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Interesting facts of the week: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! The past week brought several interesting events that may impact the situation's development in the coming days. The U.S. Dollar Index has reached the upper boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 106.952. There might be an attempt to reverse the long trend, with the idea of executing the seller’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 99.807 and 99.099). The Euro against the Dollar has reached the lower boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 1.04485. There might be an attempt to reverse the short trend, with the idea of executing the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 1.12142 and 1.12757). Gold , after bouncing off the 50% level (2538.5) of the last monthly buyer’s impulse, has broken through 2710.52, which was the beginning of the last seller’s impulse on the daily timeframe. On the weekly timeframe, there was a manipulation (false breakout) of the level where the last buyer’s impulse started (2604.39), and the weekly bar is impressive with its spread. On the one hand, there is an opportunity to look for buys, but on the other hand, a seller may appear just above in the 2721–2759 range. Let’s see who will win the battle for the 2710.52 level. SPX500 . The buyer is defending the breakout from the range on the daily timeframe. The buyer has absorbed the seller’s attack bar from November 15 (which had high volume) on the upper boundary of the range at 5891.6. As a result, a buyer’s zone has formed on the upper boundary of the range (upper edge of the zone is 5975.6). Additionally, the price dipped below the 50% level of the last buyer’s impulse on the daily timeframe. You can look for buying opportunities if the buyer reactivates from this zone. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
AFKS 5M Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + extra volume T1 + weak approach + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test + first buying bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + biggest volume maniulation - one bar reversal" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 weak correction + SOS level + support level + reverse volume distribution + volumed manipulation" 1M Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + expanding T2 level + support level + support level + volumed manipulation" 1Y Countertrend "- short impulse - neutral zone"
RUS:AFKS
by MishaSuvorov
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! On the hourly timeframe, it's a long trend. In the last impulse, the key bar is in the middle at the 50% level of the impulse (!). Locally, you can look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the 31.272–31.2 range. It’s better to set close targets, like the local high, or trail the trade. The buyer may be able to reach 32.16. On the daily timeframe, the seller's vector 9-10 within the range is still relevant. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
1
DXY. When to Expect a Weak Dollar?Hello traders and investors! At the end of September and the beginning of October, I analyzed AUDUSD and EURUSD, where the technical picture predicted a decline in these currencies against the dollar. You can find these posts in related ideas. There were discussions with colleagues about how many countries' economies need a weaker dollar. I wouldn’t mind profiting from a dollar decline either, but a month and a half ago, there were no signs of a DXY drop. Let's take a look at what the chart suggests and when this might happen. Weekly Timeframe A sideways range formed on the weekly chart in March 2023 (point 4 was established). The lower boundary is 99.099, and the upper boundary is 106.952. The buyer's vector 11-12 has reached its obligatory target — the price level of point 10 within the range (106.169). This means we can start watching for seller activity on the weekly timeframe. If the sellers show up, the seller's vector 12-13 becomes relevant, with potential targets of 99.807 and 99.099. Note that the key bar (with the highest volume) of the buyer’s vector 11-12 is the bar from November 4. Daily Timeframe There’s a long trend on the daily chart. The last buyer's impulse ranges from 103.86 to 106.734. The key bar of the impulse (highest volume) is the bar from November 14. Hourly Timeframe On the hourly chart, a sideways range has formed. The lower boundary is 106.037, and the upper boundary is 106.734. The current buyer's vector 8-9 has potential targets of 106.681 and 106.734. From there, it's not far to 106.952 (the upper boundary of the weekly range). Summary The price has approached levels on the weekly TF where a reversal may begin. For now, there are no signs of a reversal on the weekly and daily TF. We need to see signs of seller activity on the weekly chart to look for short positions with the goal of realizing the seller's vector 12-13 in the weekly range. You can look for long or short positions on the hourly chart by trading within the range from boundary to boundary (if the boundary holds). Until the DXY reverses, looking for long positions in other currencies against the dollar is risky. Good luck with your trading and investments!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Daily and Hourly Timeframe AnalysisHello traders and investors! Let’s see where to expect a buyer's resumption. Daily Timeframe On the daily TF, the upward movement has significantly slowed down. The last buyer's impulse consists of just one bar and only slightly exceeded the previous all-time high. The bar itself has decreasing volume, indicating a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these price levels. The starting level of the last buyer's impulse is 85,072. A period of sideways movement might be ahead. It is advisable to look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the last impulse starting level at 85,072. Hourly Timeframe On the hourly TF, a range has formed. The lower boundary is 85,072, and the upper boundary is 89,940. The seller’s vector 7-8 is currently relevant, with a potential target of 86,128. It is advisable to look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of 86,128 or 85,072, aiming to realize the buyer’s vector 8-9 (with potential targets at 89,940, 91,790, and 93,265). The 85,072 level is more important as it is also a daily level. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. Daily and Hourly timeframes analysisHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, there is a short (downward) trend. The price has corrected to the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse on the monthly TF at 2538.5. There have been three consecutive daily bars with increasing volume. The last bar shows a large selling wick, which began after the price interacted with the 2538.5 level. And for today, this is the key bar of the seller's impulse in the forming new impulse. The level marking the start of the last seller's impulse on the daily TF is 2710.52. At the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse on the monthly TF, we can expect the formation of reversal patterns. The current priority is selling. Selling opportunities can be considered from the seller’s defense at 2581 and 2589. Hourly Timeframe Analysis On the hourly TF, aggressive buying can be considered from the buyer’s defense at 2559.89. The key bar (highest volume, "KC" on the chart) of the buyer's impulse is exactly at the 50% level of the impulse. Additionally, a buyer's zone has formed at the base of the impulse (green rectangle on the chart). However, it’s better to set nearby targets. A similar situation occurred recently with silver, where after reaching the nearest target for long positions, the price reversed and updated local lows. For conservative purchases, there is no context yet. Ideally, the price should return above 2604.39, and then look for a pattern for buying. The previous detailed analysis is available in the related post. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! Let's look for trading opportunities in silver. Daily Timeframe (TF) On the daily TF, the price has formed a range (sideways movement) that began in April. The upper boundary is at 32.5185, and the lower boundary is at 26.0185. The buyer's vector from point 8 to 9 has hit its target of 31.755 and successfully broke above the upper boundary of the range. However, the seller returned the price back into the range. The current vector of the seller is from point 9 to 10, with a potential target of 26.471. We are now seeing an attempt by buyers to reverse the price upwards. The price came close but didn't quite reach 30.12, the start of the last sub-impulse of the buyer on the daily TF, which is likely to attract the price. It's better to look for selling opportunities on the daily TF from the seller’s defense of the key seller's candle (highest volume) when the price returns to the range. This level is at 32.16. Hourly Timeframe (TF) On the hourly TF, there is a long trend following accumulation in a range. The defense level of the breakout from the range is 30.6445. Locally, it is possible to look for buy opportunities from the buyer’s defense zone between 30.84475 and 30.821. Targets should be set nearby, such as the local high. It's possible the buyer could reach up to 32.16. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. Waiting for the opportunity to buyHello traders and investors! Yesterday, the price interacted with the 2604.39 level. The daily candle had increased volume, which could indicate buyer interest. On the hourly timeframe, there is a sideways range. If the price breaks above the upper boundary of 2617.125 and the buyer successfully defends this breakout, it may be a good opportunity to look for buy positions. It would be wise to monitor how the price handles the 2627.235 level, as a seller might appear there. These would be aggressive buy positions. Conservatively, it makes more sense to look for buy opportunities after the buyer absorbs yesterday's daily seller candle on the daily timeframe. The previous detailed analysis can be found in the related post. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. Where to wait for the buyer's resumption?Hello traders and investors! The price of gold is correcting. Let's take a look at where a reversal of the correction might occur for potential buy opportunities. On the weekly chart, the last impulse started from the level of 2604.39. The key bar of the impulse (the one with the highest volume) is at its base. Currently, the price is within the range of this bar, but I don't see increased volumes on the daily timeframe. On the contrary, the volumes of the last three days are decreasing. Is there no buyer? We are waiting for the price to interact with the 2604.39 level, where a buyer might appear. The next interesting range for a potential buyer resurgence is 50% of the last buyer's impulse on the monthly timeframe, which is at 2538.5. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
SLB 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade - short impulse + support level - unvolumed T1 level + volumed 2Sp- - weak test closed below T1 + first bullish bar closed entry - target beyond 5M / 1H range Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to swing / investment trade 1 Hour CounterTrend "- short balance + expanding ICE + support level + biggest volume manipulation" 1 Day Trend "+ long impulse + SOS test level + support level + 1/2 correction" 1 Month Trend "+ long balance + expanding ICE level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" Sell SLB Limit 44.54, GTC Sell SLB Stop 42.29 LMT 43.06, GTC
NYSE:SLBLong
by MishaSuvorov
AUDUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! On the daily time frame, there has been a sideways range since August 24 (with point 4 formed). The lower boundary is 0.63478, and the upper boundary is 0.6942. The seller's vector 5-6 within the range on the daily time frame has reached the target of 0.65604. The buyer has halted the downward movement and is trying to start their vector 6-7 with a potential target of 0.67985. If we think not in terms of the range, but how the last buyer’s impulse, which started at 0.63478, traders have gathered volume below the 50% level (0.66278) of this impulse, which may indicate an attempt to reverse the price upwards. We should pay attention to how the price interacts with the 0.6622 level. This is the start of the buyer’s last sub-impulse (which nearly coincides with the 50% level of the last impulse!). If the buyer manages to break through this level and defend it, this accumulation below the level will provide good fuel for an upward move, and long positions can be sought. If the seller defends the 0.6622 level, it makes sense to wait for the buyer’s next attempt to reverse the price on the daily time frame, as searching for short positions in the buyer’s context area is risky. Short positions can be looked for on lower time frames, with lower time frame targets and considering the contexts of both the higher and lower time frames. A medium-term forecast can be found in the related post. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
1
EURUSD. Selling opportunitiesHello traders and investors! A detailed analysis of the currency pair can be found in the related post. A price drop to the 1.06011 level was expected. Weekly Timeframe Analysis On the weekly timeframe, the buyer's vector 7-8 is developing within the range. There was an attempt to resume buying from the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart). The buyer’s bar with increased volume did not bring any results for the buyer: the bar’s closing price is within the seller’s bar with lower volume. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, there was a manipulation of the level marking the beginning of the seller’s last impulse: a false breakout of the 1.08718 level aimed at gathering liquidity, followed by the price returning below the level. The buyer’s attack bar on this level has the highest volume among all buyer bars. The seller pushed the price back below the level, and a seller's zone was formed (red rectangle on the chart). Summary On the weekly timeframe, the buyer with increased volume failed to show results. On the daily timeframe, there was a manipulation of the seller's last impulse level. Priority: sales. Potential targets on the daily timeframe: 1.07821, 1.07612.
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Selling and Buying StrategyHello traders and investors! It’s time for a new analysis, as all the targets from the previous analysis have been reached, and the situation has changed. Daily Timeframe Analysis As a reminder, on the daily timeframe, a sideways movement was formed on March 5 (with point 4). The lower boundary is at 49,000, and the upper boundary is at 73,777. The buyer's vector 10-11 has reached its target at 72,797. At the end of the vector, a buyer's bar with increased volume was formed. Just below, a buyer's zone appeared (green rectangle on the chart, with the upper edge at 69,519). The price is currently testing this buyer's zone. We are waiting for the buyer's reaction. The seller's vector 11-12 is now relevant, with potential targets of 52,550 and 49,000. At the same time, there are some signs that the price could update the all-time high (ATH): The seller's vector 9-10 broke the lower boundary of the range (point 4), but vector 10-11 has not yet broken the upper boundary (point 7). 8H Timeframe Analysis On the 8-hour timeframe, a sideways movement was formed on July 29 (with point 4). The lower boundary is at 49,000, and the upper boundary is at 71,997. The buyer's vector 5-6 successfully broke above the upper boundary of the range. At the end of this vector, a buyer's bar with increased volume was absorbed by the seller, who formed a seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range (red rectangle on the chart, with the lower edge at 71,864). The latest sub-impulse on the 8-hour timeframe started from the 65,596 level. A buyer's zone is located at the base of this sub-impulse (green rectangle on the chart, with the upper edge at 67,890). The price is currently testing the level of the previous sub-impulse's end at 68,850. We are waiting for the buyer's reaction. The seller's vector 6-7 is now relevant, with potential targets of 52,550 and 49,000. However, there are also signs that the price may update the ATH: the configuration of bars and volumes within the buyer's vector 5-6 shows that key volumes are located at the base of the vector. Summary On both the daily and 8-hour timeframes, the buyer's vectors within the ranges have played out. The seller's vectors are now relevant. The seller has begun to resume activity, and the price has entered a contextual buyer's zone. At the same time, there are signs on both the daily and 8-hour timeframes that the price could update the ATH. For this reason, it's advisable to look for short trades from the seller's zone protection on the 8-hour timeframe. It's also possible that the seller will form a seller's zone on the daily timeframe today if they absorb the buyer's bar from October 29. Looking for long trades is reasonable from the buyer's zone protection on the daily or 8-hour timeframe, for example, in the 66,000–68,000 range. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
BLS INTL SERVICES - Ready for a short term Up MoveThe stock had undergone a big correction even before the recent small cap index correction. The stock fell almost 28% from 475 to 340. It was pushed below the 200 DMA, from where it has been recovering. Even during the recent correction in the small cap index, the stock was in fact showing lot of strength and the relative strength compared to the small cap index is positive now. It is also making higher highs in the daily frame while it is still continuing to make the higher highs and higher lows in the weekly time frame as well. Now, it has also crossed above the short-term moving averages and the previous daily pivot. So, the stock looks likely to test 475 levels. So, I am looking at 15% returns in the short term from the stock. Of course, one has to always keep in mind the overall market weakness.
NSE:BLSLong
by karthikmarar
2
Difference between candles and barsHey traders and investors! What is the difference between using candles or bars on a chart? This example clearly shows the key difference. Take note of the closing price of the candle on September 26 (point 8 of the range). On a candlestick chart, this is impossible to understand. On a bar chart, the closing price is clearly visible. The closing price is below the range boundary of 111.34, the trading volume is enormous, and the buyer was unable to break above the range. Now, the price has reached the range boundary of 111.34 for the second time on increased volume, and the seller has absorbed the buyer, forming a buyer's zone at the upper boundary of the range. There is a high probability of further price decline within the short vector 8-9 of the range (potential target 85.92). However, there are threats along the seller's path. You might consider buying at the 98.7 level (if buyer will protect it) or around 84-86. Good luck with your trading and investments!
NASDAQ:MU
by AlexeyWolf
2
BOMBAY DYEING - Ready to Move to the Next OrbitThe stock after facing price rejection in the range of 224 to 241 was pushed down to the 50 DMA. It moved almost sideways in the last three months. Recently we saw some interest coming back into the stock with the relative strength and the money flow turning positive and the volume was also increasing. The stock remained very strong during the recent weakness we saw in the overall market. Now finally it has crossed above the price rejection zone with good volume support. The delivery volumes saw substantial increase recently. All other parameters like the buying pressure, volume adjusted momentums, absolute momentum everything seem to be favouring further up move. Looks like the stock is ready to move to the top into the next orbit.
NSE:BOMDYEINGLong
by karthikmarar
A quick Analysis of the NIFTY From the week starting 30th sept. we saw a big drop of 2400 points on increased volume. Then the last two week we saw a almost side ways move in a small range of 500 points on much lower volume. Now the Index is at a crucial level, which is a previous support zone. If the index holds at the current levels, we can expect some more consolidation before a recovery. The reduced volume is a definite positive. Also, the current sell wave is much weaker compared to the previous sell wave. The selling pressure is slowly subsiding. Break of 24694 will take it down another 800 points to Test the level 23893 as this is also a weekly lower pivot. This will make the Bears assert their supremacy.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikmarar
TDPOWER SYSTEMS - Likely to resume the Up Trend?The stock was in an uptrend and met with some price rejection in the range of 436 to 451, then it was pushed down to below 50 DMA. Then we saw some strength coming back below the 50 DMA and then today we saw an “Effort to move up” bar. Now the price is at the supply line and once the supply line is broken then we can see the stock testing the previous rejection zone and with some momentum it could take out the Price Rejection Zone and move up. Now the buying pressure and the money flow are positive while the relative strength is on the verge of turning positive. There is some good volume support as well. We also could see some committed buying coming in terms of delivery volumes. So, looks like the momentum is building up and this should see a stock being pushed up to test the rejection zone and further up. In other words the stock look likely to resume the Up Trend.
NSE:TDPOWERSYSLong
by karthikmarar
XAUUSD. Impressive traded volumes on GoldHello traders and investors! An interesting situation is unfolding with gold, with impressive traded volumes. Weekly Timeframe (TF) There is an uptrend. The start of the last impulse is at 2471.915, and the end of the impulse is at 2685.64. All three candles in this impulse show increased volume. The key candle of the impulse is the last one (marked "KC" on the chart with the largest volume in the impulse). The seller's correction candle (from September 30) and the buyer's resumption candle (from October 7) have even larger increasing volumes. However, neither the correction candle nor the buyer's resumption candle showed results relative to the key impulse candle—they both closed within the body of the key candle. Moreover, the volume of the buyer's resumption candle was 75% higher than the volume of the key candle and 50% higher than the correction candle. This weekly volume was the highest for both 2023 and 2024( ! ). I would like to see some results from such volume. Daily Timeframe On the daily TF, there is a sideways movement since September 30 (point 4 was formed). The upper boundary is 2685.64, and the lower boundary is 2624.78. The current buyer's vector is 6-7, with potential targets of 2673.26 (first) and 2685.64 (second). The seller's vector 5-6 has effectively broken through the lower boundary of the range. The key candle of the seller's vector from October 8 is the last one in the vector (marked "KC" on the chart, with the largest volume in the vector). On Friday, October 11, the buyer absorbed this seller's candle, forming a buyer's zone at the lower boundary of the range (green rectangle on the chart). The traded volume in the candle from October 8 was the largest of all of 2024( ! ). Summary On the weekly TF, we have massive volume, which has not yet led to a new high. On the daily TF, the seller's impressive volume was absorbed by the buyer, and the current buyer's vector is active. I suspect the weekly buyer simply hasn't had time to show results yet—there wasn't enough time. The priority is to look for buying opportunities. The first potential target is 2673.26, with the second at 2685.64. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
3