Volumeanalysis
Major Support Found on BIGTIMEAfter seeing a perfect retest of support at the .24-25 value zone, that marked a top back in October 23, we had an 80% bounce. Keep your risk situated for crazy volatility.
Continuing the run further would see at least a test of the .55-.56 value area, though this may be a week or 3 away after coiling up for another spring board breakout during rotation. I'll add more zones above the .55 major resistance area as we get closer, just in case we hit some major bull moves.
TSLA: Has finally reached its critical support (D & W analysis)!TSLA shares have corrected to the support level we identified in our last public analysis, in the vicinity of the green line at $230, between the 50ma and the 200ma. In fact, it looks like the 200ma is serving as our last support, since the price is bouncing right back after hitting this indicator. The link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual.
Volume has fallen sharply and TSLA's shares are very weak, as it is the only one among the "magnificent 7" that is not showing any signs of recovery this week.
In two weeks the company will release its earnings report, and this will be an important event, but until then, we don't see any technical signs suggesting a bottom. Yes, the price has reached an extremely important support point, but we need to see confirmation of a bottom signal to believe in a decent recovery.
Despite the signs of weakness, the price is not in a downtrend yet, for that we need to see LHs/LLs. Now, let’s look at the weekly chart:
From a technical point of view, the next resistance is around $300, the previous top. Can TSLA get there? In theory yes, but in practice we need to see a clear bottom signal, as mentioned in the analysis of the daily chart.
You have to admit that if TSLA were going to react, now would be the perfect time, we just need confirmation. On the other hand, if the price loses the critical support point on the daily chart, nothing would prevent a sharper correction on the weekly chart, perhaps to its next support around $207, or even to the support line of its Descending Channel. This would frustrate the breakout of the previous resistance of this channel, characterizing a false breakout, a powerful bearish signal.
If you ask my personal opinion, I wish to see TSLA making a bottom around this support area, as the Risk/Reward ratio for a long trade would be attractive, however, we see no confirmation yet, and there is no meaningful bullish reaction suggesting a possible recovery yet.
I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider following me for more analysis like this, and support this idea if you liked it.
All the best,
Nathan.
Confirming Chart Patterns Through Volume AnalysisVolume Analysis: Confirming Chart Patterns and Institutional Interest in Minervini's Strategy
Introduction to Volume Analysis in Minervini's Strategy
In the realm of stock trading, volume analysis stands as a critical component, especially in the methodologies championed by Mark Minervini. Renowned for his remarkable success in the stock market, Minervini's strategy incorporates a nuanced understanding of volume analysis to enhance decision-making and identify prime trading opportunities. This section delves into the integral role of volume analysis in Minervini's approach, emphasizing its function in confirming chart patterns, signaling institutional interest, and understanding market sentiment.
Volume Analysis: Confirming Chart Patterns and Institutional Interest in Minervini's Strategy
Confirming Chart Patterns Through Volume Analysis
Volume, the total number of shares traded in a given time frame, serves as a powerful tool in verifying the strength and reliability of chart patterns. In Minervini's approach, a chart pattern is not just seen through the lens of price movements but is also analyzed in conjunction with volume. For instance, when a stock forms a pattern like a cup-with-handle, Minervini looks for an increase in volume as the stock breaks out of the pattern. This increase in volume is crucial as it confirms the pattern's validity and suggests a strong buying interest, increasing the likelihood of a successful trade.
Volume Spikes as Indicators of Institutional Interest
Minervini pays close attention to volume spikes - sudden increases in trading volume. These spikes are often indicative of institutional buying, which can significantly impact a stock’s price movement due to the large quantities of stock bought or sold by institutions. When a volume spike coincides with a breakout from a recognized chart pattern, it is often interpreted as a strong signal. This is because institutional involvement can provide the necessary momentum for a stock to sustain its breakout and continue its upward trajectory, making it an attractive trade opportunity.
The Significance of 'Quiet' Volume Periods
Equally important in Minervini's analysis is the recognition of 'quiet' volume periods. These are phases where volume is below average, often observed during the formation of the 'handle' in a cup-with-handle pattern or other consolidation patterns. Quiet volume periods suggest that selling pressure is diminishing and that the stock is not facing significant resistance. For Minervini, these periods are a key indicator, as they often precede strong breakouts. The rationale is that when a stock eventually breaks out on high volume after a period of low volume consolidation, it indicates a renewed interest and a potential change in trend, making it a prime candidate for trading.
In conclusion, volume analysis plays a pivotal role in Minervini’s trading strategy. By integrating volume analysis with chart patterns and understanding the implications of volume changes, Minervini crafts a more complete and robust trading strategy. This approach not only enhances the probability of identifying successful trades but also aligns with his overarching emphasis on precision, discipline, and risk management in the pursuit of stock market success.
INJ/USDT Speculative TradingWe are considering a speculative trading idea on the INJ/USDT coin pair.
Since the beginning of December 2023, there has been a noticeable increase in the asset, starting from the $16 level and reaching a maximum of $45. This growth amounted to more than 179%, indicating high interest in the asset from buyers.
However, after reaching the $45 mark, the asset underwent a correction, decreasing to the $29 level. During the correction, there was a false crossing of the 200-day moving average, followed by a sharp increase. The second touch of the $45 level occurred on January 9, forming a resistance level, indicating the significance of this level in the current context.
Considering the current trend, we can predict that the asset will consolidate near the resistance level at $45, with a subsequent breakthrough and establishment of the price above this level. In this case, there is a possibility of opening a long position on the asset upon retesting the $45 level and then holding the asset until the price reaches around $54, which could provide additional profit opportunities of around 20%.
A Potential Correction on Bitcoin Incoming?Introduction
In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, the ability to interpret market indicators is invaluable. The latest data from Bitcoin trading charts presents an interesting narrative: Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, might be showing signs of an impending shift in its market trajectory. The chart shown, which tracks Bitcoin against the US dollar, is overlayed with the Volume Exhaustion indicator that highlights peaks in trading volume. These peaks are more than just blips on the radar; they could signal critical junctures in Bitcoin's market cycle, possibly indicating the end of its current rally. In this article, we delve into the analysis of these indicators and explore the implications for Bitcoin's short-term future. Could we be on the cusp of a correction, or is the market simply catching its breath before climbing to new heights? Let’s explore what the chart suggests about the potential paths ahead for Bitcoin.
Potential End of the Bitcoin Rally
From the chart, we see volume peaks highlighted, which often coincide with significant price movements. High trading volumes can signal the climax of a price trend, especially when they occur at the peak of a rally. The reason is that high volumes reflect high levels of activity, which, at the end of a rally, might mean that most buyers who were willing to buy have already entered the market, leaving less demand to push the price higher.
Correction or Consolidation
After such peaks in volume and price, markets typically enter a correction or consolidation phase. A correction is characterized by a drop in price, where the market 'corrects' some of the gains made during the rally. This might happen due to various reasons, such as traders taking profits or a change in market sentiment. On the other hand, consolidation is a period where the price stabilizes and moves sideways. This could suggest that the market is in a state of indecision, with the forces of supply and demand nearly balanced.
Looking Ahead
Investors and traders might interpret the current situation as a signal to exercise caution. It could be a time to consider taking profits or hedging positions to manage risk. However, it's also essential to consider other market factors and news that might impact the price of Bitcoin.
Conclusion
The indicators on the chart suggest that we might be near the end of the current Bitcoin rally. While this could lead to a price correction or a consolidation phase , it's important for investors to conduct a thorough analysis, considering both technical indicators and market fundamentals before making investment decisions. As always, past performance is not indicative of future results, and it's crucial to approach trading with a solid strategy and risk management practices.
NASDAQ - Where Will The Pullback Terminate At?A look at the NASDAQ & a prediction of where it's current pullback is likely to terminate at using price action analysis, structure, Fibonacci tools & volume.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share your analysis/ideas on the chart please leave them below.
Akil
Descending Wedge - 30mDescending wedge paired up with descending volume. Looks like we could break out tomorrow or Friday with a resistance of .74 and if broken a bullish continuation.
EURUSD Buy opportunity.As you can see, on the 1 hour chart, the trend has been very bullish lately. However, there has been a recent pullback. We are looking for a buy opportunity on the open next Monday, as a trend continuation trade.
My reasons to believe price will keep pushing upwards are the main confluences that hint toward this move.
- Fibonacci retracement 50.00%.
- Many buyers previously interested in this region.
- Support zone/bullish OB. (on the HTF)
- Lower bearish volume.
MATIC - Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic#MATIC
This looked like a simple flag initially, which is a great bullish continuation pattern, but since has evolved into a #Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic. The latter is actually a healthier option, and one which usually warrants less pullbacks vs the simple flag, that very often comes with sharp retraces.
The Volume is perfect, the OBV is perfect, the pattern is perfect, the timing during Trad Fi market close and end of year standard low volume is perfect...
Have you placed your bets?
MATIC - A Simple Flag#MATIC
This Simple Flag following the breakout with volume is exactly what we want to see.
If one large and full body candle had large volume and a #doji that had more couldn't retrace any distance to speak of, do you think up or down has more pressure pushing it ATM...?
CRV/USDT Accumulation PhaseBelow is the description of the accumulation phase potential development of the CRV/USDT cryptocurrency pair.
After reaching a local minimum in November 2022, when CRV was trading around $0.3982, there was a convincing upward movement that led to a significant increase to $1.29. During this period, the asset demonstrated a growth of more than 225%. Subsequently, the asset gradually declined, reaching a new local minimum at $0.3882.
During the price decrease, a descending trading channel was formed. At the moment, the asset is testing the upper boundary of this channel, which is occurring at the level of $0.6382.
Considering the current trends, we can assume that the asset is preparing to overcome the upper boundary of the trading channel. This could happen after a small corrective pullback to the average price within the descending channel.
Following a successful breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and a subsequent retest with a possible bounce from it, a positive signal for further growth of the asset can be expected. This scenario could indicate movement towards a price maximum at the level of $1.29.
EWT - Wyckoff Accumulation + Volume #EWT
This beautiful falling wedge or #bullflag has all the mechanics of a #Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic built into it, which can be seen by #volume tells in all the right places.
After The low was breached note the negligible #volume, then observe the volume on the first solid bullish candle to break through the #wedge. What we want to see after is the follow-through retrace candles reaction, and not just the #volume, but the fact it snatched the stops on the candle a month before it.
Pair that all with my favorite leading indicator, #OBV, which has already breached the last swing.
I like this PA...