Wallstreet
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 3, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The stabilized selloff in the bond market in this week's price action sent the index raging upward all the way up to Mean Res 4378 and completing our Inner Index Rally 4375. On the downside, the index will likely go down toward the Mean Sup 4238, followed by a series of price targets marked on the chart. However, due to the reactionary nature of the market, sudden fluctuations in either direction are possible.
DOW JONES TRADE IDEA US30 has been on a bullish trend since Monday trading session. We have NFP NEWS today and we should expect strong bearish candles at 13:30. US30 is at a strong resistance level, we should expect one more push to the upside and see strong bearish candles before the close of the market.
NAS100 TRADE IDEANasdaq 100 has been on a bullish trend since Tuesday trading session. We have NFP NEWS today and we should expect strong bearish candles at 13:30. Nasdaq 100 is at a strong resistance level, we should expect one more push to the upside and see strong bearish candles before the close of the market.
DOW JONES TRADE IDEA US30 has been on a bullish trend since the start of the trading week. US30 should continue to the upside to take resistance before the open of the NY trade session. We should expect strong bearish candles during the NY trading session till the close of the market. Remember to trade with caution as we expect the NFP on Friday and price could move with unexpected volatility at any point in time.
NAS100 TRADE IDEA NASDAQ 100 was on a bullish trend yesterday trading. we had Fed Interest Rate Decision and FOMC statement as news yesterday, we still have NFP on Friday so we should expect volatility at any point in time. we should see NASDAQ 100 pump to the upside to take resistance before the NY trade session and expect strong bearish candles after the NY session and toward the close of the market.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 27, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's price action, the index bounced back to our expected target Mean Resistance of 4255 but quickly fell to retest our previously completed Inner Index Dip at 4212. It then hit the strategic point of the next Inner Index Dip at 4150 and is currently resting at a Mean Support of 4113. On the downside, the index will likely go further down toward the Inner Index Dip at 4055, followed by Next #1 at 3961 and Next #2 at 3850. All this is just for starters. However, there is a possibility of it bouncing back to Mean Resistance 4156.
S&P500 broke for the second time the 200 EMAS&P500 broke for the second time the 200 EMA
This time it seem serious with a VIX index above 20 and moving higher, and the S&P500 index on the right top of a huge double top.
High yield bonds, war risks and recession risk add fuel to this move.
Target for the double top is the area 2630-2525 in the long term.
Bullish scenario only above 4600. Worth to be 100% cash and 0% stocks right now and stay at the windows.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 20, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz index held staunchly by our completed rebound projection and Mean Res 4378 by tumbling down to Mean Sup 4224, eyeing a retest Inner Index Dip 4212 with an intermediate rebound target to Mean Res 4255. The index could extend to the next Inner Index Dip 4150 for the next week's trading.
Market Meltdown: Wall Street's Shocking Symphony Unveiled!In the heart of financial dynamics, where numbers narrate tales and markets hum a melody, we stand on the cusp of a riveting chapter. The surge in bond yields, the resonance of conflict in Gaza, and the corporate crescendos echo through Wall Street, crafting a narrative that captivates and challenges.
As we step into this unfolding saga, each market movement becomes a note in a symphony—a symphony where every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate revelation plays a crucial role. Join me as we unravel the Overture of Wall Street, decoding the melodies that shape the financial landscape and beckon us into the intriguing world of global finance.
Bond Yields Surge: Unraveling the Threads of Economic Sentiment
The recent surge in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, cresting above 4.9%, serves as a seismic event with far-reaching implications. Traditionally, higher yields spell caution for equity markets, diminishing the allure of stocks in comparison to the safety of fixed-income assets. The market's reaction, characterized by a 1.3% dip in the S&P 500, underscores the anxiety stemming from heightened borrowing costs for both corporations and households.
This surge in bond yields is not merely a statistical blip; it's a harbinger of a delicate dance between the Federal Reserve and the broader economic landscape. The specter of swelling U.S. debt looms large, and as Bloomberg Economics warns, the increase in yields could act as a drag on economic growth, akin to the impact of a Fed rate hike.
Geopolitical Turmoil: A Catalyst for Market Volatility
The geopolitical tableau adds a layer of complexity, with the Gaza conflict acting as a catalyst. The deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital and the subsequent cancellation of a summit with Arab leaders have injected fresh uncertainties into the market psyche. Beyond the tragic human toll, the conflict reverberates through financial markets, notably elevating oil prices.
Oil, the lifeblood of economies, rose nearly 2% to $91.50 a barrel. The Israel-Hamas conflict and optimistic outlooks for Chinese demand became twin engines propelling oil's ascent. Investors, already grappling with bond yield tremors, now face the added challenge of navigating an energy market rife with geopolitical uncertainties.
Corporate Performance: A Tapestry of Triumphs and Tribulations
Against this backdrop, corporate performances play a pivotal role in shaping market trajectories. Morgan Stanley's stock stumbled after reporting a drop in quarterly net income, emblematic of challenges within the financial sector. Simultaneously, Procter & Gamble's shares surged as the company reported a quarterly profit boost, underlining the impact of strategic pricing decisions in an inflationary environment.
The corporate stage is set, with companies wielding the power to either fortify or erode market confidence. In the case of United Airlines, a 7% early decline in shares following a cut in year-end earnings forecasts exemplifies the tightrope walked by companies in a tumultuous market environment.
Market Performance: A Symphony of Red and Green
As the final notes of the market day resonated, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Industrials bore the weight of a 1.3%, 1.6%, and 1% decline, respectively. The Russell 2000, reflecting smaller companies, faced a more substantial 2.1% dip. This symphony of red underscores the impact of mixed corporate reports and the tightening grip of rising Treasury yields.
The decline is not confined to domestic shores; the MSCI World index echoes the sentiment, falling in tandem with its U.S. counterparts. The markets, in their collective wisdom, are sending signals of caution, reacting to the interplay of global and domestic variables.
Deciphering the Market's Sonnet
In conclusion, Wall Street's current state is akin to a sonnet, weaving together verses of bond yield surges, geopolitical tumult, and corporate performances. Each stanza contributes to the larger narrative of market sentiment, reflecting the delicate balance between risk and reward. Investors must read between the lines, understanding that every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate report shapes the verses of the market's sonnet.
As we navigate these turbulent waters, an agile and discerning approach is paramount. The future remains unwritten, and while challenges abound, opportunities await those who can decipher the intricate melodies emanating from Wall Street's financial symphony.
NASDAQ 100 TRADE IDEANasdaq 100 ended the trading week on Friday with strong bearish candles after giving bullish candles at the open of the NY trade session and later retrace to the downside breaking the support zone. We should see more bearish move before the NY session today and later have strong bearish candle after price has taken resistance. Also the on going conflicts between two major countries should show a strong decline to stocks soon.
DOW JONES TRADE IDEADow Jones ended the trading week on Friday slightly bearish after giving strong bullish candles at the open of the NY trade session and later retrace to the downside. We should see more bearish move before the NY session today and later have strong bearish candle after price has taken resistance. Also the on going conflicts between two major countries should show a strong decline to stocks soon.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 13, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz index price exceeded our previous Mean Resistance point of 4336 and closed at the location of a notable event. The recent downward trend suggests that the Mean Support level of 4294 may be reached, with a possibility of extending to the Mean Support of 4228 or even the next Inner Index Dip at 4150. If the index finds support at 4294, it may move up to the newly established Mean Resistance at 4378.