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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

Until the VIX breaks this level, it remains range-boundA quick look at our VIX chart shows us that we are range-bound since June. Exactly, as I expected and have stated numerous times in past posts. But now, with the U.S. credit rating downgrade, fear has spiked. Will we break this range and move up? We could, yes. But to do so, we need the VIX to move above that 15.94 level with confirmation. As of today, the VIX can still be technically classified as range-bound at all time 2-year lows. Of course, when the VIX remains low, the market will remain relatively positive. This is bullish. Stay tuned for further updates here. Stew
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT closesHow #indices closed last week. TVC:DJI After a BEARISH ENGULFING it then closed Friday with a doji = battle for the bulls and bears which is unresolved NASDAQ:NDX Fighting back but it is still showing Negative RSI Divergence. SP:SPX Suffering from Negative Divergence. We''ll how #SPX trades over the next few days, weeks. AMEX:RSP (Equal weight) was weaker. This means that the usual big boys pulled more weight. TVC:RUT needs big move soon, lower highs. Lots of earnings this week! Have a great trading week!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Indices roundup from post a lil over week agoiBarely more than a week we stated that RISK in #equities was INCREASING. We also gave our thoughts on some #indices . Let's see what has happened since that post: NASDAQ:NDX has cooled off - check TVC:DJI pumped since then - check Likely topping out short term here though. TVC:VIX has been trading sideways - check Does seem like it's beginning to gain momentum. TVC:RUT & AMEX:RSP (Equal weight #SPX) are both higher - check Shows that the big boys aren't the only ones running. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
VIX Massive Long! BUY! My dear subscribers , VIX looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The instrument tests an important psychological level 13.48 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 14.01 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAPITALCOM:VIXLong
by AnabelSignals
3
VIX Will Go Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for VIX. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 13.76. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 14.42 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:VIXLong
by SignalProvider
9
Sniper Trading System EXPLAINEDIf you do not have a system that's calibrated to the code that's generated on the 1 sec time frame you will always find yourself guessing and never really KNOWING. My System is calibrated down to the 1 second time frame where the money aka code is generated. What I discovered is: if you can find the KEY to the Daily bias you have a considerable EDGE in the market. I found that key and it is found in the 12AM Candle. This candle lets a Sniper Know where the raid will go before the main move aka Trend of the day. In this trade on NAS 100 ( my system works on everything) the 12 AM told me that the raid would be Bullish after 1AM. So we anticipate the short during one of our Clearing House Times - when the algorithm seeks Liquidity aka Raids your Stops. Today we got the drop at 8:30am EST. 1st TP SMACKED. 2nd TP KISSED as of now and headed to target. The VIX is due for a rebound so NAS100 may continue to fall this week.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Master-Jedi-Trader
Guide to VVIX/VIX Ratio Regimes and Corresponding Investment StrMarket volatility and its expected future changes, as indicated by the VVIX/VIX ratio, can greatly impact investment decision-making. The following guide provides insights into different regimes of this ratio, their implications on market conditions, potential sector rotations, and additional investment strategies that investors might consider. High Ratio (High VVIX, Low VIX): In this regime, apparent calmness belies underlying uncertainty about future volatility. This suggests a potential underestimation of future risks. Sector Rotation: A strategic shift towards defensive sectors—Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Healthcare—can help. These sectors are often resilient during uncertain times due to consistent demand for their services and products. Options Strategies: Look at strategies like long straddles or long strangles. These profit when the underlying security experiences a significant price move, regardless of the direction. Risk Parity: Adjust your portfolio by distributing risk evenly across different asset classes rather than allocating based on expected returns. Bond Laddering: This involves buying bonds that mature at different times. It provides regular income and reduces the risk of being locked into a low-interest-rate environment. Low Ratio (Low VVIX, High VIX): In this regime, high current market volatility is expected to continue, signaling turbulent times ahead. Sector Rotation: Defensive sectors, including Utilities and Consumer Staples, provide stability during turbulent times. For those with high risk tolerance and a long-term perspective, cyclical sectors like Technology, Consumer Discretionary, or Industrials could present buying opportunities. Volatility Trading: Consider securities that are designed to track volatility, such as VIX futures, options, or volatility-focused ETFs and ETNs. Dollar-Cost Averaging: This strategy involves investing a fixed dollar amount in a particular investment on a regular schedule, regardless of the asset's price. Over time, this can result in a lower average cost per share. Distressed Assets: Market turbulence often results in some assets being undervalued or "distressed." Savvy investors may find bargains in this space. Stable or Mid-Range Ratio: A moderate level of expected market volatility signals a stable market environment. Sector Rotation: Investors might consider cyclical sectors—Technology, Industrials, and Consumer Discretionary—that are likely to benefit from economic growth. Buy and Hold: This strategy involves buying stocks or other assets and holding them for a long period. It is based on the belief that in the long term, financial markets provide a good rate of return despite periods of volatility. Growth Investing: This strategy involves investing in companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies. Momentum Trading: This involves buying securities trending up and selling those trending down. Stability can enhance the predictability of these trends. Understanding the nuances of the VVIX/VIX ratio and its implications on market conditions can help investors align their strategies with market volatility regimes. Whether rotating sectors or applying different investment strategies, it's important to remember that all strategies carry risk and must align with individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and market outlooks. As always, it's important to consider a variety of market indicators and economic factors before making investment decisions. This guide serves as a stepping stone towards informed investment decision-making during different market volatility regimes.
VEducation
by kesor6
3
CPI, DXY, VIX Down. Stocks Up! Blowoff Top Underway!Traders, The big news this week was that inflation is now just under 3 percent! This is hugely bullish as any further certainty as to what actions the FED will take in the future only aids in investing confidence. Along with this news, we will cover the dollar decline, VIX 2-year low levels, and stocks beginning to break out even further, confirming my long-held blowoff top theory. 00:00 - CPI, FED rates, Unemployment Rate, DXY, VIX 10:00 - Bitcoin and Crypto
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
2
VIX - The 72-Handle PreludeI will reiterate again, as I have in my past posts, notably: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal That if you are bullish on US equities into the future and want to see a healthy economy into '24 and '25, you DO NOT want to see a new all time high to be set yet. Instead, you want a correction. A major correction is just that: a correction. A correction gives a number of elements an opportunity to rebalance and reload so that a new phase of markup, and thus profits for longs, can unfold. The VIX controls a lot of things, namely the price of options. Really, what this means for most people is it controls the price of "protection," i.e. puts. And since the VIX is now trading at a low not seen since June of '21 and in an area of accumulation that spanned 3 years between '18 and '20, if you think a new all time high on equities is coming, you're actually saying that VIX is going to trade to 5. And you may very well be right. It's a very difficult situation. However, net liquidity is coming out of the system, and the indexes and equities rallied from mid-June to mid-August of last year. The algorithm rarely runs the same pattern at the same time twice. Moreover, there's a lot of problems brewing in this world with the War in Ukraine connected to Vladimir Putin and the situation in mainland China with Xi Jinping still at the helm of the notorious and unforgivable Chinese Communist Party. There are handles a major arranged correction in the markets are not going to print on VIX. 1. VIX will not print GFC highs 2. VIX will not print the millennial-titled "Coronavirus Disease 2019" highs 3. VIX will not print 50-handles Instead, VIX, in my opinion, will print a 72-handle. One of the truths in the market place is the easiest and most consistent money is not only that the market goes up, but selling volatility after the dust on periodical propaganda has settled is free money. A free money train always continues and you're never a part of it because you're trying to long MULN and Bed Bloodbath and Beyond for a MOASS. So, let's take a look at the ETFs. There are some notable pieces of evidence in the price action that show something ought to change, and quickly. The first is in the SVXY inverse VIX ETF, which has taken out the pre-COVID high, and by a lot. LT short seller funds: they dead. But a more notable case is that of the UVIX 2x leveraged bull ETF It was 5:1 reverse split to start the year, had one bounce during the bank collapse hysteria, and then lost 80% of its value. UVIX trades under $1 pre-split. You're looking for a MOASS on shitcoins, but here's a real opportunity. Notable is also that HUV, the Toronto Stock Exchange VIX (non-levered bull) ETF, is in a similar boat. It 6:1 reverse split in February, had one bounce, and lost half its value, trading to barely over $3 pre-split. You can care about Canada because there are arbitrage opportunities with the USDCAD currency pair and because our holidays and your holidays are not the same, like "Juneteenth," and so there is opportunity in manipulation. What I can say is that there's an argument, if nothing else, to long volatility in extreme situations as a way of defending your long positions. People are willing to allocate 40 percent of their portfolio to bonds that just don't go up when the market pumps and don't go up when the market goes down. So why not hedge with volatility? That being said, if Nasdaq goes to 9,000 points, are you really willing to hold your $400 NVDIA? Humans never believe in what they don't see. They only believe after they've been shown, and then it's too late. What I truly hope for everyone who has a kind heart is not only that you can preserve your money through the chaos and manipulation, but walk out of the machinations stronger, better, healthier, and with a bright future. For this, and only this, is what you have waited for.
TVC:VIXLong
by LordWrymouth
4
Bye Bye U.S. Dollar. I would cry, but we have BTC now!Traders, Drop it like it's hot! The U.S. dollar ain't waistin' no more time up here. Pending confirmation on the daily, the Head and Shoulders pattern will be in play. As long as the VIX stays low, stocks should follow the blow-off top price action that I have been preaching about for over a year now. If you'd like to know when the dollar reaches it's target down and stocks reach their peak stay tuned here over the next several months and we'll attempt to chart this all out together! Best, Stew
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
Dollar EXACTLY on Target as Predicted!Traders, It is always amazing to see properly researched TA play out as it indicates it will. In this case, the target seems to be following precisely the previously drawn arrows. Now, we will be testing that neckline on our H&S pattern again. My expectation is that we may incur another slight bounce there before finally breaking our long-held strong support, that neckline. Continued pause by the FED could help the dollar incur this crash. Inflation will be on and the stocks will continue the blow-off top I have been predicting for over a year! Take advantage of this dollar weakness for the intermediate time because once the dollar disintegrates to a certain point of future unknown weakness, the market will absorb the gravity of our economic predicament and could turn down, dropping fast and hard. We have some time before the latter occurs in my view (if it occurs) but only so much. Remain alert or follow me and I will attempt to keep you all up to date on the broader economic outlooks from the charts. Remember, this all helps us to make better trades in both the stock market and in crypto! Best, Stew SPY Chart
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
Crude Oil - Bearish On Oil? Saudis Made The US Cover Its Short.I've had a number of successful calls on crude oil, which you can find in my post history. In those calls, I had always been bearish on oil, anticipating a run to a 4-handle. However, I reassessed my prior assumptions when the MMs took out the Low Of The Year in quick order to start May. I haven't been particularly sure in the time that has passed, but between price action and some recent news, I now believe oil is set to reverse. The situation in mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party is very tense. The pandemic has taken a huge toll on the country, which the Party is not reporting to the world, and you can tell this if you look at their obviously bogus COVID death and infection stats published on major data aggregators. This matters because since Putin invaded Ukraine last year, there's become something of an alliance between the Saudis, Russia, China, and India, with many oil transactions no longer settling in the U.S. Petrodollar. So you have to be really careful trading right now with the geopolitical situation at hand. Everyone has flipped bullish on equities and is expecting a new parabolic run, but the situation is just as prime for a sharp and dramatic turnaround, which I reference in my recent call on the SPY ETF: SPY - It's Life or Death For Bears When it comes to China, Xi has the looming threat of having inherited Jiang Zemin and the CCP's persecution of Falun Gong, which targeted 100 million people and has even harvested their organs. Xi and the CCP also face the growing trend of the movement to return to China's traditional 5,000 year culture, which is the crown jewel, the magnum opus, of the whole world and all of human history. So the most important country in the world is very unstable, and you aren't hearing anything about what is going on. But the controllers know something is wrong and are scurrying about frantically, thinking about how they can take your stuff on the way down. So, my bearishness on oil has been based on the fact that the Biden Administration has drained the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, significant because although OPEC+ is a huge producer of oil, the US and its vassals, such as Canada, by far produce the most oil in the world. Washington selling the SPR is a short on the market by definition and they unloaded hard in the 90s and 80s, saying they wanted to buy back in the 60s. Yet the two times we've had oil in the 60s, they haven't rebought. I believe they intended to drive the market lower for longer and rebuy then. A few recent pieces of news came out. One is OPEC had a scheduled meeting in Vienna in early June, which they held in person, despite the next major meeting being in July. During that meeting, Reuters, WSJ, and Bloomberg found themselves disinvited, while every other media did not. Moreover, on Friday The Washington Post stated that Saudi King MBS warned the Biden Administration it would inflict economic pain when the US complained about production cuts. The Saudis have teeth because they own Aramco, which is also stationed in the United States, and the Saudis buy arms from the military industrial complex. NATO and the US needs to have the Saudis not wanting to get rid of them if they are to have any chance of deposing Putin and taking Russia for the New World Order. It's been well known that OPEC+, of which the Saudis are the biggest producer by far, want higher prices and need $80-100 to continue to run a national surplus. The second biggest news is a June 9 announcement from the Department of Energy stating the US will replenish 6 million barrels of oil from the SPR. This means Washington is covering its shorts. Now, you'll complain, fairly so, that the Democratic Socialists of America have sold some 280 million barrels of oil from the SPR since Biden was inaugurated in 2021, and you're right. 6 million barrels is certainly a drop compared to what they've sold. However, a look at the EIA website puts the 6 million barrel figure into perspective: since November of '22, only 20 million barrels have been drained. I will repeat myself again: the market maker is covering its shorts and that means it's very immediately dangerous to be short on oil and oil companies. So, this is hard to go long on because the delta between $70 and the $63 low is 10%, and on futures at $1,000 PnL per $1 move per lot, that's a lot of "Ouching" as Abdulaziz has said for early comers. However, generally speaking a bottom is a bottom and that means there won't be a new low. Either way, it's up to you to figure out where to go long and when to go long and if you want to go long. The most immediate target, even in an ultimately bearish continuation scenario, is $85, and more specifically, $95. And you may very well see a 9 handle as early as August or September. The problem with short on oil is on the monthly: COVID hysteria was an ultimate bottom. If -$40 wasn't an ultimate bottom then you call your mom and ask her what an ultimate bottom could be and let us know in the comments. If you've got an ultimate bottom and no real highs were taken, the the market is aiming higher, and not lower. A breakdown of price here means that oil as an industry is not going to recover, but yet green energy is a fallacy and alternative energy sources are nowhere to be found, while worldwide crude supply is actually not particularly abundant anymore. So what fundamental story is supposed to be used to drive oil lower? A bunch of talking heads on Twitter complaining that oil is going lower? That doesn't move markets. Producers have to deposit actual oil to go bigly short because contracts settle in physical goods. Moreover, the price action in March before the big move down in May was really, really peculiar. You see it more clearly on the weekly: Like, $2 away from a breakaway gap is where it chose to dump and actually set a new low of the year? Really, to me, this says that since we haven't dumped anymore and now we're getting fundamentally extremely, extremely bullish news, that the target can only be $95. People, for whatever reason, tend to like to buy above highs and so they'll get bullish at $85 and $95. But why not get bullish at $70? Warren Buffet keeps buying OXY. Is he doing this because oil is on the verge of another 5 year bear market? If oil is going to pump, what does this mean for equities? What does it mean for the VIX? With what's going on in the world, what does it mean for the future? How long will the happy continue? It's really worth giving some sober thought to, and it's really worth cutting the furus and the propaganda outlets out of your information cycle.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by LordWrymouth
10