Potential Crab Forming 🦀 (Short then Long) USOIL - Daily Crab is still valid price is moving nicely up towards the D point.
However we had a big bullish push on the 27th that sent price into a consolidation leaving a large imbalance before price started to break to the downside again.
We have confirmation for shorts using the LTF BOS etc, once the markets open, I'll wait for price to settle and then I want to see price fill this imbalance and trade from the OB, S/D zone up to towards the weekly highs!
Such a beautiful zone of confluence! A++ trade if price gets there!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Usoillong
US OILUSOIL...
I still expect a pullback from oil but this consolidation has been extended making a breakout more likely! I favour the upside for a spike to liquidation and sell orders can be met (We closed above major support and the majority of retail are shorting the obvious H and Shoulders. I am not entering this...just for reference.
USOIL MARKET OVERVIEW USOIL
OIL has opened this trading week with a bullish impulse, currently oil is fighting on a bullish zone which requires a lot of drive to break through the zone. With many bank holidays and coming up to the final few trading weeks of the year I see oil pulling back to gather momentum to take it to the next high when the markets get back into the swing of things after the new year. Oil has broken out of a wedge which also needs testing before the next move...I expect dips back towards 70.70 before we see the real move coming.
I currently have a short running and the set up will be posted soon. I will not be longing oil until we see a large dip and clear rejections of 70.70.
OIL should be bullish into Q1 and Q2 with the rise of inflation...get ready.
USOIL LONGS 📉📉📉Expect bullish price action on USOIL as price takes out liquidity on the retail trendline, rejected a nice M15 bullish orderblock. Price is in a bullish market strucutre and should rise because of the risk off market environment + bearish gap that should be filled on usoil, lets go for 3R.
What do you think ? Comment below..
USOIL UPDATE SHORTS 📉📉📉We have strong bearish momentum on USOIL i dont think it is the best moment to close our short entries, we have a risk off market sentiment right now so we should expect bearish price action still...
I moved my stop loss to my entry so i have a risk free trade.
What do you think ?
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Potential swing down to the weekly support line covering off all imbalance etc before the bulls continue, (This move will keep price in bullish structure).
I'm seeing a bearish channel forming on the hourly and price location lines up with good confluence for a potential swing down to those levels, we also have multiple BOS.
I do have 2 better entries above the trapped liquidity but I'm not sure if price will break this line yet, if so I'll take the loss and re-enter with confirmation.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
USO (US Oil ETF) - Support, Resistance, Trendlines - 2021USO (United States Oil Fund ETF) - 2020 to 2021 - Support, Resistance, Trendlines:
-Resistance Price Levels (colored horizontal lines above current price)
-Support Price Levels (colored horizontal lines below current price)
-Trendline Resistances (diagonal yellow lines above current price)
-Trendline Supports (diagonal yellow lines below current price)
note: chart is on log scale.
USOIL SHORTS 📉📉📉Price is rejecting in this moment an important area of ,, resistance ,, a bearish orderblock on h4 filling in the same area the bearish imbalance that means the price is repriced at this level. We also took out some buy stops above old highs and right now we should go lower after h4 candlestick bearish will be CLOSED. I target bullish imbalances.
What do you think ? Comment below..
US OIL stuck In a trendline resistance. Can it break out? The crude oil price has been on a steady climb this week, with two consecutive increases since the beginning. Today American market has not opened yet, but its possible prices will continue climbing even more tomorrow if they haven't already. But the crude price stuck below the trendline resistance nearly $75.30/barrel.
The rise in crude goods is likely due to increased demand out east caused by cold weather and holiday celebrations—the recent production cuts between OPEC members like Saudi Arabia who want lower gas prices.
At the same time, other countries need higher profits now instead of later when there might be fewer buyers because everyone needs fuel at some point or another-especially during winter months which require lots of road salt.
From the current crude price, $75.30 is the total resistance area. Breaking above $75 will open the door for $85/barrel.
On the other hand, as the market holds below the trendline resistance level, it may also correct a little bit to the downside. But fundamentally, I don't think it will drop a lot. It probably won't fall but a lot, but as a correction, it can test moreover $68.
Note: Don't go short on Oil as long as fundamental factors support be a higher price, at least during this month.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈Waiting for a smaller pullback after a potential trap move towards the momentum line, then I'm looking to go long to the OB zone (There will be some resistance here) then price should break and continue towards the 1.13 then the Daily Supply zone.
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Looking to go long today, price right now is in a trap zone (Buying at current level is risky) Unless you want to use a larger SL.
I want to see a false move to the downside tapping the WL (Or getting close) before buying in (For the perfect scenario)
It's a very nice PRZ with lots of confluence, we also have bullish PA on the HTF/trapped liquidity above.
Will be USOIL for buys at the 66.70 level!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
CRUDE OIL / Seeking higher highsTVC:USOIL
Let's say this first - I'm no expert and probably wrong . My trading experience is very limited . However I have followed the market fairly closely over the last couple years and today I had too much time to stare at charts. Let's look at the above chart that I haven't been able to look away from today.
First chart in question is of WTI Crude Oil since the start of this year. Sentiment has been very bullish during this time with smaller dips developing into larger movements as we've moved towards the end of the year. These white trend lines however have held very well during this period. Volume profile (emphasis highlighted) would seem like there would be less resistance to go up than down.
If there would be a sharp move down towards 58 or lower that would be a level where I would start to be more cautious and probably close most of my own positions at least for a while.
This recent price movement has been very sharp and would implicate in my view either a significant risk for another lockdown/recessionary period (less demand) or a release of reserves / supply increase (more supply), both of which I think are possible but not that probable in my opinion. China real estate market would be the most obvious and likely source for a longer downtrend in all markets including crude oil, but it seems to be contained for now.
Taking a closer look, overall there seems to be good amount of support around the price of this writing at around $66.4. Price action during the last 12 hours also seems supportive in my view, which I followed during the day. As a curiosity, the movement for the second period pictured has been pretty similar to the first one that started on 30th Nov.
Again I have very little trading experience but this seems like a good time to be bullish on oil. Long-term I think that under-investment in oil production and infrastructure will prove to be a significant factor in driving crude oil price higher.
Feel free to comment what you think. Trade safe.