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DJ FXCM Index

Market Fundamental Analysis for 10 October 2024 EURUSDAn event to look out for today: 15:30 GMT+3. USD - Consumer Price Index EURUSD: EUR/USD fluctuated in a narrow range below 1.0950 during the Asian session on Thursday and consolidated recent strong losses to a near two-month low reached the previous day. The US dollar (USD) is near its highest level since 16 August as traders assessed the possibility of another 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November. Moreover, current market pricing indicates a more than 20 per cent probability that the US central bank will keep rates unchanged next month, and these expectations were confirmed by the hawkish FOMC meeting minutes released on Wednesday. As a result, US 10-year government bond yields will exceed the 4% threshold, which will support the quid and serve as a headwind for EUR/USD. On the other hand, the euro currency continues to be pressured by growing confidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut borrowing costs by 25bps at each of its two policy meetings before the end of the year. Moreover, the risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East should favour the safe-haven US Dollar and indicate that the path of least resistance for EUR/USD lies to the downside. Traders, however, may refrain from new bearish bets and prefer to wait for the latest US inflation data before positioning themselves for further rate cuts. The all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released later in the North American session this Thursday, followed by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday. This data will play a key role in shaping expectations about the path of the Fed rate cut, which in turn will stimulate demand for the dollar in the near term and give new directional momentum to EUR/USD. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with sell orders at the price level of 1.0890.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
NZDUSD: Broke under both MAs. Strong sell signalNZDUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.216, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 38.839) as it smashed through both the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200. The long term structure is a Rectangle (R1 and S1 Zone) and the current pattern that is emerging is almost identical with the previous bearish waves towards the S1 Zone. It is possible to see a medium term reboudn back to the 1D MA50 but on the long term we are bearish (TP = 0.58600). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
XAUUSDHere is our overall on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity. As of now, XAUUSD is struggling to break 2624 . If we break above this level we could see higher highs and we will continue to the upside. However, If we break below 2604 , we could see a downside move to our PBA (Pullback Area) sitting at around 2590 . Breaks below our PBA could also result in lower prices. Considering the fact we made an ATH it would not be out of the ordinary for gold to do a massive pullback . KEY NOTES - XAUUSD is struggling to break 2624. - Break below 2604 would confirm sells. - A pullback from ATH is not out of the ordinary. - Break above 2624 could result in higher highs. - Break below PBA would result in deeper pullbacks. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FxPocket
GBPUSD Will it hold the 1D MA50??The GBPUSD pair has been trading exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past two days and so far it held. Today though it appears to be making its first legitimate attempt to break it and if the 1D candle closes below it, we will have a confirmed bearish break-out. This is similar to the August 03 2023 bearish break-out, which was the ultimate medium-term sell confirmation after a long Bullish Megaphone that dictated the trend. As you can see the two fractals are identical, initially declining by around -5% and then rising towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension through their Megaphones. The 2023 sell signal reached the 0.786 Fib after the break-out and that will be our Target again (1.2550) if the 1D candle confirms that closing below the 1D MA50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD: Dead cat bounce to 1.10500 expected.EURUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.133, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 30.825) which given the fact that the price is approaching the LL trendline, it allows for some room to recover some losses. We expect this to be a dead cat bounce but a short term buy opportunity nonetheless. Target the 4H MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.10500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Gold Washout Low/Excess Phase Peak #3 Setup - Get ReadyThis short video highlights why I believe Gold is building a base near $2640 for a big rally move up to $2760++. Yes, I highlight some concerns in this video. I expected Gold to move more aggressively to the upside over the last 36 hours, but this is trading. Everything doesn't work out perfectly in all instances. If you are trading Gold, this video should help you understand what is happening on the price chart and why it is so important for Gold to build a base and move higher from these lows. If Gold breaks below $2620, all bets are off, and we may see a broader breakdown. But I don't think that is likely to happen with this move. I still see the $2780 level as the upper target. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
USDJPY Waiting for this perfect sell opportunity.Two weeks ago (September 25, see chart below) we gave a strong multi-month buy signal on the USDJPY pair and it couldn't have had a better timing: Last week recorded a massive 1W green candle, the strongest one in more than 2 years that almost tested the 1W MA50. Today we will be breaking down this long-term buy opportunity on the lower 1D time-frame. As you can see, the price is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Resistance cluster. This is of very high importance as during the previous Channel Up bottom in early 2023, the two formed a Bearish Cross (February 27 2023) and just a few days later the pair topped and was rejected on the 1D MA200. The result was a pull-back to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Long-term we remain bullish but on the short-term we will be waiting for this rejection opportunity in order to short and target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 146.000. Notice also that the high symmetry on the RSI sequences among the two bottom fractals also indicates that we are just before the 1D MA100/ 200 Bearish Cross took place. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURUSD Confirmed sell signal with MA50 (1d) confirmationEURUSD broke below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since August 2nd, which is a technical sell signal. The MA50 (1d) has been the pivot of the Ascending Triangle and every break below it has delivered more downside. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the next rebound to the MA50 (1d). Targets: 1. 1.078000 (Support A). Tips: 1. The MACD (1d) is posting the same pattern of the December top. Technical sell signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Short
by TradingBrokersView
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
EURUSD formed the first 4H Death Cross in 4 months.The Double Top on EURUSD last time we mentioned it (September 23, see chart below) worked perfectly and followed its technical bearish bias as not only did the price got rejected but also broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the May's Channel Up: At the same time, the pair just completed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame in almost 4 months (since June 14) and every time in the past 2 and more years (except June 14) that it made that formation, it gave a solid medium-term (at least) sell signal. As a result, there is no reason to diverge from the 1.08350 bearish Target, which as with the February 14 Low, it is on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
POSSIBLE SCENARIO FOR XAUUSD THIS WEEK!As we know gold is still in a strong uptrend. When we look dating from 23/09/24 till 26/09/24 gold as hit several ATHs and retraced back down to its PREV BUY ZONE to continue its uptrend. With new data being released around the dollar and war conflicts in the Middle East gold has been unsure of its direction causing it to range between the BUY/SELL ZONE. The strong levels I would take from this are - 2625 - 2640 - 2670 I think if gold can continue its sudden bearish momentum its had after hitting its ATH then we can see 2625 being retested and if a sudden break of that we may see more down side. the other scenario is gold bounces off the 2625 for the third time in 3 weeks and continues its run in the bull market. This is just my analysis and not financial advice. Good luck trading Hit the rocket for more analysis’s for the rest of the year.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by goldmoneysignals
The direction likely set for usd to head higherHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. USD broke up higher ,potentially already formed a double bounce...has been up the whole of last week...could likely see pullback before heading higher.for now up side bias for USD Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Sell AUD/USD Triangle BreakoutThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.6870 Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6835 2nd Support – 0.6804 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6916. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
Gold Shakeout - Fed Comments/UD-Dollar - Rally TimeGold saw a huge shakeout this morning, as the Fed commented, and the move in the US dollar put some extreme pressure on metals. The funny thing is this move ended almost as fast as it started - and now metals are rallying again. Why? The Fed is trying to transition into a more global friendly position - allowing foreign nations to become more competitive with the US Dollar. China recently went ALL IN on a resurgence economy - betting the US Fed is going to move towards more Dovish rate cuts. This bet may be the downfall of China if the Fed changes direction near the end of 2025. The US dollar is still the biggest, badest currency on the planet. As Gold rises while the US Dollar rises - you are seeing global traders attempt to hedge global risk factors in precious metals while the US Dollar/Economy continues to be the 900lb Gorilla of the world's economies. Things could get very interesting through the US election. Sit tight - buckle up and prepare for some very big moves in the markets over the next 60-90+ days. Get some.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny