Wave Analysis
Etherium - bulls got a setup to push higherEthe produced a corrective looking -a-b-c- move down. So wegot a textbook five wave up move followed by a three wave down that re-tested the low made by the low made by the previus pullback by a micro wave iv down
That is the bullish setup
At the very least bulls could push ETHE up to the Red Supply zone that starts at 3,874
Bullish Wolfe Wave on XRXWave Structure: The chart displays a 5-point structure typical of a Wolfe Wave:
Points 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 align with the criteria for the pattern.
The line connecting points 1 and 4 represents the Potential Target Line (PTL), which forecasts the future price target.
Point 5 is crucial as it marks a potential reversal area, signaling a buy opportunity in bullish Wolfe Waves.
Key Levels:
Support: The price near the 5th point aligns with strong support within the trend channel.
Resistance: Key resistance zones are observed near $12.99 and $22.50, acting as medium- and long-term targets.
Indicators:
RSI (shown below the price chart) suggest divergence, where momentum weakens on a downtrend, indicating a potential reversal.
The green EMA200 represents dynamic resistance, and a break above it could confirm the bullish reversal.
Trade Idea
Entry Point: Near the current price of $9.17, where Point 5 of the Wolfe Wave is forming. This area serves as the optimal entry zone for a potential long trade.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $12.99 (intermediate resistance).
Second Target: $22.50 (aligned with the Wolfe Wave's PTL).
Stop Loss: Place the stop below the low of Point 5 (approximately $7.50) to limit downside risk.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for a ratio of at least 3:1, with upside potential significantly outweighing the downside.
Scenario Validation
If the price breaks above the moving average and sustains, it confirms the Wolfe Wave setup.
Failure to hold support near Point 5 invalidates the pattern, triggering the stop-loss level.
Continued shopping in the new weekBefore the start of the new week, let's look at the market position and the prospects for a new weekly candle. After an aggressive continuation of sales within the framework of the annual pullback, as expected, ether is attempting a reversal, the purpose of which is to retest 4000 at least and likely consolidate higher. Today and tomorrow, there is still a possibility of a new sales impulse at 3150-250 with continued growth from the second bottom. Aggressive rebounds can be expected from 3750 and 4000 due to the low opening of the week and the continued likelihood of a transition to stable sales from the 4000 retest. The coming statistics and dynamics of the foreign exchange market will have a great impact.
Against the background of the attempted reversal on the air, individual alts also made similar reversals. AST and VIB showed good growth waves. The AST has weaker signals for a move, and therefore a new wave of growth can be expected in the new week after the shadow is drawn on a new weekly candle with a retest of the current loyalties. This month, there remains an opportunity to test the range of 0.15-25 when ether returns to a bullish trend in the coming week.
According to VIB, the signals for the move are much stronger, as well as it is in a more oversold position on large timeframes, and therefore growth may continue in a row with a test of 0.125-150 today or tomorrow. This is also facilitated by maintaining top growth in binance, which provides a good inflow of liquidity. With a successful breakdown of 0.125-35, the probability of a test of the range of 0.12-15 remains with stable ether.
VITE also remains interesting, which has not yet shown an attempt to reverse the weekly candle, and therefore a wave of growth is likely today. However, coins were added to circulation at the end of last week, which is highly likely to lead to a rebound from 0.0175-900 and an attempt to move from a repeated retest of loyalties.
Also, good growth waves in the new week can be shown by coins located at strong supports OG ALPACA PIVX VIDT BIFI UFT FIRO CREAM WING AMB PDA.
There is a rather negative trend for TROY, we have not seen a break since the third wave, and therefore there is a high probability of a rollback to 0.0025-35 in the new week. Price retention is possible only if yesterday's daily candle breaks today.
BTC Update to 2018 Chart. 10 Year SuperCycle AnalysisThis is an update to my 2018 BTC chart which can be found here:
It's been confirmed that BTC topped out where we analyzed it would maxed out at $63k (69K actual)
The full ten year trend needs to be corrected and we would expect for it to take longer than normal btc corrections. Wave IV termination is what we are now focused on. This is my Elliott Wave Analysis and doesn't guarantee that it's right or better than others. Enjoy. Feel free to send me any comments, always willing to learn.
Most of my charts are private, but would be happy to discuss others. Focusing on GME next until BTC has corrected
Gold for ChristmasMerry Christmas chat,
We can observe a diagonal structure forming after the bottom formation on December 18.
What do you see?
1) A 50% correction of the decline thus more downside up-next (Flag pattern).
2) A diagonal wave 1 of 3 which sets the stage for a quick expansion upward.
Let me know you in the comment section..
From my previous post i pointed out the 23rd of December week as a top which is seemingly turning out to be a bottom(Alternation) if option 2 is right. So i believe there's more upside....
NOVO - Short term targetSupport Resistance
Weekly support works
Wave
We expect a potential correction aligning with Fibonacci levels
RSI - No reversal signal yet
Daily - Oversold
Weekly - Oversold
MACD - No reversal signal yet
Daily - Sell histograms is growing
Weekly - Sell histograms is growing
Opening price 625
Take profit 1 660
Take Profit 2 692
Stop loss 584
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bears' Turn for Selling Pressure!!!As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) rose to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) , the lower line of the ascending channel and 100_EMA(4H TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 4 . The structure of wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Volume of candles that brought Bitcoin up to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is not significant for me.
I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the Support zone($95,890-$95,540) . And if the support zone breaks, we can expect another attack on the Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) and fill the CME Gap($94,435-$93,935) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $100,000, we should expect more PUMPS.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD: 26/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2637, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: The market is in a narrow range during the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is reduced, and the volatility is naturally getting smaller and smaller. Today is still under the influence of the holiday, and it is expected that there is still no intention to break through. Gold rebounded in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2633. If it does not break, it will still be a volatile market. Don't think too much. Gold can be directly shorted when it touches the 2630-33 area. Hold below 2633 and watch for a volatile decline.
Gold hit a high of 2633 on Monday and then fell back under pressure, reaching a low of 2608, which happened to be the 2608 support point I mentioned. On Tuesday, it fell back to a low of 2610, and once again held the 2608 support point and pulled back. Today, the Asian session opened high and approached the 2633 pressure position. Today, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance in this area. It is definitely not suitable to chase the rise near here. Before it breaks here, it will continue to rebound high. Only after a strong breakthrough above 2633 can we see the bulls continue to rise. If it falls back, we will continue to pay attention to 2608 and choose to buy low.
SELL:2633near
BUY:2621near
BUY:2610near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Voltas Ltd - Elliott Wave AnalysisVoltas Ltd - Elliott Wave Analysis 📊
🎯 Target Zones Identified!
The Elliott Wave structure for Voltas suggests a potential Zig-Zag correction with alternating patterns leading towards critical support and resistance zones.
🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart:
1️⃣ Wave Structure in Progress:
Current price action aligns with an ongoing corrective phase, alternating between support at ₹1,641.35 and resistance at ₹1,821.30.
The chart confirms higher low formations, indicating buying interest around the lower boundary.
2️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
The stock is currently trading above the 50-day Moving Average, suggesting sustained positive momentum.
Significant buying volumes at key Fibonacci retracement levels highlight strong demand.
3️⃣ Next Potential Levels:
A breakout above ₹1,821.30 may confirm a bullish wave (Y) continuation towards ₹1,900+.
Failing to hold above ₹1,641.35 could signal further downside correction.
🚨 Risk Management Reminder:
Place stop-losses effectively below ₹1,600 to mitigate risks during volatile market phases.
🔥 Conclusion:
Voltas is demonstrating a clear Elliott Wave corrective pattern. Keep an eye on ₹1,821.30 for bullish breakout opportunities or ₹1,641.35 for critical support.
🔔 Follow us for actionable insights and updates on market movements! 🚀✨