly close above this pivot could open the door to:
Testing resistance zones around $105K to $108K.
Reaffirming BTC’s macro uptrend and restoring market confidence.
Bearish Case: Failure to Close Above $100,831
If BTC fails to hold or close above this region:
Expect a potential revisit to support around $95K to $94K.
Increased sell pressure could lead to deeper retracements, possibly targeting $85K as a more substantial support zone.
Key Indicators to Monitor
Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels.
Volume: A strong breakout above $100,831 should be accompanied by increasing volume, signalling conviction from buyers.
Daily and Weekly Candle Closes: Focus on higher timeframes (daily and weekly) for confirmation of direction.
Momentum Indicators: Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels.
DOGE/USDTKey Level Zone : 0.33040-0.32600
HMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
SLERF: Potential 800% RallyWe’ve experienced significant red weeks recently, but it seems the market just had a fakeout below the channel followed by a swift recovery. I believe we’ve bottomed out and that we could eventually hit the 4.236 Fib level. Notably, this aligns with the 1 Fib level if you project the high from March to the low in September. This double confluence could potentially result in approximately an 800% gain.
Additionally, RSI is at a record low of 25 on the 8H timeframe, a level last seen during the August 5th yen carry trade crash. Meanwhile, the wave trend oscillator is at levels we last observed in April 2024.
I’m setting my stop loss at 0.1380, with a 2% portfolio risk.
MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR): A Bullish Wave Ready to Break RecordsMicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR), renowned for its substantial Bitcoin holdings and its pivotal role in business intelligence solutions, is catching the attention of market analysts once again. Since its historic peak of $540 per share, the stock has undergone a complex corrective phase. From an Elliott Wave perspective, this correction unfolded as an A-B-C structure. Wave A, a sharp impulsive decline, was succeeded by Wave B, which formed as a contracting triangle. Finally, Wave C concluded around $318, presenting a potential pivot point for an exciting bullish surge.
This interpretation aligns with a potential reversal and sets the stage for MSTR to skyrocket. If the analysis holds true, the stock is poised for a significant rally. Our initial target places it at an impressive $750 per share, with the possibility of further upside if broader market conditions align with the bullish wave structure.
What Drives This Bullish Sentiment?
MicroStrategy’s strategic embrace of Bitcoin as a core part of its balance sheet has positioned it as a proxy for cryptocurrency market movements. With Bitcoin exhibiting resilience and the potential for new highs, MSTR is poised to benefit directly. Additionally, the company’s robust presence in the data analytics sector adds to its growth narrative, providing a dual foundation for investor optimism.
Technical Indicators Align
Beyond the Elliott Wave analysis, technical indicators show alignment with the bullish outlook. The stock has seen a consolidation phase, allowing key support levels to solidify. Coupled with improving relative strength index (RSI) readings and increasing trading volume, this sets the stage for a breakout move.
Risks to Consider
As with any market scenario, there are risks. A retest of the $318 level without subsequent recovery could signal weakness in the bullish case. Moreover, external factors, such as Bitcoin price volatility or macroeconomic pressures, could impact the trajectory.
Conclusion: Is MSTR a Buy?
For investors seeking exposure to the dual growth stories of cryptocurrency and business intelligence, MSTR offers a compelling case. With a technical structure suggesting an imminent upward move, the stock’s potential to reclaim and surpass previous highs presents an attractive opportunity. However, as always, prudent risk management and careful analysis are essential.
INJUSDT NEOWAVE ANALYSISWave A is the fastest and strongest wave on the chart, indicating that the long-term trend is up, and any downward wave is counter-trend.
The pattern is a flat correction, confirmed complete in April 2024 with the drop from $52 to $18.
Currently, we appear to be in an X wave.
The X wave can be labeled as small or large based on its retracement of the entire pattern. Since it is not yet complete, I cannot provide further details based on the monthly chart.
However, the price is likely to fully retrace the $13 low, and it should head lower.
updateI'm sorry, wave counting is a very difficult task and technical analysis is generally associated with mistakes.
The detection of wave 4 was wrong. We were at the end of wave 2. We are forming wave 3. Moving to the yellow box.
We are at the beginning of wave 5. Movement up to 10 dollars is available.
$XRP is less affected by the correctionCRYPTOCAP:XRP has reacted less violently to the correction and actually still has quite a nice resistance at which it rests.
MARKETSCOM:RIPPLE also did not have to correct this far as it had already completed the correction earlier.
I don't want to say that we won't go back to position 2, but for now it seems to be holding up well. Certainly if Bitcoin no longer retests, it seems to me that the bottom has been hit again.
More about MARKETSCOM:RIPPLE later
Be kind to the world and each other!
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible)
Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE).
Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend.
Possible Wave Counts:
Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend.
Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend.
Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend.
Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1).
Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure.
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Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup Incoming Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup
Looking at Tesla on the 1-hour chart, we are observing a potential bearish scenario. The price has retraced into the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci zone, forming a reversal structure in line with Elliott Wave principles.
This zone coincides with the prior breakdown level, making it a critical area of interest.
Trade Details:
- Entry: $462.27
- Stop-loss: $476.65
Targets:
- Target 1: $403.07
- Target 2: $360.66
Analysis:
The current bearish impulse indicates a possible continuation to the downside. With the first target near $403.07 (0.236 extension), this area will be watched closely.
If momentum persists, we could see a push toward $360.66, aligning with the -0.382 extension.
BTC About To Breakdown The Ending Diagonal, Correction Is Coming📉 The Current Pattern Formed At The Bitcoin Chart Is a Ending Diagonal And The Price Sitting Above The Trend Line Right Now, I Expect The Price Is About To Breakdown This Pattern To The 94k As a Next Station
👉 Totally I Prefer To Out of The Market At Current Station
XAUUSD FALL LIKE A RAIN AGAINHello guys check my today's anaylsis kindlyshare your idea about xauusd, in my opnion gold will go down till 2575/2560, now gold at 2614 so can hit 2620/25 after that xauusd fall like a rain go kindly support me for more updates about xauusd
Key points,
Resistance zone 2627
Current price 2614
Support zone 2585
Targer area 1 2575
Target area 2 2560
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