2023.6.8 Daily European Perspective USOil is shaping triangular2023.6.8 Daily European Perspective
USOil is shaping triangular
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, June 8 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, today is the eighth day for the U.S. Dollar Index to sort out under pressure!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold now shows a standard high point continuously moving downwards, while the low point remains in a horizontal flag shaped oscillation shape! Then, later today, take the 2.000 digits ($1960) from the bottom of the daily line to the top of the golden section as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil is currently competing in the dense range of the four hour moving average! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 21MA ($71.69) as an important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, in the past three trading days, European and American currencies have shown a large fluctuation pattern of rising high points and decreasing low points against each other! Then, in the future period of this day, take today's opening price (1.07063) as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US dollar broke through the key position of daily level 55MA (1.24638) yesterday, but did not close on it! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Thursday and the weekly line will be closed tomorrow! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
Usdx
2023.6.7 Daily European Perspective EURUSD is weaker & weaker!2023.6.7 Daily European Perspective
EURUSD is weaker & weaker !
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, June 7 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index continues to be under pressure today, with a weak consolidation trend!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, both yesterday and today's highs of gold were suppressed by the daily level of 21MA (1964.56 US dollars)! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil is showing a bearish and weak state today! So, for the rest of today, we will continue to operate at the daily level of 21MA ($71.65) as an important intraday point! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, European and American currencies are showing a significantly weaker trend against today! So for the continuation period today, just use today's opening price (1.06979) as an important point for the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency tested the key position of daily level 55MA (1.24648) against the US dollar yesterday, and today it is clearly weak! So for the continuation period today, just use the daily line 21MA (1.24261) as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Wednesday, and tonight there are two important data quotes at the four star level! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.6.5 Daily European Perspective USDX is strengthening!2023.6.5 Daily European Perspective USDX is strengthening!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, June 5 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index started to strengthen again last Friday, and today is the fourth time in recent history that it has tested the strong pressure on the daily line of 165MA (104.39)!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the decline of gold last Friday and today has swallowed up the increase of last week! So, for the rest of today, the opening price of the previous week's line (1942.7 US dollars) can be used as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil hit a recent high above $74 due to the stimulation of the news! So, for the rest of today, just use the daily level of 55MA (74.35 US dollars) as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, European and American currencies are currently engaged in a long short battle against the opening price of the first trading day of this month (1.06926)! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency is currently engaged in a long short competition near the opening price (1.24034) on the last trading day of last month! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Monday, and the impact of last Friday's big non agricultural data market will continue until tomorrow! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.6.2 Daily European Perspective GBP is strengthening !2023.6.2 Daily European Perspective
GBP is strengthening !
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, June 2 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index fell downwards yesterday and returned to below the daily levels of 144MA (103.51) and 377MA (103.55). It is likely that after stepping back on the daily level of 21MA (103.04), it will once again rise upwards!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold broke through the daily level of 21MA (1977.3 US dollars) yesterday and today! So, for the rest of today, use this point as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil returned above the integer level of $70 yesterday! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, European and American currencies rebounded against the daily line of 165MA (1.07456) yesterday! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency has returned to its recent top position (1.25460) against yesterday and today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, the second trading day of June, and there will be a big non agricultural data market tonight! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.6.1 Daily European Perspective USDX is flat2023.6.1 Daily European Perspective
USDX is flat
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, June 1 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has been vying for long and short positions against the 2.000 level (around 104.28) of the gold split at its recent top for several consecutive days!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold today swallowed up yesterday's gains and continued to engage in long short competition near the 2.000 level (1960 US dollars) of the gold split at the bottom of the daily level! So, for the rest of today, use this point as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the highest point of US crude oil today has peaked at 0.618 points (68.9 US dollars) above the recent bottom of the gold split! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the European and American currencies rebounded slightly against the recent bottom up gold split of 2.000 (1.06635) yesterday, but continued to weaken today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency hit the daily level of 55MA (1.04530) twice yesterday and the day before yesterday! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Thursday, the first trading day of June. There will be ADP, Unemployment Claims, and EIA data market tonight, and big non agricultural data market tomorrow night! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
Elliott Wave Forecast: Dollar Index ($DXY) Rally Should FailShort Term Elliott Wave View on Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) suggests that the rally from 4.14.2023 low is in progress as a zigzag structure. Up from 4.14.2023 low, wave ((a)) ended at 102.23 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 101.02. The 1 hour chart below shows the starting point of wave ((b)). Index is now extending higher in wave ((c)) with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Up from wave ((b)), wave i ended at 101.43 and wave ii pullback ended at 101.1. Wave iii ended at 101.63, wave iv ended at 101.124, and wave v higher ended at 101.77. This completed wave (i) in higher degree.
From there the Index pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 101.04. The Index then extends higher in wave (iii) as an impulse. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 101.83 and pullback in wave ii ended at 101.21. Wave iii ended at 102.15, dips in wave iv ended at 101.97, and now the Index is looking to end wave v which should also complete wave (iii) in higher degree. Afterwards, Index should pullback in wave (iv) to correct cycle from 5.8.2023 low before it resumes higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 101.02 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
💸U.S.Dollar Index, 1792 to date●● Preferred count
◉ U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY), 🕐TF: 1M
Fig.1
The counting of long-term waves has not changed. I still think that there is still a possibility of a correction to the area of the previous wave (IV) . On the other hand, of course, it should be understood that the fourth waves in most cases form lateral corrections with an overlap and do not always reach the area of the previous fourth. And is it a wave ((IV)) at all? I am sure that as the structure develops at lower time intervals, hints will appear and the least likely scenarios will be cut off.
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◉ TVC:DXY , 🕐TF: 1W
Fig.2
In the meantime, we can make an assumption that the wave structure of wave c becomes more complicated to a double zigzag with a triangle in the sub-wave Ⓧ , but the combination and the flat are also not excluded.
On the six-hour chart, the sub-wave Ⓧ in the form of a flat will be marked in black .
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◉ TVC:DXY , 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.3
We were able to predict the completion of wave (B) and the subsequent reversal in wave (C) with high accuracy.
Wave (C) is expected to take the form of a single zigzag subdividing into diagonal A and impulse C . The target may be the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
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◉ TVC:DXY ,🕐TF: 6h
Fig.4
For you, my dear readers, I can suggest a few trading setups that will appear in the near future:
The completion of diagonal A is a signal in favor of fixing a short position. Aggressive trading setup for opening a long position with a protective stop loss at the level ((v)) > ((iii)) .
The completion of the subsequent wave B (preferably in the form of a triangle) is a trading setup for opening a short position.
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●● Alternative count
◉ TVC:DXY ,🕐TF: 1W
Fig.5
The option of counting wave Ⓧ in the form of a flat ( color marking) we have already discussed earlier. On this chart, it would be more correct to focus on an alternative marking, which suggests considering wave (b) of the supercycle degree from the position of the completed running flat a-b-c , in which wave c is an impulse ①-②-③-④-⑤ . A confident breakdown of the upward channel down can serve as a good signal in favor of this hypothesis.
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📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
Bearish 3 Drive Pattern for DXYgreetings fellas, us dollar index in bearish 3 drive pattern and want to take sell side liquidity once again and reach to 99.84 zone.
btw, in the second drive we seen 3 drive in 4h timeframe, maybe in third drive we will seen this pattern again but daily timeframe.
after that i expect bullish spike candle to reach TVC:DXY 103.4.
Expecting US Yield strength this week, and therefor USD strengthI think we're possibly seeing signs of a DXY reversal in the making.
USD performing better against some crosses this week (NZD / JPY), others failing to make new highs (GBP / EUR). CHF is smashing all at the moment, so interesting to see how this does against the USD this week (if it falls then this gives me even more confirmation).
I've seen RSI divergence on both GBP and EUR crosses highs in the last few weeks, another reason to look for more signs that they'll reverse.
We've broken the descending dynamic trendline (not for the first time mind, let's see if it holds), a retest comes straight into the order block, which if I'm right, will trigger some momentum.
We could have a double bottom on DXY (HTF) which could indicate a trend change (or start of more serious retracement at least). We could currently be creating an inverse H&S (LTF's).
Looking at the US 10 Year futures, we have signs of a reversal (MACD & RSI Divergence with broken neckline), this could indicate that the US10Y and other yields will go up.
We've had 5 weeks of falls, even though this doesn't mean anything, it just adds to my feeling that we're about to see a bounce.
I think the market is starting to expect continuation of the FED hawkish stance, pricing in hikes or no change, rather than cuts this year.
Time for GBPUSD to give up?I'm short on GBP USD, it's failed to make a new high, failed to break back above the dynamic ascending trendline.
Inflation is still high, despite rate hikes. Economy is in a pickle, with really poor retail data today. UK is the worst performing economy in Europe.
There's RSI divergence. We're on a longer term downward trend so if this is to be broken I think we'll see retracement first.
Conversely there's been a double bottom on DXY, it's due a retracement after 5 weeks of decline.
USD doesn't look great either, but to me it looks better than GBP.
This is why I'm short on cable, with a great R:R.
DXY BOUNCES ON SUPPORTFor more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial.
Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
DXYCurrently, tracking the USDX (US Dollar Index) has become more enjoyable than ever before. Upon further examination, I have come to the conclusion that the DXY has reached its peak and is now in a phase of aggressive decline, beginning from the level of supply that I have identified, or potentially even worse from the fair value gap (FVG). I will continue to keep you updated on any changes regarding this matter.
Elliott Wave Suggests USDJPY May See Sellers SoonCycle from 3.24.2023 low in USDJPY is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.24.2023 low, wave (W) ended at 133.75 and pullback in wave (X) ended at 130.61. Wave (Y) higher is in progress with subdivision as a zigzag structure as the 1 hour chart below shows. Up from wave (X), wave ((i)) ended at 132.8 and wave ((ii)) ended at 131.99. Wave ((iii)) ended at 133.88, wave ((iv)) ended at 132.96, and final leg wave ((v)) ended at 134.04 which completed wave A.
Pullback in wave B ended at 132 with internal subdivision as a double three. Down from wave A, wave ((w)) ended at 132.72, wave ((x)) ended at 133.4, and wave ((y)) lower ended at 131.99 which completed wave B. Up from wave B, wave ((i)) ended at 132.8 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 132.16. Wave ((iii)) ended at 134.57, and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 134.26. Pair may extend higher a bit more in wave ((v)) to complete larger degree wave C of (Y) of ((2)), but regardless, expect pair to turn lower soon. Potential target for wave (Y) of ((2)) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W) which comes at 134.8 – 137.4.
Elliott Wave Sequence Suggests GBPUSD Favors HigherGBPUSD ended 5 wave impulse Elliott Wave sequence as wave 1 of (C) at 1.2525 high on 4/04/2023 started from 3/08/2023 low. It already confirmed higher high sequence against September-2022 low, calling for further upside to continue in wave (C). It placed ((i)) of 1 at 1.2204 high & ((ii)) at 1.2009 low. ((ii)) was 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of ((i)). It ended ((iii)) at 1.2423 high & ((iv)) at 1.2273 low. ((iv)) was typical 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of ((iii)). Finally, it ended ((v)) at 1.2525 high as wave 1. Below there, it ended wave 2 at 1.2345 low in 7 swings correction. Currently, it favors higher in 3 of (C).
Above wave 2 low, it placed (i) at 1.2456 high & (ii) at 1.2397 low as 0.5 Fibonacci retracement in 3 swing sequence. Currently, it favors higher in (iii) of ((i)) of 3. It placed i at 1.2484 high, ii at 1.2452 low, iii at 1.2538 high & iv as triangle at 1.2516 low. Above there, it favors higher in v of (iii) & expects small upside before starts correcting in (iv) in ((i)) soon. It expects short term upside in ((i)) of 3 before starts correcting in ((ii)) later in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 4/10/2023 low. The pair should remain supported in correction at extreme areas to resume higher in bullish sequence.
USDX bottomed?By Neo Wave in this downtrend i count a "Xwave" happened already, there can be only one more and looks a triangle to me, do not know the size of it but if in the few weeks ahead this start consolidating and not falling under the previous bottom we can assume Dollar has bottomed and ready to be strong again.
DXY (US Dollar) Elliott Wave Sequence Favors LowerDXY (US Dollar) Showing 5 swings impulse Elliott wave sequence lower from the 3/08/2023 high, which ended at $101.415 low on 4/05/2023. Above there, it favors a corrective bounce in 3, 7 or 11 swings before downside resumes. DXY proposed ended (B) at $105.883 high on 3/08/2023. Below there, it placed ((i)) at $103.484 low & ((ii)) at $105.103 high. ((ii)) was 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of first leg. It placed ((iii)) at $101.915 low on 3/23/2023. It bounced off in ((iv)), which ended at $103.357 high on 3/24/2023. Finally, it ended ((v)) as diagonal sequence at $101.415 low on 4/05/2023 to finish wave 1. Above there, it favors a corrective bounce in wave 2, which should fail below (B) high to resume lower as the part of (C) leg, which confirms below February low.
Above wave 1 low, it placed (a) at $102.052 high & (b) at $101.755 low. It favors higher in (c) of ((w)) of wave 2. It placed i at $102.297 high, ii at $101.988 low & iii at $102.807 high. Below there, it favors pullback in iv before final leg higher in v to finish (c) as ((w)) within extreme areas. It may even ended ((w)) leg & correcting lower in ((x)) leg to retest the low before turning higher in wave ((y)) as the part of 2. Wave 2 bounce should fail in 7 or 11 swings from extreme areas in bearish sequence to resumes downside later in wave 3 of (C), which confirms below $101.415 low.
BIG BREAKDOWN USDXGOOD NEWS for stock holders and the reason for the pump in gold usdx has just taken a big dive down from the major breakout levels so there should not be any more panic for stocks for now till usdx is trading below the former breakout levels and now the big resistance will update on down targets later
Elliott Wave Projects GBPUSD Pullback Continue to Find Support$GBPUSD broke above previous peak on 1.23.2023 high at 1.2448 and now shows a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low. Cycle from 3.8.2023 low is currently in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.8.2023 low, wave (i) ended at 1.2204 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 1.2009. Pair extends higher in wave (iii) towards 1.2344, and dips in wave (iv) ended at 1.2189. Final leg higher wave (v) ended at 1.2423 which completed wave ((i)).
Wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 1.2271 as the 1 hour chart below shows with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 1.2352, wave (b) ended at 1.2397 and wave (c) lower ended at 1.2271. Pair has resumed higher in wave ((iii)) towards 1.2525 as an impulse. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.2426 and wave (ii) ended at 1.2394. Wave (iii) ended at 1.2521, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 1.2465, and final leg wave (v) ended at 1.2525 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) is in progress as a double three structure. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (w) ended at 1.243 and wave (x) ended at 1.2479. Expect wave (y) to extend lower to 1.233 – 1.2386 blue box area where buyers should appear for further upside.