Ready to short crude oilThere are still concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States in the market. Some investors are even worried about the arrival of a new round of global economic crisis. Moreover, the market is still worried about the oversupply of crude oil, and the future of oil prices is still biased towards bears.
It was mentioned in the article shared yesterday that once crude oil is established to be effective in breaking below the 70 mark, it is likely to fall further below the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Near the position.At present, since crude oil fell below the low of 72.3 in the shock range, it has fallen sharply again. The lowest has reached near 65.6, and there is only room for 3 US dollars from the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Now the short market is very strong, even in a small cycle, after a short pause or rebound in the falling market, it will choose to fall again, and the bulls have no resistance.Therefore, the current thinking about crude oil is still based on emptiness.
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Usoilanalysis
USOIL - Short as per Volume Profile ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Here we are in a bearish market structure from H1 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement and then to reject from bearish order block, as well we have there most orders as per volume profile .
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Continue to go long on crude oil.
Due to positive data, the oil price continues to rise. Our long position took profit at 76.3. Currently, it seems that there is still momentum for oil to continue its upward trend, with the MACD indicator showing a second bullish crossover on the 2-hour chart. Resistance is near 78.5, so I believe we can continue to enter long positions with a trading strategy of entering around 76.3-75.8 and setting a profit target in the 78-79 range. If the oil price can break through the 79 level, the next target is around 80.8.
TVC:USOIL MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
USOIL:$78 next week is crucial
On Tuesday this week, the testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Congress raised concerns about risk assets in the market. In this testimony, Powell stated that "if it is necessary, the Federal Reserve is prepared to speed up the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal interest rates may be higher than expected." These words indicate that the Federal Reserve not only did not cool down the rising expectations for interest rate hikes over the past month, but also further pushed up the expectations for interest rate hikes.
Powell's speech caused shock in the market, as the market saw from Powell's speech a determination to lower the inflation rate at the cost of suppressing demand and employment. On that day, the US dollar index soared, risk appetite deteriorated, and US stocks fell sharply, accompanied by a sharp drop of 4% in oil prices from above $80 per barrel.
However, there was a reversal in oil prices on Friday. After testing the support at $74.5, the market quickly rebounded above $76 and successfully stabilized. Our long position in crude oil at $75 also reached the first take-profit level smoothly. However, there is still a certain distance from the recent high of $80, and the upper resistance level to watch is in the 76-78 area. This dense resistance area may limit the upward space. But if it breaks through $78, there will be an opportunity to challenge the $80 level again. Let's keep an eye on it, and I will update the trading strategy in a timely manner.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I also update daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice to help you.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Buy on dips below $75 for USOIL
As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates and unwind its balance sheet, concerns over other US banks were raised following the "Silicon Valley Bank Incident", causing all three major US stock markets to fall. The S&P 500 Bank Index plummeted 6% last night, marking the largest single-day drop in two years. JPMorgan's stock price also fell 6%, resulting in a market capitalization loss of approximately $20 billion. Bank of America fell 6.1%, while Wells Fargo and Citigroup fell over 6% and 4% respectively. The four major US banks suffered a combined loss of $47 billion.
Silicon Valley Bank announced an $1.8 billion loss from the sale of part of its investment portfolio, and sought to raise $2.25 billion by selling common and preferred shares. The bank's "self-rescue measures" worried investors, causing the stock price to plummet by 60%. In short, the market believes that Silicon Valley Bank is facing a liquidity crisis. Without a doubt, the market's risk aversion sentiment has spread to the crude oil market.
After reaching $80, USOIL saw a sharp decline to below $75. Currently, there is a demand for a rebound in the market, and it is suggested to buy on dips below $75. Short-term technical rebounds and corrective trends for crude oil are expected, with a target focus on $77-80. I will continue to monitor the market and provide the latest strategies.
Going long on crude oil.
The crude oil is currently trading around 74.8, with some support visible on the 4-hour chart. In the short term, there is upward momentum observed on the 1-hour chart. As a trading strategy, one can go long near 74.8 and target 76.3, with the possibility of further upside if the resistance at 76.3 is breached. If unable to break through, a short position can be considered at 76.3. I will keep you updated in due course.
Short-term trading strategy: Go long near 74.8 with a target of 76.3.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing the reversal of Covid-19 policy — the Chinese manufacturing sector posted its biggest improvement in more than a decade last month, service/activity is climbing and the housing market is stabilizing. Economists speculate that the reopening may see Chinese oil consumption hit a record high this year and It was indeed a positive week for the oil commodity with data showing demand figures hitting a record 101.9 million barrels per day this year. In this video, we highlighted from a technical standpoint trading opportunities for the incoming week.
00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
04:25 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart
07:40 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week
08:44 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Going short on crude oil at 77.8.
At the start of the Asian market on Thursday, crude oil is currently trading around $76.5 per barrel. On Wednesday, crude oil continued to fall as concerns about more aggressive interest rate hikes weighed on economic growth and oil demand, outweighing the larger-than-expected reduction in US inventories. Although yesterday's decrease in crude oil inventories did not cause significant fluctuations in the price and quickly recovered, it shows that the overall trend of crude oil is weak. My trading strategy remains short, with a focus on selling high.
My trading strategy is to short crude oil at $77.8, with a stop loss at $78.6 and a target of around $75.
Investors can choose their own profit-taking points according to their trading style. The above is only a short-term trading perspective. I will notify you promptly if there are suitable opportunities. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the best encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading simpler! You are also welcome to read my other ideas below.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
USOIL: Long position after a downward adjustment to $77
Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust after the overnight plunge.
Looking at the daily chart of USOIL, the upward trend has not been broken, and the support below has continued to rise. Although there is no effective breakthrough above $80, the adjustment range of this downward trend is sufficient, and it is a good opportunity to enter the long position again.
Personal trading strategy: Buy long position near $77-77.5, with the first target at $78.5 and the second target at $80, and pay close attention to the EIA data to be released tonight.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I will also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice, hoping to help you.
USOIL - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective of USOIL .
Here we are bullish from H1 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and could reject from bullish order block.
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Buy crude oil at 78.5.
Trading is about making profits, not about venting frustration or trading for the sake of trading. Therefore, traders must understand what stage the price is at and take appropriate actions. Traders are neither always long nor always short, but always adapt to changes in the market. Traders must have their own defense system to control risks. Risk control and capital management are essential in your trading.
On Friday, oil prices recovered from a brief sell-off, rising more than $1 and the weekly chart also showed an increase, boosted by new optimism surrounding demand from the largest oil importing countries. Friday saw a large bullish rally, closing at a high level, while on Monday prices weakened during trading.
Regarding operations, the key point to watch above the crude oil price is near the 80.5 level, which can serve as a reference for selling. Looking below, the support near the 78.5 level is a good point to buy in with a small position, while the strong support at the 77 level can be a point to buy in with a large position.
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Buy crude oil at 80.43.
The core of trading is not how much profit can be made in a single transaction, but whether one can achieve sustained and stable profitability over the long term.
In the previous article, the strategy given for crude oil was to go long at 78.5, with the target at 80.5, and it was a perfect take-profit. Currently, the support level on the hourly chart is at 80.43, and waiting for a pullback without breaking the support level is a suitable choice.
Current trading plan: Go long at 80.43 for crude oil, with a stop loss at 80.13 and a target at 81.50. I will remind you when the trading point is reached. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the greatest encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading easier! You are also welcome to refer to other ideas below.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.