USDTRY
XAUUSD !! Let's determine the zone of resistanceIn my previous analysis, before these bullish candles were formed, I had drawn the red trend line and said that sales cannot be made until this trend line is broken and I was right.
Now I specified the sales area with a yellow box (1827-1865), the target will be 1778 with the sales movement from this region.
I recommend you to follow the red trendline break carefully.The arrow signs are very clear
Good luck to everyone, if you find the analysis useful, you can support it by liking it and writing a comment.
Dollar/Turkish Lira - Important Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 7.2675, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 8.5750 breaks.
If the support at 7.2675 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI support #1 at 57 is broken, so the probability of resumption of uptrend is decreased.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 8.0516 on 11/24/2020, so more losses to support(s) 7.7755, 7.6600, 7.4565 and minimum to Major Support (7.2675) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 46.
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Dollar/Turkish Lira - Important Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 7.2675, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 8.5750 breaks.
If the support at 7.2675 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI support #1 at 57 is broken, so the probability of resumption of uptrend is decreased.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 8.0516 on 11/24/2020, so more losses to support(s) 7.7755, 7.6600, 7.4565 and minimum to Major Support (7.2675) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 46.
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. . . . . Please show your support back,
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDTRY Trading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (7.8242).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDTRY is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 61.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 7.9028
TP2= @ 7.9588
TP3= @ 8.0394
TP4= @ 8.1861
TP5= @ 8.3224
SL= Break below S2
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Trade well, ❤️
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDTRY Trading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (7.8242).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDTRY is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 61.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 7.9028
TP2= @ 7.9588
TP3= @ 8.0394
TP4= @ 8.1861
TP5= @ 8.3224
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader ?
Now, It's your turn !
Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
USD/TRY: my global look did not changeHi everyone! Who watches my ideas for USD/TRY could notice that the price goes according to my previous global overview. On the chart I displayed the beginning of the following support for Turkish lira.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
XAUUSD !! New Setup is ready The 2 goals I published as an analysis in the past week were achieved with a total profit of 1200 pips and now I marked our 3rd target zone with a yellow box.
After the trend line I specified in red color is broken, I am waiting for a sales movement towards the Third target zone I specified in yellow and I indicated this on the chart with arrows.
If you find it useful, please support this idea with LIKE and share your ideas in comment part please
Turkish Lira sells the rumour of a rate hike: buy the news?Hello traders.
I have been in a bit of a pickle this month: between elections in the US and a stalling EUR/USD,
my demo took a bit of a hit (more than I care to tell) and one big mistake was to go long SP500
on the NYSE open the very day that a Covid19 vaccine was announced... There was optimism on
Wall Street and I was looking for some direction in anything that had candlesticks to its name...
I got caught out in a false move AND the platform froze for several hours, before I could work out
stops etc. I lost 75k of paper money, which really hurt my pride and my record.
I have gone about reconstructing my account and really giving myself a big talk about never trusting
the media on 'optimism' stories when it comes to my own trading. Sitting on your hands for several
weeks is indeed what you sometimes have to do, but it does become difficult if that has not been
necessary for some time.
I have looked at Bitcoin, again ignoring media stories but actually genuinely trying to get in on the
latest swing high, though now it is showing RSI divergence on the daily and looking like it is struggling,
thus I am staying out of that one for now.
My other two trades are: USD/MXN long, which looks to be worth holding on to for a wide target, as
it is quite oversold and testing former resistance (now support) from 2018 and 2019, around the 20,000-20,100 mark;
the second trade is EUR/TRY long, which takes me to the topic of this video.
In the rate hike of today, what did the Turkish central bank hope to achieve? Stem inflation and rescue the ongoing
currency crisis. Erdogan is somehow changing his tune with the newly appointed governor, probably tired of watching
his beloved Lira falling by more than 30 percent this year alone (on top of more losses before that) and forcing a rate hold
on the central bank.
My contention is that the last few days we say a 10,000+ pip sell-off that was on the anticipation of the hike, whereas action
today was quite muted (although still bearish) and that seems to suggest that Lira buying is done - buy the rumour, sell the news -
thus it is back to business as before, selling Lira (and watching the decade-old USD/TRY uptrend continue).
I go into more detail, so please look at my volume analysis through MSCI iShares Turkey ETF to get a sense of how I am looking at
this long trade as a goer.
Thanks for watching!
See you in my next
Francesco (FreeFX)
USDTRY Near Term Wave CountNear term USDTRY subdivisions are clear from a wave standpoint. This bounce is probably a small 4th wave. Ideal resistance is the former 4th wave high at 7.8920. A rally to there would present a chance to short for a drop to new lows with 7.3950 or so (former resistance) as the next level on the downside. Visit scandex.com for more ideas.
What goes up has to come down - really?There is a received wisdom that what goes up has to come down. Well, this currency pair trend may defy that rule. We shall have to wait and see.
For sure there are corrections to be expected. This begs the question of what does 'down' mean? Is 'down'
- a correction? or
- does it mean a fall below its original starting point?
If you take it as below some original starting point then USDTRY may never actually go 'down' to a level pre-2011.
If you take 'down' to mean a significant correction then yes the pair is overdue a correction. I would argue that a 'significant correction' means a retracement greater than 50% from starting point - to somewhere around 5. That may seem improbable but strange things do happen. I'm not making any predictions here. I don't do predictions.
TRY met an all time low on Friday 12th Nov meaning it would have taken about 8 TRY to buy one USD (or one USD would have bought you 8 TRY). Then something 'magical' happened and it appeared to strengthen. This followed major turmoil in Turkey (read the news).
But keep in mind that the ratio of USD to TRY is based on US Dollar strength, which is not easy to estimate, as everything is relative.
If your US Dollar weakens further this could and bearish pressure to the ratio (that doesn't mean it's going south).
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Bearish on USDTRY 1/48.Wow what a run up. Absolutely huge and one for the books. We might be at the end. I haven't had a closer look, but I think we might be pivoting either now or soon. In any case, if it is now then FibGoals are in place, and invalidation if we ideally pas the most recent all time high.
Not financial advice.