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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

Volatility S&P 500 Index, Daily, The Upcoming Market Crash?I think that in mid-November we may be dealing with a stock market crash. Let's take a look at the volatility index of the S&P 500 stock index. The analogy of 2008 has been fulfilling almost perfectly so far. If it continues, the price should completely fill the gap and rebound from the green zone. If we break the red zone, I would expect a rebound from the newly created flip zone (gray box on the chart) and a dynamic increase in volatility. Volatility means big drops or big gains. In the current macroeconomic situation, it is difficult to think about dynamic increases, especially this winter. The potential trade on VIX to rebound from the green zone and break through the peaks from March 2020 has as much as a 20:1 risk-reward ratio (SL under the zone). I am sure there will be even more great opportunities for this scenario on shorting, i.e., SP500, Nasdaq 100 or DAX.
TVC:VIXLong
by MichaelFX_ICT
6
S&P 500, Daily, 2008 Analogy - before the worst?I have been considering the 2008 analogy for some time. I tried to find an important price resistance and I found it. In 2008, the worst drops started at 1313 and it was a fibo retracement of about 47,5%. Today, a similarly important level, in my opinion, is the retracement of 3939, which is also about 47,5% fibo. Of course, I don't expect a perfect rebound of the price from that point, as it was with 1313 in 2008. It is also important to look at the VIX index (related idea linked) and the lower time frame structure (by the analogy, there should be no big drops, but confirmation in the medium and short-term structure - 1H/15m). If the swing low is broken, I will be looking at the momentum in order to predict the bottom. Personally, I think the March 2020 low will be broken. In 2008, we also had a break of the bear market low after the dotcom bubble. Of such fundamental matters that indicate the further course of the bear market, I can include, for example: - inverted yield curves , - a huge divergence between T10Y2Y and T10Y3M before the curve is inverted, - a divergence between Real and Nominal Disposable Personal Income (Nominal is rising, Real is in decline), - a divergence between Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade (is rising) and Advance Real Retail and Food Services Sales (in decline) since March 2021, - the recessionary PMI. And that is all I wanted to convey to you. Not investment advice, only my own opinion.
SP:SPXShort
by MichaelFX_ICT
4
VIX D1: Setting up for 150% BURST TP 38/ 40 (SWING)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview? -TOP author on TradingView -2000+ ideas published -15+ years experience in markets -Professional chart break downs -Supply/Demand Zones -TD9 counts / combo review -Key S/R levels -No junk on my charts -Frequent updates -Covering FX/crypto/US stocks -before/after analysis -24/7 uptime so constant updates 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! VIX D1: Setting up for 150% BURST TP 38/ 40 (SWING) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. Tagged as LONG because I expect PUMP soon. 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: VIX D1 chart market overview/outlook ::: revised/updated outlook ::: buy VIX March 2023 calls ::: near 14/15 expecting reversal ::: setup still valid as of today ::: repeating pattern from the past ::: compression into XABCD BULLS pattern ::: before 150% massive PUMP ::: already repeated twice ::: 2017 and 2019 ::: also liquidity near GAP FILL ZONE ::: GAP getting filled then we PUMP ::: XABCD BULLS / point D / PRZ near 14/15 ::: Until FED slow drift lower ::: near 14/125final LOW / get ready to BUY LOW ::: we are setting up for 150% PUMP ::: it's a slow process BUT expect FAST reversal ::: then get ready to SHIFT to BULL MODE ::: SWING trade setup do not expect ::: BUY/HOLD setup for patient traders ::: fast/miracle overnights gains here ::: good luck traders 🔸 Supply/Demand Zones ::: N/A ::: N/A 🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies ::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A ::: Sentiment short-term: BEARS/correction mode ::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BULLS/150% GAINS ::: Technical structure: XABCD BULLS RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:VIXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
7
Likely Bearish Confluence - S&P500, VIX, DXY & EURUSD Powells recent remarks gave the S&P the boost it needed to test the weekly bearish trend line and now price action is also at a strong horizontal area of resistance. Other indices such as the FTSE have retraced most of the drawdown from when markets started falling at the start of the year. The S&P also is currently testing its Weekly 50ema. The VIX, which is the volatility index of the S&P is also heavily oversold and is sitting right back in a large area of support, as would be expected from the S&P moving higher in recent weeks. DXY, which has seen a pretty strong pullback after the recent bear market equity rally is now back at Weekly support, which coincides with getting very close to its Weekly 50ema. The confluence seen is also reflected in EURUSD, which is retesting its Weekly 50ema and a weekly horizontal resistance level. At current the confluence in the markets is pretty clean. Powell seemed to suggest that next months rate increase would be 50 basis points and the markets seemed to really bounce from that news. However, Powell was hardly dovish. If anything it seems to me that the recent rally after Powells comments enabled the markets to move up to a good area for bearish positioning. Short S&P, Long VIX, Short EURUSD and Long DXY.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Tall_Short
Make or break. Elliot wave count for the capitulation eventUpdate on my previous idea. The C wave up ended up extending into 4 waves. But that has now completed. It's make or break for the bear market right now. Personally, I don't see us breaking out of the downtrend. But a fake-out is always possible. Note that this technical analysis is a small part of the bearish case. The wider macro-economic environment bear case speaks for itself. I'm long volatility via VIX Call options and CFDs. What do you guys think? *not financial advice.
SP:SPXShort
by Doge_Dean
3
Not In The Clear Just Yet... 🚨👀Taking a look at possibly the 3 most important charts for any trader; VIX, SPX, and USD 🔮 With a massive rebound in equities, crypto, risk assets, we're seeing much chatter that "the bottom is in". Although we've made some nice trades in this week's pump, we don't think we're in the clear just yet.🥶 You don't have to look too far either. Looking at the VIX 1W chart. We can see we are approaching a sure-fire support level with a rebound all but guaranteed if you're just looking at the chart. Line this up with the SPX 1W chart, and you'll see we're approaching significant resistance at the same time. Combine these two with a bullish trending US dollar, and you have the perfect recipe for another leg down.📉 Now we can certainly push up further. We would almost expect it. However, to say the "bottom is in" would be naive. As always, we'll continue to look for intraday setups, but mid to long term we remain bearish. Stay safe and happy trading! -TucciNomics Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
TVC:VIXShort
by QuantVue
es 11-28 update ~good evening, quick update to one of the two bear cases i posted over the weekend. (post pinned at the bottom of this thread). --- es1! has been tapping at the local golden zone quite a few times recently, each poke results in a weaker dip which continues to get absorbed (accumulation). there's no notable bearish divergence present for now, in fact, we printed a hidden bullish divergence near the end of today - which validates in my mind that we're going to go higher. --- >watching 3910 as a local bottom into wednesday, >which is a heavy area of demand + a window of algorithmic confluence. >upside target from there sits at the original 4130 level, >with a slight chance to expand to 4190 if things get heated into the end of this year (short squeeze). --- ps. it's also possible that we've topped, but i personally have reason to believe that we haven't (for now). --- posts which led to this one 👇
CME_MINI:ES1!
by notoriousbids
A Mixed Bag, 30th November 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity prices were all over the place on Tuesday trade. Nasdaq, S&P500 down yet European Indices and Russell 2000 were up. ➤ This is the sort of action you should expect during a consolidation phase. I'm not sure if this will end with prices moving higher or a break of trend and moving lower. We should know shortly, this consolidation phase will not last very long. ➤ My signals are leaning towards the Bearish scenario. However, these are lower conviction trades that can be switched quickly. I think the test of the support level at 390/3900 SPY/SPX will provide some insights (if prices get there). ➤ I remain with -51% short exposure. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: I'll be on holidays starting today but its business as usual for my Trading. I will return 8th Dec. I'll take a break from my writings but keep you updated as necessary.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mrstockyetoro