Trading Plan: WTI Crude OilBased on my proprietary indicators, I maintain a bearish view on WTI Crude Oil. I am anticipating a downside target of ₹5800 (target open until 15th January 2025).
Current Position:
Holding short positions in MCX Crude Oil January 2025 expiry futures from ₹6025 levels.
Intend to add more shorts if prices move to higher levels.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss and risk parameters are carefully planned but not disclosed here for strategic reasons.
Position sizing is aligned with my overall risk appetite and trading capital.
Disclaimer:
This trading plan represents my personal views and trading decisions and is shared for informational purposes only.
Trading in crude oil futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Readers should not consider this as financial advice and must conduct their own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Past performance of proprietary indicators is not indicative of future results.
Usoilshort
Crude Oil Outlook: Key Levels Shape the Path AheadHello Traders,
Trust you are doing great.
Please take some moment to go through my analysis of USOIL and share your thoughts.
Overview
USOIL is currently trading at 70.08, with mixed trends across timeframes. On the H4 chart, the pair remains bullish, recovering from a recent correction. Meanwhile, the H1 chart shows a bearish trend in a corrective phase, with resistance emerging in the 70.19–70.90 region.
Idea
An impulsive rally from 67.045 on December 5th corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 68.78 on December 13th, where support was established. This led to a bounce toward 70.19-70.21, which now acts as resistance.
If this resistance holds, a downward move is expected, targeting 67.70 and 67.08, areas where a bullish bounce may likely occur. The short-term bias remains bearish unless price breaches the Friday high of 71.38, which would shift focus to the 71.66–72.21 zone as a potential turning point.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish outlook is dominant, with 71.38 as the key invalidation level and a stop-loss reference. A break below 69.65 would add confidence to the bearish scenario, while any move above 71.38 could signal further upside, targeting the 71.66–72.21 zone for a potential reversal.
Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
Usoil trade WTI moves below 69.00, further downside seems possible due to stronger US Dollar
West Texas Intermediate Oil price extends its losing streak for the fifth successive session, trading around $68.90 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude Oil prices, denominated in dollars, are on track for a weekly decline due to a stronger US DollarCrude Oil, commonly known as petroleum, is a naturally occurring fossil fuel liquid composed of hydrocarbon underground deposits and organic materials. The prices of this popular commodity are measured in USD. Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, Iran and China are the countries producing more oil. On the other hand, United States, China, Japan, Russia, and Germany are the countries consuming more oilCrude oil is classified into various grades according to density (heavy vs light) and sulphur content (sour vs sweet). The lighter and sweeter the crude, the higher the price it can be sold, because refiners can produce higher yield of high quality refined products from it.
Density is measured by API gravity, a measure developed to compare the density of petroleum with water (API > 10 means the liquid floats on water) but is now widely used to compare among crude oils. API degree is inversely related to the density of crude oil. In general, crudes of API between 40-45 degrees can be sold at greatest commercial values
The latest crude oil operation suggestionsOverall, the EIA inventory data released last night was -507.3 before and -142.5 after, while the oil price barely rose by 10 points. The idea in the early trading is to determine the strength based on the high point of 70.5 last night. It is recommended to short on the rebound. Crude oil strategy: short on the high point when the rebound reaches 70, with the target at 69.3-68.6.
US OIL Trade Log
WTI Crude Oil 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Bearish wedge forming with price stalling in the 1H FVG (premium zone).
- Confluence:
- Bearish Divergences: CVD and RSI confirm weakening momentum.
- Macroeconomics: Fundamentals lean bearish; CPI results pose a potential risk.
- Risk-Reward: Tight stop above the FVG. Targeting a 1:2.55 RRR down to liquidity grab zones below $68.
Quick Take:
This setup aligns technical weakness with fundamental caution. Stay nimble with CPI in play—adapt if the macro picture shifts. Target lower liquidity pockets if rejection confirms!
US OIL Trade Log USOIL Short Position Analysis
Technical Indicators :
- 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG): Current price is within the 1-hour FVG, indicating a potential short entry point.
- MACD Divergence: A bearish divergence between the MACD indicator and price action suggests weakening upward momentum.
- Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence: Bearish CVD divergence indicates increasing selling pressure despite rising prices.
- Ichimoku Kijun Levels: Price is above the 1H, 4H, and daily Kijun lines, placing it in a relative premium zone, which may precede a downward correction.
Fundamental Factors :
- Fear Premium: Recent price increases are attributed to geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts in the Middle East, leading to a 'fear premium' in oil prices.
- Bearish Macro Outlook: Rising U.S. oil inventories and weak global demand projections, especially from China, suggest a bearish outlook for oil prices.
Trade Parameters :
- Position: Short USOIL
- Entry: Within the 1H FVG at current market price.
- Risk Management:
- Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
USOIL/WTI Crude Oil Energies Market Heist Plan on Bearish SideOla! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist USOIL / WTI Crude Oil Energies Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Near the Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry 👇 📉: Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 1H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Oil: Time to Short? WTI Set to Plunge Over 10%Hey Realistic Traders, Is Oil About to Crash? Let’s Dive In....
What's the cause of sudden drop in oil prices?
U.S. President Donald Trump has pledged strong support for the oil and gas industry, aiming to streamline permits, boost domestic production, and expand drilling on federal lands. He has also criticized renewable energy subsidies and pushed for increased natural gas exports.
Aligned with Trump’s stance, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its 2023 oil production forecast to 13.23 million barrels per day, surpassing last year’s record of 12.93 million. Global output is also expected to increase, while weaker oil demand from China, driven by slowing economic growth, adds further downward pressure.
These policies and projections support the assumption of lower oil prices ahead
How much further could they decline?, Let's analyze it using technical analysis!
On the daily timeframe, TVC:USOIL is in a bearish continuation phase, potentially entering wave 3 of the trend. It has also broken out of a head-and-shoulders pattern that developed over the past 60+ days, signaling the end of a consolidation phase.
This breakout, paired with a bearish marubozu candlestick, strengthens the case for a continued downtrend. Adding to this, the MACD indicator has confirmed a bearish crossover, providing further confirmation of downward momentum.
With these signals aligned, we project a potential drop toward the first target of $60.51, and possibly even further to the secondary target of $57.80
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at $73.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Oil.
Heading into overlap resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 69.81
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 70.76
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oil Upatedoil has formed a valid descending tredline on a support and broke it with a candle that closed above the last touch of the trendline
so we're waiting for a retest and rejection of the trendline and prefer on the support also to enter a buy (long) position
happy tradin guys
follow us for more updates
Usoil and WTI is buy This chart informs about the average forecast prices, and also how close (or far apart) sit the numbers from all participants surveyed that week. The bigger a bubble on the chart means more participants targeting a certain price level in that particular time horizon. This distribution also tells if there is unanimity (or disparity) among participants.Each participant's bias is calculated automatically based on the week's close price and recent volatility. Drawing from those results, this chart calculates the distribution of bullish, bearish, and sideways forecast prices from all participants, informing about sentiment extremes, as well levels of indecision reflected in the number of “sideways”.This measure is basically an arithmetical average of the three central tendency measures (mean, median, and mode). It smooths the typical outcome eliminating any possible noise caused by outliers.
USOIL:Today's short trading strategy
Crude oil began to contract delivery, the action of these two days should be relatively large, today's thinking or bearish, weekly line again closed negative, and the center of gravity began to move down, crude oil also fell below the bottom of the hour level, today's rebound continues to empty, do not chase, this position is the bottom of crude oil week, has been volatile for a few weeks;
Today the bearish pressure around 68.00 has been broken and is currently around 67.00, the lower target is seen around 66.00. Please do not continue to short after arrival, wait for the market to confirm before trading. Follow me for updates
USOIL 71.07 +2.57% SHORT IDEA MULTI-TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USOIL from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
USOIL DAILY TF
* Last week saw a bearish close with the weekly FVG holding & beautifully rejecting, looking for a retest of this PD ARRAY before continuation down.
* The sentiment is still strongly bearish for OIL from HIGHER TF perspective.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in a range on a bearish trend towards that ERL.
* The picture is clearer with strong bearish moves from the daily, looking for some retracement.
* some volume imbalance left behind on lower TF might confirm this move.
* possibly to be filled before we take that ERL.
USOIL 4H
As we head lower we see some bearish potential for some retracement.
* With the week to opening Bearish (PO3) could see bearish move into the VI.
* sentiment the same on the hourly tf.
* This rally with the bulls & strong momentum to the down side could see some reversal.
looking for some signs of this on todays price action.
* LETS SEE HOW THE MARKET DISHES
🤷♂️😉🐻🐮
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
UsOIL Long Buy due to lower Support Hello Traders
In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Continue to short crude oilDear traders, you need to be cautious when trading. You must set stop loss and take profit for each transaction. This can better protect your account from being stuck. I will continue to update the crude oil trading strategy.
API data crude oil inventory is bearish. So far, the market has not responded to the API data. That is to say, the EIA in the evening is also likely to be bearish. The continuous rise in the past few days mentioned yesterday is the abc three waves after the end of the 5th wave. Lao Li re-looked at the market today and saw that it was a 4-wave rise. The US$64.61 is the end point of the main decline of the 3rd wave. The starting point of the three waves is US$79.70. Of course, this number of waves is valid at present. Once the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, the market will inevitably break through the starting point of the 3rd wave of US$79.70. Therefore, we must follow the real-time fluctuations of the market at any time to update the number of waves in real time. So today, Lao Li will not consider whether the situation in the Middle East will escalate, because we can't know when these guys in the Middle East will make moves again. As soon as we see the news of the start of the fight in the Middle East, we will stop shorting immediately and follow the news to make a short-term long. Therefore, today's idea is still mainly to take risks and short.
1. Go short at $75.30, stop loss 30 pips, take profit $72.50. (Short aggressively at $74.80)
2. Go long at $72.20, stop loss 30 pips, take profit $73.70.
3. If the short position of strategy 1 is stopped out, go short again at $76.15, stop loss 30 pips, take profit $74.
WTI "US CRUDE OIL" Market Heist Plan on Bearish SideOla! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist WTI "US CRUDE OIL" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15 mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse3 from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 73.07
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 74.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 71.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOIL - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from OB + trendline.
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Oil Prices in Stagnation: A Moment to Await the ReboundSince the recent sharp decline, the movement of oil prices has been notably flat compared to gold, leaving many of us feeling quite exasperated. Is it really true that oil prices won’t rebound after such a drop? Are you, like me, growing increasingly impatient?
I believe we should exercise a bit more patience; today, oil prices should be able to rise above $72. I always remember the saying: “The longer the sideways movement, the greater the potential up or down movement.”
This means that the duration of a sideways consolidation will determine the magnitude of the subsequent rise or fall.
Let’s continue to be patient and anticipate the moment of oil price rebound.
USOIL: BUY
Oil prices have experienced a significant decline due to recent news, with the market oscillating within established support zones. Today's API data is bullish; however, it has not resulted in a notable price increase, nor has it breached the support levels.
As the EIA data release approaches, the likelihood of a positive impact remains high, suggesting a potential for a substantial upward movement. Our trading outlook leans towards buying, positioning for an anticipated rally in oil prices