BEAMX/USDT Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative idea for the BEAMX/USDT coin pair.
After reaching its historical maximum in mid-December at a price of $0.027332, the asset experienced a correction, resulting in a decrease of more than 38%. Following the completion of the correction, there was a consolidation phase.
At present, a resistance level has been identified at $0.023531. Additionally, an inclined support level has been detected, indicating stability in the asset within this price range.
As part of the trading strategy, we anticipate a potential third approach of the price to the resistance level at $0.023531. If this scenario is confirmed with active trading near this level, we consider entering a position with the goal of surpassing the resistance level and further moving towards the historical maximum, potentially leading to a 15% increase.
In the event of strong market support, there is also consideration for breaking the all-time high at the price level of $0.027332, which could be viewed as a potential entry point.
Volumeprofileanalysis
CRV/USDT Accumulation PhaseBelow is the description of the accumulation phase potential development of the CRV/USDT cryptocurrency pair.
After reaching a local minimum in November 2022, when CRV was trading around $0.3982, there was a convincing upward movement that led to a significant increase to $1.29. During this period, the asset demonstrated a growth of more than 225%. Subsequently, the asset gradually declined, reaching a new local minimum at $0.3882.
During the price decrease, a descending trading channel was formed. At the moment, the asset is testing the upper boundary of this channel, which is occurring at the level of $0.6382.
Considering the current trends, we can assume that the asset is preparing to overcome the upper boundary of the trading channel. This could happen after a small corrective pullback to the average price within the descending channel.
Following a successful breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and a subsequent retest with a possible bounce from it, a positive signal for further growth of the asset can be expected. This scenario could indicate movement towards a price maximum at the level of $1.29.
AAVE/USDT Trading IdeaWe're discussing the development idea in the accumulation phase for the AAVE/USDT crypto pair.
In June 2022, there was a notable decline in the asset, hitting a local bottom of the existing bearish trend at $45.80. However, it confidently surged from this level, reaching $115.27, showing over a 150% increase . Later on, the asset chart displayed the formation of a descending triangle, accompanied by significant trading volumes.
Currently, we observe AAVE's price breaking out of the described triangle and starting to trade within an ascending channel , confined by values from $115.27. This might indicate a potential continuation of the accumulation phase with a possible price squeeze toward the local maximum. Hence, the present trends and price chart structure suggest interesting dynamics in the asset's movement.
Considering these trends, it's conceivable that the asset is preparing to surpass the local maximum of $115.27, paving the way for further upward movement. The initial target for this upward trend could be the strong resistance level at $200. If this level is successfully breached and bullish pressure is sustained, the subsequent potential target could be around $260.
SAND/USDT Trading IdeaBelow is a trading idea for the SAND/USDT pair.
Since the beginning of October, this asset has shown a consistent upward trend. Starting at $0.2739 and reaching a current high of $0.5970 , it has grown by more than 114% . The trend line, acting as support, confirms continued interest from buyers in this coin, having held up through three significant approaches. Currently, the asset is undergoing a correction after hitting a local price peak.
The idea is to consider buying the asset if the price drops below the Value Area High and approaches the level close to the support trend line.
The trend's stability is confirmed by the continuation of the upward movement after the correction from the local peak, accompanied by noticeable increases in trading volumes. After entering a position, the first target is considered to be $0.5992, with the second target at $0.7178.
BTC/USDT ScenariosWe are considering two possible scenarios for the development of the situation with BTC.
At the end of October, following a significant impulsive rise of BTC from $29,614 to $35,300 , there was an increase of more than 18%. In the following month, an ascending trading channel was observed, which was successfully broken after testing the upper boundary at $39,670. As a result of the breakout, the asset reached a price level of $44,436 , marking an increase of more than 11%.
The first scenario focuses on the current overbought condition of the BTC price, which suggests the potential for a correction. There is a possibility of a downward corrective movement until reaching the upper boundary of the trading channel, located around $40,600, with a subsequent potential reversal. If the price remains stable at this level, there is consideration for opening a long position on BTC.
In the second scenario, a significant price decrease towards the level of the highest volume POC at $37,100 is anticipated. From this level, a price reversal might occur, followed by a continuation of the upward movement. If the price remains stable at this level and there are signals for a reversal, we are also considering the possibility of buying BTC.
USDT/DOT Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the DOT/USDT pair.
Currently, the asset's price has broken through an inclined level after updating the minimum at the price of $3.550 within the current global downtrend. After reaching the $3.550 level, there was a rebound, amounting to over 41% to the current price. This situation indicates an attempt to break the local downtrend in effect in 2023.
As we anticipate a price correction, we identify two entry points for the asset to continue the upward movement within this correction.
We place our first limit orders to buy DOT at price levels of $4.550 with a growth potential of 37% to the price level of $6.273.
We place our second limit orders to buy DOT at price levels of $4.220 with a growth potential of 50% to the price level of $6.273.
Green Energy Penny ETFKSET is an ETF comprised of stocks in the green energy and carbon credit subsector.
It is best suited for traders and investors wanting to support the evolution of the
energy intrastructure and climate change abatement. On the one hour chart, a double
bottom and RSI rising from the oversold area suggest now is a good entry. Targets are
marked onto the chart using the fibonacci retracement too. A stop loss is below the POC
line of the intermediate term POC line. This affords a reward to risk ratio of about 4 and
a potential upside of 60-80% over 1-2 months.
GAP Short under 18.50Retracement play for XETR:GAP after major earnings pop. Beware this still has momentum , but we are reaching an overvalued territory.
Big volume gap also seen above 19 , which is unlikely to fill with this overextended trend.
Price target - $15
USDT/BTC Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the BTC/USDT pair.
As of writing, there’s a consolidation and price chart compression towards the established local resistance level at a price of $35,195, following an impulsive 31% price increase from $26,794 with a rebound from the 50-day moving average.
Within the framework of this idea, we propose to consider the possibility of buying BTC at a price of $35,195.
We do so with the aim of continuing the BTC price rise towards the resistance zone located near the POC volume level, corresponding to the trading range of the first half of 2022. The approximate target for this trade is $38,440.
An additional factor supporting this decision is the cumulative delta, indicating sustained buyer interest. The potential for this trade is estimated at 9%, with a stop-loss set at the 3% level, which amounts to $34,100.
BNT/USDT Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the BNT/USDT pair.
As of writing, the asset's value has decreased by more than 50% after a strong growth of 240%. The asset meets our expected indicators and reaches a high of $1.9546 .
We decide to acquire the asset at the current price of $0.8426. The 50-day moving average serves as support. A decrease in seller activity is also noted, and the price is being held by buyers according to the cumulative delta. The volume profile also reflects market participants' interest in this asset at this price level.
The first target of our trade is to reach the mirror level at $1.0500, with a profit percentage of over 20%. Upon reaching this level, we plan to close the majority of our position, which will be 80%.
The second target, intended for the remaining 20% of the position, is to reach a price of $1.2163 in the event of a breakout of the mirror level. The expected profit at this stage will be over 40%.
BTC/USDT - Short term SHORT with 2 Target ZonesThere is a potential for a short term SHORT trade on BTC/USDT. If todays bar closes < 34.7k (~3.5 hours till close) there is potential for a short. There are two target zones:
Yellow zone, this is the most likely zone it may dump to between 32.5 and 32.8k
White zone, between 30.3k and 31.8k, this may happen if the lower level of 32.5k in the Yellow zone fails to hold. Please note that the upper level of this zone at 31.8k may also act as a Support.
There are many reasons why this short may happen:
The price faced resistance at the trend line.
The price has closed above the upper purchase zone level since October 16th, and it MAY close below it today.
We are currently in a Blood Diamond which has been confirmed (white circle within the YinYang Momentum Oscillator).
YinYang RSI is at 98.08 and very Overbought and is closing in with the YinYang RSI MA which is now at 94.94.
The Buy Volume is bending towards the Sell Volume.
YinYang Momentum is very Overbought, the predictive mountain is already angling towards the regular and may dump inside of it soon. Likewise we can see the Confirming Blood Diamond appeared on the current bar (white circle).
YinYang Momentum Trend Line has turned Bearish.
The reason it may correct to these zones specifically:
Yellow Zone:
The Basis line is here.
There is a Downwards Trend Line within here.
The Fourth level of the Purchase Zone is there.
White Zone:
The high of 31.8k was a long lasting Resistance Pivot.
the low of 30.3k is where the Volume Profile is.
the low of 30.3k faced lots of resistance recently.
Please note this is a short term short, on the long term BTC may remain bullish.
Indicators used to make this analysis:
YinYang Trend
YinYang Volume
YinYang Momentum
YinYang RSI
XAUUSD mid-term short setupAfter finished the short-term for long setup , I continue to follow the moving waves of Elliott to plan the short setup. (Just click the hyperlink above to read the previous analysis)
Combine Elliott Wave with Volume Profile help me easier to see the big picture. And now I'm waiting for the corrective wave to entry the short setup. How do you think about this analysis, what is your opinion?
Consolidating?Practicing my crayons skills... Don't judge :)
Fixed range VP setup near breakout zones
Things of interest
- Previous dips chopped before the next leg up
- Currently just outside high volume zones. Low vol = consolidation potential?
- Holding, so far, previous resistance zone
- Sideways moves could give time for breadth to improve
- Oil appears to be going up --> good for the markets?
- 'Triangle pattern' kinda interesting
Position :
If asked, I'd say wait for a trend.
Full/final position for the year will be initiated on trend confirmation via private scripts, MAs, etc.
Not financial advice. Good luck and don't risk what you can't lose!
SILVER – 30$ COULD BE JUST AN APPETIZERObviously the re-accumulation is done. NASDAQ:XAG has found its Climax around 14$, played in Phase B for 6 years with an attempt to 21$ thus creating an UpThrust, till “COVID”, where price collapsed to 11$, found “some” buyers that sent price to the opposite direction.
As you can see JAC is obvious ; BU seems to be done as well, bullish divergence confirmed. This “b shape” is clearly identified, with a SOS scenario definitely confirmed, 30$ seems to be just an appetizer.
If we zoom out on a bigger TF, it looks like MM rushed out PA for 6 years before it re-integrated the Fork, kissed the Mid Range (what we called JAC), sitting on the “Preliminary supply” (what we call the UpThrust). What next ?
Little flashback.
2022 was a year of sharp contrasts between silver’s fundamentals and institutional investor attitudes towards the metal; while the silver market saw what may well have been the largest deficit on record,
professional investors were indifferent or bearish for much of the year. This year was not lost for Bears.
blacksquare.finance
The downward pressure on silver prices from this further boosted physical demand. This was perhaps most pronounced in India, where on top of already exceptionally strong demand, low prices encouraged the entire supply chain to replenish its stocks. This followed two pandemic-hit years of inventory draw-downs. There were other, price agnostic, drivers of demand growth last
year. Most notable among these was the strength of industrial fabrication, in large part linked to the robust solar industry, but also reflecting a postpandemic
recovery in a number of other markets.
Indeed, were it not for China’s zero-COVID policies, global silver demand would have likely been
even greater than the all-time high of 1,242.4Moz (38,643t) it realized in 2022.
A lack of supply gains was another factor contributing to last year’s deficit. Limited organic growth, project delays and disruptions resulted in a marginal decline in mine production while recycling barely rose.
All this culminated in a 237.7Moz (7,393t) deficit, most likely also an all-time record. (There is some uncertainty, as differences in definitions, coverage and methodology between Metals Focus and past data providers to the Silver Institute complicate comparing balances over the past few decades.)
Importantly, the combined 2021 and 2022 deficits more than offset the cumulative surpluses of the previous 11 years.
blacksquare.finance
India
WSS published last year a Changing Landscape of Indian Investment. India was currently the world’s third largest silver physical investment market after the US and Germany. The bar market in particular has been extremely successful, with around 500Moz (16,000t) bought cumulatively over the last 10 years. This partly reflects a lack of other silver investment vehicles, such as ETPs and digital products, both of which are available in the Indian gold market. For instance, digital gold was introduced in 2016, while mutual funds first launched gold ETPs in 2007. That said, the silver investment market is slowly changing, with digital silver and silver ETPs both launched last year. Looking at these themes in more detail, the growing popularity of e-commerce apps has meant that the likes of Amazon and Flipkart have been selling silver bars online, which can be physically delivered. However, holding physical silver comes with space constraints and security issues. To address these points, digital silver was launched by DIGIGOLD and Kredx; more will no doubt follow should their popularity grow. These allow silver to be bought online, and then have it stored in a vault. Once purchased, the silver can be sold directly for cash, or redeemed in physical form. In addition, the ability to invest as little as one rupee, the ease of transacting, transparency, and the ability to buy/sell at any time make it an attractive product. That apart, in 2021 the Securities and Exchange Board of India, the securities and commodities market regulator, allowed the launch of silver ETPs. Although several mutual funds issued silver ETPs, three are active, Aditya Birla Sun Life, Nippon India and ICICI Prudential, with a combined AUM of Rs 6.3bn ($82m) as of February 2022. Silver ETP fund-of-funds (a fund that invests in its own ETP) were also launched by Nippon India and Aditya Birla Sun Life. Other asset management companies have also filed scheme information documents (SIDs) to launch ETPs. Even though these products are relatively new, as retail investors become more comfortable with them and as financial literacy improves, we expect such products to become more popular. Although there will be some market share loss for bar demand (religious motives drive coin purchases), ultimately, we expect total Indian silver investment to grow.
Russia-Ukraine
Among the key drivers of the silver price in 2022 was the jump in geopolitical concerns following the start of the Russia-Ukraine SMO. This in turn exacerbated inflationary pressures as commodity prices soared, particularly in the energy complex. Likewise Cryptoassets, precious metals investment continued to benefit from nominal rates still being low and real rates negative at the beginning of the year. This, combined with worries about stagflation or even a recession, kept price expectations positive and in turn encouraged retail investors to buy hard assets including physical silver. The steep decline in LBMA silver stocks, along with the phenomenal jump in Indian silver imports, also gained much attention last year, contributing to the positive retail sentiment.
The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine issue in early 2022 initially benefited both gold and silver; the gold/silver ratio was stable in a 75-80 range for much of Q1. Precious metals came under pressure, however, from late April as aggressive rate hikes by the Fed pushed the US dollar and Treasury yields
higher. This raised the cost of holding precious metals for institutional investors and, with silver’s higher beta, the ratio widened to over 85.
Expectations of sharply higher interest rates in the US were also joined by growing recessionary concerns and this fueled more underperformance by silver, as the metal suffered both as a precious and an industrial commodity. These pressures saw the gold/silver ratio touching 95 by September.
A pullback to back below 80 then emerged towards the end of the year amid expectations that the Fed would slow its pace of rate hikes. Silver underperformed early on in 2023 despite tailwinds from China’s re-opening and the benefit provided to industrial metals as expectations that the Fed would adopt a more dovish stance encouraged investors to buy into gold.
Amid all this, institutional and retail investment sentiment diverged at times during 2022. Geopolitical uncertainties, concerns about growth and inflation, all supported retail interest throughout the year. This was especially true when professional activity weighed on silver, as retail investors, particularly
in North America and Europe, took advantage of ensuing low prices to purchase silver coins and bars, pushing combined sales in these two regions to the highest total in Metals Focus’ series. Indian physical investment saw a stunning recovery after two-years of below par demand, as lower prices and
investment holdings starting the year at a low level led to renewed buying.
blacksquare.finance
Mexico – The Catalyst.
Mexico just reported its steepest decline in annual production of silver in 4 years, which is notably worse than during the Covid lockdowns.
Not forget that Mexico is by far the largest producer of the metal in the world today.
The supply of silver remains remarkably constrained, and if this is indeed the beginning of another gold cycle, the metal could be worth multiples of its current price.
Otavio (Tavi) Costa (CRESCAT CAPITAL) confirmed that Gold is about to reach record prices on a monthly basis. If historical correlations matter, it is hard to believe silver won’t follow the same path. That alone would imply a 110% return from its current levels.
Relative to M2 money supply, silver remains one of the cheapest tangible assets in markets today. If the current inflationary issues prove to be structural, we are likely entering a secular bull market for precious metals.
Key Level
If we consider this a failed structure, it is no less that PA is out of the Fork (MarkDown). What we have consider as a BackUp few charts above, could be called a Spring, with a pull back on the MidRange (as luck would have it on 0.618 Fibo18 retracement!) – LPS. And once again, it JAC, plus 3 taps on 0.618.
With the reduce of the volume, could be a Sign of the insistence to break it definitely. Mid Range might be the 1st Target, 50$ the second. 26.9$ (VAH19 might be the Key)
If it happen, the journey still remains long. This is not crypto, this is a commodity. Even if PA has re-integrated the range, it currently trading below the POC20 (23.89$). 26.9$ (VAH) should be broken. This will confirm a definitive exit and here the “Creek” (BU) could be the LPS before take off to 30$.
If it fail with a clear re-integration, it should drop below 20$ to confirm any Bear scenario.
Trader's Guide: Volume Range Profile 📊Welcome, traders! In this guide, we'll explore a tool that can significantly enhance your trading skills - the Volume Range Profile. You'll learn how to use it to identify key support and resistance levels, trend reversals, and execute successful trades. 📊💹
Key Learning Points:
Understanding Volume Range Profile:
The Volume Range Profile is a tool that displays trading volumes at various price ranges.
It helps identify where the market has the highest volume and where key support and resistance levels are formed.
Volume Analysis:
The first step in using Volume Range Profile effectively is to analyze the volume data.
Look for price areas with significant spikes in volume as these often indicate areas of interest to traders.
Identifying Key Levels:
Using Volume Range Profile, you can identify the Point of Control (POC), which is the price level with the highest volume.
Additionally, you can spot the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL), which represent price ranges where the majority of trading activity occurs.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The POC, VAH, and VAL can serve as dynamic support and resistance levels.
When the price approaches these levels, it's essential to watch for potential reversals or breakouts.
Trading Strategies:
Volume Range Profile can be used in various trading strategies, including range trading, breakout trading, and trend confirmation.
For example, a breakout above the VAH may indicate a bullish move, while a breakdown below the VAL could signal a bearish trend.
Risk Management:
Always implement proper risk management strategies in your trades.
Consider placing stop-loss orders below support levels and take-profit orders near resistance levels identified using the Volume Range Profile.
Continuous Learning:
Practice using the Volume Range Profile in different market conditions to enhance your skills.
Stay updated with market news and trends to adapt your trading strategies accordingly.
By incorporating Volume Range Profile analysis into your trading routine, you can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and make more informed trading decisions. Happy trading! 🚀📊
VTHOUSDT In A Tight Spot Ready To Breakout Of RangeWeekly chart of VTHOUSDT / VeChainThor Energy token with the visible range volume profile study attached. Has temporarily broken the trendline on the news of a Coinbase listing.
It's currently sandwiched between the POC and a key level of support and resistance. Waiting for the candle to fully break out and close beyond this range for further upside potential.
XRPBTC Possibly The Most Bullish Chart In Crypto!I applied the fixed range volume profile tool to the history of XRPBTC pair on Bittrex on a weekly timeframe. It shows a very well defined clear level of support and resistance formed by the POC.
This has to be the most bullish chart out there. No doubt once XRPBTC breaks out of this zone, it will significantly outperform BTC.
This is a regular scale / nonlogarithmic chart, which I think gives you a better image of what XRP can do once it breaks out of this range.
FL fall on earnings miss looking for a retracementFL on the 15-minute chart has indicators showing bullish divergence after the
big drop on the earnings miss. The volume profile shows heavy trading volumes at the
15.60 level. I am looking for a long trade to the mid-fib level of $20.00. I will set
a buy stop at $ 15.60 for when price crosses over the PCO line of the volume profile
for a trade anticipated profit of about 4.5 % with a much lower risk.