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Usdjpyidea

USDJPY: fed hawks and new developments!USD/JPY eyes 141.00 as upbeat US households’ spending supports hawkish Fed stance Fundamental technical analysis: The market price line is being consistently followed by the 34 EMA, resulting in a stable uptrend over a period of time. The RSI has returned to a safe and stable level of 60.5. To minimize the FVG zones, there is a forecast of a slight sideways trend before the news is released. Financial market analysis: The US Dollar (USD) slightly bounced back after a brief dip in profit-taking during the day. This was due to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reporting an increase in the headline PCE Price Index by 0.4% in April, compared to the previous month's 0.1%. Moreover, the yearly rate accelerated to 4.4%, exceeding expectations for a fall to 3.9% from March's 4.2%. Further details showed that the Core PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, increased to 4.7% from 4.6%, beating consensus forecasts. These results reinforced the market's belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at higher levels, which supports the Greenback. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the markets are predicting over a 50% chance of another 25 bps lift-off at the June FOMC meeting. This is supported by a rise in the US Treasury bond yields, which widens the US-Japan rate differential and encourages the flow of funds away from the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY the week ahead : Three white Soldiers seen at USDJPYThis is a follow-up post of our previous analysis with USDJPY. As we expected the currency pair given breakout at the level of 139/140. It has formed a Doji candle on one day chart, gave confusion to retail traders as that Doji was formed after continuous bull candles and appeared nearby the resistance area. It was able to manage to give a breakout and stay strong above 140 levels. After the breakout, it has formed three white soldiers which is indicating a strong buy towards the said target of 145 / 150. Expecting the first target by the NFP data release date ( First Friday of June month ) Weekly movement Predictor : Monday = Neutral/ Slight Bearish ( US holiday: Memorial Day ) Tue, Wed = Bullish Thursday = Bearish Friday = Ultra Bullish. You can use stop loss or USE trailing Stop loss 136 region where 20EMA is seen.
Long
by Edwindxb
USDJPY: CUP and HANDLEComments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
7
USDJPY BULL FLAG TRADE IDEAHi Traders! We have a bull flag setup here on the 2H USDJPY chart. This usually happens after a big rally up or down (flag pole) followed by a consolidation period before continuing with momentum. We are now in the consolidation period and looking to continue pushing up. The level to break here is 138.878. If this is broken, we expect another push to 139.000 and possibly a test of 140.000. Our long term bullish ascending triangle on the 1D chart (link to this idea provided below) is still in play and also supports this idea. Very important though, that we also look at the possibility of the pattern failing and moving to the downside. PLEASE NOTE: that if the pattern fails, it will turn from a Bull Flag to a Double Top, which is a REVERSAL pattern, and will change from bullish to bearish. The bottom of the flag at 137.424 must hold to avoid the reversal. We do have key levels around the 137 area with a previous resistance swing high around 137.774, so there are opportunities on both sides. Please do not forget to like, comment and follow, we would love to hear your thoughts! Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4
20 Reasons for BUY USDJPY🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: The yearly structure remains bearish, but there was a significant shift in price behavior last year, transitioning from bearish to bullish. This shift was accompanied by heavy volumes and a strong internal breakout. Currently, prices are trading within the range of the last yearly move, indicating a bullish to sideways zone. 2:📆Monthly: The overall trend is bullish, and there is an inducement and reversal formation taking place. Prices are currently filling the last bearish fvg area and heading towards an extreme order block, which could act as a trigger event. 3:📅Weekly: There has been a change in price direction, with a bullish sentiment prevailing. The inducement signal is present, and there are no significant resistances on the upside yet, suggesting that prices may continue to move higher. 4:🕛Daily: A valid breakout of the structure has occurred with heavy volume, indicating a shift in market dynamics. However, prices are still consolidating within the breakout zone, and a short correction followed by a bullish continuation move is expected. 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: Daily 5: 1 Price Structure: The overall structure is bullish, with a breakout followed by a buildup formation. 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: There was a breakout from a double top formation or a narrow range pattern. 7: 3 Volume: There was significant volume at the breakout, confirming the strength of the move. 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: The RSI has shifted from sideways to bullish range, indicating a bullish momentum. 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Prices are walking along the Bollinger Bands, displaying bullish volatility. 10: 6 Strength ADX: The ADX indicates bullish strength in the market. 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: USD is stronger than JPY based on the rate of change. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 12: Entry TF Structure: The H1 timeframe shows a bearish to bullish Choch pattern, which signals an upside breakout impact. 13: Entry Move: Enter the market impulsively. 14: Support Resistance Base: Consider the CIP (Critical Intraday Pivot) and wait for confirmation. 15: FIB: The trendline breakout can serve as a trigger event. ☑️ final comments: Buy 16: 💡decision: Buy 17: 🚀Entry: 138.759 18: ✋Stop Loss: 137.367 19: 🎯Take Profit: 142 20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:4 🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
Long
by Optimum369
USDJPY: Fed and target!Fundamental Overview The lowering of the Consumer Price Index indicates a decreased likelihood of the Federal Reserve imposing new rate hikes, which is welcomed by the market. This presents a strong argument for a pause. As a result, investors are increasingly anticipating rate cuts, which is causing the Greenback to decrease in value. Important numbers to note include the Consumer Price Index and the potential for rate cuts. [/i Fed feels more comfortable with receding inflation Plan trade in the intro
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
1