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DJ FXCM Index

USD still going strongHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. USD is consolidating (since last week) for a breakout..more on the bias to the upside. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Dollar Index (DXY): Potential Scenarios Explained 💵 That was quite a boring week for Dollar Index. The market was stuck within a narrow horizontal range on a daily. Next week, wait for a breakout of the range. Bullish breakout of its resistance will be a strong trend following signal, while a bearish violation of its support will initiate a correctional movement on the market. Next key resistance - 106.85 Next key support - 105.20 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by VasilyTrader
3
EURUSD One last dump before the pump?The EURUSD pair is approaching the 1.05500 Target that we called on April 02 (see chart below), which is at the bottom of the 4-month Channel Down: That will form the new Lower Low of the pattern, completing a -4.00% decline from the Lower High, which is 100% symmetrical with the previous Low. The structure of the Legs is very symmetrical so after the Low we expect the pair to turn bullish on the medium-term again. Our Target will be 1.0800 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDDKK Buy continuationThe USDDKK pair is consolidating after it started a new Bullish Leg following the 1D Golden Cross formation. The long-term pattern is also a Channel Up and the current Bullish Leg appears to be proportional to the one that started on the July 18 2023 Low. As you can see it is where the 1D RSI bottomed on both cases. As a result we have no reason not to expect a similar target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (3.0 from lower count) at 7.15000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
Sell USDCHF BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a possible shorting opportunity due to a recent breakout from a pattern. Potential Short Trade: Entry: Below the broken level, ideally around 0.9140 after confirmation of the breakout. Confirmation could involve a retest of the broken level as resistance or a sustained move below the level. Target Levels: 0.9060: This represents a potential initial target based on a measured move approach (distance from the breakout point to the pattern's height). 0.9024: This is a further extension of the downside target. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the broken level, ideally around 0.9155. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
USDHKD Approaching the 2-year Resistance Zone. Major Sell.The USDHKD pair has been rising since November 2023 after hitting the Support Zone and is approaching the 2-year Resistance Zone. The Sine Waves help us understand the cyclical nature behind it. This is a low risk sell opportunity for the long-term. Our Target is 7.79500 (top of Support Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
Fed Higher-for-Longer Strategy: Strong Dollar SqueezeThe Fed's Higher-for-Longer Strategy: A Strong Dollar Squeezes Markets The Federal Reserve's unwavering commitment to its "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy is pushing the U.S. dollar to its limits. Chair Jerome Powell's recent pronouncements leave little doubt: rate cuts won't be coming soon. This strong dollar is creating a ripple effect across global markets, leaving other central banks and investors struggling to keep pace. The "higher-for-longer" strategy refers to the Fed's intention to maintain elevated interest rates for a sustained period. This is a critical tool for combating inflation, which remains a top concern for the U.S. economy. By raising interest rates, the Fed discourages borrowing and investment, thereby dampening economic activity and ultimately slowing inflation. However, this approach comes at a cost. A stronger dollar makes U.S. exports more expensive and foreign imports cheaper. This can hurt American businesses competing overseas and widen the U.S. trade deficit. Additionally, a surging dollar makes it more expensive for other countries to service their dollar-denominated debt. The impact is already being felt globally. Here's a breakdown of the key challenges: • Market Squeeze: Higher U.S. interest rates make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to investors. This entices capital to flow out of emerging markets and other economies, putting downward pressure on their currencies and stock markets. These economies become more vulnerable to financial instability as capital flight weakens their local markets. • Central Bank Dilemma: Other central banks are caught in a bind. They may want to raise rates to combat inflation in their own economies, but doing so could further strengthen the dollar relative to their currencies. This exacerbates the problems mentioned above and makes it difficult for them to achieve their desired economic goals. • Debt Sustainability: Countries with large amounts of dollar-denominated debt face a growing burden. As the dollar strengthens, it becomes more expensive for them to service their debt, potentially leading to defaults and financial crises. Despite these challenges, the Fed is unlikely to deviate from its course anytime soon. Powell has emphasized the need to bring inflation under control, even if it means sacrificing some economic growth. This unwavering commitment to taming inflation strengthens the dollar further, potentially leading to a prolonged period of global economic strain. However, there are some potential mitigating factors: • Weakening Dollar: The dollar's strength may not be sustainable in the long run. If the Fed eventually signals a pause in rate hikes, or if inflation shows signs of receding, the dollar could weaken. This would provide some relief to other economies. • Global Cooperation: International cooperation between central banks could help to ease the pressure on global markets. By coordinating their policies, central banks could find a way to address inflation without creating excessive currency volatility. The coming months will be crucial in determining the long-term effects of the Fed's policy. While the strong dollar offers some advantages for the U.S. economy, the potential for global economic instability cannot be ignored. The Fed's navigation of this complex situation will be critical in ensuring a smooth landing for the U.S. and the global economy as a whole.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
Dow Jones: Analyzing Market Sentiment Amidst Powell's RemarksThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, a bellwether index reflecting market sentiment and economic outlook, experienced a notable shift in dynamics following remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. After a previous push-down impulse triggered by Powell's speech yesterday, the index exhibited a remarkable recovery during the Asian session, opening the new session with bullish sentiment. Powell's indication of a "higher for longer" stance swiftly reversed the previous bearish sentiment, highlighting the market's sensitivity to central bank communications. However, amidst the bullish momentum, the market faces a balancing act as hawkish remarks from Powell and lingering geopolitical risks offset positive developments such as robust quarterly earnings from UnitedHealth and Morgan Stanley. The juxtaposition of these factors underscores the intricacies of market dynamics, where sentiment can quickly pivot in response to changing narratives. From a technical perspective, the Dow Jones remains in a bearish retracement phase. However, an intriguing observation emerges on the H4 timeframe, where divergence in price signals a potential shift in momentum. This divergence, coupled with the bullish sentiment observed during the Asian session, suggests that the index may be poised for growth in the near term. In light of these developments, our strategy revolves around a scalping setup with a focus on short-term gains. We advocate for a close take profit approach, capitalizing on the current momentum while remaining cognizant of potential market fluctuations. Furthermore, we envision a longer setup, aligning with historical data indicating a statistical bias towards long positions during this part of the year, particularly in April.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by FOREXN1
1
NZDUSD: Oversold Market & Pullback 🇳🇿🇺🇸 As I predicted, NZDUSD dropped heavily after the release of Retail Sales data on Monday. Analysing a price action today, I see that the pair became heavily oversold. The price formed a falling wedge pattern and a narrow horizontal range within. Bullish violation of the resistances of the wedge and the range indicate a highly probable coming pullback. Targets: 0.5925 / 0.5936 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USDCAD Near the 5-month High. Strong SELL.The USDCAD pair hit our 1.36200 Target (February 09, see chart below) and even broke above the Symmetrical Resistance Zone: The price now sits at the top of the 2024 Channel Up, a similar pattern with the July 14 - November 01 2023 Channel Up. In fact the pair is approaching that November 01 High (Resistance 1) and being at the same time on an overbought 1D RSI while the 1W RSI is approaching the 13-month Resistance Zone, is turning into a very strong sell again. Such tops have given a minimum of -3.23% declines (February 02 2023) during this 18-month period that the pair has been ranging. As a result, our new medium-term Target is 1.34500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Betting on a Stronger Dollar Greenback Gets ExpensiveThe US dollar is soaring, and investors are scrambling to jump on the bandwagon. This surge in demand is reflected in the options market, where the cost of betting on further dollar appreciation has reached its highest point since November 2023. This trend highlights the growing confidence in the US economy's resilience, prompting a flight to safety in the greenback. Several factors are fueling the dollar's current strength. Firstly, the US economy continues to demonstrate surprising resilience in the face of global headwinds. Recent data, such as stronger-than-expected retail sales figures, has prompted investors to pare back bets on aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This shift in expectations has bolstered the appeal of the dollar relative to other currencies. Secondly, the turmoil in global markets is driving investors towards safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation across the globe are creating uncertainty, pushing investors to seek the relative stability offered by the US dollar. The dollar's long-standing reputation as a reserve currency makes it a natural destination for these risk-averse investors. This surge in demand for the dollar is evident across the foreign exchange market. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, has climbed to a five-month high. The dollar has already notched up impressive gains against major rivals like the yen, reaching a 34-year high, and strengthening significantly against the euro, pound, and several other currencies. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar is spilling over into the options market. Investors seeking to profit from a continued rise in the dollar's value are increasingly turning to call options. However, this increased demand comes at a cost. The premium, or the upfront cost, of buying these call options has risen significantly. This surge in option prices indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price to secure their bets on a stronger dollar. The trend in the options market presents a mixed bag for investors. On the one hand, the rising cost of call options suggests that the market is anticipating further dollar appreciation. This could be a lucrative opportunity for those who correctly predict the dollar's trajectory. On the other hand, the higher premiums eat into potential profits, making successful bets on the dollar more challenging. Looking ahead, the future path of the dollar hinges on several key factors. The trajectory of the US economy, the actions of the Federal Reserve, and the evolution of global geopolitical and economic conditions will all play a role in determining the dollar's strength. Despite the uncertainties, the current trend suggests a continued period of dollar dominance. Investors, however, should carefully consider the increased costs of betting on the dollar in the options market and ensure their strategies account for these elevated premiums. This is a dynamic situation, and close monitoring of both economic data and market movements will be crucial for navigating the ever-evolving currency landscape.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
USDCAD Could move 1,064pips up the next month.The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following: According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD. Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside. From a monthly perspective there is plenty of buy side liquidity in USDCAD. If you look at the chart you will see two blue circles and a dollar bill between them . Those highs have not been liquidated yet. The price is aggressively chasing those highs. According to the explanation provided the price is extremely bullish because is moving to a strong liquidity area. From monthly perspective the price already liquidates sell side liquidity. If look at the chart you will see a yellow circle . The yellow circle represents the sell side liquidity that was liquidated by the price. The price has bullish structure. The price is making higher highs will doing so liquidating sell side liquidity. There is a lot of optimists about the dollar getting stronger in the near future. DXY has bullish structure. The DXY is currently making a retracement. It is currently at 50%. We could assume that is very close to be ready because it took sell side liquidity as well. In other words, the CAD is getting weaker and the USD stronger.
Long
by Wiiso
2
USDSGD Still a buy but not for long.The USDSGD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern (blue) since the February 02 2023 Low but on December 28 2023 it posted a Lower Low, so we have to consider the possibility of an emerging (dotted) Channel Down. As a result, the trend remains bullish but technically we should be careful and only target the top of Channel Down at 1.37350 (symmetrical Bullish Leg at +4.49%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCAD Best sell entry in 6 months.The USDCAD pair is crossing over the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the long term range since October 2022. The last two times it did that break out, it turned into the most efficient sell opportunity. Last time to do so was on November 1st 2023. With the 1day RSI also deep into the overbought region, we turn bearish. Sell and target 1.3300 (0.236 Fib, it has been hit all times the pattern gave this sell signal). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Short
by TheCryptagon
4
EURUSD: Oversold on 1D but still bearish long-term.EURUSD turned oversold today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 29.517, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 31.573) as it failed to sustain the rebound during the early session. The long term pattern is a Channel Down since the start of the year and this is the second bearish wave for a LL. The 1D MACD is on the second Bearish Cross inside 30 days and even though a short term rebound might be possible, we expect a test of the Channel Down's bottom by the end of the month (TP = 1.05550). That would be on a perfect -4.00% symmetry with the decline of the previous bearish wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GOLD 3 H TIME FRAM Full ? UPDATE READ THE CAPTION)Hello traders what do you think about Gold) Gold pair price All time high Bullish Gold pair price 3H time frame break level of 2270 test 2280+ I think 💭 Gold pair price 2280+ 2290 of break out Next Movie possible 2300+ 2324 Gold pair price technical analysis update 3H Chart Technical analysis update berak above avrege levels📉📈📊👍 ✅ 2124 berak above avrege 2188+ 2208 Done ✅ 2208 berak above avrege 2230+ 2250 Done ✅ 2250 berak above avrege 2263+2280 Done 2290 break above avrege 2300+ 2324 / looking a new Ath ^ Gold Buy. 2270 TP 2280 TP ^. 2290 SL @ 2265 G old sell 2300 TP ^ 2290 TP ^ 2280 SL @ 2305 Follow risk management Don't forget like this analysis
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point