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DJ FXCM Index

USD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3630 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3592 2nd Support – 1.3572 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3650. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
USDNOK Buy opportunity above the 1D MA50.The USDNOK pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern for the past 2 years (since June 2022) and right now is consolidating right below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after holding the Higher Lows Zone. Within this 2-year pattern, every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 following a bottom bounce, the new Bullish Leg was initiated. Our Target is 11.000 (just below the Lower Highs trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Gbp/Usd (Wedge) Intraday Analysis The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2806, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2763 2nd Support – 1.2735 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2850. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
USDCAD 1D Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the USDCAD pair in the 1D time frame. ⌛️ Long-term Range Box In the 1D time frame, we observe a large, long-term range box that spans 664 days. This box has experienced a complete High Wave Cycle (HWC) range, which is confirmed by the flat SMA99, indicating minimal slope and nearly flat movement over a long period. ♟ Key Levels Range Box Bottom: 1.31434 Range Box Top: 1.38725 Breaking either of these lines will likely initiate a new trend for the HWC. Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) Support: 1.35973 MWC Resistance: 1.37805 🪤 Momentum Indicators As discussed in yesterday’s analysis, momentum oscillators like RSI are less effective in range-bound markets. In this case, although the RSI broke the 43.14 support, the market did not gain bearish momentum because of the ranging condition. This exemplifies why RSI should not be heavily relied upon in such scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario If a candle closes below the 1.35973 area, we can expect the price to move towards the bottom of the range box at 1.31434. This support is crucial and could push the price back to the top of the range. 📈 Bullish Scenario Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.37805, it may move towards the top of the box at 1.38725. However, this move is less likely due to the weakness observed in the green candles, indicating weaker buyer strength. 🔍 Candle Analysis Examining the candles shows that reaching the top of the range box takes significant time, with small green candles. Conversely, reaching the bottom of the box from the top happens quickly with strong red candles. Given the weak green candles in the latest upward move that didn't even reach the top of the box, the likelihood of a downward breakout is higher. 🎯 Target Levels In case of a downward breakout, switching to the weekly time frame helps identify important levels: First Target: 1.30183 (0.5 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 1.27624 Third Target: 1.22926 (a very significant support for this pair) 📝 Conclusion The USDCAD pair is currently trading within a long-term range, showing weak buyer momentum and stronger bearish tendencies. A breakout from this range, particularly to the downside, seems more probable given the current market conditions. Traders should watch key levels closely for confirmation and be ready to act accordingly once a breakout occurs. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
1
EURUSD Turning bullish short-term.The EURUSD pair closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 27 and this week is already using it as a Support to sustain further uptrend. Technically this could be the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg of the (blue) Channel Up that started on the week of June 24. On the long-term, the pair has been trading within a fierce Triangle consolidation for exactly 1 year. The technical Support level has been the Support Zone that started back in January 2023 and the Resistance level, is the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) / 1M MA50 cluster. Back to the Triangle's and Channel Up dynamics, last week's 1W MACD Bullish Cross formation and the bullish break-out of the 1W RSI above its Lower Highs trend-line, support being bullish on the short-term. We will take a more modest/ cautious approach and will 'only' target 1.09500 (which is the crossroads of the Channel Up Higher Highs and Triangle Lower Highs trend-lines). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDTRY Inflationary uptrend still intact but buy on the right leThe USDTRY pair has almost doubled since our last buy signal (October 27 2022, see chart below): This pair remains one of the most efficient long-term trades long-term as its inflationary uptrend remains intact. We won't turn buyers again however before a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test or a neutral 1W RSI (less than 50.00). Our next Target is 40.0000 (again on the 10-year Higher Highs trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
XAU/USD H1 Channel Formation The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. OANDA:XAUUSD Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2357, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2328 2nd Support – 2309 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2370. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Sell GBP/USD Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2755, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2680 2nd Support – 1.2637 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2785. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2326, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels : 1st Support – 2351 2nd Support – 2365 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2316.50 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
GBP/USD : Key Levels and Trading Strategies for Upcoming Moves📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing the GBP/USD pair with the main timeframe being weekly. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective. 🔍 In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 1.31915 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 1.42385 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 1.20670. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 1.31915. If the candle closes below the 0.382 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618. 🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. 🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 1.42385, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward. 📈 For a long position on the weekly timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 1.31915 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 1.42385. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move. 📉 For a short position, breaking below 1.20670 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for GBP/USD is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise. 📈 For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers. 📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 1.2776, which is the riskiest one with a target of 1.31915. The next trigger is at 1.31915 with a target of 1.42385. The final trigger is at 1.42385. 📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 1.2615, and the second trigger is the break of the support area. ♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 1.2776, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 1.31915 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 1.42385 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area. 📝 In summary, GBP/USD is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance level. Depending on the break above 1.31915 or below 1.20670, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in Forex trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
5
Buy GBPUSD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2737 2nd Support – 1.2803 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
25
XAUUSD daily analysis 03/07/2024our yesterdays analysis on xauuad was perfect and all our signals hit take profit. today the market is going to have various news and these news are going to put market in volatility. ▶️Long positions above 2319.00 with targets at 2337.00, 2348 2355 2362 2376 2385 ▶️Below 2319.00 look for further downside with 2311.00 , 2306 2296 2288 2282 Supports and resistances 2355.00 2348.00 2337.00 2332.00 2319.00 2311.00 2306.0 more detailed analysis will be posted soon BOOST US AND FOLLOW US
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
July Economic Calendar - IMPORTANT EventsIt’s going to be a busy month for the Chair of the Fed (Jerome Powell), who delivers a speech today and then will testify later this month in front of Congress to provide updates on monetary policy decisions. Will we gain clarity on the timing of potential rate cuts this year, and if they are even being considered? Crypto in June - How BTC responds June saw significant volatility across the crypto market. Bitcoin fluctuated between price highs above $70,000 and lows of around $60,000, with substantial movement around 4 June when Bitcoin peaked above $71,000, before declining on 6 June and continuing a downward trend and falling to levels last seen in May. ETH and altcoins followed along, with Ethereum down approximately 11% in June . Pulling it back to the US markets, some analysts argue that the fluctuations was largely driven by uncertainty surrounding inflation data. The drop to $60k could likely be due to the reducing likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Bank this year, contrary to earlier investor anticipations (causing hesitation and a cautious approach). Upcoming Events that could Affect Markets: ❗ Tuesday, 2 July 📢 Jerome Powell speech Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will provide an economic overview today, outlining current monetary policies. He will answers questions and the outcome of this speech can significantly impact financial markets and investor sentiment. ❗Wednesday, 3 July 📢 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to provide more details on the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, and its revised economic projections. Key points could include the reasons behind the more hawkish stance on rate cuts, and the implications of updated forecasts for unemployment and inflation. ❗Friday, 5 July📢 US Unemployment Rate The US unemployment rate is a key indicator of economic health, influencing consumer spending, corporate profits and the social sentiment. During May the US jobs sector added 272,000 jobs, further casting doubt on the rate cuts in the US this year. ❗Tuesday, 9 July 📢 Fed Chair Powell testimony Jerome Powell is set to discuss the state of the economy, monetary policy decisions, and also outline future policy intentions in his twice-a-year testimony in front of Congress. ❗Thursday, 11 July 📢 US Inflation Figures The year-on-year and month-on-month inflation numbers provide crucial insights into purchasing power trends, influencing market expectations for interest rates and the overall economic outlook. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.2% in May, the smallest advance in core CPI since October 2023. Take extra caution when over the next few weeks as volatility will be likely depending on the outcome of these events. _______________________ ECONOMICS:USINTR FRED:UNRATE ECONOMICS:USIRYY
FRED:SP500
by CryptoCheck-
Sell EUR/USD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0732, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0699 2nd Support – 1.0675 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16